Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Valparaiso over 136½ -110

1* Free Pick on Indiana State +4

Free Total Annihilator On UC San Diego vs CS-Fullerton under 156½ -105

Ricky's 1* play on NMSU.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- New Mexico State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games played in March.

- Jacksonville State is 1-5 in its last 6 games.

- Jacksonville State is 1-4 in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.

Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.

The Timberwolves have a tendency to play down to the level of their competition. It is a reason why they have the second-worst point spread mark in the NBA at 26-36 (42 percent). They are 3-9 ATS in their last dozen games.

The Raptors should be highly motivated for this game. Not only are they off an embarrassing blowout loss to the Knicks, but they have revenge for a 128-126 home loss suffered to the Timberwolves on Feb. 4. Toronto blew an 18-point lead in that loss.

Since then, Toronto has gone 5-4 with the defeats coming to the Knicks, Spurs Thunder and Pistons. Those four teams are a combined 108 games above .500.  The Raptors are a scrappy 35-26 and have a top-10 defense. They can hang here, if not pull the outright upset. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is enjoying great success across the board going 17-4-1 on his last 22 premium/free hockey plays, 16-7 on his last 23 NBA premium plays and 11-2 on his past 13 college basketball premium/free plays. Don't miss any of Stephen's winners.) 

Sens -155

Ottawa is worth a free move against Calgary. The Flames hold one of the worst offenses in the league at 2.45 gpg and they have struggled as a whole to produce any sort of good looks. They don’t possess the puck well and they’re reeling with 3 straight losses. Ottawa continues to impress and this is a good bounce back spot for them after blowing a 3rd period lead to Edmonton. They still managed 4 goals and they put up 3.30 gpg on average this season. Back the Sens. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the SENS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE NHL ML Play

1-2 WEDNESDAY! 151-106 59% +3592 since Mid-Dec! The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for Thur$day, and today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

1* Bet on North Dakota State -8½

1* Free Play on Southern Illinois -4½ -110

Wait just a minute. The Pels have a worse road mark than the Kings are home, but are laying 5.5 on the road? Thanks for asking. Anti-splits angle in which we go with away favorites despite a worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 1154-911-27. Going back even further, when the road team has more than 16 losses, it’s a whopping 617-433-14.

When the anti-splits angle is also an angry team off a loss it’s up 96.2 units and 13.3 ROI. A horrible team, with at least 20 more losses than wins as a big favorite is 27-10 all-time for 73 percent. 

A brief recalibration was all it took to halt the first slowdown since October, and the results have already followed. The adjustment has sparked a 15-7 surge, keeping the long-term machine rolling exactly the way it has for decades. This is not a flash in the pan — it’s the continuation of a professional career that has been producing winners since 1988.

The numbers continue to speak for themselves:

All Sports: 419-349 (55%) +3648
Basketball: 259-215 (55%) +2249
College Basketball: 179-138 (56%) +2703
NBA: 65-54 (55%) +564

College hoops has been a major engine all season, delivering a steady stream of profitable cards while the overall portfolio continues to grind out long-term gains.

Tonight the focus is squarely on the hardwood with three college basketball releases ready to go. When the systems line up and the numbers show value, the card stays disciplined and selective — exactly the formula that has produced decades of sustained success 

FREE PLAY on Tottenham Hotspur +144

1* Free Pick on Southern Miss +2½

Southern Miss is catching points at home in a spot where they have a massive situational edge. The Golden Eagles have been a dominant force at Reed Green Coliseum and play their best basketball in front of this home crowd.

James Madison comes into this matchup with a flashy record, but they are walking into a defensive trap. Southern Miss excels at grinding the game down and forcing high-tempo teams to play in the half-court.

The Dukes rely on transition points and a fast pace to stay ahead of the curve. Southern Miss ranks near the top of the Sun Belt in limiting fast-break opportunities and controlling the defensive glass.

James Madison has been on the road for the better part of the last week. This is their third game in a short window and the fatigue is starting to show in their perimeter shooting percentages.

Southern Miss is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games when listed as a home underdog. They have the physical presence in the paint to stop James Madison from getting easy looks at the rim.

This is a major revenge spot for the Golden Eagles after a tough loss earlier in the season. They have the defensive discipline to frustrate the Dukes' primary ball-handlers and force late-clock turnovers.

James Madison’s eFG% drops significantly when they play away from their home floor. Southern Miss will win the battle at the free-throw line and dictate the flow of the game from the opening tip.

Bet Southern Miss +2.5 (-120).

I have seven premium releases available for today's action across MLB, NBA, and college basketball. You can find my complete card and detailed analysis for these plays on my handicapper page.

View Premium Picks →

1* NBA - Michigan/Iowa FREE PICK on Iowa +9.5

1* FREE INFO PLAY Utah Valley vs Southern Utah over 150 -110

Massive Thursday Card up with Big CBB TOTAL Steam move, a 24-2 Conf Tournament Side, a BIG 6* Late NBA Play and more. Comp play below

The Thursday Comp play is on Utah Valley at 8:30 eastern. The Wolverines are 1st in the WAC and have won 7 of the last 8. This is their 3rd meeting with Southern Utah this Year. They beat them by 17 at home then lost as a 12 point favorite by 14 points on the road. Southern Utah is off a big revenge win over Utah Tech last out but should not be too confident here and looking at this odd scheduling scenario we see that March Road favorites of 6 or more are 100% perfect to the spread if they lost as a road favorite of 5 or more in the last meeting between the two teams. Also let me add this nuggets. Utah Valley is 22-0 to the spread as a favorite between -2 and -10 if they have rest of less than 7 days and Revenge for a favored loss. Play on Utah Valley. GL Rob V-

