Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Rangers -128

1* Free Pick on Nationals +123

Free Total Annihilator On Toronto Tempo vs Mystics under 168½ -110

1* Bet on Lynx -2

Ricky's 1* play on GS.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Golden State Valkyries are 6-0 in their last 6 games.

- Golden State Valkyries are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.

- Golden State Valkyries are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 head to head meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the home Underdog.

The Marlins' Sandy Alcantara is one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. He hasn't been pitching this well in four years previous to when he underwent Tommy John's surgery in 2023.

Alcantara has allowed only one earned run during his past four starts spanning 27 innings. Among these outings  was a 1-0 victory against the Phillies on July 28 when Alcantara pitched seven scoreless innings.

The key to making this Under work is Phillies starter Aaron Nola. He is having a bad season, but has looked better during his last four starts giving up two earned runs or fewer in three of those starts.

3* on 49ers

1* Free Play on Reds -140

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+105)

The Cleveland Guardians have a great chance to make some headway in the AL Central.  They have the Giants, Rockies and Angels in their next three series.  They are off to a great start with an 8-1 victory over the Giants in Game 1 yesterday, and I look for them to win by multiple runs again in Game 2 tonight.

The Giants have one of the worst lineups in baseball in their current state after trading away Luis Arraez, coupled with some injuries.  They have gone just 4-12 in their last 16 games overall to fall to 51-74 on the season.  They are simply just playing out the string at this point.

The Guardians have a big advantage on the mound today behind ace Parker Messick, who is 9-7 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  Messick has a 1.96 ERA in seven starts since June, and he is 5-0 with a 1.17 ERA in eight career interleague starts.

The Giants will call up Matt Wilkinson to make his MLB debut tonight.  Wilkinson pitched well at Double-A, but he is 3-4 with a 5.15 ERA at the Triple-A level while allowing 25 earned runs and 7 homers in 43 2/3 innings in 10 starts.  Bet the Guardians on the Run Line Wednesday.

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Jack Jones has SIX Top-10 MLB Finishes (#4 2024, #8 2023, #5 2019, #6 2014, #6 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He finished as the No. 8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $21,110 in 2023! He backed it up by finishing as the No. 4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with $1,000/game players up $34,230!

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1* Free Pick on 49ers +100

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:

1* on Los Angeles Angels +145

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Los Angeles Angels tonight as big road underdogs to the Houston Astros.  Walbert Urena has been too good to be this big of an underdog to Ethan Pecko, who will be making his MLB debut tonight.  Urena is 8-8 with a 2.67 ERA in 22 games this season that includes 20 starts.  He sports a 1.75 ERA in his last 7 starts while yielding only 7 ER in 36 innings.  Urena has held the Astros to one ER in 11 innings in 2 starts against them in 2026.  Take Los Angeles.

**4X Top 5 MLB Handicapper!** Dave is on a 2973-2683 MLB Run since June 8th, 2011 to really put a beating on the books in baseball! His $1,000/game investors won $15,660 in MLB in 2023! He finished as the #1 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game investors winning $41,550 for an even bigger season! Dave is in the midst of a 228-153 MLB 7* Run as well as a 422-365 MLB Run since last year! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Wednesday MLB 5-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NL West Total of the Month along with four 6* picks on the diamond for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Thursday's MLB picks for FREE!

1* FREE INFO PLAY Marlins +119

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Washington Nationals +121

The Washington Nationals have the starting pitching advantage over the Texas Rangers and are a good value play as underdogs tonight.  Cade Cavalli is 10-5 with a 3.36 ERA in 26 starts this season and 5-3 with a 3.23 ERA in 12 road starts.  He is 5-1 with a 2.13 ERA in his last six starts while giving up 9 earned runs in 38 innings.  He has given up 3 earned runs or fewer in 12 consecutive starts, and 2 earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 11 starts.  Kumar Rocker is 4-9 with a 4.50 ERA this season and 3-8 with a 4.84 ERA in 14 home starts.  Give me the Nationals.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Wednesday 8-19-26

Seattle @ Milwaukee  (7:40 PM EST)
Play On:  Milwaukee -118

The Seattle Mariners take on the Brewers in Milwaukee on Wednesday night.  Seattle is 59-68 SU overall this year while Milwaukee comes in with a 78-48 SU overall record on the season.  Seattle is 26-38 on the road this year.  Seattle is 21-43 this year when the money line is +125 to -125.  Milwaukee is 42-22 at home this season.  Milwaukee is 26-14 in inter-league play this year.  Milwaukee is 44-21 this year when the money line is -100 to -150.  Milwaukee is 22-5 this year at home when the total is 7 to 7 1/2.  Logan Gilbert has a 6.38 ERA in inter-league game this season.  Dustin May is 4-0 with a 2.39 ERA when pitching at night this year.  We'll recommend a small play on Milwaukee tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocky Atkinson has his MLB PLAY OF THE DAY going Wednesday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 353-304 54% MLB run over his last 683 picks!  Join now!

