Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Panthers +3 -110

1* Bet on Liberty -7½

Recommended Bet: Inter Miami +175

Ricky's 1* play on AZ.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Diamondbacks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

- The Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 games.

- The Diamondbacks are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the road underdog.

3* on Chiefs

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Detroit Tigers -134

This is a huge series for the Detroit Tigers.  They trail the White Sox by just 3.5 games for 1st place in the AL Central and get to host them over the weekend.  They have put themselves in this position with a lot of hard work going 25-13 in their last 38 games overall.  They are the single most underrated team in baseball with a losing record despite a dominant +86 run differential on the season.  Only the Yankees (+87) have been better in the American League.

A big reason the Tigers felt OK trading away Skubal and Mize was the emergence of arguably the most underrated starter in baseball in Troy Melton.  He has gone 7-1 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 13 starts this season while allowing just 13 earned runs in 80 innings.  Melton has owned the White Sox, going 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing just 2 earned runs and 12 base runners in 18 innings.

I'll gladly fade Anthony Kay, who has big home/road splits this season.  Kay is 3-2 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 11 road starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs, 10 homers and 74 base runners in 51 2/3 innings.  Look for Detroit to hang a big number on him to pave the way to us cashing this money line ticket.  Bet the Tigers Saturday.

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Jack Jones has SIX Top-10 MLB Finishes (#4 2024, #8 2023, #5 2019, #6 2014, #6 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He finished as the No. 8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $21,110 in 2023! He backed it up by finishing as the No. 4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with $1,000/game players up $34,230!

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1* Free Pick on Cowboys +165

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Eagles vs Ravens under 37½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Padres +110

DOUBLE TOTAL OF THE YEARS on Saturday In Afternoon Action the 100% 7* CFL TOY and tonight the NFLX TOTAL OF THE YEAR DALLAS at SEATTLE. MLB and WNBA UP too. Comp play below.

The WNBA Comp play is on the Under in the LA Sparks at Washington Mystics game at 7:30 eastern. In this study Rob looked at home favorites like the Mystics that have home loss revenge with a total is 155 or higher with both teams coming into the game off road losses. These games since 2011 have gone under on 7 of 8 occasions. With an average posted total of 167 in these games the final score averaged out at 155 points. Washington has gone over 3 straight as a home favorite with a total of 175 or more. The Sparks are on a 5-0 under as a road dog.Based on the systems and applicable team angles we will back the under here. GL Rob- V

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Soccer Take #209810 Atlanta over New York Red Bulls (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday August 15) We think this is a great spot for Atlanta. They have not been playing their best lately but this will be a homecoming for them as they have not played a home match since May 9, before the World Cup. Even though they lost last time out, we liked what we saw from them at Philly. They were up by two goals most of the match vs the Union but they were a man down and Philadelphia scored two goals in extra time to steal three points. As we stated, Atlanta has not played at home in a long time and we think this return will give them an extra burst of energy and it’s not like the Red Bulls are a great side. They are quite far above Atlanta in the standings but have a -10 goal differential compared to -14 for Atlanta, who have faced a real tough schedule on this road trip. It’s telling that Atlanta is a decent favorite here with their recent performances, and we think this is an amazing spot for them to pick up three points and some momentum for the second half of the season in front of the home fans.

1* Free Pick on Dodgers +118

1* Free Play on Michael Kim -110

Ian Machado Garry moneyline is the live dog I’m betting on at UFC 330.

Makhachev rolls in with that ridiculous 16-fight UFC win streak and the kind of resume that makes the chalk look invincible on paper. Garry sits 17-1 overall, 10-1 inside the Octagon, and just stacked back-to-back wins including a former champ. The size gap is real: Garry at 6'3" with a 74.5-inch reach against Makhachev’s 5'10" and 70.5-inch wingspan. That four-inch reach edge is pure structural leverage. It forces the shorter guy to walk into jabs and teeps just to get in range.

Strike output tells the rest of the story. Garry pumps out 4.78 significant strikes per minute. Makhachev sits around 2.45. That’s a 2.3-strike differential every minute the fight stays standing. Stretch that over five championship rounds and the volume gap gets loud if Garry can keep the distance. Makhachev’s 3.10 takedowns per 15 minutes is still the biggest hammer on the card, but Garry’s been defending at roughly 80 percent lately and has shown he can scramble back up when the pressure hits.

Historically the bigger, rangier underdogs who also own the volume edge have made life miserable for recently moved-up champs more often than the public wants to admit. Garry already solved some awkward, long opponents. His only loss came against a pure grappler who dragged him into deep water. Since then he’s cleaned up the details.

The number right now prices him as a low-to-mid 20s percent dog. I have him closer to 30-33 percent true. That gap is the edge. Once the price drifts past the +220 range the expected value flips positive and the ticket starts looking like sharp action instead of square hope.

I’m not blind. One clean body lock from Makhachev and the whole script flips. His top control is still elite and he rarely gives rounds away once he gets there. But the combination of reach, volume, recent form, and the fact that Makhachev still has limited sample size against tall technical strikers who actually jab in open stance makes this the side I want exposure to.

If the early rounds stay on the feet and Garry banks the first couple of scorecards, the pressure shifts fast and the chalk starts sweating. That’s the angle. That’s the number. That’s the action I’m most comfortable sitting with when the cage door closes in Philly.

White Sox vs Tigers MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Detroit right-hander Troy Melton (7-1, 1.46 ERA) has been spectacular on the mound this season, but White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay (9-5, 3.96 ERA) has been on a heater of his own. Kay has propelled Chicago to a strong 4-1 team record over his past five starts while posting a pristine 3.04 ERA during that span.

The primary edge here lies in fading a Detroit lineup that continuously stumbles against left-handed pitching. The Tigers have struggled immensely in this split, entering today with an abysmal 15-22 record (-24% ROI) when facing left-handed starters.

With Kay throwing some of his best baseball of the year and the Tigers' lineup bogged down by systemic struggles against lefties, the White Sox is the play. Gimme the dog. 

The Bet: White Sox (3%). 

1% GOLD RUSH on Browns -3

PSP Data Driven 1* Dodgers +1.5

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. The Dodgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Brewers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

Jacksonville qualifies for the 84-43 ATS road-underdog system at +2.5.

However, Liam Coen has confirmed that Jacksonville's starters will not play, making this overwhelmingly a reserve evaluation. New Orleans also plans extensive reserve usage after getting significant work during its joint practices.

The system is strong enough to warrant attention, but 61% of tickets are already on Jacksonville, and the personnel edge isn't sufficiently clear for a premium release.

PICK: JAGUARS +2.5

DUFFY IS ABSOLUTELY ROLLING

Joe Duffy is a PERFECT 7-0 in preseason football and 8-0 overall the last two nights after another Juicy Lucy Wise Guy winner! Saturday brings 5 NFL releases, led by a pair of POWERFUL, PREMIUM Wise Guys. The Grandmaster is RED HOT. Get Saturday’s NFL card NOW!