Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Nationals +110

1* Free Pick on Dolphins/Commanders under 36½

1* Bet on Portland Fire +3½

Recommended Bet: Slavia +105

Ricky's 1* play on WPG.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Ottawa are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.

- Ottawa are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 road games.

- Winnipeg are 4-0 in the last 4 head to head meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

The Rockies have the worst road record in the National League at 48-73. That includes an NL-worst 21-41 road record.

The Giants are 22-40 on the road, but a far more respectable 28-31 at home. I find this price low enough to back San Francisco, especially with the Rockies pitching Kyle Freeland.

Freeland has actually been worse on the road than when pitching at Coors Field. He is 0-7 with a 7.81 away ERA.

The Giants have not allowed more than three earned runs in four of their last six games. They are starting Landen Roupp. He is far from special, but he has a 4.00 home ERA and gave up one run to the Tigers at home in his last start spanning 5 1/3 innings.

Roupp is superior to Freeland and the Giants have the better bullpen.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 22-10-1 on his last 33 baseball premium plays and has a Friday Big Ticket in addition to this free selection.)

3* on Dolphins

(#118) New York Jets | ATS | . 

I still liked the Jets in this opening preseason game even before HC Aaron Glenn announced that everyone is playing. Because of that, the line has jumped up drastically from what it opened at. That being said, I'm not too worried about that. New York dominated its opening preseason game last season against the Packers & I expect it to start strong again. 

Tampa Bay will not play its starters here in the preseason opener on Friday evening. I get that there's a lot of young talent in each team, making this an interesting game. But, Todd Bowles has a 5-7 ATS record over his past 12 preseason games & I don't see him having much success in this game. Take the Jets minus the points. 

Burns' Prediction: 30-14 Jets.

1* Free Play on Nationals +110

1* Free Pick on Dolphins -3

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* MLB - Padres/Guardians FREE PICK on Guardians -122

1* FREE INFO PLAY Guardians -125

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Friday 8-14-26

San Diego @ Cleveland  (7:10 PM EST)
Play On:  San Diego +119 

The San Diego Padres travel to Cleveland to take on the Guardians on Friday night.  

Rocketman is off a perfect 3-0 sweep on Thursday including 2-0 in WNBA which moves WNBA to 76% this year!  Rocky is passing on Friday with premium picks!  Back Saturday!

1* Free Sharp Play on Red Sox vs Pirates over 8 -105

Friday Card has the NFLX TOTAL OF THE MONTH Broncos vs Falcons along with a 100% Side play n the Commanders vs Dolphins game. There is a 16-1 Canadian Footbal League Play and MLB. Comp play below

The WNBA Comp play for Friday is on the Under in the Portland at Seattle game at 10 eastern. Rob notes that home favorites like Seattle that have same season triple loss revenge are perfect to the under if the total is higher than 165. In the three games 2 have stayed under. Portland comes in off 5 straight home games and dogs in this role that are under.500 where the total is 160 or more are 9 of 12 to the under. Look for this one to stay under the total- GL Rob V

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Soccer Take #209810 Atlanta over New York Red Bulls (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday August 15) We think this is a great spot for Atlanta. They have not been playing their best lately but this will be a homecoming for them as they have not played a home match since May 9, before the World Cup. Even though they lost last time out, we liked what we saw from them at Philly. They were up by two goals most of the match vs the Union but they were a man down and Philadelphia scored two goals in extra time to steal three points. As we stated, Atlanta has not played at home in a long time and we think this return will give them an extra burst of energy and it’s not like the Red Bulls are a great side. They are quite far above Atlanta in the standings but have a -10 goal differential compared to -14 for Atlanta, who have faced a real tough schedule on this road trip. It’s telling that Atlanta is a decent favorite here with their recent performances, and we think this is an amazing spot for them to pick up three points and some momentum for the second half of the season in front of the home fans.

1* Free Pick on Rays -153

Friday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Astros -127

My selection is on Toronto over New York at 7:05 pm et on Friday.

The Blue Jays have been a fairly easy team to figure out recently, most notably when coming off a loss as they've gone a perfect 8-0 in their last eight games following a defeat, as is the case here. We'll back them at a generous price on Friday as they send Shane Bieber, who himself is looking to rebound off a rocky outing, to the mound against Gerrit Cole of the Yankees. For as well as Cole has pitched since returning from injury, he's only managed to go 6-5. The Yankees bats haven't always backed him up and off a 1-0 loss yesterday, I think we'll see a similar story play out against Bieber and the Blue Jays pitching staff on Friday. Every game is critical for Toronto right now as it desperately tries to stay in the A.L. Wild Card hunt. I think the price is right to get behind it on Friday at Rogers Centre. Take Toronto (8*).

White Sox vs Tigers MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Chicago White Sox hand the ball to left-hander Sean Newcomb (1-3, 2.66 ERA) in what will be a bullpen game. Chicago's bullpen has compiled top 10 ERA on the season, and I think they can hold the fort. 

