Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on A De Minaur -125

1* Free Pick on Braves/Marlins under 8

3* on over

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Rockies/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks really profile as an OVER team scoring 4.6 runs per game and allowing 4.7 runs per game this season.  They have gone for 9 or more combined runs in six of their last eight games overall.

The Rockies and their opponents have gone for at least 9 combined runs in seven of their last eight games overall.  They are allowing 5.3 runs per game.  They will be making this a bullpen game starting with Zachary Agnos, who has a 5.59 ERA this season while allowing 18 earned runs in 29 innings.  He allowed 2 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 9-1 home loss to the Diamondbacks on Friday.

Eduardo Rodriquez allowed 3 earned runs and 9 hits in 5 1/3 innings to the Rockies in his last start on May 16th.  Getting to see him for the 2nd time in 6 days is a big advantage for Colorado hitters.  Rodriquez is 3-1 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in seven career starts against the Rockies.  He has posted a 7.16 ERA in three career home starts against them, allowing 13 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings.

The Rockies and Diamondbacks have combined for 10 or more runs in seven of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

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1* Bet on Valkyries/Liberty: over 169½

Free Total Annihilator On Sparks vs Mercury under 178½ -110

Ricky's 1* play on TOR.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- NY Yankees is 4-8 in its last 12 games.

- The Blue Jays are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

- The Blue Jays are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the Road Underdog.

It is probably fitting that the Nationals are 25-25 given that they lead the majors in runs per game averaging 5.5, while having the worst pitching and fielding in the league. Washington gives up an average of five runs per game and has committed the most errors.

It is also why the Nationals have gone Over a staggering 68 percent of the time this year.  The Nationals are averaging eight runs per game during their last five games.

The Mets are 7-1-1 to the OVER in their last nine games. They are averaging 7.0 runs per game during this time frame.

Superstar Juan Soto is helping spark the Mets offense with five homers in his last seven games. He has been deadly against Washington, his former team, with 12 home runs and 26 RBI's in 35 career games.

The pitching matchup is David Peterson, who has been ineffective this season with a 5.40 ERA and 1.57 WHIP, against Cade Cavalli, who has a 4.05 ERA and 1.54 WHIP.

The Mets' bullpen is overworked, while Washington's relievers have the fifth highest ERA at 4.95.

I see no reason why each of these teams shouldn't score at least four runs. So I am going to ride the Over. 

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is having a winning baseball season, is 38-25 on his last 63 NBA premium/free plays and 39-21-2 on his last 62 NHL premium/free plays with a Max Unit NHL Totals play heading up his Thursday card. Take advantage of Stephen's winning records and elite analysis.) 

1* Free Play on Sparks +3½ -110

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Montreal Canadiens.

I am well aware Carolina ranks No. 2 in scoring, and No. 5 in goals against. I am also aware this team swept both rounds thus far this postseason. However, even Superman had kryptonite. And Montreal is their kryptonite. This season alone, the Canadians have taken all three meetings with the Hurricanes, which does include both games played on the road. Going back a bit further, they have one four straight and five of the last six overall matchups. This is a team that has played well on the road in this year’s playoffs, going to 6-2 as a visitor in the 2026 post season. Yes, I know their numbers aren’t as impressive. But we cannot deny their success against the Hurricanes. I feel there is enormous value in taking the Canadiens. Take Montreal. Thank you.

1* Free Pick on Sparks/Mercury: under 178½

The market is asking you to pay top dollar for a Phoenix Over trend that doesn't match the defensive numbers on the floor.

Phoenix's last 12 games went Over 11 times, and that's the case people will lean on.

I get it.

But the Mercury are posting a 105.4 defensive rating through their first 5 games, which is a real number on a real sample with the current roster.

That's not a 178.5 defense.

The Sparks are the reason this total is sky-high.

Los Angeles is giving up a 121.3 defensive rating, and Kelsey Plum at 26.8 PPG is going to score regardless.

I'm not arguing the Sparks side of the scoreboard goes quiet.

The pace concern is the strongest opposition point.

Both teams sit at 97.5 and 97.44, and a fast game raises the floor on totals.

Fair.

But pace alone doesn't get you to 179 when one of the two offenses is run by a Sparks team turning it over on 21% of possessions.

That's the worst tov_pct in the stat pack, and it directly caps their scoring ceiling regardless of how fast they push.

Phoenix is also on 2 days rest versus the Sparks' 4.

Coach Tibbetts has publicly emphasized re-establishing defensive identity.

When a coach calls out defense pre-game, that usually shows up in the half-court sets.

The number is the play here. 178.5 is asking both teams to be elite on the same night.

Los Angeles has been elite at exactly one thing: giving up points.

Take the value.

