Free Sports Picks of the Day

Free Total Annihilator On Steelers vs Bills over 34 -110

Ricky's 1* play on Over.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Over is 6-3 in the Diamondbacks last 9 games.

- The Over is 6-1 in the Diamondbacks last 7 head to head meetings.

- The Over is 3-1 in the Diamondbacks last 4 road games.

Verdict: We should see plenty of Runs in this game.

1* Free Play on Rams/Chargers under 38½ -105

3* on 49ers

The Liberty are coming on winning 10 of their last 13 games. They are in an excellent situational spot to keep winning.

Not only is Golden State on a back-to-back after beating the Sun in Connecticut last night, but this marks its third road game in four days. The Liberty, by contrast, have been idle since Saturday.

New York has the three best players on the court in All-Stars Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones. Versatile and underrated Leonie Fiebich just returned to the Liberty's lineup.

The Valkyries have the No. 1 defense in the WNBA, a strong bench and are well coached. But a tough scheduling spot here mitigates those factors.

Key Golden State players Gabby Williams, Janelle Salaün and Cecilia Zandalasini will be leaving for the World Cup in Germany following this game. So the Valkyries may not have their full concentration. They can't beat the Liberty on the road unless playing their "A" game. I don't see it happening here.

Free Play on 49ers +3½ -110

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Los Angeles Dodgers +113

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the Atlanta Braves by a single run each.  It's rare we get the opportunity to back the Dodgers as underdogs and we'll take advantage today.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 12-7 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 23 starts for the Dodgers this season.  He has done his best work on the road, going 7-2 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 10 starts on the highway.  Yamamoto is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two career starts against the Braves while firing 10 shutout innings.

Chris Sale is having a tremendous season and certainly commands some respect as a result.  But Sale does not enjoy facing the Dodgers, going 1-3 with a 5.29 ERA in six career starts against them while allowing 19 earned runs in 32 1/3 innings.  Bet the Dodgers Thursday.

No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 8-plus years! He is riding a 7102-6212 Run L3272 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $302,030! He was the No. 6 Ranked Overall Capper in 2022 as well as the No. 8 Ranked Overall Capper in 2023! He finished as the No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game players up $165,340 since January 1st, 2022!

No. 1 Ranked NFL Capper All-Time! Jack has SIX Top-10 NFL Finishes (#3 2009, #4 2023, #4 2017, #5 2024, #8 2019, #10 2008) to his credit! He is riding a 650-524 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $67,960! That includes a 377-294 NFL Run since November of 2021! He delivered an 81-56 NFL Record three seasons ago and finished as the No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2023-24 as a result! He followed it up with an 87-66 NFL Record two seasons ago to finish as the No. 5 Ranked NFL Capper in 2024-25 as well!

Jack Jones has SIX Top-10 MLB Finishes (#4 2024, #8 2023, #5 2019, #6 2014, #6 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He finished as the No. 8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $21,110 in 2023! He backed it up by finishing as the No. 4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with $1,000/game players up $34,230!

Jack has delivered a 525-444 Run on all premium plays since February 11th! He is coming off a 3-0 Wednesday SWEEP of the books! This money train stays right on track with Jack's Thursday 3-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his 20* MLB Total DOMINATOR! You'll also receive his 15* MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on the bases along with his 15* NFLX Line Mistake on the pro gridiron upon purchase today folks!

Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Friday's entire card is ON JACK!

1* Free Pick on Bills -149

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Astros/Yankees OVER 8

The Key: The Astros and Yankees are both as healthy offensively as they have been in a long time and it is showing in this series.  They combined for 16 runs in Game 1 and 12 runs in Game 2.  The Yankees should have a big day at the plate against Hayden Wesneski, who is 3-1 with a 4.23 ERA in 5 starts this year for the Astros.  Houston can get to Gerrit Cole, who is 7-6 with a 3.11 ERA in 16 starts.  Cole yielded 5 runs in 5 innings in his last start against the Astros.  Take the OVER.

