Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Cubs +113

1* Free Pick on A's +130

Free Total Annihilator On Phillies vs Orioles under 8½ -120

1* Bet on Liberty -2½

Ricky's 1* play on COL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
 
- The Royals are 1-3 in their last 4 games.

- The Royals are 3-5 in their last 8 road games.

- The Rockies are 3-1 in the last 4 head to head meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

Recommended Bet: Sporting KC +238

I expect the Rays to bounce back in a big way against the White Sox after losing to them, 6-1, at home on Friday.

Tampa Bay has the best home record in baseball at 40-17. The White Sox are six games below .500 when playing on the road. The Rays have gone 19 straight games at Tropicana Park without losing two in a row.

The Rays also have the superior pitcher going with Drew Rasmussen, who is 9-5 with a 3.07 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. Rasmussen has allowed only two earned runs in his last two starts spanning 12 innings.

As for the White Sox, reliever Jordan Hicks appears to be the opener for rookie lefty Noah Schultz, who is off a brutal July with a 1-3 record and 6.75 ERA. That has left Schultz with a 6.15 ERA and 1.45 WHIP on the season. The Rays are 22-10 versus southpaws.

 (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 16-4 on his last 20 MLB premium plays and has his MLB Game of the Week today in addition to this free selection. Stephen is 58-31-2 on his last 91 Canadian Football League plays and also has a CFL play today.)

1* Free Pick on Astros +113

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: St. Louis Cardinals +126

Quinn Matthews will make his major league debut for the Cardinals on Saturday against the Toronto Blue Jays.  This is a signal that the Cardinals are going 'all in' now that they have have fallen 3 games back in the wild card after their worst stretch of the season.  It's a great time to 'buy low' on St. Louis here.

But few starters have had as much anticipation to make their MLB debut for St. Louis as Matthews.  He is their No. 7 prospect and has lived up to the hype in the minors.  Matthews has posted a 3.13 ERA with 111 K's in 92 innings across 19 starts for Triple-A Memphis.  That includes a 1.59 ERA over his final 10 starts while pitching at least 6 innings in each of his last four.

Matthews will face one of the worst offenses in baseball in the Blue Jays, who are scoring just 3.9 runs per game this season.  And St. Louis should get its bats going against the overrated Kevin Gausman, who is in the midst of one of the worst seasons of his career.

Gausman is 4-10 with a 4.51 ERA in 22 starts this season.  He is winless in his last 11 starts.  Gausman has gone 0-7 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in his last 10 starts, allowing 37 earned runs and 9 homers in 52 2/3 innings.  Bet the Cardinals Saturday.

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1* Free Pick on Calgary/Hamilton: over 59½

Calgary is the reason this number sits at 59.5, and it's the reason it's still not high enough.

The Stampeders have gone Over the total in all 7 regular-season games in 2026.

That's not a small sample of trend-hunting.

That's a full offensive identity.

They're coming off a 52-point performance against Winnipeg in Week 8.

Jalen Philpot has put up 224 yards and 2 touchdowns over his last two games.

This offense is humming.

The Calgary defense is the other half of the story.

They gave up 30 to Winnipeg in a win, and surrendered 37 and 38 in prior losses.

Every Stampeders game is a track meet whether they want it or not.

The opposition case is real and I'm not dismissing it.

Hamilton has averaged just 16.3 points per game in the three games since Bo Levi Mitchell hit IR, and losing Bridges and Ternowski thins the receiver room further.

Braxton Hill returning at linebacker helps their defense.

Here's why it doesn't kill the Over: Calgary can clear this number on their own.

Take Hamilton at 17 points and Calgary only needs 43.

They dropped 52 last week.

The math still works even if Hamilton is a shell of itself.

The weather is the one variable I respect.

Thunderstorms at kickoff can flip any total.

But a slick-ball CFL game with big fields and 3-down football often produces more possessions and more short fields, not fewer.

I like the Over

1* MLB - Brewers/Angels FREE PICK on Brewers -117

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Houston Astros +117

The Key: The Houston Astros have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games overall to take over 1st place in the AL West.  I like the price we are getting on them as home underdogs to the Texas Rangers tonight.  Ronel Blanco is 2-2 with a 3.10 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Rangers.  Jacob DeGrom is 0-3 with a 5.82 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Astros while yielding 11 ER and 8 HR in 17 innings.  DeGrom is 3-4 with a 4.33 ERA in 10 road starts this year.  Take Houston.

