Free Sports Picks of the Day

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Blue Jays/Red Sox OVER 9.5

Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left at Fenway Park tonight.  That will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket as both offenses should have their way with these two overmatched starting pitchers.

Max Scherzer is 1-4 with a 10.23 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in six starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He has allowed 25 earned runs and 9 homers in 22 innings.  Scherzer has allowed 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against Boston as well.

Rookie Jake Bennett will make his 4th career start for the Red Sox.  He is 1-2 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 23 base runners in 15 1/3 innings with just 8 K's.

The Blue Jays are 11-4-1 OVER in their last 16 games overall going for 10 or more combined runs in 10 of those 16 games.  The Red Sox are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with 9 or more combined runs in four of those five, including 10 or more three times.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

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1* Bet on Portland Fire -2½

Joe D is ON FIRE in ALL SPORTS, and today, we continue to BURN THE BOOKS: MLB MONEYMAKER (17-6 MLB RUN) and WNBA HOT SHOT. Follow me with both, and go 2-0.

Wednesday’s FREE WINNER: Cleveland Guardians.

Game 975.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

For a while, Cleveland had a stronghold atop the American League Central division. But dropping seven of their last 10 games, they are now tied for first place along with Chicago. I think this is an ideal situation for them to get a big victory against a solid adversary. Milwaukee enters this matchup sitting in first place in the National League Central with a 4.5-game cushion. It is true, they are one of the best home teams in the league, and it is also true, they took the series opener yesterday, 2-1. But I like the matchup for the visitor here. Statistically, the Milwaukee offense is significantly stronger than the Cleveland lineup. However, today starters negate all that for me. Gavin Williams and Brandon Sproat are scheduled here. The Guardians right-hander has been outstanding this season, amassing a record of 9-3 with an ERA of 3.32. As a matter of fact, the team has won 10 of his 14 starts in 2026. Over his last three games, he is a perfect 2-0 with a 3.63 ERA, and on the road, he is 5-2 as his ERA rises a bit, at 4.04. But, against the National League, this season, the team has prevailed in all five of those of starts. The Brewers right-hander has struggled at 1-4 with a whopping area of 5.70 thus far on the campaign. The team has dropped three of his last four turns, and at home in 2026, he is just 1-2 with an ERA of 6.33. The team has dropped three of his last four starts against the American League opponents, as well. On paper, Milwaukee is a stronger team. However, baseball isn’t played on paper. It is played on the diamond. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

3* on Robert Macintyre

Panama 0.5

Locking this in early. Panama and Ghana meet in their group opener and we’re on Panama. Ghana limps into this World Cup as they’ve dropped six of their last seven with the other being a draw. This is a team that is playing with zero confidence right now and they’re going to struggle against a Panama side that puts an emphasis on the defensive side of things. Ghana also lost midfielder Carlos Queiroz, who was denied entry into Canada prior to the tournament. There’s just too many factors against Ghana heading into play. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on PANAMA ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Wednesday FREE World Cup Soccer Play

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 Hump Day Card has a TOP WNBA PLATINUM SUPREME TOTAL, The TOP Side play of the Opening Match of the World Cup and MLB. Comp play below

The Wednesday comp play is on the Under 2.5 goals in the Croatia vs England match at 4 eastern. Look for a low scoring game here as both teams are solid on the back line. England plays the toughest game in Group L in their opener against a Croatia team that beat them 8 years ago. in the World Cup. In their last meeting England came away with a 1-0 win  England comes in with a +22 goal differential in Qualifiers and will be tough here. However we expect Both teams will struggle to score and the under 2.5 looks very enticing in what can be a 1-0 or 1-1 potential final. Play this game under 2.5 goals. GL Rob V

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:

1* on Tampa Bay Rays +152

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Tampa Bay Rays today to avoid the sweep after dropping the first 2 games in this series to the Los Angeles Dodgers by a single run each.  Shane McClanahan is 6-4 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 13 starts this year with 66 strikeouts in 64 innings and only 3 HR allowed.  Shohei Ohtani yielded 4 runs to the Pirates in his last start and wasn't going to be able to keep up this ERA for much longer.  Take Tampa Bay.

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This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our Wednesday Free Play. Toronto bounced back from a pair of late losses against the Yankees with a 6-1 win last night behind a solid effort from Dylan Cease and the Blue Jays desperately need a strong game from Max Scherzer who has struggled. He has a good matchup against a Red Sox offense that is No. 24 or worse in OBP, SLG, OPS and wOBA. He came back from injury and allowed five runs in 3.1 innings against the Phillies and it is best for him to get out of town as in six starts, five have been at home where he has posted a 12.94 ERA and he was solid in his lone road start at Arizona that resulted in a quality outing. The Red Sox rough season continues as they have lost two straight after a pair of rare home wins over Texas as they are now 12-23 at Fenway Park. Jake Bennett re-entered the rotation a week ago and allowed four runs in five innings against Tampa Bay and his 4.6% K:BB% will not be helped here against a team that does not strike out. Play (963) Toronto Blue Jays

Fargo is off a 0-4 MLB disaster but we tell it like it is win or lose and we continue the awesome start. FOUR MLB Winners for a Wednesday rebound to add to his very profitable season. All-Inclusive Sub gets them all.

1* Free Pick on Yankees -160

White Sox lefty Anthony Kay walks into Yankee Stadium carrying a 6-1 record that doesn't match his profile at all.

His 4.34 ERA is propped up by luck.

The underlying numbers tell the real story: 5.64 xERA.365 xwOBA.449 xSLG against.

That's a pitcher waiting to get hit, and Yankee Stadium with a 12 MPH wind blowing toward the short porch is the worst possible spot for him.

