Free Sports Picks of the Day

1* Free Pick on Cardinals +120

Ricky's 1* play on ARG.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Argentina are 10 -0 in their last 10 games.

- Argentina has scored 8 goal in their last 3 games.

- Argentina has conceded only 1 goal in their last 6 games.

Verdict: The value is on the favorite.

Free Play on Braves -105

Free Total Annihilator On Orioles vs Reds over 10½ -105

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Toronto Blue Jays -121

I like the spot for the Toronto Blue Jays tonight.  They have the rest advantage after having Thursday off, while the Mariners were completing their series with the Angels.  The Blue Jays also have a big advantage on the mound tonight.

Dylan Cease is 4-4 with a 3.02 ERA in 15 starts this season with a whopping 128 K's in 83 1/3 innings.  Cease has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts.  He is backed by a strong Toronto bullpen with a 3.74 ERA this season.

Luis Castillo is 3-6 with a 4.93 ERA in 13 starts and three relief appearances this season, including 1-2 with a 5.68 ERA in seven games at home.  Castillo is 2-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in his last five starts against the Blue Jays.  He has allowed 11 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the Blue Jays Friday.

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(#953) Pittsburgh Pirates @ (#954) Washington Nationals | OVER | . 

Mitch Keller (6-5, 4.87 ERA) vs. Foster Griffin (8-2, 2.93 ERA) . 

Last season at the deadline, I was a bit surprised that no team was willing to take a shot on Mitch Keller. He was a big name that was getting talked about. But a deal never took place. Still in Pittsburgh with an improved lineup, Keller isn't having the same success, ERA wise at least. It's been a rocky season and it could get even worse today. 

On the other hand, I understand that Foster Griffin has been fantastic. However, I do believe that he is hittable. Pittsburgh's hot offensively as it's scored 39 runs over its past six games. Don't expect Griffin to have the same success that he had in June here in July. Give me the "over." 

Burns' Prediction: 8-5 Nationals.

1* Free Pick on Cubs -124

The oddsmaker must think Tom Seaver is pitching for the Mets judging by this tossup line against the Braves on the road. A reminder that Atlanta is 50-35 while the Mets are 36-51.

Too much respect is being given to New York starter Christian Scott. He has a 3.20 ERA, but he had been out a couple of weeks because of a hip impingement. Scott returned this past Saturday to start against Philadelphia. He threw 4 1/3 innings and gave up two runs on three hits.

Atlanta ranks in the top 10 in runs scored. The underachieving Mets rank in the bottom three in runs, batting average and OPS.

So this is not a high bar for Braves starter Grant Holmes to clear. He has a 3.96 ERA. Holmes also pitched this past Saturday. He allowed one hit in four scoreless relief innings against the Giants.

Holmes hasn't been going deep into games. That's fine, though, since the Braves have the lowest bullpen ERA in the majors at 2.92. Atlanta just posted a 2.14 bullpen ERA during June.

The line could be lower than what I perceive because the Braves have hit a rough patch going 5-14 in their last 19 games.

However, the Mets have been even worse lately losing 10 of their past 12 games. They have been by far the biggest money losers in baseball this season.

Hard to go wrong fading the Mets this season and I will do it here. 

1* Free Play on Diamondbacks +134

OVER 9.5

Locking this in early. New York and Minnesota have value to the over. New York sends out Gerrit Cole, who has been a struggle returning from the IL. He allowed 4 runs last time out, which came after a 5 run performance in his previous start. Mike Paredes counters and he has struggled to find consistency himself. He allowed 8 hits last timeout and this is going to be a tough spot for him against a good Yankees lineup. Expect plenty of run scoring chances both ways. Back the over. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Friday FREE MLB O/U Play

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1* Free Pick on Liberty +120

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* MLB - Twins/Yankees FREE PICK on Twins +163

