Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Braves over 8 -115

Free Total Annihilator On Rockies vs Diamondbacks under 9 -118

Ricky's 1* play on HOU.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Astros are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

- The Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

- Blade Tidwell is 0-4 in his last 4 starts

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

Free Play on Orioles -112

(#635) Toronto Tempo | ATS | . 

While I did just lose with the Dream against the Mystics, that isn't scaring me off the other way on Monday. They are simply laying way too many points this evening considering its current form. There's no doubt in my mind that Atlanta should emerge victorious in this contest this evening. However, Toronto is going to try and do everything it can to break the streak of eight consecutive losses. I think that the Tempo keep this game rather close here on Monday. 

Burns' Prediction: 102-94 Dream.

Joe D, “THE BEST BIG GAME HUNTER ON THE PLANET” has another BIG GAME WINNER for you in baseball, in my MLB TOP RATED WINNER. I also have a HUGE WINNER in WNBA in my SLAM DUNK WINNER.

Monday’s FREE WINNER: Toronto Blue Jays.

Game 960.

4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST.

There is no question, the Boston Red Sox are the hottest team in baseball for over a month now. In what is traditionally the most competitive division in baseball, they have risen from last place into third place in the American League East, just 7.0-games back. The Red Sox happen to be one of the stronger road teams in the Major’s, as well, earning a 35-22 away record. But I think they’re a bit overvalued here today. The MLB regular season is a long and exhausting season. Boston dropped their last two games against the Athletics, and I feel might be in a situation here today, where they make it three straight defeats. It’s true, Toronto now dwells in the division cellar at 56-63. However, they are playing at home, and enter today’s matchup starting to find their legs a bit, winning six of their last 10 outings. Now on paper, you’re supposed to take the Red Sox with Sonny Gray getting the road start. Certainly, his numbers are better than Jameson Taillon. But baseball is about situations. The Red Sox right-hander is 4-5 in 17 career games, which includes 16 stars against the Blue Jays. And in two starts against them this season, he is winless, owning an ERA of 6.00. The Toronto right-hander has done well over his career against Boston. In eight lifetime starts against them, he is 3-1 with a 2.59 ERA. By the way, Toronto has taken six of the last eight meetings this season alone against their division rival, and going back to last season seven of the last 10 overall matchups. I just feel in this situation today, the Blue Jays at this price offer us tremendous value. Take Toronto. Thank you.

1* Free Play on Twins +109

3* on Padres

1* Free Pick on Twins +109

UNDER 7.5

The Dodgers and Royals have value to the under. Tarik Skubal goes for the Dodgers and will make his 2nd start since the deadline. He runs into a familiar foe as he saw plenty of the Royals this year and throughout his career. Noah Cameron counters and he owns a 0.39 ERA over his last 3 appearances. Both pitchers are going to have a lot of success and we’ll see a lot of quick innings. Back the under. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the UNDER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Monday FREE MLB O/U Play

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Jack's Free Pick Monday: Baltimore Orioles -112

The Baltimore Orioles busted out for 10 runs yesterday against the Texas Rangers.  Look for them to stay hot against their former teammate in Dean Kremer, who they traded to the Minnesota Twins prior to the deadline.

Kremer has had a very rough go of it this season going 1-4 with a 5.93 ERA in eight starts.  He has allowed 27 earned runs and 12 homers in 41 innings this season.  Kremer is now backed by a poor Minnesota bullpen with a 4.79 ERA on the season and a 5.10 ERA at home.

Trevor Rogers has been on a roll for a couple months now.  He is 4-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his last eight starts while allowing just 11 earned runs and 2 homers in 49 2/3 innings.  Rogers has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer while lasting at least 6 innings in eight of his last nine starts overall.  He tossed 7 shutout innings in his lone career start against the Twins earlier this season.  Bet the Orioles Monday.

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1* MLB - Red Sox/Blue Jays FREE PICK on Red Sox -1.5 (+105) 

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Rays/A's OVER 10

The Key: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento is the 2nd-most hitter-friendly park in the majors behind Coors Field.  Conditions will be favorable for runs again tonight with temperatures approaching 90 and light winds blowing out.  Freddy Peralta is 2-5 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 10 road starts this year.  Jacob Lopez is 5-4 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this year, and 0-3 with a 6.61 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 7 home starts.  Take the OVER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Orioles/Twins OVER 8.5

The Twins have gone 66-51-2 OVER in all games this season. The Orioles have also trended OVER the total this season.  The Twins are scoring 4.7 runs per game and allowing 4.9 runs per game, while the Orioles are scoring 4.5 runs per game and allowing 4.8 runs per game.  Dean Kremer is 1-4 with a 5.93 ERA in eight starts this season while giving up 27 earned runs and 12 home runs in 41 innings.  Trevor Rogers is 7-7 with a 4.20 ERA in 21 starts this season.  Give me the OVER.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Monday 8-10-26

