Free College Football Picks

For my best free pick on the board I am looking at the Georgia Bulldogs and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets battling it out at Mercedes Benz Stadium. Both these teams have been covering lately for bettors but this number should attract bettors in droves to the Yellow Jackets who expect a close game here on Friday. Georgia has no room for error and should let loose with a good woodshedding here on Friday. Georgia Tech has covered 3 straight in the head to head that streak ends Friday. 

Play on Georgia minus the points rotation #329

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Ohio University vs Buffalo 
Friday, November 28, 2025 
5-Unit bet on the Ohio University Bobcats priced as a 7-point favorite 

The following NFL betting algorithm has compiled a 198-67 SU and 163-97-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets since 2020. The required criteria are: 

Bet on road teams that have allowed 14 or fewer points in each of their last two games. 

The opponent is coming off a loss by 17 or more points 

If the game occurs from week 10 on out to the end of the season, these road teams have gone 78-24 SU and 66-31-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets.  

Buffalo must win to get 6 wins and become bowl eligible, but it will be very difficult for them going up against a solid Ohio U squad that is 7-4 overall and 5-2 in the MAC Conference. The Bobcats running back Sieh Bangura had a career high 196 rushing yards against UMASS last week in a 42-14 thrashing. Buffalo is going to have immense trouble stopping the Ohio ground attack that ranks 16th nationally gaining 216 yards per game. Buffalo’s rush defense ranks 66th nationally allowing 152.3 RYPG. Ohio’s ground attack will steadily wear down the Buffalo defense and when the safeties creep up to the line of scrimmage, then the play action pass play will be in man coverage and in highly successful situations.  

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Arizona State +2

The Arizona State Sun Devils have been impressive getting to 8-3 this season despite battling through key injuries, most notably to QB Sam Leavitt and WR Jordan Tyson.  They have gone 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS since losing Leavitt to a season-ending injury and have been impressive in all three games offensively.

They went on the road and beat Iowa State 24-19 as 7.5-point dogs while racking up 467 total yards and outgaining the Cyclones by 131 yards.  They came back from their bye week and were a little rusty in a 25-23 home win over a feisty West Virginia team.  But they were hitting on all cylinders again last week in a 42-17 road win at Colorado, racking up 580 total yards while outgaining the Buffaloes by 280 yards in a dominant effort.

Tyson (59 receptions, 689 yards, 8 TD) made his return last week from a 3-game absence and had 2 receptions for 61 yards against Colorado.  The Sun Devils are running wild right now with backup QB Jeff Simms.  They have rushed for an average of 256 yards per game in their last three games.  Simms has rushed for 409 yards and two scores while averaging 4.9 per carry.  Raleek Brown has rushed for 1,078 yards on 6.2 per carry.

The one constant for this Arizona State team has been a dominant defense.  The Sun Devils are only allowing 23.0 points per game and 5.1 yards per play, holding opponents to 8.4 points per game and 0.8 yards per play below their season averages.  They have done it against a much tougher schedule having to face the two best teams in the Big 12 in Utah and Texas Tech.  

The Sun Devils are the only team to beat Texas Tech winning 26-22 at home where they are 5-1 SU this season with their lone loss coming to Houston in the game where Leavitt got injured, and their first game without Tyson.  There was nothing fluky about that win over the Red Raiders as they outgained them 394 to 276, or by 118 total yards.  It was their most impressive defensive effort of the season.

Arizona has benefited from a much softer schedule to get to 8-3 this season.  The Wildcats have avoided the two best teams in the Big 12 in Utah and Texas Tech.  They lost to the best Big 12 team they faced in BYU at home.  They have benefited from a home-heavy schedule with seven home games compared to just four road games.  They are 2-2 on the road losing at Iowa State by 23 and at Houston.  They are getting too much respect from their current 4-game winning streak coming into this game.

Teams have been able to run on this Arizona defense as BYU had 258 rushing yards, Houston had 232, Cincinnati had 190, Kansas had 170 and Baylor had 181.  The Wildcats have allowed an average of 193.3 rushing yards per game in their last six games.  The Sun Devils should run wild on them here, and that favorable matchup will be the biggest difference in the game.

Another matchup that favors the Sun Devils is they have one of the best pass defenses in the country, and Arizona is a pass-happy offense with QB Noah Fifita.  Arizona State has allowed 201 or fewer passing yards in five of its last six games.  ASU beat Arizona 49-7 last year while holding Fifita to 14-of-29 passing for 126 yards.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Arizona State Friday.

