Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Mariners +117

1* Bet on Toronto Tempo +6½

Free Play on Mets +103

1* Free Pick on Tigers -113

(#678) Saskatchewan Roughriders | ATS | . 

Hamilton's scored quite a bit this season. But, being shut down to just 13 points last time out against Winnipeg didn't impress me. The Tiger-Cats did manage to win the East Division a year ago. However, it wasn't a competitive division and it still managed to get knocked out by Montreal in the playoffs. 

Saskatchewan, on the other hand, is back in the win column after dropping the game against Toronto. Even though the Roughriders are not winning their games comfortably quite yet, this looks like a prime position to do just that. The Roughriders are the clear better team here and their offense is clicking on all cylinders. Lay the points. 

Burns' Prediction: 41-24 Saskatchewan.

The original starting pitching matchup was supposed to be Jacob Misiorowski versus Paul Skenes in a battle of real heavyweights.

However, Misiorowski has been scratched due to arm fatigue. Instead Robert Gasser will get the start for Milwaukee. He has a 4.15 ERA and has surrendered eight homers in 43 1/3 innings.

Yet this matchup is still being priced almost as if Misiorowski was going against Skenes, last year's NL Cy Young Award winner.

Because of a couple of rare bad outings, Skenes has a 3.58 ERA. I find that misleading. He still is in the argument for best pitcher in the majors again this season. Skenes has given up two or fewer earned runs in six of his last eight starts. He has a 1.04 WHIP on the season.

The Pirates are averaging 5.5 runs per game at home, best in the majors. They just swept the Brewers in a doubleheader on Saturday and have momentum.

1* Free Play on Fever +5½ -105

1* Free Pick on Brewers/Pirates: over 7½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Angels +125

1* Free Sharp Play on Mariners +117

Sunday card has the 100% MLB Pre Break Game of the Year a WNBA Platinum Supreme move and the Mens Wimbledon Top Total- Comp Play below

The Sunday Comp play is on Viking at 1:15 eastern in Norwegian Elitserien League Play. Vikings are the defending Champs ans are 2nd in the League Standings just 1 point out. They are on a 9 match win streak and travel to take on a Sarpsborg 08 team that is off back to back wins but sit 7th in the Standings. They are off a pair of home wins after a slow start but face a big litmus test here against a Viking team that is unbeaten here on the road in the last 7 matches. Sarpsborg 08 has not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 10 league matches and will try to keep up with a Viking team that generates chances with a solid strikers and they will likely score multiple goals here. Look for Viking to emerge with the win. GL Rob V-

Pittsburgh stands as the sharpest favorite on today's slate, even though they though they opened as pups and I say that with real conviction because this matchup just tilted heavily in their favor. The Brewers arrive at PNC Park with a strong 59-36 record, but the pitching story flipped when Jacob Misiorowski was scratched with arm fatigue, forcing Robert Gasser into the spot with his 2-3 mark, 4.15 ERA over 43.1 innings, 40 strikeouts, and 1.18 WHIP that shows vulnerability to the long ball with eight homers allowed already. Paul Skenes counters for the Pirates at 7-8 with a 3.58 ERA across 103 innings, 123 punchouts, and a crisp 1.04 WHIP that tightens even further at home to around 3.02-3.04 ERA, sub-1.00 WHIP, and a K/9 climbing north of 11.

The math here is clean and compelling. For a typical minus 130 favorite price the implied probability converts via 130 divided by 130 plus 100 equals approximately 56.5 percent, and layering in Skenes' home dominance plus Pittsburgh's league-leading home run production and .262 batting average makes that number feel conservative. Pittsburgh just swept the Brewers in Saturday's doubleheader, their lineup has been raking hits near the top of the league at around 858 total, and Gasser's elevated hard-contact tendencies against a rested Pirates squad create the perfect edge. Simple expected value for a unit wager at minus 130 with a realistic 58 percent win probability lands positive, and that holds before you even add the historical July home-favorite strength where clubs cash at solid clips when the road team shows fatigue.

This one checks every box: elite home starter, recent momentum, matchup advantage, and numbers that line up without complication. Take the Pirates moneyline d.

My selection is on Hamilton plus the points over Saskatchewan at 7 pm et on Sunday.

I'm not convinced that the Roughriders are the sure bet that many are making them out to be. Yes, the Tiger-Cats lost QB Bo Levi Mitchell to a devastating ankle injury last week, also losing the game in 'upset' fashion at home against the Blue Bombers. I don't expect them to fold the tent, however. Jake Dolegala is a capable backup quarterback in his second year in the Ti-Cats system. He'll take over the reins for this week at least. I haven't been overly impressed by the Riders this season. They check in off consecutive ATS defeats and are surely getting every opponent's best shot as the defending Grey Cup champions. Both teams enter with identical 2-2 overall records and Hamilton has already gone on the road and staged an 'upset' victory in Winnipeg earlier this season. The Riders, meanwhile, tasted an 'upset' defeat of their own at home against the Argos two games back. We'll grab all the points we can get with the underdog Ti-Cats. Take Hamilton (8*).

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Bet: The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored nine runs in each of the first two games of the series- This will be the second time this season they get a look at Dodgers right-hander Emmet Sheehan (4-6, 4.91 ERA). They split the previous two merings, a 5-4 Dodgers win, and a 4-1 Diamondbacks win. Gimme the dog on the runline. 

The Bet: Diamondbacks +1½ (3%). 

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1% GOLD RUSH on Rays -131

3* on Guardians

PSP Data Driven 1* Phillies.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Philadelphia are 11-3 in its last 14 games against Detroit. Detroit are 2-6 in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.