Free Sports Picks of the Day

3* on Elizabeth Mandlik

UNDER 162.5

Louisville and UNC meet and we’re on the under. Louisville has given up only 71.8 ppg so far this season and they have played well against the good competition in the conference. UNC is right there with them defensively and actually slightly better sitting at just 70 ppg against. This will turn into a half court style game and a grind both ways. Expect longer possessions and difficult shots in a low scoring game. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the UNDER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Monday FREE NCAAB O/U Play

1-2 SUNDAY! 100% Transparent. 136-89 60% +3940 overall L60 days! The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for Monday, and today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

Ricky's 1* play on HOU.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Houston is 17-3 in its last 20 games.

- Houston is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games on the road.

- Houston is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing as the favourite.

Verdict: The value is on the Road favorite.

(#573) San Antonio Spurs | ATS | . 

Two of the hottest teams in the NBA will go at it on Monday, hoping to remain on their perfect runs. San Antonio has won eight consecutive contests and even though I don't love that when playing on it, this is a spot where I expect the West to show the East who's boss, just like yesterday's OKC/CLE matchup. 

Detroit is great, don't get me wrong. But, it lacks the supporting cast at times and leaves Cade/Duren out to dry. Considering the amount of depth that the Spurs possess and bring into tonight's ball game, it's too hard to pass up on SAS as hot as it is given it's an underdog this evening. Hammer the Spurs. 

Burns' Prediction: 119-112 Spurs.

This is a classic “message line.”

When the point spread contradicts raw points-per-game margins, you don’t argue with the market — you interpret it. Over the long haul, backing the team that looks wrong based on surface stats has produced a documented 1029-732-32 edge.

That’s not guesswork. That’s market psychology meeting bookmaker intent.

The oddsmakers know recreational bettors anchor to scoring margins. When the number doesn’t align, it’s usually by design — and that’s when you side with the message, not the math most bettors are using.

Because of my outlaw line comparison, this narrowly missed premium qualification. Still, the underlying signal is clear.

Take the points with Sacramento.

Tonight: 2 College Basketball Sides!

While the public chases narratives and reacts to noise, Joe Duffy attacks the board with predictive modeling, layered analytics, simulation integration, and properly weighted power ratings. The work ethic separates him. No bookmaker, no oddsmaker, no competing sports service outworks the preparation, the data refinement, or the market analysis.

That edge translates to sustained profitability — not hype, not variance, but disciplined execution. If you’re serious about winning long term, follow the grind.

1* Free Play on North Carolina +3 -110

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Houston/Kansas UNDER 138.5

The Houston Cougars are coming off two consecutive losses to Iowa State and Arizona.  It's safe to say they will be locked in defensively tonight to try and end this skid.  I know there will be max effort on that end for them.

The same can be said for Kansas, which is coming off a 84-68 home loss to Cincinnati in which the Bearcats got whatever they wanted offensively.  The Jayhawks have lost two of their last three games and will be locked in defensively as well.

Houston ranks 354th in adjusted tempo and 7th in adjusted defense.  Kansas ranks 198th in adjusted tempo and 14th in adjusted defense.  Possessions will be limited in this game due to the pace, and that has been the case every time these teams get together.

Houston and Kansas have combined for 124, 132 and 122 points at the end of regulation in their last three meetings.  Houston is 5-1 UNDER in its last six games overall.  Kansas is 18-9 UNDER in all games this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

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No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 3166-2720 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $220,210! He is a 8-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2023-24, #1 2012-13, #2 2020-21, #3 2021-22, #3 2017-18, #8 2008-09, #10 2015-16, #10 2011-12) as well! He is also on a 1456-1227 NBA Run over the long haul! Jack finished as the No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper in 2023-24 thanks to his 673-590 NBA Run since the start of 2023!

Jack adds to his 22-12 Run on top plays rated 20* or higher with his 20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK for just $39.95 Monday! This is the easiest over/under winner in the West this week folks!

GUARANTEED or Tuesday NBA is ON JACK!

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Louisville/UNC UNDER 162.5

The Key: With UNC without its best player in Caleb Wilson (19.8 PPG), the Tar Heels have had to rely more on defense to try and win games.  They have gone 4-1 UNDER in their last 5 games overall with 139 combined points with Duke, 141 with Miami, 144 with Pitt, 140 with NC State and 141 with Syracuse.  They haven't even come close to exceeding this 162.5-point total during this stretch.  They are playing at home so they will dictate tempo and slow this thing down a lot.  They don't want to let Louisville get out in transition, which is where they are at their best.  This will be much more of a defensive battle than this line suggests.  Take the UNDER.