**4X Top 5 MLB Handicapper!** Dave is on a 2991-2701 MLB Run since June 8th, 2011 to really put a beating on the books in baseball! His $1,000/game investors won $15,660 in MLB in 2023! He finished as the #1 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game investors winning $41,550 for an even bigger season! Dave is in the midst of a 232-155 MLB 7* Run as well as a 440-383 MLB Run since last year! He is on a 17-11 Run L5 Days! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Thursday All Sports 5-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* Dodgers/Braves NL *HEAVY HITTER* along with four 6* picks for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Friday's picks for FREE!

1* FREE INFO PLAY Astros +139

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -103

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in contention for a postseason spot while the San Francisco Giants are not.  I'll side with the Diamondbacks at basically even money today.  The Giants just blew a 9-3 lead in the 9th inning to the Reds yesterday which will be very tough to bounce back from mentally.  We'll fade Landen Roupp, who has a 6.20 ERA in his last five starts.  The Giants are 0-6 in Roupp's last six starts.  He has given up 10 runs in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Diamondbacks.  The Giants are 0-3 in Roupp's last three starts against Arizona.  Give me the Diamondbacks.

*Top 10 Overall Capper 4 of L10 Years!*

*#2 Ranked NFL Capper in 2019-20!*

*#3 Ranked NFL Capper in 2017-18!*

*#5 Ranked NFL Capper in 2011-12!*

*#7 Ranked NFL Capper in 2020-21!*

*#8 Ranked NFL Capper in 2025-26!*

*1910-1659 Football Run! ($1,000/game bettors up $87,390)*

*787-655 NFL Run! ($1,000/game bettors up $64,540)*

*471-358 Run on NFL 5 Unit Top Plays!*

I am the #6 Ranked Football Capper All-Time as well as the #3 Ranked NFL Capper All-Time on this network! I am a 3-Time Top 5 NFL Capper and I closed out last season on a 88-57 NFL Run! Come bet with a proven winner today and get your hands on 2 MLB & 2 NFLX winners inside my Thursday All-Inclusive 4-Pack for $49.99! This card features THREE 5 Unit BEST BETS in the Rockies/Nationals, 49ers/Raiders & Patriots/Browns games! You are GUARANTEED-to-PROFIT or I'll send you Friday's plays for FREE!

1* Free Sharp Play on Brewers vs Mets over 7 -115

OPENING GAME 11-0 CFB TOTALS SYSTEM ( ONLY 2 TIME COLLEGE CHAMP )  18-0 WNBA 6* LATE SEASON TOTALS SYSTEM + 6* 2X PERFECT NFLX + MLB and MORE- Massive Card up. Comp play below

The Thursday CFB Comp play is on Southern Illinois -21 at 7 eastern. The Salukis fit a nice 75% opening week Thursday Specific system that plays on Week 1 Thursday road favorites of 14 or more if they won at least 4 games last season and the posted total is more than 50. Southern Illinois has plenty of experience back on both sides of the ball and should be a force in the Missouri Valley Conference and they are ranked 16th overall in the FCS. They travel to West Florida to take on the Argonauts who are making the jump this year to the FCS and while they will have a loud crowd behind them, as the game progresses and the talent gulf appears the game and cover will eventually go to Southern Illinois who has a top level offense. Play on The Salukis. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Soccer Take Houston over San Jose (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday August 29) We have been doing well with our free soccer picks, so let’s grab another winner this Saturday. San Jose was high in the MLS standings to start the season with nine wins in 10 matches, but they haven’t won since before the World Cup. Since June, they have five losses and a draw, with a goal differential of -14. They hosted another struggling side, Minnesota, on Saturday, and this was the worst loss yet, a 5-1 home loss. They gave up during that match, and that seemed like a spot where they might circle the wagons and give an inspired performance. But instead, it seems like they didn’t care. They have been plummeting in the standings, and we just don’t see them raising their level of play here on the road against Houston, the No. 2 side in the Western Conference. Houston has collected 22 points at home in 10 matches, with seven outright wins and a +6 goal differential. They have won 11 of 15 home meetings against San Jose. The Earthquakes have conceded at least a goal now in 17 straight matches, and the defense and goalkeeping has been dreadful and seems to be getting worse by the match. We think this number will rise as the match gets closer, so jump on this one early!