**4X Top 5 MLB Handicapper!** Dave is on a 2930-2640 MLB Run since June 8th, 2011 to really put a beating on the books in baseball! His $1,000/game investors won $15,660 in MLB in 2023! He finished as the #1 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game investors winning $41,550 for an even bigger season! Dave is in the midst of a 219-147 MLB 7* Run as well as a 379-322 MLB Run since last year! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Saturday MLB 9-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* MLB Total of the Week along with eight 6* picks on the diamond for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guaranteesyou'll cash in a profit or you get Sunday's MLB picks for FREE!

1* FREE INFO PLAY Inter Miami -150

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Royals/Rockies UNDER 12

The Kansas City Royals already had one of the worst offenses in the majors even when they were healthy.  Now that they are without their two best hitters among others they are the worst offense.  They have been held to 5 runs or less in 12 consecutive games.  They have gone 7-0-1 UNDER In their last eight games.  They have gone for 9 or fewer combined runs in 11 consecutive games.  Luinder Avila is 3-0 with a 3.12 ERA on the road this season giving up only 15 earned runs and 3 home runs in 43 1/3 innings.  Ryan Feltner is one of the rare Rockies who has pitched better at home than he has on the road.  He has a 1.31 WHIP in nine home starts.  Feltner gave up one earned run in 7 innings in his last start against the Royals last season.  Give me the UNDER.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Saturday 8-1-26

NY Yankees @ Chicago Cubs  (7:15 PM EST)
Play On:  NY Yankees -111

The New York Yankees take on the Cubs in Chicago on Saturday night.  Both teams come in with identical 62-48 SU overall records on the season.  The Yankees are 36-25 on the road this year.  The Yankees are 5-0 this year on the road when the total is 7 or less.  The Yankees are 8-1 this year after shutting out their opponent.  The Yankees are 5-0 last 5 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.  Max Fried is 4-2 with a 2.66 ERA on the road this season.  Fried is 4-1 with a 2.25 ERA at night this year.  Fried is 29-6 in his career against NL Central division teams.  David Peterson is 6-7 with a 5.80 ERA overall this year.  Peterson is 2-4 with a 7.51 ERA at home this season.  Peterson has a 6.75 ERA over the past 2 months.  We'll recommend a small play on the New York Yankees tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocky Atkinson has a TOP 8* MLB BEST BET for Saturday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 347-299 54% MLB run over his last 672 picks!  Off a lousy 0-3 Friday, we will bounce back today!  25 of 29 winning years in my history tells it all!

1* Free Sharp Play on A's +125

Saturday Card has a RARE MLB RED DIAMOND Release along with a 2X PERFECT WNBA TOTAL and an early EXECUTIVE LEVEL TIER 1 CFL Play going early CFL #1 ALL Time.  Late CFL Comp play below

The Saturday CFL Comp play is on Saskatchewan at 7 eastern. The Roughriders are a small favorite here and have home loss revenge for a close loss to Edmonton as this is a right back revenge game Rob notes that road teams off a home favored loss against the same team have covered the only 2 times this has occurred if the total is 54 or higher and the first game went over the total. The Riders have won 4 of 5 as a road favorite with home favored loss revenge. The Elks have lost 5 of 6 as a home dog vs a team with home favored loss revenge. Look for Saskatchewan to take this one. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Soccer Take #209909 San Diego over Minnesota (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday August 1) We hit a +200 underdog on Orlando in MLS with our free soccer pick last week, and let’s do it again this week. Both sides have struggled this season, but San Diego looks like they are turning their season around and they have a chance to jump Minnesota in the standings with three points here. We think San Diego is the better side, and they should be motivated here. They won their lone visit to Minnesota, 4-2, in their short franchise history. We think they can do it again. They are coming off a 1-0 home win over Dallas. In their inaugural season last year they played well on the road at this point of the season and cashed many plus-money tickets in similar situations. Minnesota is on a six-match winless streak, and they have won just one of their last nine. They have five outright losses during that span. They have just three goals in their last five matches, while San Diego has 11 in the same span. San Diego will be aggressive here and we don’t think the Minnesota offense can match them. Great value here, and the road side has a great chance to steal three points for a massive payout.