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Minnesota Twins +163

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Minnesota Twins tonight as big road underdogs to the New York Yankees.  While the Twins have a great lineup scoring 4.9 RPG this year, the Yankees are going through their worst offensive stretch of the season due to all their injuries.  The Yankees are 0-7 in their last 7 games overall while being held to 3 runs or fewer in 6 of those 7 loss.  They have been held to 4 hits or fewer in 5 of them as well.  They have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 12 consecutive games.  Michael Paredes has a 4.26 ERA and 1.26 WHIP on the season and a 3.31 ERA on the road.  Gerrit Cole is 1-3 with a 6.12 ERA in his last 5 starts yielding 17 ER and 7 HR in 25 innings.  Take Minnesota.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Marlins vs A's over 10½ -105

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Baltimore Orioles -117

With the Orioles having the rest advantage and the starting pitching advantage in this game I'll side with them as short road favorites.  The Reds will be playing for an 8th consecutive day after completing a 4-game series with the Brewers yesterday.  The Orioles had Thursday off.  Trevor Rogers has been dominant in his last five starts with a 2.05 ERA giving up only 7 earned runs in 30 2/3 innings.  Brady Singer is 3-7 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 16 starts for the Reds this season.  Singer is 0-2 with a 15.64 ERA in two previous starts against the Orioles while giving up 11 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings.  The Reds have a 4.86 ERA as a bullpen this season as well.  Give me the Orioles.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Friday 7-3-26

Boston @ LA Angels  (9:35 PM EST)
Play On:  LA Angels -107

The Boston Red Sox take on the Angels in Los Angeles on Friday night.  Boston is 38-48 SU overall this year while the Angels come in with a 36-52 SU overall record on the season.  The Angels are 17-11 at home against American League opponents this year.  The Angels are 4-1 last 5 home games.  The Angels are 5-1 last 6 meetings overall in this series.  The Angels are 8-2 last 10 games at home vs Boston.  I'll recommend a small play on the LA Angels tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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 Jim Feist’s Free Play of the Day has the Houston Astros beating the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday night. Tampa Bay has been hot, stringing together eight-straight wins. However, they always seem to find these against division opponents and this feels like a classic value spot against the streak. Tampa Bay will start Nick Martinez who owns a 7-2 record and a 2.66 ERA. Houston will send Spencer Arrighetti to the hill and he is coming in at 7-4 with a 4.00 ERA, 75 strikeouts and 72 innings pitched. He also has better swing-and-miss upside than Martinez. 

Houston just has to have one power-fueled inning at home. Yordan Alvarez is hitting .319 with 26 home runs and 60 RBI. Look for the Astros bats to overcome the odds and cash this game with one big inning. Arrighetti has been all over the place, but if he keeps the walks down he has the strikeouts to keep Tampa’ speed and contact attack at bay. The Rays are also coming off a sweep on the road against Baltimore so take Houston to win here and cash Jim Feist’ Friday Free Play.

Jim's Free Play: 968. Houston Astros

Friday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Dbacks +133

If you're hunting for a spot where the numbers line up and the environment practically begs you to take the over, Friday night's Giants-Rockies matchup in Denver is calling your name. I've spent way too many evenings digging through park-adjusted data and historical splits at Coors Field, and this one keeps jumping out. Baseball in the thin air has a way of turning pitchers' duels into track meets, and the current trends, pitcher profiles, and raw run environments point squarely toward a higher-scoring night.

Coors Field has been a totals playground for years. Across recent seasons, the average combined run total in games played there hovers right around 11.2 to 11.8 runs per contest, depending on the exact sample. That's not random. It's driven by a consistent park factor that boosts offense by roughly 15 to 20 percent once you account for altitude effects on ball flight and carry. Simple math bears this out. Take a neutral-site baseline of about nine runs per game league-wide and multiply by the Coors adjustment, historically around 1.18 to 1.22 for total runs, and you land in double-digit territory almost every time. In Rockies home games this season, the over has cleared typical 9.5 to 10.5 lines in more than 55 percent of contests, and that percentage climbs when the visiting starter isn't an extreme ground-ball machine who can completely neutralize the conditions.