1* Free Pick on Blue Jays +104

Joe D will SWEEP THE BOARD TODAY in 3 sports: MLB HOME RUN, WNBA 3-1 HOT SHOT & BEST BETS, along with my NFL TOUCHDOWN, AFC CASH MONEY, and my GAME OF THE MONTH RAMS/CHARGERS WINNER. Grab a broom and follow me because WE ARE SWEEPING THE BOARD TODAY.

Thursday’s FREE WINNER: Kansas City Royals.

Yesterday, the Kansas City Royals were blanked 3-0 at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays, ending their nine-game win streak. As a matter of fact, their streak began following the last time they were blanked back on August 15 by the Los Angeles Angels, 1-0. You know, during their hot run of nine consecutive victories, they outscored opponents by a combined, 55-30. I expect this team to come out here with something to prove today and dominate a team they have gotten the better of. That’s right, these two teams have met 10 times since the end of April 2024, and KC has takien seven of those 10 matchups. While both teams are dwelling in their division cellars right now, you cannot ignore the surging heat the Royals are putting out. Their offense has been clicking on all cylinders while their pitching staff has been solid. Speaking of which, you can expect Cameron and Arrighetti in the starting roles. The Royals left-hander is 8-8 while the Blue Jays right-hand is 7-6. However, Cameron has pitched very well since the second week of July, yielding just a combined five earned runs in his last six turns. Over the last three outings he is 2-0 with 1.83 ERA, and on the road, he possesses a 3.33 ERA. Meanwhile, Arrighetti is struggling as the team has dropped seven of his last eight outings. As a matter of fact, his last victory came back on May 28. He gives up a lot of hits, a lot of runs, and a lot of home runs as well. While he owns a 3-1 record on his own field this season, over his last three outings he is winless at 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA. I really like this situation for Kansas City here as they will bounce back from being shut out yesterday and start a new hot streak. Take the Royals. Thank you.

’m taking the Las Vegas Raiders to cover the spread against the San Francisco 49ers in Thursday’s preseason finale. The biggest factor tilting me towards this pick is simply how the two teams are approaching the game. Kyle Shanahan said he doesn’t expect many, if any, San Francisco starters to play this game as the team tries to stay as healthy as possible before heading to Australia next week for the season opener. The 49ers also have over two-dozen players on injured reserve, which severely limits their depth.

Las Vegas will likely have a massive edge at quarterback once the backups roll in. Aidan O’Connell should play a majority of the game and brings plenty of NFL experience along with 17 career starts. He finished 15-of-24 last week for 166 yards and guided a 96-yard game-winning drive in Week 3’s 22-20 victory over the Houston Texans.

That experience will matter this week in a preseason finale. O’Connell will be fighting for a roster spot while possibly auditioning for other teams. A bunch of Raiders reserves will also be fighting for spots on the roster. Las Vegas has proven depth and outplayed the Texans, winning the yardage battle 400-219 despite trailing 20-3 at halftime.

The 49ers scored 41 points last week against the Chargers, but that offense was inflated by an 83-yard punt-return touchdown. San Francisco is going to roll out a far more reserve-heavy lineup on Thursday. Las Vegas is at home in Allegiant Stadium and has the more experienced backup quarterback situation, so I expect the Raiders to win this game once it starts trending in one direction.

Jim's Play: 106. LV Raiders

Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Giants -103 

Looking at the Week 0 board this year, one number keeps staring me right in the face. TCU laying a touchdown against North Carolina over in Dublin feels like the cleanest play on the early slate.

I have been on this one for a while now. TCU has the more settled roster, especially in the trenches, and that continuity matters more than most people want to admit in Week 0. North Carolina is still sorting through a heavy overhaul in Belichick’s second season, with a new offensive coordinator trying to install a system on the fly and a pile of new bodies who have not taken meaningful snaps together yet. In college football, that gap tends to show up early, especially when both teams have to fly across the ocean for a noon kick.

