Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Twins under 9 -120

1* Free Pick on Astros/Angels under 10

Free Total Annihilator On Rangers vs Rays over 7½ -110

1* Bet on Golden State Valkyries/Mercury: over 155½

Free Play on Nationals +105

Ricky's 1* play on Under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Under is 4-2-1 in the Tigers last 7 games.

- The Under is 6-4 in the Orioles last 10 games.

- The Under is 4-1 in Trevor Rogers last 5 starts for the Orioles.

Verdict: Runs should be hard to come by in this game.

(#977) Cleveland Guardians | ML | . 

Joey Cantillo (8-6, 4.02 ERA) vs. Brady Singer (5-9, 4.53 ERA) . 

I get that Joey Cantillo hasn't had his best stuff in recent games. However, this should be a good matchup for him and the Guardians. Cleveland knows that every game is so important as we head into August. Despite the 1-3 record over their past four games, the Guards have allowed only 11 runs over those games. I expect Cantillo to show up here on Wednesday in a big time matchup with the series win on the line. 

Cincinnati has been underwhelming this season and it's continuing to fall further out of the playoff race. This game is quite big for the Reds too, as the deadline is within a week now. But, with a couple of losses over the next few games, the Reds could be sellers this weekend. Singer allowed five runs in 4.0 innings in a 10-3 loss against Cleveland earlier this season. I've got Cleveland here. 

Burns' Prediction: 6-2 Guardians.

Recommended Bet: MLS All-Stars +120

1* Free Pick on Braves -112

1* Free Play on Rays -130

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Royals/Twins UNDER 9

The Kansas City Royals have one of the worst offenses in baseball and it hasn't gotten any better due to injuries here of late.  They are without arguably their two best hitters in Bobby Witt Jr. and Maikel Garcia, and Vinnie Pasquantino is dealing with a hand injury suffered yesterday.  The Royals are scoring just 3.1 runs per game in their last nine games.

The Twins just lost their best hitter in Byron Buxton to yet another hip injury yesterday, leaving his status in doubt tonight.  The Twins have been held to 3 runs or fewer in seven of their last 10 games overall.

Joe Ryan is 3-3 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 11 home starts this season.  He has allowed just 21 earned runs and 5 homers in 59 1/3 innings with 73 K's at home in 2026.  Ryan held to the Royals to one earned run in 6 innings on June 6th in his last start against them.  He is 4-0 with a 1.73 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in six career home starts against Kansas City, allowing just 7 earned runs in 36 1/3 innings with 43 K's.

Randy Dobnak has been impressive in limited action this season for the Royals.  He has posted a 1.42 ERA in four games while allowing just 3 earned runs in 19 innings.  I expect him to hold the Twins in check enough to keep this total under the number.  And with the Twins such a big favorite, there's a very good chance they don't bat in the 9th inning.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

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1* Free Pick on Mets +143

Braves righty AJ Smith-Shawver takes the ball at Citi Field making his first MLB appearance since May 2025, coming back from Tommy John surgery.

The stat pack lists him at 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA because there's nothing recent to grade.

That's the whole story on this line.

Consensus has moved to around +105 on New York, and +143 is a leftover number from when this game was projected to be started by a frontline arm.

The opposition point is real.

The Mets are 45-62, they're missing Juan Soto and Mark Vientos, and Atlanta is 62-44 with a better lineup top to bottom.

I'm not arguing the Mets are the better team over 162.

I'm arguing they're the better team tonight at this price.

Sean Manaea has quietly been fine.

He held the Dodgers to 1 earned run over 6 innings on July 24, went 7 innings of 2-run ball against Kansas City on July 9, and his 4.45 xERA tracks his 4.52 ERA.

He's a stable lefty at home against a bullpen game in disguise.

That bullpen is the second edge.

Atlanta's pen has been leaking at a 5.98 xERA over the last 25 innings.

Smith-Shawver is on a short leash coming off rehab, which means Manaea likely gets the pitching matchup on the back half too.

At +105 this is a pass.

At +143 it's a clear overlay.