Yankees lefty Carlos Rodon comes in at 3.19 ERA and has been the steadier arm by a wide margin.

Even with a 2-2 record in his starts, ERA tells you more than wins on a 71-game sample.

The opposition case is real.

No Judge, no Stanton, and Dominguez is a question mark.

That's roughly 40 homers missing from the order.

I'm not ignoring it.

But the White Sox are running out their own compromised lineup with Munetaka Murakami and his team-leading 20 HR on the IL.

Both offenses are dented.

The pitching gap is what tilts this.

The Yankees are 44-27 at home base.

The White Sox are 38-33 and just snuck above .500.

New York gets the better arm, the better park environment for what's left of their lefty bats (Bellinger, Rice, Chisholm), and a starter on the other side whose expected metrics rank near the bottom of the league.

-160 isn't a bargain price, but it's the right price given how badly Kay has been overperforming.

Take the better pitcher at home against a regression candidate.

I like the Yankees

1* MLB - Blue Jays/Red Sox FREE PICK on Red Sox -121

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Milwaukee Brewers -119

The Cleveland Guardians were already one of the worst offenses in the majors.  Now without their best hitter in Jose Ramirez it may be the absolute worst.  They are hitting .230 on the season and .219 against right-handed starters.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in seven of their last 10 games while going 3-7 in the process.  The Brewers have one of the best offenses in the majors scoring 5.3 runs per game.  Gavin Williams is 5-2 with a 4.04 ERA in seven road starts this season giving up 8 home runs in those seven starts.  Williams is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in two previous starts against the Brewers giving up 7 earned runs and 2 home runs in 9 innings.  Give me the Brewers.

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Free World Cup Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #225373 Japan over Tunisia (11:59 p.m. EST, Saturday June 20 FS1) Even though we are skeptical that Japan will go too far in this tournament we were super impressed with their resilience in their opener vs. Netherlands. Every time they were punched in the face with a Dutch goal, they punched back with one of their own and earned what should be a very important point in a 2-2 draw. Group F has three very good sides and with Sweden beating Tunisia 5-1 in their opener, it is now evident that Japan and Netherlands will need big results vs. Tunisia. We don’t think the Japanese leave anything to chance here, and we think they will be aggressive in searching for goals and we think they will get them. Tunisia have scored only a single goal combined in their last three matches and they were outscored in their last two against top competition with a goal differential of -9. Japan will have plenty of opportunities here and they showed vs. the Dutch that they can take advantage with accurate shots.

1* Free Play on Portland Fire -3 -110

Wednesday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Guardians +110

Another busy Wednesday night in the WNBA with six Commissioner's Cup tilts, and after grinding through the recent trends, head-to-head history, rebounding splits, pace numbers, efficiency metrics, and turnover rates, the Minnesota Lynx laying 8 or 8.5 on the road at the Los Angeles Sparks stands out as my top overall play by a solid margin. These Lynx are 11-3 overall and have been an absolute wagon, posting one of the league’s best net ratings while ranking near the top in defensive rebounding percentage (around 68-70% range) and forcing turnovers at a clip that creates extra possessions night in and night out. They’ve covered spreads north of 7 in a majority of their recent favorite spots, especially when playing at a controlled tempo (around 78-80 possessions) that lets them wear teams down and dominate the second-half rebounding battle. The Sparks sit around 7-7 but have been leaky at home against physical clubs, surrendering higher effective field goal percentages and getting out-rebounded by an average of 4-6 boards per game in similar matchups. Plug in Minnesota’s second-chance points edge (often +6-8 in those spots) and transition defense formula, and you’ve got a matchup equation where the Lynx pull away late more often than not.

The Lynx have got the superior record, the defensive metrics (top-tier opponent effective FG% allowed), and that rebounding dominance that creates a clear mathematical edge most nights like this—think +4-6 in total rebounds leading to +5-7 in points off those extra chances. I’ve been tracking these patterns closely all season, and when the numbers line up this neatly (better efficiency on the glass + turnover creation + second-half execution), it tends to hit at a ridiculous clip. It’s never about pounding every favorite; it’s about waiting for the spots where the data screams “value” like this one does, turning the matchup into a simple equation of talent plus systemic advantages.

Shop around for the best number, keep your units in check, and remember we’re playing the long game here. These WNBA nights can turn on a dime with last-second news, but the Lynx feel like the team to ride with confidence.

AAA Sports' Selection: Las Vegas Aces (ATS).

Las Vegas had been perfect in the Commissioner's Cup before losing to Dallas in it's last game. Winning this final game will be crucial to pick up a spot in the final.

The Aces are 15-7 against the spread over their L22 games played on the road.

Phoenix is 1-7 against the spread over their L8 games played at home.

The Mercury haven't been great this season either after losing Satou Sabally.

We're on LVA.

Pirates vs Athletics MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Pittsburgh hands the ball to right-hander Braxton Ashcraft (5-3, 3.30 ERA), who is putting together an efficient season. Ashcraft has notably dialed up his strikeout numbers while maintaining elite control, issuing just two free passes over his last three starts. His 1.10 WHIP and 90-to-19 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 84 2/3 innings reflect a pitcher capable of shutting down the bottom half of a lineup.

Oakland turns to Aaron Civale (5-2, 4.20 ERA), whose surface record masks some major underlying vulnerabilities. Civale has hit a rough patch, struggling to a 5.40 ERA over his last five starts. His home-road splits are even more alarming, as his home ERA sits more than two runs higher than his production on the road.

The Bet: Pirates (3%). 

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1% GOLD RUSH on Mercury +8

FREE PLAY on Dodgers -156