Neutral-site openers have always been kind to the more physical, more experienced side. Over the last fifteen years, favorites laying between six and eight points in true neutral-site season openers have covered right around 58 percent of the time. At standard juice you only need to hit 52.4 percent to break even, so that edge is real. When you tighten the filter to games that involved long-haul or overseas travel, the favorite’s cover rate climbs closer to 61 percent and the under hits nearly 60 percent of the time. The average total in those spots has finished almost four points under the number. Jet lag is no joke, and neither is limited practice time before a transatlantic flight.

TCU has been the more consistent outfit under Sonny Dykes. His teams usually play with a clear physical identity and they do not mind grinding it out early in the season. North Carolina, meanwhile, has spent the last couple of years looking like a roster still trying to figure out who belongs where. Historical trends for ACC teams opening against Big 12 competition on neutral fields lean toward the side with better line continuity, and TCU checks that box. Favorites in this exact range that also held a clear edge up front have covered better than 60 percent since the mid-2010s. That is the kind of number that keeps the lights on if you stay disciplined.

I will take the under as a secondary piece if the total sits near 48. Early-season scoring is often suppressed when teams are still installing, traveling, and playing a little tight. Both sides prefer a physical brand of football, and that style rarely produces fireworks in the first half of a Week 0 game on foreign soil.

Hawai’i getting points at Stanford and Memphis as a small dog against UNLV are fine secondary looks if you like chasing value on the dog side. I generally leave the massive numbers alone unless the total is screaming. This TCU spot is different. It is the kind of early-season situation where the sharper side of the board usually cashes, and the travel factor only adds another layer of protection.

I have been wrong before and I will be wrong again, but this one sits right with me. Continuity, trenches, travel, and the historical numbers all point the same direction. If the line drifts a half-point either way I am still on it. Good luck if you decide to ride along.

Note: I bet this selection while was able to get -7. But it s still good at this number.

Please unless your a weekend warrior do not buy off the hook.

BUYING OFF THE HOOK 

Buying off the hook is one of those moves that feels smart in the moment and slowly bleeds you over time. I have watched plenty of sharp money and square money both fall into the same trap, and the long-term numbers do not lie. You are paying extra juice to move the line half a point or a full point so a common final margin turns into a push or a win instead of a loss. Classic example is laying the three and a half instead of the three, or taking the plus three and a half instead of the plus three. The hook disappears, your ticket looks safer, and the price quietly climbs from minus one-ten to minus one-twenty or worse.

That extra juice is the real problem. Standard minus one-ten needs you to cash about fifty-two point four percent just to break even. Jump to minus one-twenty and you need roughly fifty-four and a half percent. At minus one-thirty you are staring at fifty-six and a half percent. Those two to four extra points of required win rate add up fast across a season. The probability of a game landing exactly on the number you bought off is almost never high enough to cover the cost over hundreds of plays.

Football is where the conversation gets loudest because the key numbers actually matter. Three and seven have historically been the biggest hooks in both the NFL and college game. League-wide data over the last decade shows finals of three happening in the high teens percentage range and sevens in the low double digits. Buying off those numbers is the only spot where the math gets closer to break-even. Even then you are usually still overpaying. Outside of those true keys the half-points become pure juice leaks. Teams that routinely buy from three and a half to three or from seven and a half to seven have shown thin or negative edges once you factor in the price.

Basketball is a different animal. NBA and college totals and spreads move around half-points constantly, but the distribution of final margins is flatter. Landing exactly on a three or a four happens less often than football’s big keys, so the value of buying the half-point is even thinner. Same story in baseball with the run line. Buying from one and a half to one or two and a half to two costs you juice that the frequency of those exact margins rarely repays. Soccer worldwide, whether Premier League, La Liga, Serie A or the big South American leagues, runs mostly on Asian handicaps where the half-goal and quarter-goal moves are already priced aggressively. Buying further off the number there is usually just giving the book more of your money for protection you do not need.

I have seen the same pattern in hockey, tennis, and the rest of the major venues. The public loves the feeling of being off the hook. The long-term winners almost never make it a habit. They would rather shop for the best available number, take the standard juice, and live with the occasional hook loss. The ones who grind out profits treat buying points like a last resort, not a regular tool. Only when the price is unusually soft on a true key number does the play even enter the conversation, and those spots are rare.