Logan Webb enters with the kind of profile that usually keeps games manageable. He has posted a WHIP around 1.15 to 1.20 for much of the year, strong strikeout-to-walk ratios, and a ground-ball rate that helps in normal parks. But plug him into the Coors equation, and things change. Even elite command guys see their home-run rate and hard-hit numbers tick up here because fly balls that die elsewhere turn into extra-base hits or worse. Webb's season-long numbers look sharp, with low walks and solid contact management, yet his performance splits in high-altitude or hitter-friendly environments show more traffic on the bases. On the flip side, Ryan Feltner has been more vulnerable lately, with ERAs pushing 4.5 plus in several recent windows and opponents batting over .280 against him in stretches. Feltner's hittable tendencies plus the park create a recipe where contact finds gaps far more often than it should.

The team sides reinforce the picture. The Giants' road offense has generated scoring at a clip that, when combined with what the Rockies allow at home, pushes projected combined output north of 11 runs before the park boost. Here's a straightforward way to think about it. Expected Total approximately equals (Giants Road RS per game plus Rockies Home RA per game) times Coors Park Factor. Using season averages in the 4.8 to 5.6 range for those components and a conservative 1.18 multiplier, you quickly clear 11 runs as the central tendency. Add in the variance we see in Denver, where the standard deviation on totals often exceeds three runs, and the probability of pushing past 10 or 10.5 sits comfortably above break-even for the over side. Recent form adds fuel. Both clubs have been involved in higher-scoring games over the last couple of weeks, and neither bullpen has been shutdown in late innings.

Head-to-head and situational trends at this ballpark tell the same story. In recent interleague or similar road-versus-home matchups involving starters with profiles like Webb and Feltner, the over has cashed at rates north of 58 percent. It's not about one hot streak. It's the repeatable park effect plus two lineups that can put the ball in play. I've seen this script play out enough times to know that betting against the altitude rarely ends well when the data aligns this cleanly.

This isn't some gut hunch or chasing public steam on heavy favorites elsewhere. It's respecting the math, the historical run environments, and the specific pitcher-park interactions that have produced overs time and again in Denver. Webb will compete and keep it from turning into a total circus, but the conditions and the other side of the rubber make it tough for either staff to fully contain things. After running through the WHIP splits, OPS allowances, and park-adjusted scoring rates, I'm putting real weight on the over here. The numbers don't lie, and neither does Coors when it decides to let the ball fly.

My selection is on San Diego over Los Angeles at 10:10 pm et on Friday.

We'll take a flyer on the Padres at a generous price after they blew an early 6-0 lead in an eventual 12-7 loss to open this series last night. San Diego continues to hit well but its pitching has left a lot to be desired during its recent slide. It will have a veteran presence on the mound in Michael King on Friday. King hasn't suffered much of a drop-off at all on the road compared to at home this season. He has at least held his own against current Dodgers hitters over the course of his career, allowing 31 hits in 124 at-bats (.250). Shohei Ohtani will counter for Los Angeles. He has actually struggled a bit over his last three outings, allowing nine earned runs in 18 2/3 innings of work with the Dodgers going 2-1 in those three starts. We'll give San Diego a slight bullpen advantage here after Los Angeles used six of its eight relievers in last night's contest. Take San Diego (8*).

AAA Sports' Selection: Colombia (ATS).

Ghana did well to draw against England and secure three points against Panama. But, it showed some weaknesses against Croatia.

It's reliant on it's defense as the offense doesn't produce much at all.

Colombia has been among the top teams so far in the World Cup with two wins and a draw against Portugal.

We anticipate Colombia to get on the board and use it's strong defense to shut Ghana down.

The play is on Colombia.

Cardinals vs Cubs MLB Free Pick

David Peterson (4-6, 5.86 ERA) has been heavily exposed by this current St. Louis roster; in 26 head-to-head plate appearances, Cardinals hitters are punishing him to the tune of a massive .375 batting average and an explosive .625 slugging percentage. Furthermore, Peterson's home-field advantage is completely negated by his own metric struggles at Wrigley Field, where he is trapped with a dismal 1-3 record and a bloated 7.15 home ERA. 

