Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Lightning -195

1* Free Pick on Falcons/Saints under 48

1* Free Play on Falcons +1½ -110

Monday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Rays +113

Ricky's 1* play on NYY.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Yankees are 6-3 in their last 9 games.

- The Yankees are 6-4 in the last 10 head to head meetings.
  
- Cam Schlittler is 4-1 in his last 5 starts for the Yankees.

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

3* on Falcons

FREE PLAY — ATLANTA +1.5 over NEW ORLEANS — 8:15 ET

Atlanta has the strongest system profile in this matchup. The primary angle says to fade early-season favorites coming off poor previous seasons. That system is 368-269 ATS, 57.8%, for +72.1 units. New Orleans qualifies as the favorite, putting the Falcons on the system side.

There is additional system corroboration based on yards-per-point differential. Teams with a substantially worse yards-per-point margin are 174-116 ATS, 60.0%, +46.4 units with a 14.6% ROI. The road-specific version is 83-45 ATS, 64.8%, +33.5 units with a 23.8% ROI. Neither secondary angle carries enough units to drive the wager independently, but both reinforce the much larger +72.1-unit system.

The personnel matchup provides the strongest fundamental reason to back Atlanta. New Orleans is without linebacker Kaden Elliss and defensive ends Carl Granderson and Anfernee Jennings, while linebacker Pete Werner is questionable. Those losses are concentrated in the front seven against the strength of Atlanta's offense.

Bijan Robinson gives the Falcons a direct way to exploit it. Atlanta has been one of the league's most productive rushing teams, and its outside-zone concepts are particularly well suited to attacking New Orleans. The Saints have struggled badly defending those concepts, creating an opportunity for Atlanta to control the game through Robinson rather than requiring Michael Penix Jr. to carry the offense.

The matchup also gives Penix opportunities when Atlanta throws. New Orleans uses Cover 3 extensively, a coverage against which Penix has produced strong efficiency. The absence of Granderson and Jennings also compromises the Saints' ability to create pressure without committing additional defenders.

Drake London becomes particularly important. His target share with Penix has been substantial, and a successful Robinson-led ground game can force New Orleans to devote additional resources to the box, creating favorable opportunities for London on the perimeter.

New Orleans faces a much more difficult rushing matchup. Atlanta enters allowing only 47.7 rushing yards per game, the best mark in the NFL. The Saints are also without Travis Etienne Jr., removing their leading early-season runner. Alvin Kamara is available, but New Orleans may have difficulty establishing enough conventional rushing success to keep Tyler Shough out of obvious passing situations.

The public information is the primary concern. Atlanta is an underdog receiving the majority of spread tickets. Our worldwide contrarian indexes therefore point toward New Orleans, and a public underdog carries substantially more contrarian significance than an equivalently supported favorite.

The market also opened around Atlanta +2.5 and is now approximately +1.5. We generally prefer fading that type of movement rather than following it. A respected sharp also has a significant position on New Orleans -1.5.

Those are meaningful negatives. However, the +72.1-unit league-wide system, two additional profitable systems and Atlanta's substantial rushing matchup advantage provide enough independent support for a free play.

There is no outdoor weather concern because the game is inside the Superdome.

Play to: ATLANTA +1.5. Pass at pick'em.

1* Free Pick on Falcons +2

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Free Sharp Play on Falcons vs Saints under 48 -110

Monday Headliners include a BIG MLB 100% PLAYOFF Divisional Totals System and a Triple Perfect Monday night Football TOP Play. NFL Prime Time games on a 6-1 Power Run. Cop Play below

The Monday Comp Play is on the Over 3 goals in the Soccer between Turkey and Italy in UEFA Nations League action at 2:45 eastern. Italy has far more depth and should win by multiple goals here. The last time they met 5 goals were scored and that is very likely again here as Italy can take advantage of a shaky Turkish Backfield. Turkey lost 3-0 to Belgium in a match where the Red Devils could run it up even worse. Turkey likes to push the pace and can score in transition and it would be no surprise for them to find the back of the net here. Look for this one to play over. GL Rob V-

1* Free Pick on Falcons +2 -110

My selection is on the 'under' between Winnipeg and Pittsburgh at 7:35 pm et on Monday.

The Penguins have come roaring out of the gates offensively, scoring a whopping 13 goals while racking up a pair of victories to open the campaign. I think bettors will be quick to jump on the 'over' as the Pens host the Jets on Monday. After all, Winnipeg has a quandary in its crease with Connor Hellebuyck suspended after requesting a trade. The Jets are in a tough back-to-back situation here after notching a win in Detroit yesterday. I don't think Winnipeg will have much interest in trading punches with Pittsburgh the way the high-flying Canadiens did on Saturday night. Look for this non-conference affair to be lower-scoring than expected. Take the under (8*).

I’m 3-0 on Monday Night Football this season and winner number four in a row goes tonight - a 10* Division Total of the Month for October featuring the Falcons vs. Saints! That’s part of a five-game Monday card including TWO 10* TOP RATED MLB playoff winners plus two NHL best bets! A subscription package is your best bet or pick up each play individually.

Marc David's MLB Free Pick

We really like home favorite in this matchup. The White Sox (84-78) are riding a wave of momentum after sweeping the Astros and taking Game 1 3-0, but this is a very different pitching setup. They are going with another bullpen game, with lefty Anthony Kay (4.44 ERA) expected to open before Sean Burke takes the bulk of the innings. Their bats have been hot, but they now face a starter who has had their number in the box score all year.

The Guardians (85-77) hand the ball to Gavin Williams (14-8, 3.76 ERA, 248 K), who is a legitimate strikeout machine and has made four starts against Chicago this season. Cleveland finished the regular season on an 24-11 run, the second-best mark in baseball over that stretch, and they were shut out in Game 1 in a game where their bullpen had to cover more than half the innings. At home with their season in the balance, they should be able to give Williams a longer leash and get some of the hitters going.

Chicago is playing great baseball, but the Guardians are the more complete team here and they know they need this one. We like them to bounce back at home against a patchwork White Sox pitching plan.

This is a FREE PLAY on the GUARDIANS. 

11-2 since Oct 2, 2026 in All Sports! Marc David Sports is opening the week with 2 premium picks, 1 NFL 1 MLB. 

1% GOLD RUSH on Falcons +2

FREE PLAY on Falcons/Saints under 48

PSP Data Driven 1* Rays +1.5

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog.The Rays are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games. Freddy Peralta is 5-0 in his last 5 starts for the Rays.