Free Sports Picks of the Day

Ricky's 1* play on MIA.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games.

- The Rockies are 1-3 in their last 4 games.

- The Marlins are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

Free Total Annihilator On Giants vs Diamondbacks under 9 +100

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Tampa Bay Rays -115

The Tampa Bay Rays have big advantages on the mound and at the plate tonight over the Kansas City Royals and should be bigger favorites as a result.  The Rays are scoring 4.5 runs per game compared to 4.2 runs per game for the Royals, who play in a much more pitcher-friendly park.  The Royals also have a ton of injuries offensively right now.

Griffin Jax has posted a 3.17 ERA while allowing 19 earned runs in 54 innings this season.  Jax has a 2.63 ERA on the road.  He has pitched 10 innings without allowing a single earned run in his last two starts against the Royals.

Noah Cameron is 4-5 with a 4.50 ERA in 15 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 4.61 ERA in eight home starts.  Cameron allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings of a 5-3 loss to the Rays in his last start on June 24th opposite Jax.  

The Rays were -155 favorites in that game at home, and now they are only -115 road favorites in the rematch less than a week later.  There's clearly value on Tampa Bay in Game 1 of this series tonight.  Bet the Rays Tuesday.

No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 8-plus years! He is riding a 7014-6116 Run L3214 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $321,930! He was the No. 6 Ranked Overall Capper in 2022 as well as the No. 8 Ranked Overall Capper in 2023! He finished as the No. 2 Ranked Overall Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game players up $184,940 since January 1st, 2022!

Jack Jones has SIX Top-10 MLB Finishes (#4 2024, #8 2023, #5 2019, #6 2014, #6 2010, #4 2009) to his credit! He finished as the No. 8 Ranked MLB Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $21,110 in 2023! He backed it up by finishing as the No. 4 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with $1,000/game players up $34,230! He has delivered a 279-224 MLB Run since last season!

Jack has delivered a 437-349 Run on all premium plays since February 11th that has $1,000/game players up $50,740! He is coming off a 3-0 Monday SWEEP of the books! This money train stays right on track with Jack's Tuesday MLB 3-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his 20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK! You'll also receive two 15* plays on the bases upon purchase tonight folks!

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Given the low quality of the offenses here, I find this total too high.

The Rays have hit the second fewest homers in the majors. They are averaging 2.7 runs a game during their past eight road contests.

Kansas City ranks in the bottom 10 in batting average, OPS and home runs. The Royals could be without three of their best offensive players. Vinnie Pasquantino and Maikel Garcia are on the injured list and Jac Caglianone is day to day with a groin injury.

Two underrated pitchers are getting the start here - Griffin Jax and Noah Cameron.

Jax has a 2.40 ERA as a starter. Cameron has given up three or fewer earned runs in seven of his last nine starts. 

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR TUESDAY, 6/30:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Tuesday is with the Milwaukee Brewers with the money-line versus the Cincinnati Reds listing both starting pitchers Brandon Sprout and Rhett Lowder. Milwaukee (51-31) has won six of their last eight games after their 5-3 win at home against the Reds yesterday. The Brewers have won 17 of their last 25 home games after winning their previous game. They have also won 37 of their last 56 games when priced as a money-line favorite at -110 or higher. Cincinnati (39-44) has lost two games in a row after their weekend series in Pittsburgh against the Pirates — and they have lost 8 straight games after losing two or more games in a row on the road against fellow NL Central rivals. The Reds have lost 18 of their last 22 games against division opponents. Take Milwaukee with the money-line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports’ 8 of 10 (80%) MLB run continued yesterday by DELIVERING their 25* MLB National League Game of the Month on Arizona! Frank is on a 28 of 44 (64%) MLB winning streak — and now he furthers his 8-0 (100%) MLB sides run and his 16 of 25 (64%) MLB Game of the Month/Year run with his 25* MLB Major League Baseball Game of the Month for Tuesday night! DO NOT MISS OUT! 

