Free Sports Picks of the Day

1*

1* Free Play on Giants +126

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-107)

Two teams headed in opposite directions square off in this series between the Red Sox and A's.  The Red Sox have gone 17-2 in their last 19 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in 14 of those 19 games.  They should win this game by multiple runs tonight.

The A's are 4-19 in their last 23 games overall and have been held to 2 runs or fewer in 12 of those 23 games.  The injuries just keep piling up for them as they are now without All-Star C Shea Langeliers, who tore his meniscus yesterday and will likely miss the rest of the season.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Payton Tolle, who is 5-6 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 3-3 with a 2.83 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in seven road starts.  He is backed by one of the best bullpens in baseball with Boston having a 3.05 ERA overall and a 2.91 ERA on the road.

Jack Perkins is 2-5 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 25 games this season for the A's, which includes seven starts.  He has allowed 47 earned runs and 11 homers in 62 2/3 innings.  Like many of these A's pitchers, he has been at his worst at home going 1-2 with a 7.41 ERA and 1.56 WHIP while allowing 28 earned runs in 34 innings.  The A's have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.55 ERA on the season and a 7.01 ERA at home.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Monday.

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1* MLB - Brewers/Giants FREE PICK on Giants +123

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Brewers/Giants OVER 8.5

With double-digit winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight there should be plenty of runs to top this 8.5-run total.  Brandon Sproat is 3-5 with a 5.09 ERA in 19 games for the Brewers this season, 17 of those which have been starts.  Tyler Mahle is 2-9 with a 5.31 ERA in 16 starts for the Giants this season.  The Brewers are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  The Giants scored a total of 19 runs in their three games with the Angels at home over the weekend.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 18 of their last 20 games.  Give me the OVER.

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My selection is on Milwaukee over San Francisco at 9:45 pm et on Monday.

While the price is pretty much in line with where I expected it to settle, I do think it could be even higher in favor of the Brewers in this series opener. Milwaukee was stunned in the first of its three-game set against the Rockies on Friday but bounced back nicely on the weekend, delivering consecutive blowout wins. I'm confident we'll see the Brewers keep it rolling into San Francisco, where the Giants are coming off a 4-3 loss to the Angels yesterday. Brandon Sproat will take the ball for Milwaukee. He's not a household name by any means and has labored through his last couple of outings. I think he was caught trying to do too much last time out as the Brewers provided him no run support at all. Note that Sproat has been better on the road than at home this season, logging a 4.30 ERA and 1.22 WHIP compared to a 5.98 ERA and 1.57 WHIP at home. The Giants rank 23rd in the majors in home wOBA this season. They'll hand the ball to Tyler Mahle. While it looks like he has turned things around over his last few starts, keep in mind those came against the Rockies (twice) and the Royals. The Giants have still lost three of his last four and eight of his last 11 outings. Mahle will have his hands full with a Brewers club that ranks seventh in the majors in xwOBA over the last week. Take Milwaukee (8*).

AAA Sports' Selection: Milwaukee Brewers (ML).

Milwaukee will start Brandon Sproat -- His statistics aren't great. But, he's been pitching consistently well for the L2 months now.

The Brewers are 7-2 over their L9 games and have been great all year long with a 66-39 record.

They are also 21-10 in road games this year versus opponents within the National League.

San Francisco will start Tyler Mahle -- He is 2-9 this season and has a very inflated earned run average.

The Giants are just 33-42 this season when playing against opponents within the NL.

We're on Milwaukee.

1% GOLD RUSH on Stefano Tsitsipas +115

FREE PLAY on Angels -101

PSP Data Driven 1* Red Sox.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Boston are 9-0 SU in its last 9 games on the road. Athletics are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.