Free Sports Picks of the Day

Free Total Annihilator On Texans vs Patriots over 40½ -110

Free Play on Rams -3½ -115

FREE PLAY on Rams/Bears over 48½

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Charlotte/ECU OVER 140

The Key: The Charlotte 49ers are 7-1 OVER in their last 8 games overall with 141 or more combined points in 7 of those 8 contests.  ECU is 3-2 OVER in its last 5 games overall with 142 or more combined points in all 5 games.  I like the price we are getting on this total with how both of these teams are trending.  Take the OVER.

Ricky's 1* play on LAL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Lakers are 6-0 SU in the last six head to head meetings. 

- The Raptors are 9-11 without RJ Barrett this season. 

- Luka Doncic sat out last night's game, and should be good to go vs Toronto. 

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

1* Free Pick on Patriots -3

1* Free Sharp Play on North Texas +2 -110

The Houston Texans visit the New England Patriots in the AFC Divisional Playoffs. Houston finished the regular season at 12-5.  New England finished 14-3 during the regular season and won the AFC East. Houston’s defense will keep the game close and low scoring. Houston will need to have their offense step up and contribute more. I am not sure what to make of New England, as they played what could be the easiest schedule ever. Houston should be able to get some pressure on Maye and make things interesting. Both defenses will make things tough for the offenses, and this game stays under the number.

Play on the under. This is a FREE play.

Recommended Bet: Sporting San Jose +137

1* Free Play on Bears +4 -110

1* Free Pick on Rams/Bears over 48 -110

**Sunday's FREE NFL Playoff Lock: Houston Texans +3 at New England Patriots**  

AFC Divisional Round clash – don't sleep on this one!

The Patriots just crushed the Chargers 16-3 in the Wild Card round, proving they're legit with Drake Maye shining (268 pass yards + 66 rushing in his playoff debut). New England's riding high at 14-3 overall, winners of four straight (including covers), and the home crowd + public love will have everyone piling on them in Foxborough.

But that's exactly why the **value screams** on the other side.

Houston's defense is straight-up elite – tops in the league for fewest yards allowed this season, and they just demolished Pittsburgh 30-6 on the road in the Wild Card (held them to 6 points!). This unit reminds me of those nasty Buddy Ryan Eagles squads: relentless pressure, suffocating coverage, and perfect for containing a young gun like Maye. They'll keep him in the pocket, force tough throws, and make this a low-scoring grinder.

Expect a razor-close battle – think field goal or less separating them at the end. Points are gold here with both sides playing lights-out D lately (low totals hitting consistently). Texans have the grit to hang tough on the road, especially after that dominant showing last week.

Fade the hype train on New England – grab the dog with the superior defense that wins ugly.

**Lock: Houston Texans + the points (#387 or current spread).**  

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Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Pelicans/Rockets OVER 230

The Houston Rockets should be able to let their hair down today and hang a big number on the New Orleans Pelicans to break out of their recent offensive funk that has mostly come against very good defensive teams.  The Pelicans are not that.

New Orleans ranks 9th in pace and 28th in defensive rating to profile as an OVER team.  They have gone 3-1 OVER in their last four games overall.  They have finished with 229 or more combined points in five consecutive games, including 235 or more in four of them.  This is a low total for a game involving the Pelicans.

The first and only meeting between the Pelicans and Rockets this season was a shootout.  The Pelicans won 133-128 (OT), but it was tied 119-119 at the end of regulation for 238 combined points, which would easily top this 230-point total in the rematch.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 232 or more combined points in five of those six.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

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1* Free Pick on Texans/Patriots: over 40½

This total is sitting way too low for a playoff matchup in the modern NFL. Everyone is looking at the snow forecast in Foxborough and hammering the under, but that is a mistake.

The wind is expected to stay under 10 mph. When the wind is light, snow actually helps the offense because defensive backs lose their footing on double moves.

C.J. Stroud is playing at an elite level right now. Houston ranks in the top five in EPA per dropback over the last month of the season.

The Texans are missing Nico Collins, but Christian Kirk has stepped up as a massive weapon. Kirk is coming off a 144-yard performance and gives Stroud a reliable chain-mover in any weather.

Houston is also getting healthy on the offensive line. They have a clear advantage in success rate against a New England front that is missing key depth.

New England’s offense has found its rhythm lately. They put up 38 points on Miami just a few weeks ago and are playing much faster at home.

