Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Twins -132

Free Play on Rockies +190

1* Bet on Valkyries/Storm: under 157½

1* Free Pick on Giants -116

3* on under

UNDER 217

Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the UNDER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday FREE NBA O/U Play

1-2 THUR$DAY! Still in the zone! 304-252 55% +2687 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. World Cup plays also going up for the weekend. 2026 World Cup 30-Day Pass - $199. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.” 

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 6/12:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Frida is with Paraguay plus the goal-line versus the USMNT in Group D action of the World Cup. Paraguay is a serious threat — and both the ELO and Nate Silver’s world ranking systems place them higher than the Stars and Stripes. The ELO ranking system emphasizes actual results versus expected results against the quality of opposition — they rank Paraguay as the 22nd best team in the world, 17 slots head of the USA at 39th in the world. Silver developed his Soccer Power Index for the 2014 World Cup using metrics similar to his PECOTA system, which he developed for baseball sabermetrics and then later for predicting political election results. Silver updated his SPI methodology for this World Cup — and his new PELE formula rates Paraguay as 23rd in the world, six slots ahead of Team USA at 29th in the world. Not only did Los Guaranies upset the 2022 World Cup champions, Argentina, in World Cup qualifiers, but they also managed to earn draws against Brazil and Colombia. If Arsenal great Thierry Henry admitted he was nervous in his first match for Paris Saint-Germain when France was the host nation for the 1998 World Cup, I expect this young Stars and Stripes group to be very anxious to not let the packed stadium outside Los Angeles and the monstrous anticipated television audience — and this should negatively impact their execution. The USMNT’s defense has been leaky lately. Their last clean sheet was a 2-0 victory against Japan in a friendly on September 9th — and they conceded goals in each of their next eight matches. Supporters seem to be treating a 2-1 loss to Germany in their most recent friendly on June 6th as a moral victory — but manager Mauricio Pochettino’s squad has lost three of their four matches in 2026. The USA is on upset alert — and both managers would not mind at all off this match ends in a draw. Take Paraguay plus the goal-line. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s 8 of 11 (73%) Soccer run continued by CA$HING the Mexico-South Africa Under yesterday to begin his fifth World Cup as a serious handicapper (serious: conclusions from evaluating evidence detailed in his report versus hot takes coming from vibes) to further his 26 of 40 (65%) Soccer streak! Frank is now on a 12 of 17 (71%) World Cup run — and he furthers his 20 of 31 (65%) WORLD CUP TOTALS TEAR with the Paraguay-USMNT O/U winner on Fox-TV at 9:00 PM ET! WATCH and WIN — and BANK on Frank!

This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our Friday Free Play. The Braves were rained out last night after losing the first two games against White Sox to open this roadtrip and they head to New York with a 23-10 road record. We were fading Martin Perez on Thursday and he is being skipped as Atlanta goes with Spencer Strider to keep him on five days of rest and we are getting him at a great price. He has not been dominating like he has in the past as he is slowly coming back from his injuries but we know it’s there and he should have some extra juice after his most recent start at Citi Field last August as he allowed eight runs including three home runs in four innings. The Braves have won six of his seven starts this season. The Mets lost two of three against the Cardinals to open this homestand and are now under .500 at home. Nolan McLean has bounced back from a pair of poor outings and he too has not been as expected with a 3.98 ERA including a 4.46 ERA at home and the Mets are 2-5 in his seven home starts. Play (905) Atlanta Braves

Fargo is coming off a loss with the Pirates on Thursday as his other game was postponed and Friday he has THREE MLB Winners to add to his very profitable season. NBA 82-65-1 Run. All-Inclusive Sub gets them all.

1* Free Pick on Valkyries/Storm: under 157½

The Storm are 2-8 over their last 10 with a 95.4 offensive rating and a 20% turnover rate.

That's a broken offense, not a slow patch.

They're shooting 40% from the field and 32% from three, and the lineup running out tonight starts a teenage center in Awa Fam next to second-year Dominique Malonga with Ezi Magbegor still out.

This is a developmental group trying to score in real WNBA games.

Golden State isn't lighting it up either.

The Valkyries are putting up 84.5 PPG on 40% shooting over their last 10, and coach Natalie Nakase has publicly leaned the group back into a defense-first identity.

Their net rating is +4.6, but it's built on defense at 104, not offense exploding.

The opposition case is the May 8 meeting that went 91-80 for 171 points and the 93.24 and 94.68 paces both teams play.

I hear it, but pace without efficiency doesn't push totals.

Two teams shooting 40% from the floor will jack up shot volume and miss.

More possessions, more misses, more defensive rebounds.

That's an under recipe, not an over one.

Seattle hasn't reached 80 points in recent outings for a reason.

The roster turnover from losing Ogwumike and Diggins is real, and Magbegor's absence hurts their defense but doesn't suddenly fix the offense.

The market already shaved this from 158.5-159.5 down to 157.5.

I'll still take the number at -108.

I like the Under

1* MLB - Cubs/Giants FREE PICK on Giants -115

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Friday 6-12-26

Tampa Bay @ LA Angels  (9:35 PM EST)
Play On:  LA Angels +151 (Mcclanahan/Aldegheri) Listed

The Tampa Bay Rays travel to Los Angeles to take on the Angels on Friday night.  Tampa Bay is 40-25 SU overall this year while the Angels come in with a 27-42 SU overall record on the season.  Shane Mclanahan is 1-3 on the road this year.  Samuel Aldegheri is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA overall this year.  Aldegheri has a 1.74 ERA at home this season.  Tampa Bay is 1-6 last 7 road games.  The Angels are 8-4 last 12 games against American League opponents.  We'll recommend a small play on the LA Angels tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocketman is on a HOT 63% run in MLB!  Rocky Atkinson has his MLB PLAY OF THE DAY going Friday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 337-276 55% MLB run over his last 635 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $20,330 since May 05, 2016 with his Money Line on Dodgers v. White Sox!

