Free Sports Picks of the Day

1* Bet on Air Force -5½

Recommended Bet: Cancun -143

[1%] Free Play on Flavio Cobolli +170

3* on Air Force

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Falcons +130 (ML) 

1* NFL - Dolphins/Jets NFL FREE PICK on Dolphins +4.5 

If we've learned anything about the powerful SEC it is a week-to-week league where surprises occur. Auburn proved that last week stunning No. 1 Georgia, 27-24, and doing it as a 19 1/2-point road underdog.

Not to take anything away from the Tigers' great upset, but Georgia outgained them by 74 yards. Auburn was plus three in turnover ratio.

I don't see Auburn beating a second straight Top 25 team, especially in this major letdown spot. So I am on 18th-ranked LSU.

LSU is 0-2 on the road with a loss to seventh-ranked Mississippi and to Kentucky by one point in overtime. Yes, LSU has to prove itself on the road. Keep this in mind, though, about Auburn. It is 1-9 in its last 10 home games against top-25 teams.

Auburn's Byrum Brown is a dual threat quarterback. But he only has an 8-to-7 touchdown-to-interception ratio. I would take LSU quarterback Sam Leavitt above Brown.

Auburn ranks 91st in passing and 94th in defending the pass. The Tigers also have a below average run defense.

LSU has it all over Auburn statistically ranking in the top 10 in scoring, passing and total yards. LSU also gives up the third fewest yards in the country. LSU rates No. 1 in the SEC in run defense allowing just 88.1 yards per game on the ground.

But what really clinched this handicap for me is LSU getting its star tight end, Trey’Dez Green, back from injury. Green had missed the past four games. I think so highly of Green that I took him in the first round of my SEC fantasy football draft. I find him to be the most talented tight end in the nation.

1* Free Pick on NC State -6½

Stanford is averaging 18.29 points a game this season while giving up 36.57.

That gap is the whole story here.

Strip out last week's 34-7 win over FCS Elon and the Cardinal's recent tape is ugly.

They lost 58-7 at Notre Dame, 57-3 at Wake Forest, and 35-7 at Duke.

Three blowouts by a combined 150-17 against real competition.

NC State comes in 3-3, and I'm not going to dress that up.

The Wolfpack got handled 38-14 by Wake Forest in their last outing.

But over their last 5 they're 3-2 and scoring 38 points a game, with wins over Louisville 31-28 and App State 41-31.

Wake Forest is the useful common opponent.

The same team that beat NC State by 24 beat Stanford by 54.

Even on a bad day, the Wolfpack are two to three touchdowns better than this Cardinal roster.

There is an injury wrinkle to track.

Dave Doeren said "We're day-to-day on Kamen Smith, JoJo Trader, Duke Scott, Tristan Teasdell." Scott was later listed out.

That matters, but NC State at 80 percent still outclasses a Stanford offense averaging 17 points over its last 5.

The number is the sell.

A team allowing 36.57 a game should be catching double digits against an ACC offense scoring 33.

Laying 6.5 against an opponent that loses its competitive games by 4 and 5 touchdowns is buying at a discount.

Stanford covers this only if NC State completely no-shows on a Friday night.

I'm not betting on that twice in a row.

I like NC State

1* FREE INFO PLAY Alavés -145

1* Free Sharp Play on Pistons PK -110

BIG Friday Card has 100% System Plays in CFB, Game 1 of the World Series and Canadian Football. Comp play below.

The CFB Comp Play is on Tulsa minus the point or two at 8:30 eastern. Tulsa hosts Army tonight after beating them on the road last season. Rob notes that CFB Friday night road dogs of less than 4 points are 1-11 straight up and 1-10-1 to the spread long term in week 13 or earlier if the total is 69 or lower and they are in off a home win and the home team is off a road win. This should be a higher scoring game and Tulsa will need to stop the vaunted Army ground game. The Cadets defense is not as good as years past and could struggle to contain the Tulsa offense here. Play on Tulsa. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #387 Michigan State Spartans over UCLA Bruins (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 24, CBS)

UCLA has been a pleasant surprise in the Big Ten this season, standing as the only unbeaten team in either the Big Ten or SEC. Still, this is a hefty number to lay with a backup quarterback. The Bruins were one-dimensional against Wisconsin, and I expect Michigan State to make running the football difficult again.

The Spartans are rebuilding under a new coach, but they’ve shown they can compete, taking Illinois and Northwestern down to the wire. I expect another competitive effort here, with Michigan State keeping the final margin within 7–10 points.

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OVER 53.5

Detroit's offense is averaging nearly 33 PPG and Goff has been surgical with 12 TD passes and zero turnovers. Now he gets an extra week to prepare for a Green Bay defense whose recent improvement came against backup QBs and a struggling Dallas attack. That's a different assignment than dealing with this Lions offense. The problem for Detroit? Its defense is surrendering more than 400 yards per game, giving Love and Green Bay plenty of opportunities to answer. With Jacobs expected back, the Packers have another weapon to keep the scoreboard moving. This one has shootout written all over it. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 53.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL O/U Play

The current run has been strong. 4-1 on NFL last week. A BIG Card is going up for this weekend, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over San Francisco at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We cashed a ticket fading the 49ers on Monday Night Football as they won but failed to cover against the Commanders. Still undefeated on the season, I think the Niners are ripe for the 'upset' as they head to Atlanta to take on the Falcons on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta is coming off a tough home loss to the Bears last week. That marked its second straight loss both SU and ATS and it has quickly fallen out of favor with most bettors following a brief surge that saw it win consecutive primetime games in Green Bay and New Orleans. I still think the Falcons are a good team with plenty of weapons on offense and a competitive defense led by an underrated coordinator in Jeff Ulbrich. Look for the Falcons to scheme up a gameplan to take San Francisco down to the wire at the very least on Sunday, noting that this will only be the Niners second true road game of the season (they won the other by a field goal in Seattle two weeks ago). Take Atlanta (8*).

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