Tuesday Rob has his 2026 NATIONAL LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR from a System that WINS by 8 Runs per game. There is the WNBA Commish Cup top play, World Cup Soccer and Wimbledon. Comp play below

The Tuesday World Comp play is on Mexico to advance at 9 eastern. Mexico is home here and has not conceded in the group stage. They are well rested and take on perhaps the best 3rd place finisher in Ecuador, who just upset a high scoring German team thar bounced yesterday off that loss on kicks. They were unlucky losers to a solid Ivory Coast team 1-0 allowing a goal in the 90th+ minute. Ecuador has always struggled at this stage of the tournament and in the head to head series Mexico has 17 wins 7 draws and just 4 losses. This will be a very tight game and Ecuador will be in this throughout. However, With Mexico spurred on by the home crowd and with better current form, edges in historical matchups and more rest we will back them to pull out a close and possibly late win, Play on Mexico- GL- Rob V

1* MLB - Twins/Astros FREE PICK on Twins -109

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:

1* on Padres/Cubs OVER 11

The Key: Hitting conditions will be very favorable tonight at Wrigley Field with temps approaching 90 and 15 MPH winds blowing out to center.  JP Sears will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Padres.  Sears is 32-41 with a 4.51 ERA lifetime in the majors.  Matt Boyd is 2-1 with a 5.02 ERA in 6 starts for the Cubs this year.  One of those starts came against the Padres on April 27th when Boyd yielded 5 ER in 4 innings.  Take the OVER.

**4X Top 5 MLB Handicapper!** Dave is on a 2867-2578 MLB Run since June 8th, 2011 to really put a beating on the books in baseball! His $1,000/game investors won $15,660 in MLB in 2023! He finished as the #1 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game investors winning $41,550 for an even bigger season! Dave is in the midst of a 207-132 MLB 7* Run as well as a 316-260 MLB Run since last year! He is the #8 MLB Capper in 2026 this season! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Tuesday MLB 5-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NL Central Total of the Month along with four 6* picks on the diamond for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Wednesday's MLB picks for FREE!

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Reds/Brewers OVER 9

The Brewers are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Reds have gotten a lot healthier offensively of late and have scored 3 runs or more in five straight and 4 runs or more in four of those.  Rhett Lowder is 3-5 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 12 starts this season, and 2-4 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in seven road starts.  Brandon Sproat is 2-4 with a 5.43 ERA in 15 games this season, and 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in seven home games.  Lowder gave up 3 earned runs, 2 home runs and 8 hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 6-5 loss to the Brewers on June 24th in his last start.  Give me the OVER.

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I am coming off a 5-1 Monday MLB BEAT DOWN of the books! I keep the money coming your way tonight with my Tuesday All-Inclusive MLB 4-Pack for $49.99! This card features a 5 Unit BEST BET in Twins/Astros along with three 4 Unit SHARP PLAYS for you to feast on! You are GUARANTEED-to-PROFIT or I'll send you Wednesday's MLB plays for FREE!

Tuesday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Padres +135

if you've been around baseball betting long enough, you know Coors Field isn't just a ballpark, it's a launching pad where physics gets a little extra help. At 5,183 feet above sea level, the thinner air means less drag and resistance on the baseball, so fly balls carry farther, line drives turn into gaps, and even routine pop-ups can become adventures. Add in warm summer temperatures in the mid-to-high 80s with low humidity, and the ball simply jumps off the bat more. Historical data shows Coors games routinely see scoring inflated by 2.5 to 3.5 runs or more compared to sea-level parks, and tonight's Marlins-Rockies matchup lines up perfectly for another high-scoring affair. The over 11.5 has the kind of edge that makes you lean in, and I've seen enough of these altitude spots to trust the math when everything aligns.