I like the Mets

1* MLB - Brewers/Giants FREE PICK on Giants +112

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:

1* on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 8

The Key: The Cubs and Cardinals are 4-1 OVER in their last 5 matchups with 10 or more combined runs in 4 of those contests.  Matt Boyd is 6-1 with a 3.81 ERA in 11 starts for the Cubs this year.  Boyd yielded 3 ER in 5 innings to the Cardinals in his last start against them.  Dustin May is 5-7 with a 4.59 ERA in 20 starts for the Cardinals this year.  May yielded 7 ER and 13 base runners in 5 innings of a 11-10 loss to the Cubs in his last start against them.  Take the OVER.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Rangers vs Rays under 8½ -128

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Boston Red Sox -144

The Red Sox are 18-3 in their last 21 games overall to put themselves in position to make the postseason.  The A's are 5-20 in their last 25 games overall to fall completely out of contention.  Patrick Sandoval is getting stronger with each start with a 3.21 ERA in three starts this season.  He will be making his 4th start tonight and should be close to full strength now.  Jacob Lopez is 5-4 with a 6.12 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 16 games this season with 13 starts.  Lopez is 0-3 with a 7.62 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in six home starts, giving up 22 earned runs in 26 innings.  Give me the Red Sox.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Royals vs Twins over 8½ +100

Wednesday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Yankees -138

AAA Sports' Selection: Boston Red Sox/Athletics (OVER).

Boston will start Patrick Sandoval. Over three starts in 2026, he's had a couple of good starts, while having trouble in the other. Sandoval didn't pitch at all last year, giving us a very small sample size of what to expect. This is one of the harder ballparks to pitch in though. The Athletics will start Jacob Lopez. His statistics aren't good this season and even off his best start of the year, he returns home where he's got a 7.62 earned run average this season. Go with the OVER.

FREE PLAY on Braves -107

3* on Braves

PSP Data Driven 1* Red Sox.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 games. The A's are 2-5 in their last 7 games.

For my best free pick on the board I am looking at the WNBA and the Phoenix Mercury hosting the Golden State Valkyries. Bettors will bet this game based on what they saw the first half of the season and really this Mercury team is much better than what we saw in that time span. Mercury went into the break on 2 straight wins. Golden State being hot winning 9 of their last 10 but missing the cover in the last 2. I say this is a one possession game and I love getting points here. 

Play on the Phoenix Mercury plus the points rotation #626

***DO NOT MISS MY WNBA GAME OF THE MONTH TITANIUM MY BEST BETS ARE ON A 6-0 RUN AND LONG TERM 178-129 58% LAST 306***

Our best advanced computer model has Chicago winning 55 percent of simulations. A +133 moneyline carries a break-even probability of only 42.92 percent, creating a massive 12.08-percentage-point cushion. The model’s 55-percent projection translates to fair odds of approximately -122, not +133, and produces an estimated 28.15-percent return per unit risked at the quoted price.

Yes, Cam Schlittler is having an outstanding season, but the marketplace is charging a premium for his 2.07 ERA and dominant recent outing. Chicago counters with Davis Martin, whose overall numbers undersell how well he has pitched at home: 5-1 with a 2.34 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and only one home run allowed over 50 innings. Martin has been one of Chicago’s most valuable starters this season and entered July among the American League leaders in pitching WAR. (CBS Sports)

The White Sox are also a legitimate home team, not a bottom-feeder merely catching an inflated price. They are 32-21 at home, average more runs per game than New York and remain in first place in the AL Central. Tuesday’s 3-2 Yankees victory was hardly domination: Chicago brought the tying run to the plate in the ninth after mounting a late rally. (South Side Sox)

New York’s lineup is also operating without several major pieces. Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and Giancarlo Stanton are all sidelined, leaving the Yankees without much of their established middle-order power. Bellinger’s hamstring injury was expected to cost him four to six weeks, while Judge remained on the 60-day injured list. (Pinstripe Alley)

Chicago does not have to be the better team over 162 games. It only needs to win this matchup more than 42.92 percentof the time. Our simulations put that probability at 55 percent, Martin’s home performance gives the White Sox a credible pitching path, and the depleted Yankees lineup narrows the overall talent gap.

This is a classic price-driven wager: WHITE SOX