The NBA bubble in Orlando Florida continues on Tuesday with a short card of six games on the betting schedule.
View 3 Featured NBA free picks and predictions with analysis for Tuesday, August 4, 2020 from our handicapping experts below.
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Boston is 44-22 SU overall this year while Miami comes in with a 42-25 SU overall record on the season. Boston is 54-30 ATS last 3 years including 18-8 ATS this year after playing a non-conference game.
Playing in the bubble means away from home for these teams where Boston is 21-13 SU this year and Miami comes in at 15-20 SU away from home.
Boston is 4-0 ATS last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points. Miami is 1-6 ATS last 7 games as an underdog.
We’ll recommend a small play on Boston tonight!
So far in the bubble in Orlando we have seen some really high scores. Because of that the totals are being bet up to astronomically high numbers. Yesterday four of the six games went under, and by a large margin.
The Celtics will face rivals Miami on Tuesday, and Miami (#4)trails Boston (#3) by just 2.5 games in the standings. These teams met twice already this season, and both meetings came up well short of 220 points.
Not once in the last 10 meetings between these teams have bookmakers listed a total as high as 220 points. In fact nine of the last 10 times these teams have faced each other the total was lower than 215 points.
Miami is allowing an average of 108 points per game this season, and they gave up 107 points in a loss to Toronto in their last game. Boston is allowing an average of 107 points per game, ranking #3 in the NBA in that category.
Key Angle: It’s important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn’t share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
– The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
– The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite.
– The under is 4-1 in the Rockets last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
The verdict: This number is simply far too inflated.
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