St. Louis is 4-1 in Andre Pallante's (9-5, 3.83) last five starts, and the right-hander boasts a stellar 5-0 record accompanied by a microscopic 2.73 ERA and a razor-thin 1.00 WHIP when pitching away from his home ballpark. Peterson meanwhile has struggled at Wrigley Field going 1-3 with a bloated 7.15 ERA at home. 

The Bet: Cardinals (3%). 

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1% GOLD RUSH on Jiri Lehecka -5

FREE PLAY on Cardinals +120

3* on over

PSP Data Driven 1* Nationals. 

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Washington are 4-1 in its last 5 games. Pittsburgh are 3-11 in its last 14 games against an opponent in the National League East Division

For my best free pick on the board here for Friday night in WNBA action I am looking at the NY Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx. Minnesota has been the best cover team in the WNBA this season clocking in at 13-4 ATS and that and this small number should get bettors falling all over themselves to bet the Lynx. Liberty come into this one off 2 straight losses the last one too the Liberty look for them to turn up the defensive intensity and have their best all around game of the year. 

Play on the NY Liberty plus points rotation #608 

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Rested non-divisional away teams that are no massive favorites are up 96.33 units and 16.6 ROI. If the away favorite has a worse winning percentage it’s a fantastic 25.5 ROI.

This price is all about the starting pitching edge, and Toronto appears to have the clear advantage. While Seattle owns the better record and is tough to beat at T-Mobile Park, Dylan Cease gives the Blue Jays a significant opportunity to open this series with a road victory.

Cease has quietly put together an excellent season, entering Friday with a 3.02 ERA while continuing to generate elite strikeout numbers. His swing-and-miss arsenal remains one of the best in baseball, allowing him to escape jams without relying on his defense. Against a Seattle lineup that has been prone to strikeouts throughout the season, that's an especially favorable matchup.

Luis Castillo's reputation still commands respect, but his 2026 performance hasn't matched the standard he's established over his career. He enters this start with a 4.93 ERA and has struggled to consistently work deep into games. While Castillo is always capable of putting together a quality outing, his command has been less consistent, and mistakes in the strike zone have become more frequent.

According to the Covers matchup preview, this game features two accomplished veteran starters, but the current form favors Cease. That's reflected by Toronto being installed as the road favorite despite Seattle owning the better overall record and home-field advantage.

Offensively, the Blue Jays are capable of matching up well against right-handed pitching. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. remains the centerpiece of the lineup, while Ernie Clement continues to provide consistent production at the top. Kazuma Okamoto has supplied much of Toronto's power, giving the Blue Jays multiple hitters capable of changing the game with one swing.

Seattle counters with Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena and Josh Naylor, but this lineup has been more inconsistent than expected. Against a strikeout pitcher like Cease, long rallies may be difficult to sustain if Toronto gets ahead in the count.

Bullpen performance is another area worth monitoring. Seattle has generally enjoyed success from its relief corps this season, but Toronto's bullpen has also stabilized after an inconsistent start. Assuming Cease can provide six or more innings, the Blue Jays should be able to shorten the game and avoid exposing the middle relief for extended stretches.

Injuries also lean slightly toward Toronto. Seattle continues to monitor Julio Rodríguez after a recent head injury, while several important bullpen arms remain unavailable. Toronto has dealt with its own injuries throughout the year, but its everyday lineup is largely intact entering this series.

This also feels like a favorable situational spot for the Blue Jays. Their record has underperformed the talent level on the roster, while Cease gives them one of their strongest opportunities to steal a road series opener. Seattle remains dangerous at home, but this is one of the few pitching matchups where Toronto owns the clear edge from the opening pitch.

Road favorites are never comfortable, especially in Seattle, but this number is justified by the difference between the starting pitchers. If Cease performs to his season form and limits free baserunners, Toronto has enough offensive firepower to manufacture the support he needs.

THREE WINNERS TONIGHT LED BY WISE GUY

Three winners are on tap tonight, led by my Wise Guy night release. Wise Guy plays are the HIGHEST-RATED bets I make, reserved only for the STRONGEST, MOST CONFIDENT opinions. Tonight's card is POWERFUL, ELITE and READY. Famed Juicy Lucy up too!