Free Sports Picks of the Day

Recommended Bet: Manchester United +200

[1%] Free Play on Alexandra Eala +140

1* Free Pick on Patriots/Bears under 50½

3* on under

1* FREE INFO PLAY Betis -176

1* Free Sharp Play on CF Monterrey -115

HUMP DAY Card has Rob/s 100% NBA TOP TOTALS System headlining along with a 2X PERFECT CFB Side and WNBA. Comp play below

The NBA Comp play for Wednesday is on ATLANTA plus the 3-4 points here tonight as Rob notes that game 1 home favorites, vs an opponent also playing their first game are 0-3 straight up since 2019 if the total is higher than 225 and they lost at home the last time these teams met. These home teams like Orlando lose by an average 11 points as a 4 point average favorite. The Hawks won all 4 meetings last season and 3 of them were by 12+ points each. The Hawks ripped off 3 straight wins to close out the preseason and we will back them tonight. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #387 Michigan State Spartans over UCLA Bruins (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 24, CBS)

UCLA has been a pleasant surprise in the Big Ten this season, standing as the only unbeaten team in either the Big Ten or SEC. Still, this is a hefty number to lay with a backup quarterback. The Bruins were one-dimensional against Wisconsin, and I expect Michigan State to make running the football difficult again.

The Spartans are rebuilding under a new coach, but they’ve shown they can compete, taking Illinois and Northwestern down to the wire. I expect another competitive effort here, with Michigan State keeping the final margin within 7–10 points.

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OVER 53.5

Detroit's offense is averaging nearly 33 PPG and Goff has been surgical with 12 TD passes and zero turnovers. Now he gets an extra week to prepare for a Green Bay defense whose recent improvement came against backup QBs and a struggling Dallas attack. That's a different assignment than dealing with this Lions offense. The problem for Detroit? Its defense is surrendering more than 400 yards per game, giving Love and Green Bay plenty of opportunities to answer. With Jacobs expected back, the Packers have another weapon to keep the scoreboard moving. This one has shootout written all over it. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 53.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL O/U Play

The current run has been strong. 4-1 on NFL last week. A BIG Card is going up for this weekend, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

The Flyers head to Buffalo on Wednesday looking to build on back-to-back wins, while the Sabres return home after a road trip where every game went to extra time. Philadelphia is getting plus money against a short home favorite that has already allowed 3.57 goals a night.

Wednesday night in Buffalo is not a spot you want to lay juice. The Sabres are a short home favorite against a Flyers team that just won two straight, including a 3-2 win over Colorado on Monday. Philadelphia is 2-6-3 and still scoring like a team that forgot where the net is most nights (1.55 goals per game), but they are getting plus money on the road after beating a good club. The market is pricing the building and the name. That is the classic tax. The points are the side.

At +160 the implied probability is 38.5 percent. Buffalo’s true win rate in this spot sits closer to 55–58 percent once you account for Philadelphia’s last two wins and the Sabres’ 3.57 goals against. That leaves a 4–6 percent edge before the juice even gets involved. At -110 the house takes its cut; at +160 the number is the argument. You are not buying a miracle. You are buying a price the market has not fully adjusted for.

Buffalo is 4-3-2, averaging 3.00 goals while allowing 3.57. Their penalty kill has been a mess early, and they just finished a road trip where every game went to extra time. Philadelphia’s last two wins came against Ottawa and Colorado. They are still near the bottom of the league in shots and scoring, but a short home favorite of -175 or worse against a club that just beat the Avalanche is not a number that needs to be laid just because KeyBank Center has a logo. Plus money is the work. Laying the juice is the donation.

Bet the road team getting plus money against a short home favorite of -175 or worse when both teams are under .550 on the season.
Road underdogs of +140 or longer against home favorites of -175 or shorter when both clubs sit under .550 points percentage (since the early 1980s): 41-29 (58.6%). At -110, 41 wins and 29 losses is +9.3 unit$, ROI=13.3%. Philadelphia is the road dog. That is the look.

Buffalo has been leaky at home more often than the number admits. Their last five games produced four that went to overtime or a shootout, and they have already allowed 3.57 a night. Philadelphia has scored three in back-to-back games for the first time this season. A short home favorite against a team that just beat Colorado is the side the public wants. The price is the argument the market does not want to give you. Fade the chalk. Take the plus.

Shop the number. If you can get +150 or better, the value is cleaner. If it drops to +140, the edge shrinks but does not vanish. Confirm the crease. A backup in Buffalo changes the side; a backup in Philadelphia does not. The house does not care that the Flyers are still under .500. The number is the argument. The midweek profile is the work. Philadelphia getting plus money is the side that actually sits on this board.

Flyers at Sabres — Best Player Props (Wednesday, 7:30 ET)

Buffalo is a short home favorite. Philadelphia just scored three in back-to-back wins. The total sits around 5.5–6. That combination usually produces one or two clean prop tickets rather than a full menu. The work is volume and form, not the public favorite. Shop the number. A juice line turns a good prop into a tax.

Tage Thompson over 3.5 shots, about -102 to -110.
Thompson has 42 shots in nine games (4.67 per night) and is projected near 3.43 against Philadelphia. He is the highest-volume shooter on the board and plays 20 minutes a night. Buffalo’s power play has been quiet, but the shot volume does not need a power play to cash. At even money or better this is the cleanest over on the card. If it moves to 4.5 at plus money, take it. If the juice walks past -130, leave it.

Matvei Michkov anytime goal scorer, +230 to +250.
Michkov has six goals in eleven games and just scored twice against Colorado. He has four goals and five assists in five career games against Buffalo. Philadelphia’s offense is still limited, but Michkov has been the one player scoring. A plus-money anytime on a forward who has already beaten this building is the price. At -150 it becomes a tax. At +230 it is the work.

Tage Thompson over 0.5 points, -250 or shorter only.
Thompson has nine points in nine games. The number is juiced for a reason. Pass if it is -280 or worse. The shot total is the cleaner ticket.

Leave the 0.5 goal unders on secondary Flyers forwards. Leave a short-priced anytime on a Sabres defenseman. Confirm the starting goalies. A backup in either crease changes the shot volume more than the side. The house does not care that Buffalo is the home favorite. The number is the argument. Thompson’s shots and Michkov’s anytime are the two that actually sit on this board

Ricky's 1* play on BAY.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- In all of their 8 most recent home matches of Champions League, there have been no losses for Bayern Munich.

- Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 matches in Champions League.

- Bayern Munich have achieved 3 home wins agains Arsenal in Champions League.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

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