1* Free Play on Dusko Todorovic +150

Saturday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Yankees -102

Looking at the full MLB rotational schedule today, one totals spot keeps pulling me back like a bad habit I actually enjoy. The Yankees and Cubs sit at a 6.5 total with Max Fried taking the ball against David Peterson at Wrigley Field, and every angle I check keeps pointing the same way.

Fried enters at 4-3 with a 3.23 ERA and a sharp 1.02 WHIP across 69.2 innings. He has limited hard contact all season, posting a career 1.76 ERA over seven starts against the Cubs while holding them to a .198 batting average in those outings. Peterson sits at 6-7 with a 5.80 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. That gap shows up clearly when you run the basic expected runs math: take each pitcher’s ERA, multiply by projected innings, divide by nine, then add them together. Fried’s side lands near 2.4 runs and Peterson’s near 3.6, putting the combined total around 5.8 to 6.2 before park or weather even enter the picture. Yesterday’s 2-0 Yankees win already proved how quiet these lineups can go when a command lefty is on the hill.

Recent trends lean heavily under. The Yankees have hit just .191 as a team over their last ten games and have gone under the total in six of their last seven interleague road games as a favorite. Their road OPS sits at .612 in that stretch while averaging only 3.1 runs per game. The Cubs have scored five or more runs in just three of their previous eight home games against quality left-handed starters, and their team batting average drops to .224 against lefties overall this season. Wrigley’s wind is forecasted to blow straight in with a real chance of rain, conditions that have historically cut 0.7 to 0.9 runs off the total when temperatures sit in the low 70s. The park’s season-long run factor sits just under 1.00 in similar weather windows, which makes the posted 6.5 look even softer.

I keep coming back to the same notepad equation: expected total equals Yankees recent runs per game times 0.92 plus Cubs recent runs per game times 0.88 plus a pitcher differential of negative 1.4. Plug in the last-ten-game scoring rates and the number lands right around 5.9 to 6.3. Fried has worked at least five innings in eleven of his twelve starts this year, which keeps the bullpen from turning a quiet game into late chaos. Peterson’s walk rate sits above 3.5 per nine innings, often forcing the Cubs to play from behind, and trailing teams at Wrigley in wet, wind-in conditions rarely put up crooked numbers. There is some light humor in watching two contending clubs scrap over a total this low. It feels like two heavyweights who both showed up without their power punches.

Still, I care about these spots because the numbers line up cleanly. The historical under rate in Fried starts against pitchers with a sub-5.00 ERA sits north of 60 percent when the total opens under 7.0, and the Yankees have held opponents under four runs in eight of Fried’s twelve outings. The rest of the slate has its own stories, Gilbert in Seattle, Yamamoto in Los Angeles, Sánchez in Baltimore, but none carry the same mix of starter disparity, recent scoring drought, and weather suppression. So the play is Under 6.5 on the Yankees-Cubs game. It is not flashy, but the math, the trends, and the conditions all lean the same way. Bankroll management still rules, of course, yet this is the totals ticket I would write first if I only had one.

My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Cleveland at 7:15 pm et on Saturday.

We saw a low-scoring Diamondbacks victory to open this series last night. The knee-jerk reaction from most bettors will probably be to back the 'under' again with the Guardians handing the ball to their emerging ace Parker Messick. We'll go the other way, however, as I believe this total will prove too low. The D'Backs have a right-handed heavy lineup that can give opposing lefties trouble. Meanwhile, the Guardians will look to bounce back in a game that will be dictated by the performance of an inconsistent D'Backs bullpen with rookie Kohl Drake getting the start and likely working on a short leash. A 5-4 result either way is well within the realm of possibility here. Take the over (8*).

Magic Mike's Yankees vs Cubs MLB Free Pick 

The Angle(s): The New York Yankees are 6-4 straight up, but 7-3 to the under in their last 10 games, as they with several big bats on the IL have had to rely on their pitching rather than hitting. Max Fried (4-3, 3.23 ERA) typically always brings the heat, even though admittedly his last few outings have been shaky.

Cubs southpaw David Peterson (6-7, 5.80 ERA) has had a disappointing year, but has looked a lot sharper in recent starts, with just three runs allowed over 16 2/3 innings of work. With the Yankees banged up, and 24-18 (57%) to the under against left-handed starters, and the wind expected to work in our favor - gimme the under. 

The Bet: Under (3%). 