The bottom line is simple. Occasional, selective buys off a real key number at a fair price can be tolerable. Making it standard operating procedure is a slow leak that compounds against you. The juice almost always costs more than the protection is worth. Stay patient, shop the numbers, and let the hooks fall where they fall. That approach has kept more bankrolls healthy than any amount of buying ever will.

Alex Smart

My selection is on the 'under' between the Rams and Chargers at 10 pm et on Thursday.

We won with the 'over' in the Chargers blowout loss at home against the 49ers last week. San Francisco did most of the heavy lifting with that total. In fact, it eclipsed the game total all on its own. All indications are that the Chargers will give their starters a bit of a run in this game, but likely only a drive or so. The Rams are one of the more disinterested preseason teams annually under head coach Sean McVay, so don't count on seeing their starters here - certainly not QB Matthew Stafford. Off last week's high-scoring game at SoFi Stadium, I think casual bettors will look to back the 'over' here with the total sitting in the 30's, but we'll confidently go the other way. Take the under (8*).

Celebrating my 23rd year handicapping professionally, now is the time to hop on board with football season right around the corner! Long-term packages are available at massive discounts over the price of individual picks; sign up today!

1% GOLD RUSH on Diamondbacks -1½

FREE PLAY on Raiders -3

PSP Data Driven 1* Yankees.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Gerrit Cole is 4-1 in his last 5 starts for the Yankees. The Astros are 2-4 in their last 6 games.

Florida State finished last season with a disappointing 5-7 overall record and a 2-6 conference record.  They were 5-2 at home and 0-5 on the road.  The Seminoles put up 33 points per game and allowed 22 points per game. New Mexico State finished last season with a 4-8 overall record and a  2-6 conference record. They were 3-3 at home and 1-5 on the road. The Aggies scored 21.6 points per game and allowed 27.6 points per game. New Mexico State has lost each of its last 10 road openers. New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight games in August. Florida State has lost four of its last five season openers as a favorite. Florida State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five season openers as a favorite. Florida State needs to show an improvement over last season. They are the better team, but this is a lot of points in an opener for a team that has failed to cover in five straight openers.

Play on New Mexico State. This is a FREE play,

For my best free pick on the board here for Wednesday in NFL preseason football I am looking at the LA Rams at the LA Chargers. Rams a super bowl contender and they are 2-0 in the preseason off a 34-0 win over the Saints and the team they are playing are off a 41-17 beatdown so you know the world will be on the Rams. Very lucky here as this is the perfect storm here to fade the Rams. We should see Herbert play some on Thursday. Trey Lance should get a lot of action especially off that bummer performance last week. Lots of Stetson Bennett and Ty Simpson here. 

Play on the LA Chargers minus the points here on Thursday rotation #108

***DO NOT MISS MY ALL ACCESS FOOTBALL PASS I AM 169-113 60% OVER THE LAST 2 SEASONS COMBINED OF COLLEGE FOOTBALL AND 63-48 58% IN THE NFL LAST YEAR***

The broad preseason total profile points toward the UNDER. Preseason totals of 37 or higher have gone 575-438 UNDER since 2010 — 56.8%.

The personnel structure provides some additional support. Kyle Shanahan is expected to protect most established San Francisco starters, turning the game largely over to reserve units. San Francisco still has several live roster battles, but the first-unit offensive continuity seen during meaningful regular-season action will not be present. (49ers Webzone)

Las Vegas is similarly focused on evaluation. The Raiders continue to highlight young players such as Fernando Mendoza entering the finale, while their remaining roster battles take priority over regular-season offensive game planning. (Las Vegas Raiders)

The public is leaning the other way on the total, with roughly 55% of tickets and 59% of money on the OVER, providing modest additional support for the UNDER.

The system is profitable but materially weaker than the premium side systems, so this stays at Free Play level.

FREE PLAY: 49ers-Raiders UNDER 38.5

Betting parameters: Play UNDER 38 or higher. Pass at 37.5 or lower.