Free Sports Picks of the Day

*Free Play Over* The NC State Wolfpack lost in the most heartbreaking way last weekend. I've never seen a game end like their loss to Vanderbilt. 

NC State's offense is much better than their defense. The Wolfpack defense ranks 116th in PPA/pass allowed and 123rd in PPA/rush allowed. Appalachian State is likely to have success on offense. The Mountaineers have a good QB in Singleton and they are 21st offensively in PPA/pass for the season.

App State should care plenty about playing a bigger named opponent from their home state. The Mountaineers defense though hasn't been tested this year. They have played ECU (much weaker offensively this year), Charlotte (awful), and Maine (weak FCS team). 

C.J Bailey and company should be able to put up quite a few points on this App State defense too.

Take the over. 

*9-1 Last 10 plays overall heading into the weekend. 61% CFB plays in the last 5 seasons. Saturday 7 for $87 Value Pack is ready to go. Less than $12.50 per selection on Saturday. Get on board!* 

1* Free Pick on Chargers +7

This is another strong worldwide contrarian position. UConn is a heavily supported public underdog across multiple independent indexes, while Miami is attracting a small minority of the spread tickets.

UConn’s quarterback situation remains uncertain, with Joe Merklinger listed as questionable. Kalieb Osborne previously struggled against Maryland, completing 10 of 21 passes while contributing to multiple fumbles. Miami’s defense can pressure that position without needing to commit excessive numbers.

Miami opened around -3, so -3.5 is playable but not ideal. The market has reached -4.5 or higher in some locations, which eliminates the value.

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick

PLAY ON: LSU -8.5

3* on Texas

1* Free Pick on Commanders +7

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* FREE INFO PLAY South Florida vs Bowling Green under 49½ -115

HUGE SATURDAY UP CFB on a 16-6 run and the 2 Time Champ has a TOP Red Zone PLAY, the Non Conf. Play of the Year, BIG 10 Game of the Month headlining. ALL from Top Level 100% Database systems. Comp play below
 
The Saturday comp play is on Florida minus the 3-4 points here. Game 342 at 3:30 eastern. Rob notes that week 4 road dogs of less than 7 like Ole Miss with a total less than 66 are 1-8 straight up and to the spread since 2010 if both teams are 3-0. Ole Miss comes in off a huge win over LSU and now has to deal with a Gators team with a solid rushing attack and perhaps the best back in CFB. Florida has revenge here and has covered the last 4 in the series. The Rebels have failed to cover the last 3 after beating LSU and with the major events unfolding back on Campus they deal with another layer of distraction. The Gators have put up 44+ in all 3 games and the defense will likely be a bit better than the Rebels here. Make it Florida today. GL Rob V-
 
SU: 1-8 
ATS: 1-8 
 
 
Sep 25, 2010 07:45 Sat 4 2010 SCAR AUB away 14-7 6-7 7-7 0-14 27-35 3 48.5 -8 -5 13.5 4.25 9.25 L L O 0
Sep 24, 2011 12:00 Sat 4 2011 NCAR GTCH away 7-3 0-14 7-11 14-7 28-35 6.5 58 -7 -0.5 5 2.25 2.75 L L O 0
Sep 24, 2016 03:30 Sat 4 2016 FLA TEN away 7-0 14-3 0-14 7-21 28-38 6.5 44 -10 -3.5 22 9.25 12.75 L L O 0
Sep 23, 2017 07:00 Sat 4 2017 MSST GEO away 0-14 3-0 0-17 0-0 3-31 5 48.5 -28 -23 -14.5 -18.75 4.25 L L U 0
Sep 25, 2021 07:00 Sat 4 2021 KAST OKST away 10-21 3-10 7-0 0-0 20-31 5.0 47.5 -11 -6.0 3.5 -1.25 4.75 L L O 0
Sep 23, 2023 03:30 Sat 4 2023 UCLA UTAH away 0-7 0-7 0-0 7-0 7-14 3.5 50.5 -7 -3.5 -29.5 -16.5 -13.0 L L U 0
Sep 20, 2025 07:30 Sat 4 2025 ILL IND away 7-14 3-21 0-14 0-14 10-63 6.5 51.5 -53 -46.5 21.5 -12.5 34.0 L L O 0
Sep 20, 2025 03:30 Sat 4 2025 AUB OKLA away 3-3 7-7 0-3 7-11 17-24 6.5 47.5 -7 -0.5 -6.5 -3.5 -3.0 L L U 0
Sep 20, 2025 12:00 Sat 4 2025 TXT UTAH away 7-0 3-3 0-0 24-7 34-10 3.5 58.5 24 27.5 -14.5 6.5 -21.0 W W
 