Start with the park's raw impact. The altitude effect alone boosts home run distance by roughly 10-20% on average and turns what would be warning-track outs at lower elevations into extra-base hits. Weather compounds it: warm, dry conditions reduce ball density and improve carry even further. When you combine that with two starting pitchers who aren't exactly shutdown artists on the road or at home, you're looking at a recipe for crooked numbers early and often. Miami's Eury Pérez has shown solid stuff at times but has posted road ERAs noticeably higher than his overall mark, while Colorado's starter and bullpen have struggled mightily in their home environment, allowing opponents to feast on mistakes. The Rockies' relief corps, in particular, has an ERA pushing north of 5.00 in recent home appearances, and that's before we talk about how altitude turns contact into damage.

Offensively, both lineups have the tools to exploit this. The Marlins sit around 4.3 runs per game for the season, with good contact rates and speed that plays up in spacious outfields like Coors. The Rockies, benefiting from the same park, have hovered closer to 5+ runs scored per home game when you adjust for the environment. Do the basic two-team math first: average their season R/G figures to get roughly 9.2–9.4 combined. Then apply a conservative Coors multiplier of 1.20–1.25 (backed by multi-year park factor data showing runs 15-25% above league average):

Adjusted expected total≈9.3×1.22=11.35\text{Adjusted expected total} \approx 9.3 \times 1.22 = 11.35Adjusted expected total≈9.3×1.22=11.35

That's before layering in bullpen regression or one sloppy inning, which happens frequently at altitude. Recent trends back this up strongly, Marlins road games against right-handed starters with ERAs above 4.00 have cleared the total in a majority of their last 15–20 contests, while Rockies home totals have gone over in better than half their games this season, especially on warm nights. Head-to-head at Coors, these clubs have produced plenty of 12–14 run outputs when neither starter is an ace, and the overs have cashed more often than not in similar spots.

The bullpens add another layer. Both units have been leaky lately, with Miami's relief ERA sitting above 4.5 across their recent sample and Colorado's even higher when the thin air turns fly balls into trouble. One bad relief appearance can add three or four runs in a hurry, and that's exactly the kind of variance that pushes totals over the number in Coors. I've tracked these games for years, and the pattern holds: when you get average-to-below pitching, decent contact-oriented offenses, and perfect weather for carry, the math rarely lies. It's not foolproof, baseball has its chaos, but the edge here feels as real as it gets.

I care about sharing these because I've been on the wrong side of variance enough times to respect it, but also on the right side enough to know when the numbers line up in your favor. Coors isn't going to turn into a pitcher's duel tonight. The altitude, the weather, the pitching weaknesses, and the offensive capabilities all point the same direction. If you're looking for a totals play with real substance behind it, this is the one worth circling.

My selection is on Colorado over Miami at 8:40 pm et on Tuesday.

The Rockies dropped a high-scoring affair to open this series last night. We'll call for them to bounce back as we're being offered a generous price on Tuesday. Eury Perez will take the ball for Miami. The Marlins have lost his last four road starts. While he's pitched well at times, he'll be up against it at Coors Field, noting that the Rockies quietly rank top-five in the majors in wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Tanner Gordon gets just his third start of the campaign for Colorado. His overall numbers this season aren't good, however, he is just one start removed from holding the mighty Dodgers to only one earned run over five innings at Dodger Stadium. It's not as if the Marlins are tearing the cover off the baseball right now. They rank 16th in the majors in xwOBA over the last week, even after last night's 10-run outburst. Take Colorado (8*).

AAA Sports' Selection: Seattle Mariners (ML).

Los Angeles will start Jose Soriano -- His June hasn't been too good, with a 5.32 earned run average over five appearances.

The Angels have now lost seven straight road games played against Seattle.

They are also 15-28 this season in all road games against any opponent.

Seattle will start Bryan Woo -- He went seven innings in his last home start and didn't allow a single run.

The Mariners have won 10 of their L14 games played here at T-Mobile Park.

