Free NFL Picks

Once again, this preseason, I was one of the TOP NFLX cappers on the planet. Join me this Sunday as we kick off the regular season and WIN BIG in the NFL: HIGH ROLLER, NO LIMIT, & TOUCHDOWN plays. Join me & BEAT THE BOOKS on Sunday.

Baltimore Ravens.

Game 479.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

According to preseason predictions, two of the three AFC top-touted teams will face each other this Sunday night. Along with the Kansas City Chiefs, the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills are expected to be the three best teams in the AFC. We all know what happened the last time Baltimore and Buffalo met. This past January the Bills eked out a 27-25 victory over the Ravens in the divisional playoffs, only to lose in the Conference title game once again to the Kansas City Chiefs. Having said that, the Ravens did take a late-September home victory over the Bills, a convincing victory, 35-10. But that was last season, and this is this season. There's a lot of talk about Baltimore's “new-look” defense. We all know they had the top offense in the league last year, averaging over 424.9 yards per game. Lamar Jackson accounted for five touchdowns, and 120 rushing yards in the two games against the Bills last season. I feel he's in for a huge game, both in the air, and on the ground here in this matchup. In the air, he goes up against a very suspect, and banged up Buffalo secondary, while on the ground, let's face it Lamar Jackson legs are tough enough… throw into the mix all-universe ball-carrier Derrick Henry, and you have a true rushing attack. I look for the Ravens to exact some revenge from January's playoff loss. I also look for their offense to absolutely light up the scoreboard here. The only reason why Buffalo is favored is because they are at home. Ravens get us all paid Sunday night, folks.

Sunday Card Rob has his 25-1 Opening Week Play of the year a Red Zone top product line play, Sunday night Football and 2 more best best along with MLB September Specific Systems. NFL Comp play below

The NFL Comp play is on New Orleans plus the 6 points today. Week 1 home dogs of at least 6 with a total of 37 or higher have covered 7 of 9 times since 1997. The Home team has covered 8 of 10 between these two and Arizona has failed to cover 5 of 6 as a road favorite. The Saints have a new coach and are at home taking points. Expect a good game here with the home team emerging with a nice cover. GL Rob V-

ATS:7-2

Aug 31, 1997-Sun11997BuccaneersFortyninershome0-30-33-010-013-66.537.5713.5-18.5-2.5-16.0WWU0

Sep 06, 1998-Sun11998BearsJaguarshome3-010-70-710-1023-2410.042.0-19.05.07.0-2.0LWO0

Sep 10, 200601:04Sun12006LionsSeahawkshome3-00-60-03-36-96.545.0-33.5-30.0-13.25-16.75LWU0

Sep 09, 201201:03Sun12012BrownsEagleshome3-00-103-010-716-178.542.0-17.5-9.0-0.75-8.25LWU0

Sep 10, 201701:00Sun12017BearsFalconshome0-310-70-37-1017-236.548.0-60.5-8.0-3.75-4.25LWU0

Sep 08, 201901:00Sun12019DolphinsRavenshome0-2110-210-100-710-597.041.0-49-42.028.0-7.035.0LLO0

Sep 12, 202101:00Sun12021LionsFortyninershome0-710-247-716-333-419.546.0-81.528.014.7513.25LWO0

Sep 11, 202201:00Sun12022JetsRavenshome0-33-70-146-09-246.544.5-15-8.5-11.5-10.0-1.5LLU0

Sep 12, 202208:20Mon12022SeahawksBroncoshome7-310-100-00-317-166.543.517.5-10.5-1.5-9.0WWU0

Sep 07, 202501:00Sun12025SaintsCardinalshome-----6.5  43.5

NFL FREE PICK

The Tennessee Titans were the worst team in the NFL last season but bring an improved defense and number one overall draft pick Cam Ward at quarterback, injecting new life into the team.

Sure, the rookie QB could find it difficult, but I also expect regression for Denver's second-year QB Bo Bix after an impressive rookie campaign.

With so many unknowns in Week 1, a 9-point spread feels too big. Denver’s last season wasn’t as strong as it appears on paper, making this a smart spot to back Tennessee as a solid underdog.

3% FREE PICK ON THE TITANS. 

Giants vs Commanders
5-Unit bet on the Giants priced as 6.5-point dogs.

Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 3.5 units on the Giants preflop (prior to the kickoff) and then look to add 1.5 units if the Commanders score first or they retake the lead during the first half of action. Betting in the second half has an increasing limitation of time remaining in order for that bet to win. You essentially need to be correct nearly immediately when making any 2nd half bet so be cautious whenever thinking of that strategy this season.

