2020-21 NFL Week 9 matchup between Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California.
Thursday Night Football is scheduled to start at 8:20 PM ET and will be televised on Fox/NFL Network.
Below is current odds and all available free picks and best bets for tonight’s game released by our expert handicappers.
|8:20 PM ET||SIDE||O/U|
|Current Odds via Betanysports (Review)|
PICK – Green Bay Packers -7
It didn’t look like this game was going to get played after the 49ers shut down their facility on Wednesday. I don’t love Green Bay at this price, but given the circumstances I got to roll the dice here with Aaron Rodgers.
Situationally this is a great spot, as you like to back good teams off a loss, which is what we have with the Packers just getting upset at home by Minnesota. We already saw Green Bay excel in this spot after losing at home to the Bucs in Week 6. They won their next games 35-20 at Houston as a slim 3-point favorite.
There’s also big time motivation here for Green Bay. These two teams last met in last year’s AFC Championship Game. The Packers were embarrassed in that game. They trailed 34-7 going into the 4th quarter.
Also going back to that game last year, I think people tend to forget that while the Packers offense struggled to score early, Rodgers went 31 of 39 for 326 yards in that game.
I just feel this becomes a statement game for Green Bay and it could possibly be why they didn’t look their best last week.
If that’s the case and the Packers are treating this like a test they have to pass, this game shouldn’t be close. The 49ers have been decimated by injuries and were just hit hard with Covid.
San Francisco won’t have starting quarterback Jimmy G. Before we get to the rest. Note that the 49ers are 24-7 scoring 28.6 ppg with Garoppolo and 5-22 scoring 19.6 pgg without.
They also won’t have one of the best players in the game in tight end George Kittle. He’s not the only target out, as 5 receivers are out with injury or covid. The only healthy WR on the roster (will add some practice squad guys) is Trent Taylor, who has 9 catches for 17 yards this season.
They also don’t have 3 of their top RB’s with Coleman, Mostert and Wilson Jr. all sidelined. Plus they will be without starting left tackle Trent Williams.
I get the Packers have had their defensive setbacks at times. If they can’t stop this offense Thursday, defensive coordinator Mike Pettine needs to be without a job Friday morning. Give me the Packers -7!
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Thursday NFL Free play. My selection is on Green Bay minus the points over San Francisco at 8:20 pm et on Thursday.
I’m not going to overthink this one. The 49ers are a shell of their former selves, already ravaged by injuries before losing a number of players due to COVID-19 protocols on Wednesday. They’ll be hard-pressed to match the Packers here, noting that Green Bay will certainly be out for revenge after suffering two beatdowns at the hands of the Niners last season – including one in the NFC Championship Game. The Packers will also be in a foul mood due to last Sunday’s poor showing against the division-rival Vikings. I certainly don’t expect them to overlook the Niners – they simply can’t take anything for granted right now based on how they’ve performed lately. This is certainly a favorable matchup for Packers QB Aaron Rodgers as San Francisco has had no success at all getting to opposing quarterbacks this season and that isn’t likely to change given their MASH squad this week. I’m actually not all that high on the Packers offense in general, especially with RB Aaron Jones likely to miss another game, but there’s no denying this is a dream matchup given all of the Niners absences on the defensive side of the football. Take Green Bay (8*).
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The set-up: San Francisco has an above average pass defense, which Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have struggled against, but after losing both teams to the 49rs last year, I expect Green Bay to bounce back off a loss last weekend, to avenge those two setbacks from last season, and to take advantage of this once again severely depleted 49ers side. San Francisco had won two in a row, but it came up short in last week’s 37-27 loss in Seattle. The 49ers though lost the services of their two best players in the setback as well, as QB Jimmy Garoppolo and dynamic playmaking TE George Kittle are both now out with injury for several weeks.
The pick: Very much a common sense play here. Green Bay has all the motivation it needs to win this game, while all signs point to massive regression from this San Francisco team that continues to deal with adversity. Consider laying the points.
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Injuries and COVID are the major storylines when the traveling Packers-49ers meet tonight. It’s never easy being the road team on Thursday night especially with a cluster injury/sickness situation at running back. The 49ers, though, are dealing with multiple injuries. This is a case of knowing the quality of backups, figuring out which schemes and strategies will be effective and determining how much line value is involved. There is a lot more than meets the eye here, more than in any other Thursday night matchup. So you need someone wired into the NFL and these two teams, which Stephen Nover is. The Wisconsin native covered the Packers during his Wisconsin sportswriting days and has the contacts, player knowledge and handicapping expertise vital to determining that there is a clear-cut right side in this game. Stack the odds in your favor by taking advantage!
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