The Patriots will lean on their ground game to move the chains. Houston’s run defense has been vulnerable, giving up over 4.5 yards per carry in their last three outings.

Defensive fatigue is real this late in the year. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring battles throughout the last month.

The Over is 5-2 in the Texans' last seven road games. The Patriots have seen the Over hit in four of their last five games at Gillette Stadium.

This number feels like an overreaction to the "Snow Game" narrative. We only need 21-20 to cash this ticket, and both of these offenses are capable of reaching the mid-20s.

I like the Over 40.5 (-110).

1* NBA - Raptors/Lakers FREE PICK on Lakers +2

1* FREE INFO PLAY Deportes Tolima +219

Sunday the release of the 2026 NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR and a Triple Perfect Team TOP PROP. CBB Comp play below

The College hoops comp play is on South Florida at 2 eastern. The Bulls are a solid 7-1 at home and have conference tournament knockout revenge on Wichita St today. The Bulls are rolling right now and have won 5 of the last 6 overall. The Shockers are a paltry 10-8 on the year and have lost 3 of the last 4. Rob Notes that Conference home favorites off a home favored win and a prior win cover over 75% long term if they have home loss revenge and the opponent is off a road dog loss in a game where the total is 150 or higher. Look for South Florida to cover.. GL Rob V

This is a play on the PURDUE FORT WAYNE MASTODONS for our Sunday Free Play. We had Milwaukee last Sunday as our free play and the Panthers pulled away late for the cover over IU Indianapolis but we are going against them this week as this team is not right. They came into the season as the favorites to win the Horizon League but after a 3-0 start, they have gone 1-4 in the conference and at .500, they are No. 7 in the conference in the NET Rankings. Milwaukee is just 1-8 on the road with the win coming against Cleveland St., the worst team in the Horizon and in all of Division I. Purdue Fort Wayne has won three straight games, including the last two on the road, to go to 5-3 in the conference. The Mastodons are back home where they are 8-1 with a loss against resurgent Green Bay on January 1 and they will certainly be up for this one. Prior to that Green Bay loss, they went to Milwaukee and were handed a 22-point loss so there is a chance for some quick payback. Play (832) Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

CBB 140-125-1 Run. THREE plays Sunday. NBA 25-12-1 Run continues tonight. CFB 28-14 run. CFB Game of the Year for the CFP Final. 241-212-10 NFL Run. TWO Divisional Winners on Sunday. All Sports Sub Gets Everything!

Rams vs Bears 
6:30 EST, Sunday, January 18 
Soldier Field, Chicago 
5-Unit bet on the OVER currently priced at 48.5 points 

Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 5 units preflop on the OVER and then add the remaining 2 units at 45.5 points. If you are expecting scoring volatility to be lower/slower, then consider betting 4 Units preflop, 2 units at 45.5 points and 1 unit at 42.5 points. The second quarter had the highest average scoring quarter (13.6 points) in the divisional round. So, if there is going to be a slower than usual quarter, the first quarter would be the one.  

Here is a situational betting algorithm that has gone 18-9-1 OVER for 67% winning bets over the past 15 seasons, including the playoffs. The requirements are: 

Bet the OVER with a team coming off a home win. 

In that home win they trailed by 17 or more points at the half. 

The following NFL betting algorithm has produced solid results with a 17-9 OVER record for 65.4% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are:  

Bet the OVER with a home teams playing in the divisional round of the playoffs. 

In their Wild Card game, the home team saw the OVER win the money and covered it by 7 or more points. 

In addition, divisional round favorites that scored 30 or more points in their Wild Card win has seen the OVER compile a profitable 25-14 mark for 64% winning bets since 2002; 16-8 OVER for 70% winning bets when they scored 34 or more points. 

The Rams went OVER their team total by 6 points. The OVER is 22-10 for 69% winning bets in the divisional round of the playoffs with a team coming off a game in which they went OVER their team total by 6 or more points. 

10-UNIT MAX NFL Divisional Round Titan Bet goes this weekend so do not miss out and get it now for 25% off the regular price.

Ryan is 12-2 ATS over his last 14, 10-UNIT MAX bet releases and this one is backed by an incredible 92% ATS situation that will blow your mind and a ton more.

