Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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Stephen Nover's Buccaneers-Packers Big Ticket

**#1 ranked NFL in 2012-13**
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**#5 ranked Overall in 2015**

Stephen Nover is on an impressive 16-4 (80%) run over his last 21 NFL picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $11,430 since November 09, 2017 with his Spread on Bucs v. Packers!

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Stephen Nover is one of the most respected NFL handicappers in North American with the record to back it up: 371-302 for 55 percent during the last eight years. All of Stephen's plays come with his trademark deep and unique analysis. Stephen is a multiple Rotisserie league football champion and was an award-winning sportswriter for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years. He also worked for the legendary linesmaker Roxy Roxbury, who was the top oddsmaker in North America before retiring. Don't miss out. Lock in now and get all of Stephen's plays at a top value price.

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Game Details

Jan 21 '21, 10:08 PM in 9h

NHL | Avalanche vs Kings

Play on: Avalanche -1½ +113 at pinnacle

Game Analysis

The Kings very well could be 3-0. Instead they have begun the season 0-3 for their worst start in four years. One of their losses occurred against the Wild when Minnesota scored with one second left to force overtime after the Kings had hit the post on an empty net shot. I had the Kings in that game at a plus price. It's my toughest beat of the season. Colorado dealt LA it's latest defeat, 3-2, two days ago. Taken aback by the Avalanche's speed after not playing for 10 months and then opening with two games against the Wild, the Kings fell behind Colorado, 3-0. LA rallied in the third period for two goals, but fell a goal short. The Kings had blown a pair of 3-1 leads against the Wild. This all has to be very demoralizing for the Kings. They are outclassed by the Avalanche, who won't be letting down this time around. Colorado is too fast for Los Angeles. The Kings can't compensate by illegal means because they already have been exposed being whistled for 18 penalties. They have the highest average of minor penalties in the league at 5.33. The Avalanche are the wrong team to give the man advantage to. Their deadly power play unit spearheaded by superstar Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen and Gabriel Landeskog has produced eight power play goals in 17 tries. The oddsmaker recognizes all this. That's why the Avalanche are installed as huge road chalk. So I'm recommending laying 1 1/2 goals on the puck line. Even if the Kings manage to hang around - which I doubt - their luck has been so bad they probably would give up an empty net goal.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is going for his fifth straight winning NHL season. He's 30-18-1 on his last 49 NHL premium plays for 63 percent and has three hockey plays today in addition to this free selection, including his Game of the Week. Stephen has yet to lose an NHL Game of the Week play this season. All of Stephen's plays come with his unique, top-notch analysis.)

