Free Sports Picks of the Day

Ricky's 1* play on CLE.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Cleveland are 14-6 in its last 20 games played in July.

- Chicago White Sox are 4-16 in its last 20 games against Cleveland.

- Chicago White Sox are 5-12 in its last 17 games on the road.

Verdict: The value is on the Home Underdog.

1* Bet on Storm +3½

Free Play on White Sox +103

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Cardinals/Braves OVER 8.5

It's going to be hot in Atlanta tonight with temps in the 90's at game time so the ball should be flying out.  Both starting pitchers tonight are getting too much respect with this total of 8.5.

Dustin May was rocked for 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 2 innings of a 12-10 win over the Royals in similarly hot conditions in his last start.  He is 5-6 with a 4.30 ERA in 15 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 4.79 ERA in seven road starts.  May allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against Atlanta.

Hurston Waldrep will be making his first start of the season for the Braves.  He has posted a 4.27 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 65 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  The OVER is 5-3 in the last eight meetings with 9 or more combined runs in five of those.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 8-plus years! He is riding a 7017-6119 Run L3216 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $321,680! He was the No. 6 Ranked Overall Capper in 2022 as well as the No. 8 Ranked Overall Capper in 2023! He finished as the No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game players up $184,690 since January 1st, 2022!

Jack Jones has SIX Top-10 MLB Finishes (#4 2024, #8 2023, #5 2019, #6 2014, #6 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He finished as the No. 8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $21,110 in 2023! He backed it up by finishing as the No. 4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with $1,000/game players up $34,230! He has delivered a 282-227 MLB Run since last season!

Jack has delivered a 440-352 Run on all premium plays since February 11th that has $1,000/game players up $50,490! Jack releases his 20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK for just $39.95 Thursday! This is the easiest over/under winner in the National League this week folks!

GUARANTEED or Friday MLB is ON JACK!

(#603) Dallas WIngs | ATS | . 

Coming into this game, Dallas has been the much better of the two teams. I know that the Wings are still probably not a title contending team quite yet. But, these younger players are beginning to play very well with another and the Wings could most definitely make some noise against a team or two come postseason time. 

On the other hand, Connecticut is going to be lucky to win 10 games this season. Despite consecutive wins, the Sun are 4-15 on the season and don't have much going for them. They should come back down to earth for this game. Expect a beatdown from start to finish. 

Burns' Prediction: 93-76 Dallas.

1* Free Pick on Mariners -200

The Phoenix Mercury were not that good to reach the WNBA Finals last season. But they are certainly better than their underachieving 7-13 record this season.

The Mercury have begun to show positive signs. They have won and covered each of their last two games beating the Tempo without suspended Alyssa Thomas and defeated the Fever as underdogs in each matchup, both of which were on the road.

Now Arizona is home and Thomas is back from suspension. The thuggish Thomas is my least favorite player in the WNBA. But she also is one of the five best all-around players in the league.

This is a great opportunity for the Mercury to keep their momentum going taking on a Seattle team they have dominated and who has the second worst record in the WNBA at 5-15.

The Mercury have won three consecutive meetings with Seattle, including both this season, winning those two games by an average of 12 points, holding the Storm to just 38 percent shooting each time.

Seattle ranks second to last in scoring and field goal percentage. The Storm are 1-8 on the road.

The Storm are off a pair of upset wins themselves beating the Dream and Liberty, two of the better teams in the league. Impressive yes. Note, though, each of those wins came at home.

Before upsetting Atlanta and New York, the Storm had lost 11 straight games. Seattle has lost eight consecutive road games with all of the losses except one occurring by double digits.

Ezi Magbegor is set to make her Storm debut today. She ranked second in blocked shots last season, but is not a difference maker. Her minutes figure to be limited, too.

Streaky Kahleah Copper has been hot for Phoenix. She is averaging 26.5 points a game during her last six games. Given Cooper's hot scoring hand and the return of Thomas, the Mercury should take care of business.

1* Free Play on Guardians -102

OVER 10.5

Locking this in early. Tampa Bay and Kansas City conclude their series and this is a great over spot. These two offenses have a lot of power in their lineups and with hot temps projected, the ball will be flying out of the park. Ian Seymore goes for Tampa and while he just shut down this Royals lineup last week, he’ll have a tough time pitching in this ballpark. The conditions and the ball flying out will make it tough for a contact pitcher. Stephen Kolek counters and he’s been a disaster. He allowed 9 runs in his latest outing and this Rays offense will feast on him. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE MLB O/U Play

2-1 WEDNESDAY! EN FUEGO! 333-277 55% +2849 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

1* Free Pick on Guardians -102

The market has Cleveland at -102 in a game where the underlying numbers say the Guardians should be a bigger favorite at home.

Start with the pitching matchup, which is not what the surface stats suggest.

White Sox starter Davis Martin walks in with a shiny 9-3 record and 3.00 ERA, but his 3.86 xERA tells you the run prevention has been propped up by soft contact luck.

He also gave up 9 earned runs in 3.1 innings to the Yankees on June 16 and 6 earned runs to the Twins on June 2.

The volatility is real.

Guardians starter Slade Cecconi has the ugly 4.18 ERA and 4-6 record, but look at what he's actually done lately.

Two or fewer earned runs in every one of his last five starts, including 6 scoreless against Seattle on June 27.