Sep 26, 2026 03:30 Sat 4 2026 MIS FLA away - - - - - 3.5 58.5

Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #313 UCLA Bruins over Maryland Terrapins (1:30 p.m., Saturday, September 26, BTN)

We faded Maryland at home last week, and we’re backing UCLA against the Terrapins this Saturday. The Bruins are 3-0 under first-year head coach Bob Chesney. While their competition has been modest, they’ve shown they can score, and we expect their offense to make the difference.

Maryland struggled against Virginia Tech last week, falling behind 35-14 before adding late fourth-quarter touchdowns. Chesney also knows the region from his time coaching at James Madison in Virginia. With UCLA favored, we like the Bruins in this matchup.

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Join me this Sunday in the NFL as we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS on the pro gridiron. I am riding a 60% NFL RUN, and this Sunday, we take it up a notch with 3 BIG WINNERS: HUGE 1-0 CONSENSUS, AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH BENGALS/STEELERS WINNER, and my BIG BIG BIG GAME WINNER 1-0 HI ROLLER.

Sunday Free Winner: San Francisco 49ers.

Game 482.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

San Francisco has dominated their division rival, taking six of the last eight meetings SU, going 5-3 ATS during that span. They are looking strong so far this season sporting a 2-0 record both SU/ATS as their offense ranks in the top-10 in just about every major category, including the one that means the most, scoring where they average over 31.0 PPG. By the way, very uncharacteristic for teams at the start of a season, they’ve also only turned the ball over once. Meanwhile, the Arizona Cardinals look to be a trainwreck. Yes, they did open up their season on the road with a big surprise victory over the Los Angeles Chargers as nearly a double-digit underdog. But last week came back down to Earth as they got shellacked at home by the Seattle Seahawks, 31-7. This team has a lot of problems, my friends. Scoring is certainly one of them. If you like numbers, you’ll love these: Arizona is 1-10 SU in their last 11 divisional games and 1-9 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more points. They were also winless against the NFC West last season (0-6). With Jacoby Brissett at the helm, I doubt very much they’re going to be able to move the chains at all here. The 49ers defense looks solid and remember, they have the luxury of something they haven’t had in the past, some of their biggest names are healthy. San Francisco is a well-coached, smart team. Although they have Denver up next followed by a road game at Seattle, I doubt very much they’re going to be in a look ahead mode here. They know these division victories mean a lot. This is their final chance to find tune their team on both side sides of the line of scrimmage before their schedule gets more difficult. Take the San Francisco 49ers. Thank you.

Seahawks -7

Seattle’s defense is the difference for me here. The Seahawks have allowed just 17 points through two games, and now they draw Marcus Mariota with Jayden Daniels sidelined. That’s a tough assignment against a Seattle front that should control the line of scrimmage. Drew Lock has also done exactly what you want from a backup, including three TD passes last week, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba remains a matchup problem. Seattle has won 15 of its last 16 road games, so traveling east doesn’t scare me much. Washington has too many problems to solve against one of the league’s best defenses. Lay the touchdown. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the SEAHAWKS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

WEEK 4 CFB / WEEK 3 NFL! 437-374 54% +2503 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s plays up soon. A BIG 5× Play Card is up for NFL Week 3, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Minnesota just played a 12-point game in Chicago and the board still hung 42.5 in Tampa like it was doing the public a favor. That is the tell.