Sunday's NBA Free Pick on Nuggets -1

As the NFC Divisional Round unfolds on January 18, 2026, all eyes turn to Soldier Field in Chicago, where the Los Angeles Rams face off against the home-underdog Bears in a 6:30 PM ET kickoff. With temperatures dipping to around 20°F and snow in the forecast, this matchup promises a gritty, weather-influenced battle that could sway betting outcomes. The Rams enter as 3.5-point favorites with a total points line set at 48.5, reflecting their offensive prowess against a Bears squad that's shown flashes but struggled defensively throughout the season. League-wide trends in the 2026 NFL season highlight a favorable environment for underdogs, who have covered the spread in 52.7% of games, while favorites have managed only 47.3% success against the number. This dynamic plays into divisional playoff history, where road underdogs between +3.5 and +9.5 have posted a strong 29-17-1 record against the spread over the last 47 instances, a 63% clip that suggests value in backing teams like the Bears if the line moves further. However, home teams overall have hovered around a 49.8% cover rate this year, indicating no overwhelming edge for Chicago despite the familiar turf and elements.

Delving into team-specific angles, the Rams have been a bettor's delight in 2026, boasting one of the league's top against-the-spread records with consistent covers driven by their explosive offense. Los Angeles ranks first in points and yards per game, exploiting defenses with quarterback Matthew Stafford's league-leading passing yards and touchdowns, which has translated to an 11-7 mark to the over in their contests. This over trend aligns with broader NFL patterns, where high-scoring games have become more common in playoffs, as evidenced by bettors cashing overs in 30 of the last 56 divisional round totals that shifted early. On the flip side, the Bears' defense has been a liability, ranking near the bottom in yards per play allowed, which could prove costly against a Rams attack that's thrived even in adverse conditions. Chicago has shown resilience as home underdogs, but their 2026 season has seen them go under in several cold-weather spots, potentially capping the total if the snow slows down the passing game.

Key stats further tilt the scales toward Los Angeles. The Rams have won and covered in 12 games against the spread this year, the most in the NFL, underscoring their reliability as favorites in the -3.5 range. In contrast, playoff favorites coming off a bye, like the Rams here, have a middling 17-26-1 ATS record when laying seven or more points, but with this spread tighter, the historical drag is less pronounced. Weather angles add intrigue: Cold games under 30°F have leaned under league-wide at a 55% rate this season, yet the Rams' efficient ground game and quick-strike passing could buck that, especially against a Bears unit that's surrendered big plays. Bold historical precedents, such as divisional rounds producing unexpectedly high scores, suggest this could eclipse typical weather-dampened expectations.

Putting it all together, the sharp play here is laying the 3.5 points with the Rams. Their offensive dominance, combined with Chicago's defensive woes and the league's road-underdog success not fully countering Los Angeles' trends, points to a comfortable win.

Historical data refines this: NFL -3.5 favorites cover about 47.4% overall, but road teams like the Rams hit 49.2%, and their 66.7% ATS record this season suggests a higher pp . Playoff trends show -49% for road favorites, with weather potentially reducing opp edge.
. Ultimately, if your pp is  0.5238, the bet has edge. 

Sunday NHL Free play. My selection is on St. Louis +1.5 goals over Edmonton at 8:05 pm et on Sunday.

The Blues are coming off back-to-back wins and they're well-rested with this being just their third game in the last week. Meanwhile, the Oilers travel back from Vancouver after trouncing the Canucks 6-0 last night. This will mark Edmonton's fifth game in the last seven nights, in four different cities. Of note, the Oilers are just 5-6 over their last 11 games and 2-5 in their last seven home contests when factoring in the -1.5 puck-line. The Blues road struggles have been well-documented but I look for them to get this three-game trip off to a positive start by keeping pace with the Oilers on Sunday. Take St. Louis +1.5 goals.

Pelicans vs Rockets NBA Free Pick

The Angle: The Houston Rockets are on an 8-2 run to the under, mainly due to a struggle to get buckets, but that should not be an issue here against a New Orleans Pelicans team that has conceded 122 points or more in two of its last three games and allowing 122.3 ppg (28th) on the season. 

The Bet: OVER (2%). 

1% GOLD RUSH on Nishesh Basavareddy -140

1* Bet on South Florida -6½

3* on Patriots

PSP Data Driven 1* Under.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Under. The Under is 5-0 in Houston's last 5 games. The Under is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.