Tampa Bay @ Oakland  (9:40 PM EST)
Play On:  Tampa Bay -155

The Tampa Bay Rays travel to take on the A's on Monday night.  Tampa Bay is 71-46 SU overall this year while the A's come in with a 47-71 SU overall record on the season.  Tampa Bay is 52-29 this year against American League opponents.  Tampa Bay is 22-11 this year against left handed starters.  Tampa Bay is 45-24 this year when playing at night.  Tampa Bay is 6-0 over the past week.  The A's are 21-36 at home this season.  The A's are 15-36 overall over the past 2 months.  The A's are 7-25 so far in the second half of the season.  Jacob Lopez is 0-3 with a 6.61 ERA at home this year.  We'll recommend a small play on Tampa Bay tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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1* Free Sharp Play on Rangers vs Angels under 8½ -105

Monday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Giants +138

The Packers roll into Pittsburgh Thursday night for the first full preseason game of the year, and the total is sitting right in that familiar 36.5 to 37.5 window. I’m on the under, and the deeper you dig into the league-wide and team numbers the more it feels like the right side of the math.

League-wide, the 37 threshold has been a reliable separator for years. Closing totals of 37 or higher have gone under at a 56.4 percent clip since 2010, a sample that runs well over 900 games. Since 2014 the under on those 37-plus numbers is even cleaner at 60.7 percent, returning solid units at standard pricing. The reverse holds too. When the number opens at 37 or lower the over hits closer to 59 or 60 percent. This matchup is perched right on the line, but the historical lean still favors the lower side once you account for how little the real starters play these days. Last year only 9.8 percent of preseason pass attempts came from quarterbacks who ended up starting Week 1. That is a sharp drop from the 30-plus percent range we saw a decade ago, and it means more backup-driven football, more conservative play-calling, and fewer explosive finishes.

The Steelers themselves have been a quiet under machine at home in the exhibition season. From 2002 through 2025 Pittsburgh as the home team went under in 67.4 percent of its preseason games, a 14-29-2 record that has produced double-digit units over the long haul. That is not a small-sample fluke. It lines up with the physical, run-heavy identity the organization has carried for years, even when the first-team defense sits most of the night. Green Bay has not been as extreme, but the Packers still play a brand of football that keeps games from turning into track meets, especially on the road in August.

Add the outdoor night setting in western Pennsylvania and the picture gets clearer. Early-season humidity and potential weather keep the ball on the ground more than the public expects. Combined scores in Week 1 preseason games have historically averaged just under 39 points against posted numbers that often sit in the mid-to-high 30s. When you stack the league-wide 56-to-60 percent under rate on 37-plus totals with Pittsburgh’s strong home under history, the edge starts looking real. At -110 a 56 percent hit rate over a 100-game sample nets you positive return after the juice. A 60 percent clip turns it into a steady grind that keeps bankrolls healthy over time.

There is the Rodgers-McCarthy reunion angle, and yes, the veteran may take 30 or 40 snaps against his old club. Even if he does, the majority of the game still belongs to the second and third units still working through timing and communication. Those groups rarely light up the scoreboard in Week 1. I like this under. It matches the long-term numbers, the team-specific home trend, and the reality of limited starter volume. Keep the stake sensible, enjoy the nostalgia, and let the points stay low.

My selection is on San Francisco over Houston at 9:45 pm et on Monday.

I think bettors are going to be chasing the Astros on Monday as they enter off consecutive losses over the weekend in San Diego. I simply feel Houston is laying too high of a price given the starting pitching matchup here as it sends Hayden Wesneski to the hill against Blade Tidwell of the Giants. There's little reason for either starter to instill a great deal of confidence, certainly not enough to warrant the lopsided price. San Francisco figures to be in a foul mood after dropping both games against Detroit on the weekend. It's been a frustrating stretch and season as a whole for San Francisco. It has actually won the series opener in each of its last two series' before dropping the rest. That's a trend I can see continuing in this series. With the Astros travelling (albeit not very far) off the Sunday nighter, we'll fade them here. Take San Francisco (8*).

Our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers to defeat the San Diego Padres on Monday at 9:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Milwaukee will start Logan Henderson who is 6-1 with a 2.70 earned run average in 10 starts this season.

The Brewers have the best overall record in baseball at 74-44 this season.

They are also 5-1 over their L6 games.

At the moment, San Diego is sitting outside of the playoff picture, just one game behind the Phillies.

The Padres will start Casey Mize who got torched in his Padre debut against AZ.

We're on the Brewers.