I like the Under

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 8

The Key: Carlos Rodon is working his way back from injury.  He is 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 2 starts this year yielding 5 ER and 8 walks in 8 innings.  Control has been an issue for him.  Rodon is 2-3 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against Toronto.  He yielded 6 ER in 2 1/3 innings in his last start against the Blue Jays.  Toronto has a tired bullpen and will need to make this a bullpen game starting with Braydon Fisher with Spencer Miles getting the majority of the work after.  After having to face each team's best starter in Schlittler and Yesavage yesterday, hitters should have their way here taking a big step down in class.  Take the OVER.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Pirates vs Cardinals over 7½ -118

1* Free Sharp Play on Braves -135

THURSDAY HEADLINES INCLUDE the RARE 6* TRIPLE PERFECT NBA PLAYOFF PAYOFF and Rob/s 2X PERFECT WNBA GAME OF THE MONTH--15-6 RUN

The NHL Comp play is on Carolina at 8 eastern. The Canes are a bit pricey here but they do apply to two nice systems. First we are looking at Round 3 or later home favorites with 8 or more days rest as these teams are perfect since 2007 and then we looked at Playoff home favorites that are the 1 seed and have home favored loss revenge in round 2 or later, Also perfect since 2004. Montreal is off a grueling 7 game series with Buffalo and cashed nice for us on the road in game 7. However the Canes have a big rest advantage and triple revenge from this season. Look for Carolina to get game one. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Take San Jose over Portland (9:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 23) This is the last match before the International Break for the World Cup. San Jose is second place in the Western Conference and enters the week five points off the best mark in the entire MLS. This side is a legit championship contender with a +17 goal differential through 14 matches. Compare that to Portland, at 12th in the Western Conference with a -4 goal differential. Both teams will put extra emphasis on getting points before the break, but the Earthquakes have the players and coaching to get the three points here on the road. San Jose has never won here but this looks like the year it can happen as the Earthquakes are second in away form in MLS this season. They average over two goals per match on offense and have allowed a goal per match on defense. San Jose has won two of the last three meetings, with one draw, and we think they are well positioned to collect full points here before the break.

Cavs +6.5

Cleveland and New York meet in Game 2 and we’re on the Cavs. This is a game Cleveland has to have. They blew a 22 point 4th quarter lead in Game 1 and now have a quick turnaround. That can be a good thing here with a short memory and a chance for them to come out quickly. Harden and Mitchell both are going to look to make a statement early and the Cavs will keep this close with plenty of chances to steal it. Grab the points. Back Cleveland. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the CAVS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE NBA ATS Play

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Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Tigers -115

My selection is on the 'under' between Cleveland and New York at 8 pm et on Thursday.

Game 1 of this series had no business getting 'over' the total but overtime ultimately helped it creep across the threshold. The pace certainly wasn't there for a high-scoring affair and I don't think we'll suddenly see that pace pick up in Game 2 on Thursday. Note that the Cavaliers have now been held to 36 or fewer made field goals in four of their last five and six of their last eight games. Their defensive play has kept them competitive of course as they've limited 10 straight opponents to 43 or fewer made field goals. The Knicks preferred pace is methodical as they've gotten off 85 or fewer field goal attempts in regulation time in seven of their last eight contests. No team is more locked-in defensively right now as New York has held an incredible 15 of its last 16 opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. This total has been adjusted from Game 1 but not by enough in my opinion. Take the under (8*).

Guardians vs Tigers MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Cleveland is riding a five-game winning streak, has won eight of its last nine games, and left-hander Joey Cantillo's )3-1, 3.40 ERA) last four starts. The Detroit Tigers are trending very much in the opposite direction with just one win in their last nine games. 

The Bet: GUARDIANS (3%)

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1% GOLD RUSH on Pirates/Cardinals: under 8

FREE PLAY on Sparks/Mercury under 178½

PSP Data Driven 1* Angels.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog.The A's are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. The Angels are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

For my best free pick on the board here I am looking at the Toronto Tempo at the Minnesota Lynx. Toronto is a public dog at this point covering 4 straight games taking on a Minnesota team off a loss a home loss to Chicago so their stock is a bit down coming into this one. Line kinda tells us all we need to know here and while Minnesota will take a step back this season they are still one of the solid WNBA teams and should be able to handle the upstart Toronto team by double digits. 

Play on the Minnesota Lynx lay the points rotation #622 -6.5

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Bounceback angle for teams off a playoff loss that was not a blowout is 156-106-3. Yes, I’ve looked up teams off a blown big leads and not much either way, but history says coming back from such heartache isn’t a big deal. 

Opener:
Cavaliers -6
Total: 214.5

Best lines:
Knicks +6.5 (+100)
Cavaliers -6 (-110)

Best totals:
Over 216.5
Under 216.5

Splits on side:
54% of bets on Cavaliers
70% of money on Cavaliers

Splits on total:
55% of bets on Over

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