Free Sports Picks of the Day

Free Total Annihilator On Cardinals vs Dodgers under 8 -107

1* Free Pick on Cardinals/Dodgers under 8

1* MLB - Yankees/Angels FREE PICK on Angels +1.5 (-128) 

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #164 Under in Marshall Thundering Herd @ Penn State Nittany Lions (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 5 FS1) The Matt Campbell era gets underway at Penn State on Saturday. Penn State should still have a strong defense and Coach Campbell is a run the ball and play strong defense type of coach. I don’t think he will want to throw the football up and down the field and focus on field position and ball control. Marshall usually a bowl caliber team and not a mid-major pushover like some teams. They have to run clock to have any chance to keep this game under twenty points and that should set up a strong play for the under. Marshall closed out the season going under the posted total in 3 straight games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in football, baseball, and soccer. 3 straight winning weeks to open up the football season and you can receive all football plays for half off with a one week football package.

Saturday's Free CFB Pick

PLAY ON: Clemson +10 

Albany at Buffalo on Thursday night is the under I keep coming back to, and I keep coming back to it for the simplest reason in the book. The number is 48.5. Buffalo scored 24.0 points a game last season and allowed 23.5. Add those two numbers and you are already sitting under the total before Albany even gets off the bus. That is not a coincidence. That is a scoring environment that wants to live in the low 40s unless somebody turns this into a track meet, and FCS-at-FBS openers in September almost never turn into track meets.

Buffalo is laying a big number at home, and the line has already come in from the mid-20s toward 18 and a half. That kind of move usually means the market is less interested in a 45-10 final than it is in a 31-10 or 28-13 final. Those scores still win the game for the Bulls. They also sit comfortably under 48.5. Last year’s Buffalo club opened at Minnesota and lost 23-10. That is 33 combined points. The next week they beat Saint Francis 45-6 and the over finally woke up against an FCS opponent that could not stop the run. Albany is not Saint Francis on a day the Bulls could do no wrong. Albany is a road underdog in a Week 1 spot where first-game rust, conservative play-calling, and a new Buffalo quarterback all point the same direction.

Jason Wright is taking over an offense that returned almost nothing up front. Two returning offensive starters is not a recipe for 35 points before the band has finished the first chorus. Redshirt freshman quarterbacks in home openers tend to hand the ball off, check down, and let the defense keep the night quiet. Albany’s path to staying in the game is the same path every FCS visitor uses in September. Run the clock, steal a field goal, hope a short field shows up after a special-teams mistake. That is how you get to 27-13, not 42-21.

Bet under the total in Albany games as a road underdog.
The Under’s record since the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 51.5. (+5.0 units, ROI=90.9%)

Bet under the total in Buffalo home openers when the number sits at 48 or higher.
The Under’s record in that spot since 2022: 4-1 (80%) with an average over/under of 49.0. (+2.7 units, ROI=49.1%)

Bet under the total when an FBS favorite of 17 or more hosts an FCS opponent in Week 1.
The Under’s record since 2023: 19-11 (63.3%) with an average over/under of 50.8. (+6.4 units, ROI=19.4%)

The last Buffalo-Akron meeting in this building finished 24-16. Different opponent, same stadium, same kind of night. Forty combined points, sacks, a safety, and a second half that felt like both staffs were trying not to give anything away. That is the tape I trust more than any preseason promise that this offense is about to light the sky. Clock is your friend on this ticket. Every three-and-out is a gift. Every 12-play drive that dies at the 18 and turns into a field goal is another gift.

I am not sitting here waiting for Albany to hang 28. I am sitting here waiting for Buffalo to look like a team finding itself in September and for the visitor to keep the game in the 20s. If the Bulls win 31-10, the under cashes and nobody writes a poem about it. That is the point. This is a leftovers ticket, not a fireworks ticket. At 48.5 I am on it. If the number drips to 47.5 I like it even more.

Cash it if it hits, and we will look for the next quiet number the public keeps trying to turn into a shootout. Good luck if you ride along.

1% GOLD RUSH on Quentin Halys +5

FREE PLAY on Angels +150

Fresno State has an attractive combination of situational rest, coaching familiarity and sharp support.

A respected sharp handicapper released Fresno State +23.5 for 1.1 units. His projection still makes USC a substantial favorite, but the recommendation is that the market has gone too far.

The situational angle is noteworthy. Fresno State is fresh, whereas USC has already played San Jose State. Historically, Teams in first game versus opponent in second game under specific situations that apply in this game are 211-180-2.

USC's opener also provided evidence that the Trojans are not invulnerable to scoring from an inferior opponent. San Jose State produced 26 points. Fresno State does not need to win offensively; it needs enough production to prevent USC from creating a four-touchdown separation.

There is also coaching familiarity. Fresno State coach Matt Entz has prior familiarity with Lincoln Riley's system, giving the Bulldogs a preparation advantage that a typical large underdog may not possess.

The problem is the market. The sharp release was +23.5. If only +22.5 is available, we are already giving away a full point of value. If the game drops through +21, the recommendation becomes substantially less attractive.

Worldwide public sentiment has leaned toward USC, giving Fresno additional contrarian corroboration.

Free Play: FRESNO STATE +22.5

Prefer: +23.5 or better

Playable: +22.5

Pass below: +21.5