We're on Seattle.

1% GOLD RUSH on Jessica Bouzas Maneiro -115

Free Play – Take #924 Seattle over L.A. Angels (9:40 p.m. ET, Tuesday, June 30)

Seattle’s been a major disappointment this season after almost winning the World Series last season. The Mariners are only .500 at 43-43, ranking #24 in runs scored. The pitching numbers don’t look bad at #6 in runs allowed, but pitchers like Bryan Woo (6-6, 4.26 ERA) have terrible splits. Once considered one of the next top hurlers in the sport, Woo has a 6.38 ERA on the road and 2.00 ERA in Coffee Town this season. However, he is at home this evening, and the RH pitcher has a 1.02 ERA in three home starts against the Halos. The Angels' Jose Soriano (8-4, 3.32 ERA) has attractive numbers, but his ERA is on the rise at 5.33 since May. With Seattle 10-3 as hosts in this matchup and 24-3 in home games playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since last year, let’s back the Mariners at -1 to hold down the Halos.

>MLB Run Line Rout! Sharp 68-50 Run

>MLB Terrific Tuesday 2-Pack, which includes his Best Bet!

DOUG UPSTONE has multiple plays in MLB for Tuesday off a 3-0 Monday as he continues to percolate at 58-42 and 130-92 long term on all picks. Doug is on a 68-50 run in baseball, and at 107-63 on ML picks long-term run!

Upstone is a highly decorated betting expert with 30 monitored titles in various sports and 114 Top 10 finishes in his stellar 23-year career. Get Doug’s Best Bets, Top Plays, Super Systems and terrific trends. 

3* on under

It’s one of the stronger computer plays in some time on SportsLine, with KC winning 56% of simulations. That’s well above the 45.87 break-even when I bet at +118. But even at 105, it’s still strong.

Kansas City is the side based on a classic buy-low/sell-high setup. Tampa Bay comes in with the much better record at 48-33, while Kansas City sits at 35-50, but the market is already fully aware of that surface gap. The value is in what is underneath it.

The biggest factor is the luck gap. Tampa Bay rates as one of MLB’s luckier teams at +7.69, while Kansas City sits at -5.47. That creates a massive 13.16-game luck gap, the biggest qualifying edge on today’s card. The theory is simple: the luckiest teams are often overvalued, while the unluckiest teams are often undervalued. This matchup fits that perfectly.

The price also supports the Royals. Covers projects Kansas City to win 4.94 to 4.86, yet the Royals are still sitting as the underdog around +116. Any time the projected score slightly favors the dog, but the market is still shading the hotter, better-record team, there is built-in value.

Tampa Bay also just saw Kansas City last week, and while the Rays won two straight to close that series, this matchup now shifts to Kansas City. The Royals already won two of four in Tampa last week, both as sizable underdogs at +154 and +158, so this is not a team they have been unable to solve.

Griffin Jax has been solid, but he is not a true workhorse starter. His last five starts average only 4.2 innings, meaning Tampa Bay likely needs plenty from the bullpen. That matters because the Rays’ bullpen has not been automatic lately, allowing 10 earned runs over its last 19.1 innings.

Noah Cameron’s recent form is not pretty, but that is part of why the price exists. The Royals do not need him to dominate; they need him to keep them in range long enough for the market mispricing to matter. Kansas City’s lineup is projected right there with Tampa Bay, the luck gap screams value, and the underdog price gives us the better side.

This is not about betting the better record. It is about betting the better number. Kansas City is the undervalued side.

TOP UNDERDOG VALUE ON TUESDAY'S CARD! 

Joe Duffy settled for a push with our lone release Monday, but the VALUE is even stronger today.

Tuesday's card is led by a LIVE underdog with the kind of PRICING and MARKET VALUE we love to attack. Sometimes the BEST opportunities come when the public is looking the other way.

One play. One TARGET. One EXCEPTIONAL opportunity to cash.