Sunday, 4:05, Raymond James, FOX. Vikings 2–0. Buccaneers 0–2. Spread is Minnesota −1.5, Tampa +1.5. Total 42.5. Heat in the mid-80s. Kyler Murray is back after the Week 1 concussion. Last week without him the purple won 9–3 at Soldier Field and never found the end zone. Twenty-five points allowed in two games. Tampa has lost twice by a field goal or less. Neither club has looked like a 48-point roster this month.

Fifty-seven meetings. Vikings 33–24 all-time. That is the old NFC Central book. The last ten flipped: Buccaneers 8–2. Last two chapters: Tampa 20–17 in Minneapolis on Sept. 10, 2023, and Tampa 26–14 in this stadium on Dec. 13, 2020. Combined 37 and 40. Minnesota’s last win in Tampa was Oct. 26, 2014, and it needed overtime, 19–13. Combined 32. The 2017 Minneapolis game went 34–17. That 51-point night is the outlier they will sell you. The last two trips through this series lived under 41.

You are not fading Minnesota to lose on the road. You are not fading Tampa to stay winless. You are fading 45, 47, and 50 after a 9–3 road tape and a series that just printed 37 and 40. 20–17 cashes. 23–16 cashes. 19–16 is the gift. Public will smash the over because Jefferson is on the card, Murray is cleared, and two 2–0 / 0–2 logos in September are supposed to throw. Last week’s box score was 9–3. This building’s last chapter against this roster was 26–14. Different year. Same number that does not need 43.

Home team has won about 58 percent of this series. Road favorite of a point and a half in 86-degree Tampa in Week 3 is not a mismatch. It is a grind. Implied team totals sit around 22 and 20. That is how 42.5 becomes the work instead of a prayer.

Bet under the total in Vikings–Buccaneers games posted 43 or lower.
Last two meetings: 37 and 40. Last Minnesota win in Tampa: 19–13 OT. Combined 32. (+2.0 unit$, ROI=31.8%)

Bet under 43 in Week 3 when one club just finished a game of 12 points or fewer.
Minnesota 9–3 last week. That look since 2025: 11-6 (64.7%) with an average over/under of 42.4. (+4.4 unit$, ROI=23.5%)

Bet the under when the previous two series meetings finished under 41 and the new number opens 42 to 44.
37 and 40 are still on the book. The 51-point night in 2017 is the outlier, not the rule. (+2.6 unit$, ROI=20.4%)

Bet under 43 in late-window September games at Raymond James when the home club is 0–2.
Low total, winless home locker room, 4 o’clock heat. (+3.2 unit$, ROI=22.1%)

Play: Under 42.5.

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Bills will look to improve to 3-0 SU and ATS as they host the reeling Chargers on Sunday in Orchard Park. Buffalo is obviously a high-profile Super Bowl contender on a yearly basis and it looks like bettors are flocking to it again in this spot. I don't think this result will be all that straight-forward, however. The Chargers will undoubtedly bring desperation into this matchup as they're off to a miserable 0-2 start, with both losses coming at home. They're certainly being punished in the betting marketplace for their disappointing start, too much so in my opinion. Remember, Los Angeles started last season 3-0 but that didn't end up taking it very far as it ultimately bowed out in the Wild Card round against New England. The Bills have had an extra few days to pat themselves on the back following a lopsided win over the Lions in their home opener a week ago Thursday. I don't think the extra rest means nearly as much at this early stage of the season. All is not lost for the Chargers here in 2026 and I expect them to put forth a much stronger effort against the Bills, ultimately taking this one down to the wire and covering the lofty pointspread. Take Los Angeles (8*).

For my best free pick here for Saturday or at least one of them I am looking at the Stanford Cardinals hosting the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Stanford two straight losses since beating Hawaii in week zero but I think we are getting the better team at one hell of a good price. We saw Georgia Tech who is on a down year loss to Colorado in a neutral site game and they got ran all over. Tech then followed that up and got beat handily at home to Tennessee. Look for Stanford to be down at the half and fight back for a win and cover. 

Play on Stanford plus the points here late on Saturday night rotation #420

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