Free World Cup Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Germany -3.5 GL over Curacao (1 p.m. EST, Sunday June 14) The expanded World Cup has 16 more sides at 48 compared to the 32 that competed in the past. Therefore, there will be a major talent disparity in some matchups. This is one of those matchups. A major change is that goal differential is not the main tiebreaker for the knockout stage. If two teams are tied on points, the first tiebreaker will be head-to- head matchups. This eliminates the need for clubs to run up the score, so we think there will be a lack of blowouts in this tournament. However, we do think this one will be ugly, as even the German subs will be taking target practice late against Curacao. The tiny island nation is playing in its first World Cup and is just happy to be here. This is the smallest nation ever to qualify for the big tournament. They will likely be embarrassed here, however. They will have a better chance for a little national pride in matches against Ivory Coast and Ecuador in Group E matches, but that probably means just scoring a goal, which is unlikely here against the German giants. Curacao looked horrible in their World Cup warmups, as they lost to China, Australia and Scotland with a goal differential of -9 (as of this writing, with one more warm up match). Germany is head and shoulders above those sides, and they should win this one by four or five goals without much effort.

As someone who's spent way too many late nights digging into these World Cup openers, this one screams "cagey affair" from a mile away. The hosts are buzzing with home energy at SoFi Stadium, but Paraguay didn't grind through CONMEBOL qualifying by playing wide-open football. . It's not the sexiest pick, but it might just be the one that keeps your bankroll smiling while everyone else is chasing fireworks that never quite ignite.

Let's break it down with the numbers that actually matter. Paraguay turned into a defensive machine during qualifiers: just 10 goals conceded across 18 matches , that's an average of roughly 0.56 goals against per game. To put that in perspective, calculate their defensive efficiency like this: (Goals Conceded ÷ Matches) × 90 minutes ≈ a stingy 50 GA/90 rate that ranks among the best in the region. They kept 10 clean sheets in those qualifiers and routinely parked the bus effectively, averaging under 0.8 goals conceded per outing in the final stretch.

On the flip side, their attack was no fireworks show either ,just 14 goals scored in 18 games, or about 0.78 per match. Plug that into a simple combined expected output formula for tonight: USA's typical home creation (around 1.5-1.8 xG in big matches) + Paraguay's road output (often below 0.7) lands you in the 2.0-2.3 total goals range. Subtract the typical World Cup opener tension factor (historically around 0.3-0.5 fewer goals due to nerves), and you're staring at a strong lean toward fewer than three goals total.

World Cup history backs this up big time. Early tournament openers have a habit of delivering low-scoring slogs , think back to those classic 0-0 or 1-0 grinds that left fans both frustrated and hooked. Matchday 1 averages hover right around 2.4 goals per game across recent cycles, with plenty of narrow results where the favorite has to grind it out. Paraguay's recent competitive matches tell the same story: four straight under 2.5, including low-scoring scraps against solid sides. They've mastered the art of making games ugly, and USA, despite the talent edge — has shown moments where things stay tighter than expected.

The math on value? If Under 2.5 is hanging around -155 to -160 territory, the implied probability sits near 61%. But when you factor in Paraguay's qualifying defensive rate (over 55% clean sheet percentage in key stretches), USA's historical edge without blowouts, and that classic "first-game jitters" multiplier, the true probability edges closer to 65-68%. That's the kind of edge that turns casual bettors into the ones laughing on the group chat.

Don't get me wrong , I love a good USA party as much as anyone rooting for the hosts. The crowd will be electric, and a narrow 1-0 or 2-0 win feels like the most likely script. But chasing overs here is like expecting your uncle to stay quiet at Thanksgiving dinner... it rarely works out. Paraguay will sit deep, frustrate the life out of the midfield, and wait for mistakes. USA should have enough quality to nick it, but don't count on a goal fest.

This is one of those spots where playing the trends, the defensive data, and the occasion itself makes you feel like you've got an edge the public is sleeping on. Bet responsibly, of course, but if you're looking for that reliable anchor for your card, Under 2 has the profile of a viable play in a night full of unknowns. Let's see if the pitch proves the numbers right

My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and San Francisco at 10:15 pm et on Friday.

Both of these teams figure to enter this series feeling pretty good about their chances. The Cubs bounced back with a blowout win over the Rockies on Thursday while San Francisco checks in ranked top-eight in the majors in xwOBA over the last week. Both starting pitchers will be facing the opposition for the second time in less than a week. Javier Assad baffled the Giants over 6 1/3 innings last time out but still owns a 4.37 FIP across nine appearances this season which is about in line with his career numbers. Giants starter Landen Roupp has been wobbling lately, allowing 13 runs, 11 of them earned, across his last three starts covering a span of 14 2/3 innings. The Cubs finally showed some life at the plate in Denver and I think we'll see some carry-over from that here. Both bullpens have struggled lately. The Cubs 'pen has logged a 4.97 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over the last week while the Giants relief corps owns a 6.33 ERA and 1.83 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the over (8*).

PSP Data Driven 1* United States.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the home team. United States has only 1 loss in all of their last 5 games. United States has scored 11 goals in their last 5 games.