AAA Sports

Brewers vs Padres MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): San Diego righty Casey Mize (4-7, 3.40 ERA) and Milwaukee rookie Logan Henderson (6-1, 2.70 ERA) bring strong, reliable numbers into this series opener at Petco Park. Mize is no stranger to Milwaukee, sporting a solid 1-1 record with a 3.18 ERA in two prior career starts against them, and he looks to settle in after making his Padres debut last week.

Henderson meanwhile, enters off another dominant outing, picking up a 4-2 win over the visiting Pirates last Tuesday. In that start, he fanned eight over six crisp innings while allowing just four hits and two runs. This will be his first career appearance against San Diego, and his deceptive stuff should keep a disciplined Padres order in check.

Both pitching matchups and team trends point heavily toward a low-scoring grind: Milwaukee is 1-8-1 to the under in their last 10 games overall and a remarkable 21-11 to the under as road favorites this season.

The Bet: Under (3%). 

62-40 (61%) MLB RUNLINE HEATER dating back to March 27, 2025! +$21,100 on $1,000/game bets - put to the test with a 4% TOP PLAY Monday. 

1% GOLD RUSH on Luciano Darderi +3

FREE PLAY on Brewers/Padres under 7½

PSP Data Driven 1* BOS RL.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the road team. The Red Sox are 20-5 in their last 25 games overall. They have the 2nd best road record in the AL, and they have the best bullpen in MLB. 

Texas checks the boxes for the superior-road-team, short-price profile. The supplied database angle shows superior road teams priced as small favorites or underdogs producing a 10.9% ROI. More importantly, the underlying matchup data provides several independent reasons Texas fits the concept rather than relying solely on a historical system.

Why Texas is the side

The overall team-quality gap is substantial. Texas enters 59-59, while Los Angeles is 45-73, the worst record in baseball. The Rangers are actively in the American League playoff race, while the Angels are on pace to threaten the first 100-loss season in franchise history. (MLB)

Run prevention strongly favors Texas. The supplied Covers matchup data has the Rangers allowing 4.42 runs per game compared with 4.87 for the Angels. The offenses are nearly identical at 4.14 runs per game for Texas and 4.10 for Los Angeles, meaning the meaningful season-long separation is on the pitching/run-prevention side.

The bullpen is the most compelling statistical advantage. Covers lists Texas relievers with a 3.36 ERA and 1.19 WHIP overall, with the available bullpen at 3.07/1.16. The Angels' relief corps is at 4.43/1.36, with the available group at 3.73/1.28.

Recent bullpen performance widens that difference dramatically. The same matchup data shows the Texas bullpen permitting only two earned runs in 16.2 innings over its listed last-three sample, a 1.08 ERA. Angels relievers have surrendered eight earned runs in 5.1 innings, a 13.50 ERA, over their corresponding sample. That late-inning disparity is especially significant in a game priced close to a coin flip.

Starting pitching: closer than the records suggest

Reid Detmers is not a pitcher to dismiss. He owns a 4.12 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 150 strikeouts in 129 innings, and his underlying 2026 numbers are somewhat better than MacKenzie Gore's 4.55 ERA. MLB confirms the matchup as Gore against Detmers. (MLB)

But there are counterweights.

Gore's recent results have stabilized considerably. Texas is 4-1 in his last five starts, during which he has a 3.90 ERA. He has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of those five outings.

Detmers, meanwhile, hasn't translated respectable individual pitching into Angels victories. Los Angeles has lost each of his last six starts, dating from July 3 through August 5. That includes a July 9 game at Texas in which Detmers was tagged for five earned runs, seven hits and three homers in four innings.

There is legitimate danger on the other side: Detmers dominated Texas on May 24, striking out a career-high 14 while allowing one hit across eight innings, and Gore was hammered for seven earned runs when he faced the Angels July 8. Those results make this anything but a pure starting-pitcher mismatch. (MLB)

Situational ed

Texas is coming off consecutive home-series victories against San Francisco and Baltimore and had won four straight before Sunday's loss. The Rangers begin this road trip holding a wild-card position, giving the game considerable postseason significance. (Lone Star Ball)

Los Angeles is returning from a 2-4 road trip and was blasted 12-3 by Miami Sunday. The Angels have already lost 73 games and have also moved veterans at the trade deadline as the organization continues its rebuilding process. (MLB)

Bottom line: RANGERS

The starting pitchers make this more competitive than the clubs' records suggest, but Texas has the more complete case. The Rangers have the 14-game superior record, materially better run prevention, dramatically stronger season-long bullpen numbers, far better recent relief work and meaningful playoff motivation.

That makes the supplied 10.9% ROI superior-road-team angle particularly logical here: it identifies the type of matchup in which the stronger club is traveling yet isn't being asked to lay a prohibitive price.

Pick: RANGERS over Angels.

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