His xERA of 4.41 is close to his ERA, so there's no hidden regression bomb.

The opposition case rests on the Jose Ramirez injury, and that's fair.

Losing a franchise bat matters.

But Chicago is playing without Munetaka Murakami, who leads the team in homers and RBIs, so both lineups are compromised.

The White Sox are also 17-26 on the road this season.

That's the number that matters most at a pick-em price.

Progressive Field in 91-degree heat, better recent form on the mound, a road team that can't win away from Chicago.

I'll take the Guardians at plus money on the flat line.

I like the Guardians

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Angels/Mariners OVER 7

The Key: The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 matchups between the Angels and Mariners with 8 or more combined runs in 5 of them.  These teams combined for 8 runs in Game 1 and 11 runs in Game 2, and it should be another game that gets at least 8 combined runs in Game 3 tonight.  Walbert Urena yielded 7 ER in 4 1/3 innings of a 9-3 loss to the A's in his last start.  Bryce Miller yielded 3 ER and 2 HR in 5 2/3 innings to the Pirates in his last start.  Miller has yielded 9 ER and 3 HR in 10 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Angels.  Take the OVER.

**4X Top 5 MLB Handicapper!** Dave is on a 2871-2582 MLB Run since June 8th, 2011 to really put a beating on the books in baseball! His $1,000/game investors won $15,660 in MLB in 2023! He finished as the #1 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game investors winning $41,550 for an even bigger season! Dave is in the midst of a 207-133 MLB 7* Run as well as a 320-264 MLB Run since last year! He is the #7 MLB Capper in 2026 this season! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Thursday MLB 3-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* Padres/Dodgers NL West *HEAVY HITTER* along with two 6* picks on the diamond for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Friday's MLB picks for FREE!

1* FREE INFO PLAY Toronto vs Calgary over 60½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Tigers vs Rangers under 8 -119

HUGE THURSDAY CARD up #1 ALL TIME CFL on the network and on a 5-1 run RARE 6* UP NOW. We also have a TOP WNBA, 5* WORLD CUP POWER TOTAL and 50% OFF MLB DIAMOND CUTTER.  Comp Play below

The Thursday Comp Play is on Algeria plus the half goal at 11:00 eastern. Look for Algeria to push The Swiss team to a very tight game here that may very well be ties at the end of regulation. Algeria head coach Petkovic is a former Switzerland coach and will have his team amped up to take on his former mates. Algeria allowed 3 goals in a draw with Austria last out and should be much better in the back here tonight. They have the quality to score and have pushed at last one through in every match of late except for the Argentina game.. The Swiss team is solid but has not made it to a Quarter final of a major tournament in 72 years. Look for Algeria to hang tough here. Take the + half goal line in this one. GL Rob V-

Rays vs. Royals 
7:40 EST 
7-Unit bet on the Royals as a +105 underdog. 

This MLB betting algorithm targets home underdogs in a specific bounce-back situation. Since 2010, the system has compiled a 35-38 record while averaging a value-generating +135 underdog wager. Despite the losing record, it has produced a 15% ROI, a $15,610 profit for the Dime bettor, and a $785 profit for the casual fan betting $50 per game. 

A qualifying play must meet all of the following criteria: 

Bet on a home underdog. 

The team was shut out in its previous game. 

The team averages 0.5 or fewer errors per game. 

The total of the current game is 9 or more runs. 

Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Braves -107 

1% GOLD RUSH on Nikola Bartunkova +3

FREE PLAY on Rangers -106

For my best free pick on the board here for Thursday I am looking at the Dallas Wings at the Connecticut Sun. Over reaction from bettors I am sure for the Sun over their two wins in a row. Dallas has lost 2 straight and normally I am not all about laying points on the road but this is a good spot to grab a mad Wings team looking for a win and a crappy Sun team which could be the worst team in the WNBA. Look for the Wings to pull away in the second half. 

Play on the Dallas Wings minus the points rotation #603

***DO NOT MISS MY TITANIUM BEST BET WINNER IN MLB TODAY I AM 164-119 58% OVER THE LAST 283***

Kansas City is the ugly side, which is exactly why there is value.

Tampa Bay has owned this series on the scoreboard, but that is also part of the handicap. The Rays are priced like the superior team again, yet the luck gap says this is the most extreme contrarian spot on the board. Tampa Bay sits at +8.34 luck, while Kansas City is buried at -6.10, creating a massive 14.44-game gap. Under this theory, the Rays are the overvalued team and the Royals are the undervalued buy.

Stephen Kolek also gives Kansas City a path. Yes, his last start was ugly, but before that he had allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, including two scoreless outings and a complete-game shutout. He has shown real upside when commanding the zone.

Ian Seymour just dominated Kansas City, but that creates a dangerous overreaction. The Royals now get a second look at a pitcher who has been far less trustworthy away from home, where his ERA is 7.41 with a 1.65 WHIP.

Tampa Bay is the better team on paper. Kansas City is the better betting value. Huge luck gap, home dog price, revenge angle, and a Rays starter vulnerable outside Tampa. Take the Royals.

5-1 SURGE CONTINUES; NIGHT WISE GUY LEADS WAY

We're 5-1 our last six, highlighted by a pair of underdog winners. Back it up today with a Day Major and tonight's Wise Guy—two POWERFUL, HIGH-VALUE releases built to keep the momentum rolling. Don't wait—get both now!