Matt Fargo

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. Cleveland has taken the first two games of this series and has won three straight overall while going 8-1 in its last nine games to get back into the playoff picture. The Guardians are now 3.5 games behind Seattle for the final Wild Card slot in the American League with Texas sitting in front of them by a game and a half. They are six games over .500 at home and this is a sell high spot going against Slade Cecconi who is coming off the best start of his career as he was carrying a no hitter against the Royals but allowed a hit in the eighth inning. He brings in a 4.45 ERA in 20 starts including a 4.65 ERA in 10 home outings while possessing a 4.62 xERA overall and 4.64 xERA at home. The White Sox are closing in on the end of another rough season but have gone 9-4 over their last 13 games so there is some momentum despite the two recent losses. Yoendrys Gomezhas made six starts with a 4.08 ERA since coming out of the bullpen and this includes a 3.60 ERA in two road outings. 10* (963) Chicago White Sox

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. The Giants won in extra innings on Friday and carried that over to take a 4-1 lead after one inning last night then the wheels fell off as Logan Webb got shelled. With the Mets losing again, San Francisco is still a half-game behind New York for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Giants close their homestand with another big arm in Robbie Ray as he brings in a 3.32 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 30 starts with numbers nearly identical at home in 15 outings. He bounced back with a solid start against Arizona after a pair of rough games and the Giants are now 8-2 in his 10 starts against division opponents. Los Angeles got one back on the highway where it is now 35-39 road record where they have dropped 23 units as the overpricing has been evident and yet again here. Tyler Glasnow has been back from the IL since early July and has made 10 starts, seven of which have come at home. In the three road outings, he has a 4.85 ERA and in five road games overall, he has a 5.68 ERA. 10* (956) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our Sunday Free Play. Monday night was a disaster for the Bears and their backers, yes including us, as they were looking good with a 17-6 lead with 12 minutes left but Minnesota ran off 21 straight points with J.J. McCarthy looking like a completely different quarterback after three quarters. Conversely, Caleb Williams did as well as he got off to a great start and then it fell apart late against an aggressive Minnesota defense. He likely will not see that here as the Lions pass defense ranked No. 31 week in adjusted net yards per attempt allowed as they only pressured Jordan Love at a 26 percent clip which was No. 28. The Lions were exposed last week and are a huge public favorite this week expecting a bounce back. Detroit had an exceptional season as it went 15-2 and clinched home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs while getting the coveted bye. Both losses were at home against Tampa Bay by four points and against Buffalo by six points but it did the Lions little good as they welcomed Washington and while they held a 14-10 lead midway through the second quarter, they squandered that lead and never got it back. They lost out on this golden opportunity and then ended up losing offensive coordinator Ben Johnson and defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn which is rare for a team to lose both in the same season. Teams to blow a double-digit lead in Week One are 30-19 straight up and 29-19-1 ATS in Week Two since 1990 (Baltimore also qualifies in this situation but we are not laying that number). Play (263) Chicago Bears

Fargo has opened 5-4 ATS in the NFL with good and bad breaks and Sunday he is expecting nothing but positive returns. Over the last 3+ NFL Regular Seasons, he is 188-157-7 (55 percent). 5 Winners. +$48,730 MLB Run.

