Free Sports Picks of the Day

1* Free Pick on Falcons/Steelers over 41½

(#469) New Orleans Saints @ (#470) Detroit Lions | OVER | . 

New Orleans has been hyped up a bit this offseason. With a new addition to the backfield in Travis Etienne, the Saints can now use a two-headed attack with him and Alvin Kamara. Tyler Shough enters year two having finished the year tremendously (5-4 in final nine games.) Chris Olave is healthy and even without rookie wideout Jordan Tyson, I expect Shough to be more comfortable here in year two. 

Detroit's offense speaks for itself. It was a down year for the whole squad a year ago. But, I just know that the Lions are going to want to come flying out of the gates here in week one. Detroit scored 28.3 PPG which was tied for 3rd a year ago despite missing out on the postseason. I wouldn't be shocked if that number increases here in 2026-27. Give me the "over."

Burns' Prediction: 34-26 Lions.

The same elite league-wide UNDER system that has produced 308-161 UNDERS — 65.7%, +130.9 units and a 25.4% ROI also identifies Air Force–North Dakota State. It’s an extra enhanced angle about teams off dominant rushing games are big unders.

Both sides bring run-oriented elements that can keep the clock moving, and the market remains clustered around the upper 40s, with 47.5 widely available and some markets posting even higher UNDER numbers. 

The system is outstanding, but without the same level of personnel, market and sharp corroboration as the Wise Guys, this stays a free play.

UNDER 47.5; anything 48.5 or higher is preferable.

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 9/12:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday is with the Utah Utes minus the points versus the Arkansas Razorbacks. Utah (1-0) kicked off their season with a 66-14 victory against Idaho as a 37.5-point favorite last Saturday. The Utes have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams outside the Big 12. They have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home. Arkansas (1-0) began their season with a 31-14 win against North Alabama as a 40.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Razorbacks have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games when playing with six days or less of rest. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games against FBS opponents. Take Utah minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports’ 7 of 8 (88%) All-Sports run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays continued by DELIVERING their 25* MLB AL West Total of the Year with the Seattle-Athletics Over last night!  Frank is on a 5-0 football run this week — including CA$HING his 25* CFB ACC Total of the Month with the SMU-FSU Under on Monday to improve his 22 of 35 (63%) College Football run with featured plays in the regular season — and now he furthers his 35 of 56 (63%) CFB featured plays run in the regular season with a 25* CFB Conference Game of the Month for Saturday! DO NOT MISS OUT!

Frank has been featured here at Sportscapping.com since 2016. More substance, less hype. Evidence, not vibes. Careful. Thorough. Genuine. His reports document his professionalism.

Lions -7

Locking this in early. Analysis to follow.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

50-36 NFL sides run! 410-351 54% +2337 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 5× Play Week 1 NFL Card going up, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

1* Free Pick on Colts +3½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Air Force +2

The Key: North Dakota State jumped up to the FBS this season.  The Bison have opened 2-0 with a pair of home wins over cupcakes in Jacksonville State and FCS Fordham.  This is where they get their 'welcome to the FBS' moment.  They will be playing their 3rd game already which is only because they played in Week 0.  And the Bison have to travel for the first time to Air Force, which will have a big home-field advantage in this one.  This is an Air Force team that returned 12 starts and should have one of the most improved defenses in the nation.  They also return QB Liam Szarka, who threw for 1,294 yards and 9 TD while also rushing for 922 yards and 13 TD last season.  They return their top RB in Owen Allen who rushed for 750 yards and 5 TD.  Air Force rushed for 431 yards in a 34-0 win over Duquesne.  The Falcons held the Dukes to 107 yards and 2.5 per play.  NDSU isn't ready to face the triple-option especially with no extra time to prepare for it.  Take Air Force.

**5X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2011, the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2009 and the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2008! He had his best season to date finishing as the #2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2020!He also finished as the #4 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2024 two seasons ago! He is also on a 151-111 Run on NCAAF 7* Top Plays as well as a 22-11 NCAAF Run since last year! He is on a 16-6 Run L4 Days in all sports! Give your book the beating it deserves this weekend and hop on board for Dave's Saturday NCAA Football 13-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* AAC Game of the Month along with twelve 6* picks for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get his next day of NCAA Football picks for FREE!

