Free Sports Picks of the Day

1* Bet on Portland Fire -2½

3* on Robert Macintyre

1* FREE INFO PLAY Giants +135

Free World Cup Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #225373 Japan over Tunisia (11:59 p.m. EST, Saturday June 20 FS1) Even though we are skeptical that Japan will go too far in this tournament we were super impressed with their resilience in their opener vs. Netherlands. Every time they were punched in the face with a Dutch goal, they punched back with one of their own and earned what should be a very important point in a 2-2 draw. Group F has three very good sides and with Sweden beating Tunisia 5-1 in their opener, it is now evident that Japan and Netherlands will need big results vs. Tunisia. We don’t think the Japanese leave anything to chance here, and we think they will be aggressive in searching for goals and we think they will get them. Tunisia have scored only a single goal combined in their last three matches and they were outscored in their last two against top competition with a goal differential of -9. Japan will have plenty of opportunities here and they showed vs. the Dutch that they can take advantage with accurate shots.

1* Free Play on Portland Fire -3 -110

Another busy Wednesday night in the WNBA with six Commissioner's Cup tilts, and after grinding through the recent trends, head-to-head history, rebounding splits, pace numbers, efficiency metrics, and turnover rates, the Minnesota Lynx laying 8 or 8.5 on the road at the Los Angeles Sparks stands out as my top overall play by a solid margin. These Lynx are 11-3 overall and have been an absolute wagon, posting one of the league’s best net ratings while ranking near the top in defensive rebounding percentage (around 68-70% range) and forcing turnovers at a clip that creates extra possessions night in and night out. They’ve covered spreads north of 7 in a majority of their recent favorite spots, especially when playing at a controlled tempo (around 78-80 possessions) that lets them wear teams down and dominate the second-half rebounding battle. The Sparks sit around 7-7 but have been leaky at home against physical clubs, surrendering higher effective field goal percentages and getting out-rebounded by an average of 4-6 boards per game in similar matchups. Plug in Minnesota’s second-chance points edge (often +6-8 in those spots) and transition defense formula, and you’ve got a matchup equation where the Lynx pull away late more often than not.

The Lynx have got the superior record, the defensive metrics (top-tier opponent effective FG% allowed), and that rebounding dominance that creates a clear mathematical edge most nights like this—think +4-6 in total rebounds leading to +5-7 in points off those extra chances. I’ve been tracking these patterns closely all season, and when the numbers line up this neatly (better efficiency on the glass + turnover creation + second-half execution), it tends to hit at a ridiculous clip. It’s never about pounding every favorite; it’s about waiting for the spots where the data screams “value” like this one does, turning the matchup into a simple equation of talent plus systemic advantages.

Shop around for the best number, keep your units in check, and remember we’re playing the long game here. These WNBA nights can turn on a dime with last-second news, but the Lynx feel like the team to ride with confidence.

AAA Sports' Selection: Las Vegas Aces (ATS).

Las Vegas had been perfect in the Commissioner's Cup before losing to Dallas in it's last game. Winning this final game will be crucial to pick up a spot in the final.

The Aces are 15-7 against the spread over their L22 games played on the road.

Phoenix is 1-7 against the spread over their L8 games played at home.

The Mercury haven't been great this season either after losing Satou Sabally.

We're on LVA.

Pirates vs Athletics MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Pittsburgh hands the ball to right-hander Braxton Ashcraft (5-3, 3.30 ERA), who is putting together an efficient season. Ashcraft has notably dialed up his strikeout numbers while maintaining elite control, issuing just two free passes over his last three starts. His 1.10 WHIP and 90-to-19 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 84 2/3 innings reflect a pitcher capable of shutting down the bottom half of a lineup.

Oakland turns to Aaron Civale (5-2, 4.20 ERA), whose surface record masks some major underlying vulnerabilities. Civale has hit a rough patch, struggling to a 5.40 ERA over his last five starts. His home-road splits are even more alarming, as his home ERA sits more than two runs higher than his production on the road.

The Bet: Pirates (3%). 

All sports premium pick run: 87-64 (58%) +$17,631 for dime bettors dating back to April 26!

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1% GOLD RUSH on Mercury +8