Rocketman is documented hitting 79% now in the WNBA and is on a RED HOT 7-0 current run!  Rocky Atkinson has a WNBA 2-Pack for Thursday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 17-5 77% WNBA run over his last 23 picks! Join now!

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Rocky Atkinson has his CFL Game of the Week going Sunday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 14-5 74% CFL run over his last 20 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $8,450 since October 25, 2024 with his Spread on Saskatchewan v. BC!

1* Free Sharp Play on Colorado Rapids +187

HUMP DAY Card with a MASSIVE WNBA TIER 1- WNBA $$ BIG on Tuesday. There is also a 6* MLB TOP Rated August Specific System and an NFLX Total for Thursday. MLS Comp play below

The Hump day Comp play in MLS Soccer is on the Over 3 goals in the FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake match at 9:30 eastern. These two played in May with Dallas taking the spoils in a 3-1 win. In the last 9 matches between these two Both teams have scored in 7 of them. In fact Both teams have found the back of the net in each of the last 5 Salt Lake League games. Both teams are close in the standing at 5th and 7th and separated by just a few points. In the head to head 4 of the last 6 matches have been higher scoring with more than 3 goals. Both teams are in similar form and acclimating back to League play after Leagues Cup action where the matches tend to be more tactical and lower scoring. Look for this one to play over 3 goals tonight. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Liga MX Soccer Take Tigres UANL -1.5 over Atlante (9 p.m. EST, Friday August 21) Tigres have sone work to do as they are all the way down in position No. 16 in the table (of 18 sides). This is a perennial championship contender, and we have no doubt they will rise up the standings as the season progresses (13 matches left). This looks like a good spot for them. Atlante is new to The Liga and they were promoted from Liga MX Expansion and also they took on Mazatlán’s infrastructure when that side was disbanded after last season. They have been impressive with points in three of four matches so far. They have played a lot in Mexico City, where they reside, but this will be a tough road tilt for them. The last time they went on the road outside of Mexico City was their only loss of the season, to Necaxa, a team that is much worse than Tigres. They suffered a couple really bad losses in Leagues Cup, where they were beaten by Salt Lake and Minnesota in the USA with a goal differential of -6. These sides haven’t played in a long time, but Tigres have won the last three meetings by two goals each. It’s not time to panic yet, but Tigres desperately need three points here, and this looks like a great spot at home for them to get back on track. And the value is at the lowest point it will probably be all season for this side, and we will strike while the value is there.

1* Free Pick on Nationals +127

Wednesday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Royals -130 

Looking at the Week 0 board this year, one number keeps staring me right in the face. TCU laying a touchdown against North Carolina over in Dublin feels like the cleanest play on the early slate.

I have been on this one for a while now. TCU has the more settled roster, especially in the trenches, and that continuity matters more than most people want to admit in Week 0. North Carolina is still sorting through a heavy overhaul in Belichick’s second season, with a new offensive coordinator trying to install a system on the fly and a pile of new bodies who have not taken meaningful snaps together yet. In college football, that gap tends to show up early, especially when both teams have to fly across the ocean for a noon kick.

Neutral-site openers have always been kind to the more physical, more experienced side. Over the last fifteen years, favorites laying between six and eight points in true neutral-site season openers have covered right around 58 percent of the time. At standard juice you only need to hit 52.4 percent to break even, so that edge is real. When you tighten the filter to games that involved long-haul or overseas travel, the favorite’s cover rate climbs closer to 61 percent and the under hits nearly 60 percent of the time. The average total in those spots has finished almost four points under the number. Jet lag is no joke, and neither is limited practice time before a transatlantic flight.

