Free NHL Hockey Picks

PSP Data Driven 1* Flames +1.5

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Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. The Ducks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. The Flames are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings.

The Jets had won three in a row, including a major upset of the Avalanche last Wednesday. Winnipeg then lost, 5-1, at home to the Ducks in an obvious letdown spot this past Friday.

Winnipeg has not played since.

Minnesota finds itself in a major scheduling disadvantage here. This marks the Wild's fifth game in eight days and second in two days after beating the Golden Knights, 4-2, at home last night. The Wild are thin at forward after losing Nico Sturm to injury in that game.

Jesper Wallstedt has been in net for all six of Minnesota's games. He is playing well with a 1.82 goals against average and .933 save percentage.

But for the first time this season, the Wild are going to be starting 34-year-old journeyman backup goalie Calvin Pickard. He had a 3.68 GAA and .871 save percentage last season. It is a significant drop-off from Wallstedt to Pickard.

Stuart Skinner has been confirmed as Winnipeg's goalie. Skinner runs hot and cold. Right now he is playing well with victories in his last two games, stopping 70 of 74 shots during this span for a save percentage of .945.

Given the spot and goalie edge, I find the home Jets worth taking at this price.

My selection is on San Jose over Boston at 11:05 pm et on Tuesday.

I really like the way this spot sets up for the Sharks as they look to rebound following Saturday's 3-1 loss on home ice against the Oilers. That was Macklin Celebrini's first game back after missing a pair of games due to injury and turned out to be a sluggish matinee affair. I expect to see a lot more energy from San Jose on Tuesday as it hosts a Bruins team that is coming off back-to-back blowout wins over the Mammoth and Flyers, scoring a whopping 11 goals in the process. Boston is 4-2 overall but just 1-1 on the road with its lone victory coming by way of overtime. The Sharks have taken three straight meetings in this series and I look for them to make it four on Tuesday. Take San Jose.

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Blues v Senators NHL Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Ottawa Senators are on the second night of a back-to-back, and I think the market is giving the tired-legs angle too much weight. Ottawa just went into New Jersey and handled the Devils 4-1, and coming back to the Canadian Tire Centre should more than make up for the short turnaround.

The St. Louis Blues have dropped three straight, most recently a 3-2 overtime loss to San Jose, and even that record is flattering. St. Louis has scored above its expected baseline, which tells me the offense has been running on finishing luck that won’t last. When the shooting regresses, a team that’s already allowing 3+ goals per game doesn’t have much to fall back on. I’ll back the better, more structured club at home, even on no rest.

The Bet: Senators ML (3%). 

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