Pick Released on Jan 21 at 06:37 am

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Oilers vs Maple Leafs	OVER 6½ -113	Premium	3-1	Loss	-113	Show
The Maple Leafs have scored a minimum of 3 goals in all four of their games. The Oilers are due to break out after a two-game series against the Canadiens in which they scored only two goals. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are too dangerous to be held in check for three straight games. Toronto goalie Frederik Andersen has been shaky in two of three starts. The Oilers are weak again defensively permitting 3.7 goals during their first four games.
Nets vs Cavs	Cavs +10½ -110	Premium	135-147	Win	100	Show
There is a strong possibility the Nets will have their three superstars - James Harden, Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving - playing together for the first time when they meet the Cavaliers today. Consider two things before jumping to the conclusion that the Nets are going to destroy the Cavaliers. No. 1: Irving hasn't played in 15 days. He's going to be rusty. Also it takes time for three players of that magnitude to get comfortable with each other on the court. This is what Nets coach Steve Nash said about that, "It's hard to build chemistry without playing, and we're not playing in practice. So the chemistry is going to be formed on the floor during games." Irving may be on a minutes restriction. It's doubtful those three mega stars are playing if Brooklyn does build a big lead leaving the back-door open for Cleveland. The teams meet again on Friday. No. 2: It's not getting nearly the publicity of Irving's return, but the Cavaliers are expecting to get back their injured starting backcourt of Collin Sexton and Darius Garland. Both went through full practice on Monday. Reserve guard Damyean Dotson has done a credible job filling in. Sexton is one of the more underrated players in the league averaging 25 points. Center Jarrett Allen and veteran Taurean Prince are set to make their Cleveland debuts. They were part of the Harden trade. Allen is having a good season averaging 11.2 points and 10.4 rebounds. He joins Andre Drummond, who is averaging a career-best 19.3 points and 15.8 rebounds. There's also the situational factor to consider. The Nets are in a letdown spot after a dramatic nationally televised two-point victory against the Bucks two nights ago. The Nets were underdogs against the Bucks. Brooklyn is 2-6 ATS the past eight times it has been favored.
Tulsa vs Houston	Tulsa +12 -110	Premium	59-86	Loss	-110	Show
OK, I get this is a monster revenge spot for eighth-ranked Houston. The Cougars suffered their lone loss, 65-64, on the road to Tulsa on Dec. 29. The Cougars have the No. 2 defense in the country surrendering just 56.5 points. But Tulsa is deserving of far more respect than this overpriced line. The Golden Hurricane rank 16th in the nation defensively allowing just 60.9 points a game. So obviously we have a very low total where points are going to be extremely hard to come by. Tulsa has the guard play and can score enough in the paint to keep things close. The Golden Hurricane bounced back after their annual road loss to Wichita State by beating Memphis as a short 'dog this past Sunday. That shows me they aren't a team to fall apart. Their defense will keep them in this game while their offense scores enough to keep them well within this inflated number.
Northwestern State vs Stephen F Austin	Stephen F Austin -13½ -111	Premium	74-86	Loss	-111	Show
Yes, this is a mismatch. The betting line reflects that. It just doesn't reflect that enough. Stephen F. Austin averages 81.7 points per game. The Lumberjacks have the second-best shooting percentage in the country at 53.5 percent. Northwestern State gives up 82.2 points per game, which ranks 336th in the nation. It's a big reason why the Demons are 2-13 on the season, including 1-10 on the road. The Lumberjacks come up with nearly 10 steals per game. They also are a strong rebounding team. Northwestern lacks firepower. The Demons don't have anyone who averages even 13 points a game and only two players average more than 10 points for them.
Abilene Christian vs Sam Houston State	Sam Houston State +3½ -107	Premium	57-64	Win	100	Show
Sam Houston State has the best conference record in the Southland at 5-0. I'm not buying that Abilene Christian is better. Each team has 11 victories. Sam Houston State is 7-1 at home. The Bearkats average 82.8 points and have the best player on the court in Zach Nutall, who averages 20.4 points. Abilene Christian is one game above .500 on the road. The Wildcats average eight fewer points per game than Sam Houston State. Sam Houston State has covered in each of its last eight lined games.
Canadiens vs Canucks	Canadiens -116	Premium	5-6	Loss	-116	Show
The Canadiens have gotten bigger this season on defense - and more aggressive. Montreal's early defensive improvement looks like it's for real after the Canadiens held Edmonton to two goals in two games. Montreal outhit the Oilers, 31-17, in its 3-1 road victory on Monday. If it weren't for blowing a two-goal lead to the Maple Leafs in their opening game, the Canadiens would be 3-0. Montreal has won its last four games on the road against Vancouver. The Canucks aren't playing well. Vancouver has lost three in a row, outscored, 13-4, during this span. The Canucks' young, talented scorers are slumping and their special teams have been atrocious giving up seven power-play goals in 21 times behind shorthanded while failing to score when they've had the man advantage this season.
#Grizzlies vs #Blazers	#Blazers -114	Premium	0-0	Push	0	Show
At first glance you wonder why the oddsmaker opened Portland a small home favorite. After all, Memphis has won five in a row and the Trail Blazers are minus two of their three best players with Jusuf Nurkic and CJ McCollum both out. But at closer inspection you see this game sets up well for the Trail Blazers. Not to take anything away from the Grizzlies, but they've caught a number of situational breaks in winning their last four games. Their last four victories were against the Cavaliers, who were missing their starting backcourt, the 3-9 Timberwolves, the 76ers when they were minus Joel Embiid and the rusty Suns, who were playing for the first time in a week. The Trail Blazers are going to be motivated for this contest after an embarrassing, 125-104, home loss to the Spurs on Monday. That defeat gave the Trail Blazers the full realization that no team is taking pity on them for Nurkic and McCollum being out. Those two are going to be out for weeks. So I expect the Trail Blazers to start digging in, especially at home. Damian Lillard is playing at the high level expected of him. Shooting guards Rodney Hood and Gary Trent Jr. are decent replacements for McCollum. Note, too, the Grizzlies are going to be missing a key player, Jonas Valanciunas. He's their best big man. The Grizzlies don't have much inside scoring without him. Valanciunas is out due to COVID-19 protocols.
Kings vs Clippers	OVER 231½ -110	Top Premium	96-115	Loss	-110	Show
The Kings were a below average defensive team last season, but they weren't a defensive disaster. Sacramento coach Luke Walton decided to make some defensive adjustments this season. The result is the Kings rank last defensively. They have allowed 122 or more points in each of their last eight games. Sacramento is a top-nine scoring team. That combination of good offense/horrendous defense makes the Kings a dead-nuts Over team as long as Walton stays their coach and the oddsmaker is slow to fully adjust. The Over has won in nine of the Kings' last 11 games. There's no reason to go against that pertinent trend in this matchup. The Clippers are averaging 132.3 points in their last three games. That's their best scoring stretch of the season. The teams just met this past Friday and the Clippers won, 138-100, for a total of 238 points.

SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.

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Stephen Nover

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