Free Sports Picks of the Day
Browse all available free picks, predictions and matchup analysis for current in-season sports below.
The selections here are complimentary plays posted daily from sports betting and handicapping experts.
These picks are a secondary addition to a handicapper’s stronger releases and best bets of the day.
Sunday, February 1, 2026
Oliver Smith
3* on Suns
Joe Duffy
Luck Factor quantifies how much a team’s results have been inflated or deflated by randomness rather than repeatable skill. It isolates outcomes driven by volatile, unpredictable events—turnovers, tipped passes, fumble recoveries, missed kicks, late-game variance—by comparing expected results (derived from play-by-play efficiency and situation-neutral metrics) to actual wins and losses. The goal is to strip out what teams can’t control and identify where regression is likely.
In application, we focus on the Luck Factor gap, calculated from actual wins versus analytically expected wins. If one team has three more wins than its underlying performance supports (i.e., +3 luck) and the opponent has three fewer wins than expected (–3 luck), the resulting luck gap is 6.
That differential matters because markets tend to price records, not causes. Large positive gaps flag teams that are often overvalued, while large negative gaps identify teams that are undervalued and “due” as variance normalizes.
Denver has 1.3 more wins than they earned with OKC with 2.2 fewer, a Luck Gap of 3.5 saying OKC is undervalued.
Large away favorites that don’t have a bad delta points allowed is 1368-1066-47. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the average team total.
Big favorites versus opponent fat and happy off a win is 564-395-20. When the team we are betting on is also angry off a win, it’s 60.5% and 15.5 ROI. Fade big dogs with great records is 755-562-34 for +136.80 units and nice 9.4 ROI.
Our contrarian indexes, with worldwide online and brick and mortar sportsbooks, the other has to do with super-square outlaw money, has this as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. In particular, public dogs generally die.
Winsanity rolls on.
Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy just posted a 7–1 night, improving to 322-254 overall, +$4,427 at $100 units.
College basketball continues to dominate at 113-75 (60%), +$3,018. Today, 4 more winners, led by the Summit League Game of the Year. 7 NBA led by 3 Wise Guy bets!
The NBA stays scorching at 65%.
No gimmicks. No volatility chasing.
Just proven edges, disciplined execution, and results that keep stacking across every sport.
Doug Upstone
Free Play – Take OVER 210.5 #545-46 L.A. Clippers vs. Phoenix (8:10 p.m. ET, Friday, Feb. 1)
I know I said no more total plays, but on this one, I cannot help myself. The reason, in the NBA, I have two teams in the same game that fit a totals system. The L.A. Clippers and Phoenix Suns are expected to be a low-scoring matchup with the total at 213.5. However, I have this system that fits each club. When the total is 210 to 219.5 - in a game involving two free-throw shooting teams at 79% or higher, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's), the OVER is 30-2.
DOUG UPSTONE is on a spectacular all-sports run of 66-44 for over $2,00 profit! He’s a super 126-81 college hoops run (65-42 current run) for over $3,500, on an 18-7 strong move in Hockey ($900), 67% in the NBA.
>CBB Sunday Singular Best Bet! Superb 65-43 Ru
>Lakers/Knicks Winner - 29-6 System
Upstone is a highly decorated betting expert with 29 monitored titles in various sports and 110 Top 10 finishes in his stellar 23-year career.
Bobby Conn
1* Free Play on Wofford +2 -105
Ricky Tran
Ricky's 1* play on Under.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Under is 8-2 in Oregon last 10 games.
- The Under is 5-0 in Oregon last 5 home games.
- The total has gone under in 2 of Iowa last 3 games.
Verdict: Points should be hard to come by in this game.
Dave Price
Dave's Sunday Free Play:
1* on Bulls/Heat UNDER 235.5
The Key: This is a rare occasion where the Heat and Bulls will be squaring off for a 3rd time in 4 days. This usually only happens in the playoffs, and I like taking the UNDER the longer a playoff series progresses. These teams know each other inside and out and that favors defense. Both teams are dealing with a ton of injuries, and the Bulls aren't going to shoot 50% from 3 again like they did yesterday in their upset victory. Take the UNDER.
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Andrew Gold
1% GOLD RUSH on Bruins/Lightning: under 6
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Magic/Spurs UNDER 224
The San Antonio Spurs are 14-1 UNDER in their last 15 games overall and 20-3 UNDER in their last 23 games. They have gone for 217 or fewer combined points in 10 of their last 14 games, and this total of 224 is too high for a game involving the Spurs right now.
The Orlando Magic are 3-2 UNDER in their last five games with 224 or fewer combined points in three of those five games. The Magic remain without their best scorer in Franz Wagner (22.2 PPG) and clearly miss him on the offensive end.
Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace. The Spurs rank 3rd in defensive rating while the Magic are 15th. The Magic and Spurs have gone for 226 or fewer combined points in four of their last five meetings, and they have gone for 221 or fewer in three of those. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.
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Jeff Alexander
1* NBA - Clippers/Suns FREE PICK on Suns +1.5
Hunter Price
1* Free Pick on Bruins +185
Brandon Lee
Sunday's NBA Free Pick
PLAY ON: Knicks -4.5
William Burns
(#65) Vegas Golden Knights | ML | .
Vegas comes into this game as an underdog. I'm a bit surprised, even on the road. The Golden Knights are off four consecutive defeats which makes me like them even more. They are too good of a team to be losing this many games and have revenge on their minds off B2B OT losses against the Ducks earlier this year.
Anaheim has also lost consecutive games including a very bad performance against the Canucks last time out. I believe that the Ducks are going to continue to struggle as long as Leo Carlsson remains out of the lineup as he's done so much for them this year. I'll take my chances with VGK as a road dog.
Burns' Prediction: 4-1 Vegas.
Check back often as picks and predictions are posted here at different times during the day and week.
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They are still good quality plays, just not their strongest for today. To get top rated selections, visit their profile page or see today's expert picks.
