Free NFL Picks
Below is free NFL picks and predictions for the regular season, playoffs and Super Bowl. View NFL bets against the spread and total plays with analysis released by expert football handicappers.
Thursday, October 23, 2025
Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on Vikings vs Chargers under 44½ -108
Brian Bitler
For my best free pick on the board for Thursday I am looking at the NFL football game for Thursday night and the LA Chargers hosting the Minnesota Vikings. Both teams off tough losses at home and both games where we saw the defenses of both teams abused up and down the field especially the Chargers and I expect a much better defensive effort here on Thursday as both coaches should have their defenses breathing fire in this one. Get on this total late as we should see this number rise a bit up until game time.
Play on the UNDER in the LA Chargers and the Minnesota Vikings
***DO NOT MISS MY TITANIUM BEST BET ON A 23-9 72% RUN AND MY NFL ON ALL PLAYS IS 10-5 67% LAST 15***
Hunter Price
1* Free Pick on Chargers -3 -110
Max Chase
1* Free Pick on Vikings/Chargers under 44½
Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on Vikings/Chargers: under 44½
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY Vikings vs Chargers under 45 -110
Bobby Conn
1* Free Play on Vikings/Chargers under 44½ -108
Andrew Gold
1% GOLD RUSH on Chargers -3½
Oliver Smith
3* on Chargers
Joe Duffy
Vikings vs. Chargers Betting Preview
Opener: Chargers -3 (-118), Total 42.5
Lookahead Line: Chargers -3, Total 44.5
Best Current Lines: Chargers -3 (-102), Vikings +3 (+110)
Best Totals: Over 44.5 (-108), Under 44.5 (-105)
Betting Splits:
Team Breakdown
Vikings: 3–3 ATS (+1.8), Over 5–1 (+3.1 points per game) — tied with Baltimore for second-highest Over percentage.Chargers: 2–4–1 ATS (-4.4 margin, 7th-worst in NFL), Under 4–3 (-1.5 per game).Quarterback news looms large: per Adam Schefter, Minnesota is expected to roll with Carson Wentz over J.J. McCarthy, though confirmation might not arrive until Thursday morning.
Situational & Historical Angles
Road underdogs that have not overachieved relative to win/favorite ratio: 886–750–39 ATS (54.1%), favoring Minnesota.When opponent is on a one-game losing streak: 240–155–12 ATS (60.8%).Any opponent off a loss: 387–273–16 ATS (58.6%).Thursday favorites from Week 5 onward (not off OT): 145–94–3 ATS, leans Chargers.Home favorites on short rest off a loss as a favorite: 28–12 ATS, strong Chargers angle.Vikings road (2–1 SU) vs. Chargers home (2–2 SU) — fading the road team when it has a better road record than the host’s home record in Game 4 or later: 198–154–13 ATS, up to 62.4% on sub-angles, backing Chargers.SportsLine Projection: Chargers 24–21.
Free Pick from Joe Duffy: LA CHARGERS
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