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1* NCAAF - Navy/Memphis FREE PICK on Navy +4

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Utah/Kansas OVER 60.5

The Key: The Utah Utes need style points to make the 12-team playoff.  They are likely going to get left out of the Big 12 Championship Game.  At 13th in the playoff rankings this week, they have a legit chance to get in with some help and some style points.  The Utes have clearly been trying to play faster and score as many points as possible in recent weeks knowing what's at stake.  They have averaged 51.0 PPG and 525.3 YPG in their last 4 games while going 4-0 OVER in those 4 games.  They will try to hang another 50-burger on Kansas this week.  They may very well be able to against a Kansas defense that has yielded at least 37 points in 5 different games this season.  But the Jayhawks have some firepower on offense to contribute to this total as well.  They will be up against a tired Utah defense that yielded 47 points and 574 yards to Kansas State last week, including 472 rushing on 42 carries.  Take the OVER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Purdue +28.5

The Indiana Hoosiers have no incentive to embarrass Purdue.  They are 11-0 this season and a win Friday will get them into the Big Ten Championship Game.  It doesn't matter if it's by 1 or by 51, the goal is to just get out with a win and get on to facing Ohio State.  They aren't going to want to show much and make this as vanilla of a game plan as possible.  I think Purdue has the goods to stay within four touchdowns of the Hoosiers.  The Boilermakers are coming off a bye week and will be treating this like their national championship game since they won't be going to a bowl game.  They also remember getting embarrassed 66-0 at Indiana last year, but this is a different coaching staff and mostly all new players.  It's a much improved Purdue team from last year despite their record.  The Boilermakers have been more competitive at home losing by 16 to USC as 20.5-point dogs and by 24 to Ohio State as identical 28.5-point dogs.  The Hoosiers have been overvalued in their last two games needing a last-second TD to beat Penn State 27-24 as 13.5-point road favorites and only beating Wisconsin by 24 as 28.5-point home favorites.  While the Hoosiers will be vanilla, the Boilermakers will throw everything they have at Indiana in this game especially coming off the bye week with two weeks to prepare for it.  Give me Purdue.

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #312 Under in Navy Midshipmen @ Memphis Tigers (7:30p.m., Thursday, November 27 ESPN) Navy has a lot of play for in this game, as they have a chance to reach the conference title game with a win. They have had another strong season, but I see them struggling to light up the scoreboard in this game. This total is inflated as both teams have strong records hitting the over. Navy still likes to control the football, and Memphis needs to improve on defense if they want to win this game. We will not worry about who covers this spread and instead just focus on the over. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Holiday Weekend card! We will feature plays on four days in football and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper of 54 years.  

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Free winner: Navy Midshipmen.

Game 311.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Memphis, which is 4-3 in conference play, has no shot at winning the AAC. Sitting atop the conference, Navy is tied with Tulane and North Texas at 6-1 in AAC action this season. While the Tiger's regular season is over after this week, the Midshipmen have one more contest remaining against the Black Knights of Army. A season ago, Navy took down Memphis in late-September at home, 56-44. Dual threat quarterback, Blake Horvath threw for 371 yards and ran for another 211 yards. Altogether he accounted for six scores in that matchup. I doubt very much you're going to see them change their gameplan which has brought them an 8-2 overall record this season. This a well-coached, well-disciplined squad, and they have found success against some solid defenses, folks. They lead the nation, averaging over 308.2 yards per game on the ground. While the Memphis defense on paper possesses some better statistics, we all know what will happen in this game. Navy will run the ball, run the ball, run the ball, win the TOP, control the tempo and the clock, and keep their opponents defense on the field, and more importantly their opponents’ offense off it. This is a big game for Navy, they need this victory, my friends.  I feel this will be a competitive contest, and way too many points.

Saturday's CFB Free Pick

PLAY ON: LSU +10.5

·      Michigan averaging 232.5 points per game in last 5 games

·      Ohio State is 9-1-1 ATS covering by 6.1 points per game 

·      Michigan 4-7 -.9

·      Ohio State under 7-4 -3.8

·      Big myth about betting double-digit dogs in rivalry games, though recently in this series it has been

·      Big away favorites in triple revenge are 66-29-2 (Ohio State)

·      Buckeyes plenty of motivation to run up score after Michigan planted flag last game and Michigan’s domination recently 

·      Big conference dog, low total, but much better on road, so only slight edge for UM here

·      Home ranked team that’s won at least 2 straight versus opponent in top 20 is 117-67-7 (Michigan)

The pick: Ohio State -10 as they are the better team and have all the motivation in the world to run up score

Joe Duffy as of post time: More winners coming: Thanksgiving launches with 2 NFL plays anchored by a powerhouse Wise Guy. Friday reloads with another elite NFL Wise Guy side and a college football Wise Guy side among 4 gridiron winners. Saturday escalates with the Sun Belt East Game of the Year headlining 8 must-play wagers. Strike now while the momentum is primed to surge.