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Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Rockies/Giants OVER 7

The Key: This is a pretty low total for these 2 starting pitchers tonight.  Kyle Freeland is 0-4 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 6 starts this year.  Justin Verlander is 0-2 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 6 starts this year.  The Giants have gone 19-12 OVER in all games this year thanks to an improved offense that is putting up 4.6 RPG.  Freeland yielded 6 ER in 4 innings of an 11-4 loss to the Giants in his last start against them, which came in San Francisco.  Verlander yielded 6 ER in 5 innings in his last start against the Rockies.  Take the OVER.

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(#958) Philadelphia Phillies // MONEYLINE //. 

Brad Lord (0-3, 4.67 ERA) vs. Taijuan Walker (1-2, 2.78 ERA) . 

While the Nationals have failed to capitalize in either of the first two games of this series, I don't believe that they will have much success in the final game of the series as well. Brad Lord gets the nod and he's yet to record a win in his rookie campaign. Yes, it's difficult to win with a young team in behind you. But, it doesn't help that he's allowing so many baserunners. Lord has yet to go more than four and a third of an inning and the Phillies have eaten Washington's bullpen alive so far this season. On the other hand, Taijuan Walker actually has great stats despite his losing record. I believe that he'll get his record back to .500 this evening when the Phillies complete the three-game sweep. They have the much better lineup and will be dangerous against Lord who already faced PHI this season and failed to get a single out. Give me PHI. 

Score Prediction: 6-2 Phillies.

Thursday's MLB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Los Angeles Angels +106

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Nationals/Phillies OVER 10

Two starting pitchers I'm looking to fade go tonight in Game 4 of this series between the Nationals and Phillies, who also happen to have the two worst bullpens in baseball to this point.  Brad Lord is 0-3 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in four starts for the Nationals this season.  Taijuan Walker went 3-7 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in 15 starts for the Phillies last season.  He has a 2.78 ERA in five starts this season, but he's clearly due some regression as he has been fortunate not to allow more earned runs with a 1.37 WHIP and putting a lot of runners on base.  Give me the OVER.

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