This is a play on the PORTLAND PILOTS for our Thursday Free Play. This line opened at 3.5 and has come down to under a possession which creates value for the Pilots. Portland finished 6-12 in the West Coast Conference and obviously the big storyline was the home upset over Gonzaga which got its revenge in the second to last game of the season by 41 points. The majority of the losses for the Pilots were blowouts but we certainly do not see that happening here in what is a double-revenge spot as they lost both regular season meetings against Pepperdine. The Waves finished 4-12 with the other two wins coming by one point at home over Loyola Marymount and the other at home over Washington St. in the season finale which meant little for the Cougars. Pepperdine has the worst defense and the second worst offense in the conference in terms of efficiency and we just do not see this team advancing. Play (818) Portland Pilots

CBB 4-0 Wednesday rolls into today with FIVE Winners. NBA 49-38-1 Run extended tonight. Matt was at the top of the boards in MLB last season! EARLY BIRD MLB available. Inclusive Package gets all plays in all sports.

Thursday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Nuggets -5 

In the bustling world of mixed martial arts betting, where underdogs often deliver the most thrilling payouts, Cody Garbrandt emerges as a compelling choice against Long Xiao this Saturday, March 7, at plus-130 odds, offering savvy bettors a chance to capitalize on a veteran fighter's proven skills amid shifting trends in the bantamweight division. Garbrandt, boasting a professional record of 14 wins and 7 losses, brings a wealth of experience from his days as a former champion, his striking landing at a 39 percent accuracy rate, while absorbing fewer blows per minute compared to many in his weight class, which could prove crucial against an opponent known for aggressive forward pressure. Recent betting patterns show that underdogs in prelim bouts have cashed in around 40 percent of the time over the last two years, particularly when facing prospects with high-volume striking but vulnerabilities in defense, a scenario that aligns perfectly with this matchup, as Garbrandt's quick hands and counterpunching have historically dismantled fighters who overcommit early.

Delving deeper into the angles, Garbrandt's boxing pedigree stands out, honed through years of high-level competition, allowing him to exploit gaps in aggressive styles like Xiao's, who averages 5.25 significant strikes per minute but has shown susceptibility in recent unanimous decision losses, including one where he outstruck his foe yet failed to secure the win. With both men standing at 5 feet 8 inches, Xiao holds a 5-inch reach advantage at 70 inches to Garbrandt's 65, yet statistics reveal that such edges often diminish against boxers who close distance effectively, as Garbrandt has done in his 60 percent knockout rate among victories, turning the tide in chaotic exchanges. Betting trends further favor this upset potential, with veterans over 30 years old bouncing back in 35 percent of underdog spots against younger talents in the 135-pound class, especially when the favorite has a bloated record padded by decisions rather than finishes, much like Xiao's 27-10 ledger that includes only 5 knockouts despite his volume.

As the fight approaches , bettors should consider the intangible factors, such as Garbrandt's motivation following back-to-back setbacks, contrasted with Xiao's youth at 27 years old, which brings energy but also inexperience in big-stage prelims, where crowd energy and pace can overwhelm. Historical data from similar clashes indicates that when a former titleholder faces a rising star with a striking differential, the underdog prevails more often than odds suggest, particularly if the bout stays standing, where Garbrandt's 2.88 strikes landed per minute mask his efficiency in bursts that lead to stoppages. This pick isn't just about raw numbers, though, it's about recognizing value in a line that undervalues resilience, making Garbrandt's path to victory through sharp counters and veteran savvy a bet worth pursuing in a division ripe for surprises.

My selection is on Bucknell plus the points over Navy at 7 pm et on Thursday.

To say Navy is in uncharted territory would be an understatement. The Midshipmen have won 13 straight games including 12 in a row ATS. They've already won and covered twice against Bucknell this season. We'll go the contrarian route here, however, as back the Bison with a boatload of points. I like the consistency Bucknell has shown offensively of late. The Bison have connected on 25 or more field goals in three straight games and 22 or more in seven in a row. On the flip side, you would have to go back to January 31st to find the last time an opponent eclipsed 30 made field goals against them - that coming in an overtime win at Boston University. While Navy certainly owns the better overall record in this matchup this season, Bucknell has faced the considerably more difficult schedule by most metrics. Take Bucknell (8*).

Jazz vs Wizards NBA Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Utah Jazz are 37-25 to the over on the season but 16-11 to the under as road underdogs, 70% to the under against teams from the East. Thw Washington Wizards are 33-28 to the over overall but 13-9 (60%) to the under against teams from the West. Eight of the last 10 meetings in this series have gone over the total but this is just too big of a number IMO. 

The Bet: UNDER (3%). 

STUNNING 9-2 (82%) NBA PREMIUM PICK RUN! Mike's dropping THREE LOCKED-IN NBA TOTALS for Wednesday, and he has a MULTI-PICK PACK that hands you ALL THREE, including his 4% NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY, at the standard top-play price! Don't sleep on this steal!

Ready to turn your sports passion into a CASH-GENERATING MACHINE? Mike "The Moneymaker" Lundin is YOUR GUY. His picks don't just CRUSH, they SCHOOL you on pro-level thinking, dissecting the sharp logic behind every winner!

1% GOLD RUSH on Adam Walton/Learner Tien: under 21

For my best free pick on the board here for Thursday I am looking at Missouri Valley Conference action and the Drake Bulldogs taking on the Southern Illinois Salukis. Really the perfect storm here to back the Drake Bulldogs who come in losers of 9 straight games and missing the cover in 9 of the last 10 games. Meanwhile Southern Illinois has been red hot winning and covering 6 of the last 7 games. We should see the world pouring on this Salukis team but really nothing to lose with Drake here and I expect a one possession game here on the neutral court. 

Play on the Drake Bulldogs plus the points rotation #795

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