Free MLB Baseball Picks

PSP Data Driven 1* Rays.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Washington. Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.

Free Play on Braves +185

MLB FREE PICK

Marlins righty Eury Perez has a 4.05 ERA over five starts in August after a strong July (1.29 ERA), but has looked sharper in his last two outings.

The Mets will debut top pitching prospect Jonah Tong, who has dominated the minors this year with a 1.43 ERA, 179 strikeouts in 113+ innings, and leads all minor league pitchers in strikeouts. Known as the "Canadian Cannon," Tong's elite strikeout ability and recent dominance suggest he will challenge Miami’s lineup effectively.

This pitching matchup supports taking the under in the game.

3% FREE PICK ON THE UNDER. 

Mike is coming into Friday riding a 6-2 (75%) RUN with his MLB premium picks, and he's on a 10-3 (77%) CFB RUN dating back to last season! This 3-pack will give you access to 2 CFB and 1 MLB for Friday. 

Washington +129

The Nationals are worth a free move here. They’re at plus money against a Rays team that just has been too inconsistent to trust. Offensively they’ve struggled at times and the pitching has been a huge question mark. Adrian Houser has struggled lately and is off a start where the Cards got him for 4 runs. Washington’s young core is playing well and this is a great price in them. Back the Nats. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the NATS tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 5* FREE MLB ML Play

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Ricky's 1* play on CHC.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Chicago Cubs is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games against Colorado.

- Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.

- Chicago Cubs is 6-4 in their last 10 games.

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Padres/Twins OVER 8.5

The Minnesota Twins have been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch.  They have gone 8-2-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 games.  The Padres are raking right now scoring at least 5 runs in six of their last nine games overall.  This total of 8.5 is too short tonight.

The Padres are capable of covering this total on their own against Zebby Matthews, who is 4-8 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 20 starts over the last two seasons.  Matthews is 3-4 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has allowed 5 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts.

Nestor Cortes is working his way back from injury and has been on a pitch count for the Padres with 81 or fewer pitches in three of his four starts since returning.  The Twins should be productive enough against him to contribute to us cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

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1* MLB - Tigers/Royals FREE PICK on Royals -116

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Tigers/Royals OVER 9

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the OVER 9 between the Tigers and Royals tonight.  The Tigers have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 8 of their last 11 games.  The Royals have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 6 of their last 8 games.  Chris Paddack is 5-11 with a 4.98 ERA in 26 starts this year, and 2-6 with a 5.67 ERA in 14 road starts.  Seth Lugo has yielded 21 ER and 8 HR in 18 2/3 innings in his last 4 starts as he clearly isn't right.  Lugo has yielded 10 ER and 4 HR in 7 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Tigers this year.  Take the OVER.

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Braves vs Phillies
5-Unit bet on the Phillies priced as a 185 favorite.
6:45 EST

The following MLB betting algorithm has compiled a 44-20 record good for 69% winning bets that have averaged a 130 favorite bet resulting in a highly profitable 23% ROI and a $18,880 profit for the Dime Bettor and a $945 profit for the casual fan betting $50 per game since 2004. The required criteria are:

ü  Bet on home teams after the all-star break.

ü  That home team is coming off a game getting 20 or more hits.

ü  They scored 10 or more runs in that previous game.

I like the parlay for no more than 3 units betting Phillies using the -1.5 run line and the OVER.

1* Free Pick on A's -130

T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers.

I think the Brewers offer tremendous value to upset what I believe to be an overpriced Toronto side. Shane Bieber is great, but I don't have "Bieber-Fever" quite yet, as the sample size is still way too small to draw any firm conclusions about his performance this season. What I can say though is that Brewers' scheduled starter Freddy Peralta (15-5, 2.68 ERA) has been a consistent bright spot for Milwaukee all year and he clearly comes in "battle tested." Great value on a great pitcher and a red-hot team; consider the Brewers!

T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Milwaukee.

1* Free Play on Guardians +145

Friday's MLB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Dodgers -1.5 (+110) 

Free Total Annihilator On Marlins vs Mets under 8 -110

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Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

Both of these teams enter this series performing well at the plate but I look for a pitcher's duel on Friday. 

Freddy Peralta will get the start for Milwaukee. Consistently one of baseball's most under-appreciated starters (he's never earned a Cy Young Award vote in his eight-year big league career), the right-hander owns a 3.68 FIP and 1.10 WHIP to go along with a 15-5 record this season. He enters in tremendous form. Peralta hasn't allowed an earned run over his last three starts, yielding just six hits in 17 innings of work.

Shane Bieber will make his second start since returning from injury for the Blue Jays. His first outing was a good one as he logged six innings, needing only 87 pitches while allowing one earned run on just two hits. He struck out nine and didn't walk a single batter (he did have one hit-by-pitch). 

While Toronto's struggling bullpen is a concern, the good news is it should have 'all hands on deck' following an off day on Thursday. I believe this total will prove too high in a game that should have a 'playoff-like atmosphere' between two of the best teams in baseball. Take the under.