The results don’t lie: 57-34 (63%) MLB RUNLINE HEATER dating back to March 27, 2025! +$22,150 on $1,000/game bets.

Mike's dropping 3 MLB runline premium picks for Saturday. He has a package posted, including 2 x 4% MLB TOP PLAYS (3 picks in total) and available at a huge discount compared to the value of the single game packages! Don't sleep on this STEAL!

1% GOLD RUSH on Red Sox/Dodgers: under 8

FREE PLAY on Tigres UANL +125

3* on over

PSP Data Driven 1* Over.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Over. The total has gone over in 4 of Calgary last 5 road games. The total has gone over in 4 of Calgary last 4 head to head meetings versus Hamilton.

For my best free pick on the board here on Saturday in CFL action I am looking at the Calgary Stampeders at the Hamilton Tiger Cats. Now Hamilton and Calgary come in with identical records Hamilton is at home but they are a dog? Calgary is far and away the better team in this matchup they just got off to a very poor start and had to play Montreal the best team in the league on back to back spots. Calgary has won a covered 3 of the last 4 head to head games. Stamps have put up around 127 over their last 3 games look for them to score at will Saturday. 

Play on the Calgary Stampeders minus the points rotation #675

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The Mets are the play based on the largest Luck Gap on Saturday’s entire MLB card. TeamRankings grades Miami at +3.34 and New York at -9.91, producing a massive 13.25-game gap. Under the Luck Gap theory, the Marlins’ results have substantially exceeded their underlying performance, while the Mets have been the league’s unluckiest team and are therefore more likely to be undervalued.

That discrepancy matters at a manageable price of approximately -126, which requires New York to win only 55.75 percent of the time to break even. The market has installed the Mets as the favorite despite Miami owning the much better straight-up record, suggesting the betting line is accounting for factors that the standings alone do not capture. Saturday’s matchup at Citi Field was listed with New York around -126 and Miami around +117.

The clearest conventional advantage is on the mound. Mets left-hander Zac Thornton enters with a 2.43 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and only seven walks in 29⅔ innings. Miami counters with Tyler Phillips, whose 3.52 ERA is respectable, but his 1.36 WHIP, 38 walks and modest 63 strikeouts in 84⅓ innings indicate considerably more traffic and less dominance. (CBS Sports)

Thornton has been especially impressive recently. Over his last three starts, he has allowed only three earned runs across 19⅓ innings, including six scoreless innings at Milwaukee and seven scoreless innings against Boston. His combination of control and limited baserunners gives New York the stronger probability of securing an early lead.

Phillips presents a much different profile away from Miami. According to the supplied splits, he owns a 6.23 road ERA and 1.56 road WHIP, compared with a 1.41 ERA at home. He also faced the Mets at Citi Field on May 30 and surrendered three runs on six hits in five innings in a 6-1 New York victory. The Mets have already beaten Miami three times at Citi Field this season by scores of 9-7, 6-1 and 10-1, demonstrating a meaningful venue-specific matchup advantage.

Miami’s vulnerability against left-handed pitching adds another layer to the Thornton edge. Baseball-Reference listed the Marlins at 10-17 against left-handed starters, a sharp decline from their success against right-handers. (Baseball Reference)

The bullpen comparison also favors New York. The supplied data gives the Mets relief corps a 3.04 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, compared with Miami’s 3.97 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. More importantly, New York’s available relievers carried a combined 3.03 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, giving the Mets the better late-game foundation if Thornton provides another quality start.

There are legitimate concerns. The Mets have the inferior season record, several injuries and uncertainty surrounding their trade-deadline roster. They also lost Friday’s game 5-2. 

However, that loss only widens the conceptual valuation disconnect: Miami continues to receive credit for positive results, while New York remains priced as a modest favorite because the pitching matchup and underlying indicators point in the opposite direction.

This is not a bet based solely on believing that “luck must reverse.” It is a convergence play:

13.25-game Luck Gap favoring New York’s valuation
Thornton’s 2.43 ERA and 0.91 WHIP
Miami’s poor record against left-handed pitching
Phillips’ 6.23 road ERA
New York’s stronger bullpen metrics
Mets laying only a moderate home price

The season records make Miami appear attractive, but the Luck Gap says those records are misleading. With the superior starter, better relief profile and favorable home matchup, METS -126 is the correct value side.