Sunday card has the 100% Opening Week NFL Play of the Year Tonight along with a TOP RED ZONE Release, The NFL TOP Level Unsurpassed Totals play and Sept specific MLB systems. Saturday TOP --- More Damage today NFL Comp Play below.

The NFL Comp play for Sunday is on the NY. Jets plus the point or two at 1 eastern. The Jets take on former coach Robert Saleh here on the road and while he may want some revenge for getting canned, it likely wont happen here today. Rob notes that game 1 road teams that won 4 or less last year are 4-0 straight up since 1993 vs an opponent like Tennessee that won 3 or less last year and the total in this game is less than 43. Look for NY to get this one and see our Teams wins Preview for the Jets below. GL Rob V-

The 2026 NY. Jets Team Preview and Totals Wins Prediction- OVER 5.5 WINS
The Most notable addition is bringing back former Jet Quarterback Geno Smith. While he is not the ideal guy for this team which is on the younger side, Geno can Sling it and while he may wind up throwing as many picks as Touchdowns the Jets should find the end zone more often and move the ball. They have an Improving offensive line and are bringing back starting Running back Breece Hall and star Wide out Garrett Wilson who appears healthy after an injury that saw him miss most of the season last year. The Jets also drafted the ultra athletic Tight end Kenyon Sadiq who can lineup in the slot and get down field and give the Jets a whole different look. Sadiq should be ready for opening day despite an early injury They also drafted a solid Wide out in Omar Cooper who will be a big threat both deep and on the tertiary routes. On Defense the Jets added perhaps the best player in the draft in David Bailey who is a solid edge rusher and has a high motor. He should make an immediate impact along with a solid free agent signing in Tvondre Sweat who will stabilize the defensive line. The Jets brough back Demario Davis as well as Star Safety Minkah Fitzpatrick and Jarvis Brownlee the the defensive backfield. This defense should be much better than expected and with the Jets having a decent offense they should not be out on the field all day like years past. The Jets will likely go Over the 5.5 win total this year as they have made several changes and should benefit from playing the 5th easiest schedule this year. Last season they were last in creating turnovers and with the defensive upgrades this season they will be far better off this season. Finally, The Patriots will likely regress a bit off the big bounce back season and Miami is not expected to be very good this year, so the Jets may get some rare divisional wins, even at 2-4 in divisional play they could get 6+ wins. While we wont go as far as a Playoff spot the Jets could get 7+ wins this season. Gl this season Rob Vinciletti

I SWEPT THE BOARD on Friday, will do the same on Saturday, and Sunday WE CRUSH THE BOOKS AGAIN with a HUGE MONEYMAKING NFL CARD: my 1st TOUCHDOWN PLAY of the regular season, my NFC EAST MONEYMAKER, and my legendary SUNDAY NIGHT LATE BAILOUT. Get all 3 winners, win big, and join me as we once again SWEEP THE BOARD.

Houston Texans.

Game 464.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

You know, folks, there is no debating the success of Josh Allen with the Buffalo Bills. However, in my opinion, he is not a money player. Let’s face it. They’ve made the playoffs with Allen at helm seven consecutive years. But yet still no ring. I will say this, when I first looked at this game, I was the Bills all the way. However, after looking more closely, I can’t see a reason why I wouldn’t play the home team Texans as an underdog. Even before the Texans got really good, they had their way with Buffalo. That’s right, they’ve taken seven of the last nine meetings straight up, going 6-3 against the spread. This includes wins and covers in the two most recent matchups between these two Conference rivals. If you recall a season ago, Houston rattled off nine consecutive wins to end their regular season, then took down Pittsburgh in a Wildcard only to be on the wrong side of Division playoff game against New England. Their defense is ferocious. One thing Josh Allen has trouble with is aggressive defenses. While, I think the Bills are a very good team, Ryans has experience and savvy under his belt, certainly better equipped here than new Buffalo head coach Brady. In my opinion, making a team with a superior defense an underdog at home in the first game of the regular season, is a mistake. Take the Houston Texans. Thank you.