The Detroit Tigers counter with highly touted young right-hander Jackson Jobe (1-0, 0.00 ERA) for just his second start of the season following his return from Tommy John surgery. While Jobe impressed in his season debut with five scoreless innings against the Giants, he remains on a strict pitch count. That forces the Tigers to lean heavily on their bullpen once Jobe exits. 

The Bet: White Sox +1½ (3%). 

1% GOLD RUSH on Browns -3

PSP Data Driven 1* Nationals +1.5.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. The Nationals are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 head to head meetings. Robert Stock is 0-4 in his last 4 starts for the Mets.

For my best free pick on the board here for Friday, I am looking at the Washington Commanders hosting the Miami Dolphins.  We most likely will not see Jayden Daniels or Mariota in the preseason, so that leaves Sam Hartman and their 7th-round pick out of Rutgers. We will see Malik Willis play some, then it’s on to Quinn Ewers and Cam Miller. This will be a rare game that the Dolphins can win, and look for this coach to go all out to get that win, whereas the Commanders, this game means zero, and keeping top talent healthy is the priority. 

Play on the Miami Dolphins lay the points rotation #118

***DO NOT MISS MY FOOTBALL PASSES ON SALE NOW. I HAVE HIT 60% COMBINED IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL OVER THE LAST 2 SEASONS AND 58% DURING THE LAST SEASON IN THE NFL***

Also bet -3.5 with little or no juice

The strongest Friday side is MIAMI -3, with the case beginning with preseason systems and becoming stronger when coaching history, quarterback usage and the market are layered on top.

The systems are the foundation. Washington enters its preseason opener on a 1-8 ATS Game 1 run and is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 preseason home games. Miami, meanwhile, has gone 6-1 ATS in the last seven preseason meetings with Washington. Those are particularly noteworthy after the extreme Game 1 trends performed exceptionally well on Thursday's card.

The coaching comparison provides another major edge. Dan Quinn entered this preseason 6-21 ATS overall in exhibition games and on a 2-19 ATS preseason skid. The current Playbook identifies Quinn among the coaches who historically put relatively little emphasis on preseason results. His teams are also just 2-13 ATS when entering with a sub-.500 preseason record.

Personnel usage reinforces the systems. Malik Willis is expected to start for Miami, giving the Dolphins meaningful snaps from the quarterback they are preparing to lead their rebuilt offense. Willis' mobility is particularly useful in preseason football, where protection breakdowns and inexperienced offensive linemen can turn otherwise dead plays into positive yardage. Miami's coaching staff has specifically indicated that Willis will play rather than treating the opener strictly as a reserve-QB exercise. (SI)

Washington's approach is different. The Commanders put substantial emphasis on the joint practice with Miami, and Quinn indicated that players receiving heavy work there would likely see limited or no action Friday. That makes Washington's impressive showing in the joint session less important to the game handicap than it initially appears: many of the players responsible for that performance aren't necessarily going to receive substantial game snaps. (Hogs Haven)

There is also some roster vulnerability behind Washington's first unit. The Commanders lost starting left tackle Laremy Tunsil to a serious triceps injury, forcing Brandon Coleman into the starting role and reducing offensive-line depth. That's more meaningful in preseason than it might appear because second- and third-unit offensive-line continuity becomes increasingly important as the game progresses. (Hogs Haven)

The market is arguably the strongest confirmation. Early numbers had Washington around a small favorite, with one market showing Miami +1, while the latest numbers supplied Thursday night have MIAMI -3. That's roughly a four-point adjustment through pick'em. (OddsTrader)

Yet the supplied betting splits show only 30% of spread tickets on Miami compared with 70% on Washington, with Miami attracting 41% of the money. In other words, the Dolphins have moved dramatically toward favorite status without conventional public support. In preseason, when information concerning rotations and playing time can matter far more than normal team power ratings, that type of move deserves considerable respect.

There is one legitimate negative. Washington reportedly had the better of Miami during portions of the joint practice, particularly when the Commanders' defense faced the Dolphins' offense. That prevents this from being viewed as a personnel mismatch. But preseason handicapping isn't about determining which organization's first 22 players are superior. It's about determining who will actually play, how motivated the coaches are to win, quarterback competency throughout the game and whether the price accurately reflects those differences.

Here, the convergence is unusually strong:

MIAMI -3 over Washington

Washington's 1-8 ATS Game 1 record, 2-9 ATS preseason-home run and Quinn's extraordinary 2-19 ATS recent preseason skid create the system foundation. Miami's 6-1 ATS series run, Willis getting meaningful work and the market flipping approximately four points toward the Dolphins despite Washington holding 70% of the tickets provide independent confirmation.

Systems + coaching tendency + quarterback motivation + reverse-looking market movement all point toward MIAMI.

Joe Duffy of course a 6-0 start to preseason, 3-0 with Wise Guys! Worth repeating, squares and bookies hate uncertainty. We pros exploit it. I’ve been doing this since 1988 publicly! Newbies, get used to getting spoiled! Friday NFL Wise Guy