TCU has been the more consistent outfit under Sonny Dykes. His teams usually play with a clear physical identity and they do not mind grinding it out early in the season. North Carolina, meanwhile, has spent the last couple of years looking like a roster still trying to figure out who belongs where. Historical trends for ACC teams opening against Big 12 competition on neutral fields lean toward the side with better line continuity, and TCU checks that box. Favorites in this exact range that also held a clear edge up front have covered better than 60 percent since the mid-2010s. That is the kind of number that keeps the lights on if you stay disciplined.

I will take the under as a secondary piece if the total sits near 48. Early-season scoring is often suppressed when teams are still installing, traveling, and playing a little tight. Both sides prefer a physical brand of football, and that style rarely produces fireworks in the first half of a Week 0 game on foreign soil.

Hawai’i getting points at Stanford and Memphis as a small dog against UNLV are fine secondary looks if you like chasing value on the dog side. I generally leave the massive numbers alone unless the total is screaming. This TCU spot is different. It is the kind of early-season situation where the sharper side of the board usually cashes, and the travel factor only adds another layer of protection.

I have been wrong before and I will be wrong again, but this one sits right with me. Continuity, trenches, travel, and the historical numbers all point the same direction. If the line drifts a half-point either way I am still on it. Good luck if you decide to ride along.

Note: I bet this selection while was able to get -7. But it s still good at this number.

Please unless your a weekend warrior do not buy off the hook.

BUYING OFF THE HOOK 

Buying off the hook is one of those moves that feels smart in the moment and slowly bleeds you over time. I have watched plenty of sharp money and square money both fall into the same trap, and the long-term numbers do not lie. You are paying extra juice to move the line half a point or a full point so a common final margin turns into a push or a win instead of a loss. Classic example is laying the three and a half instead of the three, or taking the plus three and a half instead of the plus three. The hook disappears, your ticket looks safer, and the price quietly climbs from minus one-ten to minus one-twenty or worse.

That extra juice is the real problem. Standard minus one-ten needs you to cash about fifty-two point four percent just to break even. Jump to minus one-twenty and you need roughly fifty-four and a half percent. At minus one-thirty you are staring at fifty-six and a half percent. Those two to four extra points of required win rate add up fast across a season. The probability of a game landing exactly on the number you bought off is almost never high enough to cover the cost over hundreds of plays.

Football is where the conversation gets loudest because the key numbers actually matter. Three and seven have historically been the biggest hooks in both the NFL and college game. League-wide data over the last decade shows finals of three happening in the high teens percentage range and sevens in the low double digits. Buying off those numbers is the only spot where the math gets closer to break-even. Even then you are usually still overpaying. Outside of those true keys the half-points become pure juice leaks. Teams that routinely buy from three and a half to three or from seven and a half to seven have shown thin or negative edges once you factor in the price.

Basketball is a different animal. NBA and college totals and spreads move around half-points constantly, but the distribution of final margins is flatter. Landing exactly on a three or a four happens less often than football’s big keys, so the value of buying the half-point is even thinner. Same story in baseball with the run line. Buying from one and a half to one or two and a half to two costs you juice that the frequency of those exact margins rarely repays. Soccer worldwide, whether Premier League, La Liga, Serie A or the big South American leagues, runs mostly on Asian handicaps where the half-goal and quarter-goal moves are already priced aggressively. Buying further off the number there is usually just giving the book more of your money for protection you do not need.

I have seen the same pattern in hockey, tennis, and the rest of the major venues. The public loves the feeling of being off the hook. The long-term winners almost never make it a habit. They would rather shop for the best available number, take the standard juice, and live with the occasional hook loss. The ones who grind out profits treat buying points like a last resort, not a regular tool. Only when the price is unusually soft on a true key number does the play even enter the conversation, and those spots are rare.

The bottom line is simple. Occasional, selective buys off a real key number at a fair price can be tolerable. Making it standard operating procedure is a slow leak that compounds against you. The juice almost always costs more than the protection is worth. Stay patient, shop the numbers, and let the hooks fall where they fall. That approach has kept more bankrolls healthy than any amount of buying ever will.

Alex Smart

My selection is on Winnipeg plus the points over Edmonton at 9:30 pm et on Friday.