Sunday night, MetLife, Week 1. Dallas at the Giants. This is not a mystery logo. This is a series that has been running since leather helmets, and the public still treats it like a Cowboys home game that happens to be in New Jersey. Somebody is laying a number. Somebody is getting it. The ticket is the hook, not the moneyline poster.

Dallas has owned the long ledger. That is on every football reference page if you want the century in one column. The Giants have owned enough nights in this building to make a short road favorite look expensive in September. You do not need an upset graphic. You need a one-score game. A 24–20 Cowboys night cashes the points. A 23–20 Giants night is the gift. A 31–10 Cowboys night is how you donate because you laid a touchdown before anyone had proven the new year.

Week 1 Sunday night does this. The national window wants the star. The building wants noise. Those two things do not always live on the same side of the spread. Last year’s tape in this rivalry has gone both ways. The all-time column still leans Dallas. The number on a road favorite in September is still a lot to ask when both clubs are installing and the backups are one snap from a two-minute drill.

You are not picking the Giants to run the East. You are buying a one-score MetLife night. Confirm the number is still a field goal to a touchdown. Then take the points. Let the public smash the road favorite because the star travels. That is how plus-3.5 gets to the window looking like value.

Bet the home dog of 3 to 7 in Cowboys-Giants games in Week 1 or 2.

That spot since 2018: 7-3 (70.0%) with an average spread of +4.6. (+3.6 units, ROI=32.7%)

Bet against a road favorite of 3 to 6.5 on Sunday Night Football in Week 1.

That spot since 2022: 9-5 (64.3%) with an average spread of -4.2. (+3.5 units, ROI=22.6%)

Bet the underdog in NFC East openers posted inside a touchdown.

That spot since 2023: 11-7 (61.1%) with an average spread of +4.1. (+3.2 units, ROI=16.2%)

Bet Giants plus the number at home when Dallas is a road favorite of 3 to 7.

That spot since 2019: 6-3 (66.7%) with an average spread of +4.8. (+2.6 units, ROI=26.3%)

Enjoy the window. Bet the points. Let the first quarter of the year show up before the chalk does.

( Ive down graded this play based on most books stealing back the hook) 

My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We saw considerable regression from the Buccaneers down the stretch last season as they ultimately missed the playoffs after having it set up on a platter for them in the down-trodden NFC South. So obviously Tampa Bay has a chip on its shoulder entering the 2026 campaign but I'm not sure that will make a lick of difference. I think we're going to see the Bucs get involved in their share of shootouts again this year and in the season opener, that suits Cincinnati just fine. The Bengals finally have QB Joe Burrow healthy to start a season and he has all the weapons around him he needs to take his team on a 'Super Bowl of bust' type of run this year. The big news is that Cincinnati finally made some moves to bolster its much-maligned defense. I think the Bengals defense is well-positioned to come up with the splash plays needed to ultimately pull away in this particular contest. Bettors are hesitant to back the Bengals in Week 1 given their early season futility in recent years. I think this is a team with a fresh outlook, however, and one that brings a lot of optimism into its home opener. Take Cincinnati (8*).

Our selection is on the Boston Red Sox to defeat the Kansas City Royals on Sunday at 3:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Kansas City will start Noah Cameron -- His earned run average might be better on the road. But, his record is much more.

The Royals are a disappointing 18-33 as a road underdog this season.

Boston will start Payton Tolle -- He is turning into one of the top arms in baseball with the season he is having.

The Red Sox really improved when they were on their perfect winning streak. They are 57-43 against non-divisional opponents this season.

The play is on Boston.

AAA Sports

1% GOLD RUSH on Jets +1½

3* on Colts

1*

For one of my best free picks on Sunday I am looking at the Washington Commanders at the Philadelphia Eagles here on Sunday. I think we are getting a great value here getting more than a field goal with Washington. Over the years these teams no matter how good either one is play tight NFC East style games. I think Washington is under valued due to their poor season last year and the Eagles are over rated as usual and should see some decline this year. Look for a field goal win from the Eagles but it would shock me if we saw an upset here. 

Play on the Washington Commanders plus the points rotation #475

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