**4X Top 10 NCAAB Handicapper!** Dave is in the midst of a 359-290 NCAAB Run since last year after a 3-0 Sunday NCAAB SWEEP! Hop on board for Dave's 7* Houston/Kansas Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* for only $34.95 Monday! He has pinpointed the winning total in this matchup tonight ladies and gents! Dave's selection is guaranteed or you get Tuesday's NCAAB picks for FREE!

1* FREE INFO PLAY Louisville -2 -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Utah Jazz +13.5

The Houston Rockets are 13-11 SU & 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games overall.  They aren't blowing anyone out even when they win as 12 of those 13 wins came by 9 points or fewer.  So it's a lot to ask them to win this game by 14 or more points today over the Utah Jazz.  That's especially the case with the Jazz much healthier coming out of the break with Markkanen probable and the possibility that Keyonte George returns tonight.  The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall so they aren't quite tanking as much as perceived.  Give me the Jazz.

Kings vs Grizzlies 
8 EST 
5-UNit bet on the Kings priced as a 3.5-point underdog.  

NBA Underdog Algorithm: Money Line and Spread Strategy 

For bettors seeking to maximize value, consider the following approach: place an additional 2 units on the money line, or alternatively, split your stake by betting 3.5 units on the spread and 1.5 units on the money line. This diversified strategy can help capture upside while managing risk. 

Algorithm Performance Overview 

This NBA betting algorithm has delivered consistent success over the past six seasons, compiling a 133-200 straight-up (SU) record and an impressive 198-132-3 record against the spread (ATS). This equates to a 60% win rate for qualifying ATS wagers. 

Qualifying Criteria 

Bet on underdogs priced between 3.5 and 7.5 points. 

The underdog is facing a team that has scored 120 or more points in each of their last two games. 

Additional Profitable Scenario 

When the opposing team is allowing 47% or worse shooting, this approach has yielded even stronger results. In these cases, the underdog has achieved a 38-32 SU record and a 44-25-1 ATS record, translating to a 64% win rate against the spread. 

Monday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Spurs +1.5

Monday CBB Free play. My selection is on Southeastern Louisiana plus the points over Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at 7 pm et on Monday.

I don't think Texas A&M-Corpus Christi has any business laying points on the road, noting that it has made good on just 24, 23, 26 and 20 field goals over its last four games with the two high-water marks coming in contests where it hoisted up 62 or more field goal attempts. If there's one thing Southeastern Louisiana does well it is limit the pace of its opposition, having allowed 56 or fewer field goal attempts in five straight and 11 of its last 12 games. The Lions have at least shown signs of life offensively in recent weeks, knocking down 28, 25, 16 and 24 field goals over their last four contests. That's encouraging considering the slow pace they tend to play at. Note that Southeastern Louisiana will be looking to avenge an earlier double-digit loss to the Islanders. While Texas A&M-Corpus Christi does own the better overall record in this matchup this season it is still just .500 team and Southeastern Louisiana has faced the more difficult schedule to this point. Take Southeastern Louisiana (8*).

Our selection is on the Houston Cougars to cover the spread against the Kansas Jayhawks on Monday at 9:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Houston has lost back-to-back games for the first time in a couple of years. It almost never losses three straight.

The Cougars are 18-2 over their L20 games played on the road over the L2 seasons.

They are also 3-0 over the L3 games played against the Jayhawks.

Kansas lost badly at home to Cincinnati on Saturday and has been having trouble against the spread recently too.

The Jayhawks are just 6-14 straight up and 7-13 versus the spread over their L20 games played as a betting underdog.

We're on Houston.

AAA Sports

1% GOLD RUSH on Damir Dzumhur +165

1* Bet on Louisville -2½

For my best free pick on the board for Monday in college basketball action I am looking at a marquee game of the Louisville Cardinals and the North Carolina Tar Heels. We should see a wold of action here on North Carolina at home getting points. This team has won 7 of the last 9 games and the last one was a convincing win on the road at Syracuse. Louisville one of the top 7 teams in all of college basketball in my book and a big final four contender but to make the final four and get a top seed in the big dance just around the corner a big performance here will go a long way. Look for the Cardinals to lead pillar to post here. 

Play on Louisville lay the points rotation #891

***DO NOT MISS MY HUGE TITANIUM WAGER BEST BET TONIGHT IN THE NBA I AM 101-59 63% LAST 160 AND 76-50 60.3% ON MY LAST 126 NBA SELECTIONS***