In each of the past four Circa Survivors and any survivor contest the most popular team choices to win in Week 1 have lost and by week 4 about 88% of the entries have been eliminated. This game has the potential to be the largest selected choice on the board for any survivor contest. The betting sentiment is largely positive for the Commanders and highly negative for the Giants based on their recent seasons. The fact that this game is only 6.5 points had me scratching my head from the opening. Of the tickets bet on this game, 55% of them are on the Commanders and accounts for a whopping 61% of the handle and the line has not moved from the opening price. In fact, there are some books that have moved their lines to 6 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 25-30 SU record and a 38-14-3 ATS record good for 73% winning bets since 2014. The required criteria are:

ü  Bet on road dogs priced between 3 and 6.5 points.

ü  The game occurs in the first three weeks of the regular season.

ü  That team struggled on defense allowing 5.7 or more yards per play in their previous season.

Now, sit down and read this fact. If the game has a total of more than 45 points, this system has gone an amazing 14-18 SU and 23-7-2 ATS good for a highly profitable 77% winning bets since 2014.

P-Value Calculation for the NFL Betting System
The P-Value measures the probability of observing the system's winning record (or better) under the null hypothesis that it's no better than random chance. For ATS betting, we test against two nulls: 

We use a one-tailed binomial test (alternative='greater'), assuming independent bets (a common but debated assumption in sports betting due to potential correlations). Pushes (2) are excluded, focusing on decisions (wins + losses). Data: Overall, 39 wins / 53 trials (73.58%); Divisional 12 wins / 15 trials (80%).

Results

Metric

Wins/Trials

Win %

P-Value vs. 0.5

P-Value vs. 0.5238

Overall ATS (since 2014)

39/53

73.58%

0.000401 (highly significant)

0.001304 (highly significant)

Divisional ATS (since 2014)

12/15

80%

0.017578 (significant)

0.027176 (significant)

Interpretation: Both are statistically significant (P < 0.05), meaning the results are unlikely due to luck alone—even against the tougher breakeven threshold. The overall system's low P-Value strongly rejects the null, supporting its profitability claims (e.g., consistent wins over 11 seasons, 8 bets lined up for 2025 Weeks 1-3).

Chip’s ‘Guaranteed’ FAB-5 of NFL Best Bets

Chip Chirimbes, the Las Vegas Hilton and Stardust Champion has added two more College Football handicapping titles to his resume, winning both the 2024 Las Vegas South Point Bowl Challenge and the Las Vegas Review-Journal NCAA regular season title. Chip Highest-Rated NCAAF Megabucks closed the 2024-24 season a ‘Documented’ 17-4 81% going 7-2 78% with Game of the Year. Don’t miss Chip’s FAB-5 of ‘Guaranteed’ NFL best bet winners. Receive Chip’s Highest-Rated Megabucks winner between Indianapolis and Miami, his Top-Rated Vegas Hotline winner between Tampa Bay and Atlanta, his Power Play between San Francisco and Seattle, his Key release between Carolina and Jacksonville and his Money Game winner between the New York Giants and Washington Receive. Chip’s ‘Guaranteed’ FAB-5 to turn a profit NFL best bets! Only $99!

Chip’s FREE NFL Best Bet winner

Cincinnati at Cleveland 1:00 ET

Browns (+) over Bengals - Why too many questions surrounding this Cleveland team and Cincinnati just has one terrible off season after another. Sweat it out with the BROWNS!

PSP Data Driven 1* Under.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the under. The Under is 6-4 in the Seahawks last 10 games. The Under is 4-1 in the Seahawks last 5 home games.

Bengals QB Joe Burrows won  both meetings with the Browns last season recording five touchdowns and no interceptions. I know the Bengals have lost their L/3 opening season tilts, but Cleveland also has a less than stellar reputation for winning their first game of the season as their 3-21-1 record  in openers since 1999 would indicate. 

Bottom line here is Im betting on Joe Burrows to be the difference maker in a game that has a high potential of being decided by a TD. 

The Bengals are   17-1 SUATS  as a road favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2015 and overall are a bankroll expansing  56-31 ATS   in road/neutral games dating back 10 seasons with Cincinnati HC Zac Taylor having recorded a  20-5 SU / 18-5 ATS record as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2022. 

Play on the Cincinnati  Bengals