Matt Fargo

This is a play on the XAVIER MUSKETEERS for our Friday Free Play. Iowa will be the popular betting favorite in this game and we are seeing the line movement already. Iowa is off to a 2-0 start with blowout wins over Robert Morris and Western Illinois and this is one of the most interesting teams in the country. The Hawkeyes have a new head coach in Ben McCollum and he had only one Iowa player return that was on the team last season, Cooper Koch and he only averaged 4.6 ppg. McCollum came over from Drake and he brought six of his players with him four of which are starting along with Koch so we are looking at Drake version two and are coming in overpriced. Xavier has not looked good as they opened the season with four and five point wins over Marist and LeMoyne respectively and followed those up with a 19-point loss against Santa Clara, all of those games taking place at the Cintas Center. Now the Musketeers hit the road in what is a good buy spot as no one will be on Xavier after the start they have had. We have this number at 11 so we are getting two possessions of value. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite going up against an opponent off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 42-16 ATS (72.4 percent) since 1998 with a scoring differential of -10.4 ppg. Play (855) Xavier Musketeers

27-20 NFL Run. NFL +$18,740 L3+ Regular Seasons and +$76,060 run over the last 13 years. 69-59 FB Run. 6-2 CFB Weeknight Run. Friday Winner and 12 Saturday Winners posted. CBB 15-8 Run. FIVE CBB Winners for Friday.

This is a play on the MONTANA GRIZZLIES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Montana tied for first place in the Big Sky Conference regular season before rolling through the conference tournament and earning an NCAA Tournament bid where it lost to Wisconsin. The Grizzlies are the favorites to take the title again and will look to build off a big win. They opened the season with a pair of non-Division I wins before getting hammered at Stanford by 21 points but bounced back with a nine-point upset at UNLV. Montana has the best player on the floor in Money Williams who is the preseason Big Sky Player of the Year and is coming off a 30-point game against the Rebels. Cal Poly is coming off a 16-win season which was a huge turnaround after winning 23 games in the previous four seasons combined and the Mustangs are expected to be competitive again. However, they lost nine seniors so they are inexperienced with only one starter back and a roster full of freshmen and sophomores. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points averaging 76 or more ppg after allowing 90 points or more going up against teams allowing between 63 and 67 ppg. This situation is 109-61 ATS (64.1 percent) since 1998 with a scoring differential of +9.5 ppg. 10* (870) Montana Grizzlies

This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES for our CBB Star Attraction. Colorado is coming off its worst season in the 15 years under head coach Tad Boyle as it went 14-21 overall including 3-17 and a last place finish in the Big 12 Conference. This line is partially reflecting that as well as the fact the Buffaloes are coming off an overtime win over Eastern Washington as a 15.5-point favorite. This is going to be a much improved team and their home floor is still meaningful, which was the case even last season where 11 of their 14 wins occurred as they went 0-10 in true road games. Providence is coming off a rough season as well as it went 12-20 overall including 6-14 in the Big East Conference. A big reason was the loss of Bryce Hopkins three games into the season and used a medical redshirt to return this season but jumped ship to St. John’s and the Friars have only one starter back. They are 2-1 with the loss at Virginia Tech on Saturday before routing Penn 106-81 on Tuesday. Now it is a quick turnaround in a big travel spot. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 77 or more ppg on the season, after a combined score of 165 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1998 with a scoring differential of +4.5 ppg. 10* (864) Colorado Buffaloes

This is a play on the INDIANA ST. SYCAMORES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Duke is coming off an embarrassment from head coach Jon Scheyer who ran up the score against Army in the 55-point win as the Blue Devils put up 65 second half points. They are 3-0 to start the season and are ranked No. 1 at KenPom while sitting No. 1 in the early NET rankings but this is the sleepy spot to play against them. The win over Army on Veterans Day in a game in which they honored former head coach Mike Krzyzewski was a big deal and up next for the Blue Devils is a game against Kansas at MSG so this is the sandwich spot to play against them in a sell high spot with an overinflated number. Indiana St. is coming off a 14-win rebuilding season after winning 32 games in 2023-24 and while they seem to be no match here, this is an experienced and balanced team with three starters back. The Sycamores have eight players averaging at least 13 minutes and five scoring at least 9.3 ppg. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game going up against an opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 57-24 ATS (70.4 percent) since 2022 with a scoring differential of -12.9 ppg. 10* (841) Indiana St. Sycamores

This is a play on the NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Northern Iowa is once again expected to contend in the Missouri Valley Conference following its first 20-win season in four years as this is a very experienced team, a rarity in these times of college basketball. The Panthers brought back their core in the backcourt with three returning starters and this is a big advantage early on in the season. They are off to a 2-0 start with wins over CSU Northridge and South Dakota St. and they have done so with little point production from All-MVC guard Trey Campbell who has shot 6-25 including 3-12 from long range but has handed out 11 assists and his shooting will come around. Furman has some returning experience as well but not as strong as it lost its top two scorers and is off to a 1-2 start with the win being a non-Division I victory over Columbia International. Here, we play against underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points in the first five games of the season, a non-tournament team from last season with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 who won six or more of their last eight games, playing a team that had a winning record. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 2022 with a scoring differential of +20.6 ppg. 10* (838) Northern Iowa Panthers

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Louisville lost its chance to make it back to the ACC Championship or to the CFP with its overtime loss to California when they were fully still in both before last weekend. But they can still reach 10 wins during the regular season if they win out so we have to figure out if that is motivation enough and if this was any other opponent, we would say no but it is Clemson. The Cardinals defeated Clemson last season for the first time ever after eight losses and they want to start their own streak. They have a massive edge on defense as they are still No. 8 in EPA with Clemson sitting No. 57. The last time Louisville lost in overtime this season, it responded with three straight wins and we expect a strong finish. As disappointing as last week was for the Cardinals, the same can be said for the entire season for the Tigers. They finally picked up a home conference win after four straight home ACC games going back to last season and with that off their back, now they have to hit the road for the first time after three straight home games with a bye thrown in there. Here, we play on home teams averaging 16 or more ppg in the first half, after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 63-28 ATS (69.2 percent) since 2021. 10* (316) Louisville Cardinals