The Blue Bombers closed as four-point favorites at home against the Elks in the first meeting between these two teams this season but ultimately lost that game 23-18. So Winnipeg will be out for revenge in Edmonton on Friday and I think the Elks are quite simply laying too many points. Casual bettors will look at last week's 42-12 Elks win over the Argonauts and assume they're rightfully installed as considerable favorites here. Keep in mind, Edmonton took advantage of four Toronto turnovers in that game. In fact, the Elks have been cleaning up in the turnover battle for much of the season but as I've stated time and time again, turnovers aren't something we can accurately predict. For the most part this season, the Elks haven't met a close game they didn't like, with four of their seven victories coming by five points or less. It's been an up and down season for the Bombers but I think they're capable of taking this game down to the wire at the very least. Take Winnipeg (8*).

Giants vs Guardians August 19, 2026

The Angle(s): Cleveland hands the ball to left-hander Parker Messick (9-7, 2.59 ERA), who has been sharp, but backing the Guardians as home favorites continues to bleed bankrolls.

Cleveland has a 22-27 record as a home favorite for a costly -22% ROI (5-6, -20% with Messick as the starter).

The betting public routinely overvalues the Guardians at Progressive Field, making them a prime target to fade today.

The Bet: Giants (1%). 

Free Play – Take #929 Washington +121 over Texas (8:05 p.m. ET, Wednesday, August 19)

This interleague affair features two clubs struggling. Washington misses James Woods in the lineup, currently on the IL, and they have lost six of seven. Texas won the series opener 5-0; however, they are on a 2-5 downturn. The Nationals' only win in this span was when Cade Cavalli (10-5, 3.36 ERA) pitched, as he’s turned into the ace. Cavalli is 5-1 with a 2.25 ERA over his past seven starts, striking out 46 batters and walking 10 in 44 innings. The Rangers counter with Kumar Rocker (4-9, 4.50 ERA), who is having a rocky August with an 8.10 ERA over three starts. Cavalli has pitched at least six innings in seven straight starts, which helps protect the Nationals' #17 bullpen. If Rocker is pulled before the 5th inning, the Rangers' once-solid pen has a 5.43 ERA the past two months and has fallen out of the Top to #17. With Cavalli and company 6-0 vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs a game.

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DOUG UPSTONE has a nice 3-0 Tuesday and is coming back with TWO MLB picks. He looks to better his 181-149 long-term on all picks! Doug has a 221-180 mark on baseball picks. With NFLX here, Doug is an amazing 106-66 the last 21 years in August pro football!

Upstone is a highly decorated betting expert with 30 monitored titles in various sports and 114 Top 10 finishes in his stellar 24-year career. Get Doug’s Best Bets, Top Plays, Super Systems and terrific trends,

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FREE PLAY on Real Salt Lake +101

PSP Data Driven 1* Reds.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. The Reds have won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Matthew Liberatore is 1-4 in his last 5 starts.

For my best free pick on the board here for Wednesday in MLB I am looking at the Miami Marlins at the Philadelphia Phillies. What a bargain here fading Aaron Nola and back Sandy Alcantara here on Wednesday night. Sandy a 1.64 ERA over the last 5 starts and averaging 6.1 innings pitched in those starts. Aaron Nola is a powder keg waiting to happen as he has not been the best at hitting his spots in most of his starts this season. Add to that a Phillies bullpen that has nit been dependable as of late and you have a recipe of disaster. 

Play on the Miami Marlins on the ML rotation #903

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The side isn't quite as strong because the market has taken away the original price, but the system discrepancy remains enormous.

Houston is:

7-1 ATS in Game 2

Las Vegas is:

3-9 ATS in Game 2

The Raiders have also entered this spot on an 0-4 ATS preseason-road run.

There is a coaching situational system as well. DeMeco Ryans entered 2026 6-4 ATS overall in preseason but lost the opener to the Chargers, updating his career ATS mark to 6-5. More importantly, Ryans has been 3-0 SU and ATS following a preseason loss. Houston qualifies directly.

Personnel agrees with the systems. Stroud and the healthy Houston starters are expected to play, a significant change after Houston rested most front-line personnel in its 27-7 opener.

Houston also reportedly had the better of Tuesday's joint practice. Its running game produced one of its better sessions of camp, Stroud threw multiple touchdowns, and the Texans' defensive front consistently pressured both Kirk Cousins and Mendoza.

The major Las Vegas positive is Mendoza. The No. 1 overall pick received his first meaningful first-team practice work and is expected to play extensively Thursday. He remains one of the strongest young/hungry quarterback profiles on the preseason board.