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Primetime. Call us a glutton for punishment but we will be on the Falcons again after a nightmare last week. We are high on Atlanta this season as we like the Falcons over 8.5 wins at +125 and +235 to win the NFC South. They were involved in 12 one possession games last season and they went only 6-6 so luck was not on their side and it started again last week. Atlanta took a lead late in the game after countless tries to get into the endzone and then let Tampa Bay drive down the field for the go ahead score only to miss a very makeable field goal to send the game into overtime. The Falcons outgained Tampa Bay 358-260 and Michael Penix Jr. came away with a good game and confidence despite the loss which was not on him as he threw for 298 yards and a touchdown while also rushing for a score. The Vikings had the comeback of Week One as they rallied from a 17-6 deficit in the fourth quarter to shock the Bears and Caleb Williams who looked lost toward the end of the game. J.J. McCarthy was a different quarterback in the final quarter but we need to see more before laying more than a field goal. 10* (275) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our AFC Game of the Month. We played against Denver last week and while the defense came up strong as expected, the offense was horrible. The Broncos managed only 317 total yards of offense and they turned the ball over four times with Bo Nix throwing for only 176 yards and tossing two interceptions. We will call that first game apprehensions and now he can settle in and play his game like he did at the end of last season. The defense did its job as the Broncos held the Titans in check as the unit carried over from last season where they finished No. 1 in EPA. Despite the non-cover last week, Denver is 8-1 ATS going back to last season as a favorite, winning by an average of 18.6 ppg and the eight-point win last week would normally be a cover. Indianapolis played a perfect game on offense behind Daniel Jones as it scored on all seven possessions, the first time this century a quarterback has led his team to score on every possession. Is he all of a sudden this good? It is a simple answer and it is no. Teams winning by three or more touchdowns and coming in as underdogs the next game are 6-12-2 ATS. 10* (271) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Contrarian Crusher. Pittsburgh came away with the win in New York as Aaron Rodgers got his revenge against the Jets organization and looked decent in doing so as he threw for 244 yards and four touchdowns but there was no sign of a running game and that will be a problem here. The Steelers defense does not travel well as they allowed 392 yards and could be rejuvenated at home but they cannot bank on that as they won despite getting outgained by 123 total yards but the Jets could not convert a conversion and Pittsburgh kicker Chris Boswell had a career day with field goals of 56 and 60 yards. We are going against an overpriced winning favorite that got away with one and will be a public darling going against a west coast team and that used to be a lucrative system but not anymore. Seattle lost a tough one at home against San Francisco and the Seahawks were also on the opposite end of the stats as they were outgained by 154 yards. The running got nothing going and Sam Darnold was unable to let anything go downfield as he threw for just 146 yards but was 16-23 and he has a good matchup here. 10* (265) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. It was not a good start for Cam Ward and the Tennessee offense as they managed only 133 yards and 12 points but managed to get the cover against the Broncos. That was a tough scheduling spot for a rookie to make his first ever start in altitude against one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Titans do face a decent defense this week but not nearly as strong as the Rams were No. 23 in EPA last season compared to the Broncos at No. 1 and the home opener always gives the host a hope no matter how bad they are expected to be. Tennessee was 2-15 ATS last season and are already halfway to that win total and now it will be out to snap another streak as the Titans went 0-8 ATS at home last season. The Rams took care of Houston at home in a 14-9 victory as the defense obviously played well but the offense was a concern albeit against a strong Texans defense. The number is based on not only last week but last season and if we are talking last season, this is a tough spot for Los Angeles coming off that home win and having a revenge game from last season against the Eagles on deck. 10* (260) Tennessee Titans

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. If it looks too good to be true, it likely is and casual bettors are going to line up behind the Bengals in this too good to be true number. Cincinnati is coming off a one point win over Cleveland in a game it probably should have lost but the Browns had kicking issues and turnover problems and the Bengals were outgained 327-141, YES 141, as the early season woes continue. The Bengals are now 3-8 ATS in the first two games of the season with Joe Burrow and it is hard to explain with the talent on offense. It comes down to the defense that was a rough No. 27 in EPA last season and is expected to be bad again. They did allow just 16 points but again, the yardage numbers were there for Cleveland, they just could not execute. Jacksonville easily took care of Carolina as the offense put up 378 yards and that was without Trevor Lawrence doing anything. He was not needed as the Jaguars rushed for 200 yards and while the Bengals locked down the Browns running game, this will be a tougher task. This line opened at 5.5 and has been bet down so while we lose value from the opener, we are still above a key number. 10* (253) Jacksonville Jaguars