Free Sports Picks of the Day

1* Free Pick on Iowa +1½

3* on Iowa State

Kent State -7.5

Kent State and Ball State meet on Saturday and this is a good spot on the Golden Flashes. Ball State has struggled all year and typically when they lose, it’s in blowout fashion. Their last 4 losses have all been by double digits and Kent State is such a tough team to deal with. They have two of the best big men in the conference with Rob Whaley Jr and Delrecco Gillespie that will control the paint on both sides of the floor. Kent’s offense averages 86.4 ppg and they’re too powerful for Ball State. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the FLASHES -7.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday .75% FREE NCAAB ATS Play

3-0 on FRIDAY! Now 5-1 L2 days! EN FUEGO! 122-76 62% +3970 since MID-DEC! The wins keep stacking. The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for Saturday, and today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

Yes, 1.5 is most common, but at OddsLogic I see a few 2.5s. "Luck Factor" quantifies how much better or worse a team performs due to random, unpredictable events (like turnovers, lucky bounces, or missed kicks in football) versus consistent skill, using statistical models that compare expected outcomes (based on play-by-play data) to actual results, essentially showing if a team is "due" for positive or negative regression by filtering out controllable elements from their overall performance. 

We take the luck factor gap based on real wins versus what advanced analytics says the wins they should have. If for example, one team has three more lucky wins than their record and their opponents has three fewer, the luck gap would be 6. 

NJIT has been very lucky with 4.1 more wins than advanced analytics say they earned, while unlucky Maine is -2.5 creating a big luck gap of 6.6 making the small puppy very undervalued here. 

Big plays require big edges — and Saturday delivers exactly that.

At 1 ET, Joe Duffy releases a Major Conference Game of the Year, among by two Wise Guy selections as part of a 12-bet card. When the rating escalates to this level, it’s because the analytics, situational angles, and market positioning all align.

The long-term scoreboard speaks for itself:

ALL PREMIUM PICKS (Cumulative)
All Sports: 372-297 (56%) +4711 units
Basketball: 212-163 (57%) +3312 units
College Basketball: 141-100 (59%) +3113 units
NBA: 56-40 (58%) +1217 units

College basketball continues to produce at nearly 60% over a meaningful sample. The NBA remains a consistent profit driver at 58%. The overall cumulative portfolio sits at +4711 units — documented, transparent, and built through disciplined execution.

This isn’t about short-term variance. It’s about sustained performance across volume and across seasons.

The Major Conference Game of the Year goes at 1 ET. Wise Guys are in position. If you’re serious about winning, now is when you step in.

*Free Play Over* The Santa Clara Broncos are fantastic on offense this year. Santa Clara is averaging 1.23 points per possession in WCC play. The Broncos have routinely been putting up big numbers. They scored 77 at Gonzaga in a loss. Santa Clara has been more efficient at home. 

Gonzaga's Ike has a clear matchup advantage over Santa Clara's frontcourt, and he should pile up the points again as he did in the first matchup between these two. 

A fun high scoring game.

Take the over.

(28-7 Last 35 CBB plays. Saturday Totals Trifecta is up for $21 per play today. Get on board!) 

1* Bet on Toledo +4½

Ricky's 1* play on SANTA.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Santa Clara is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.

- Gonzaga is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Santa Clara.

- Santa Clara is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games played in February.

Verdict: The value is on the home underdog.

1* Free Play on Utah Tech +3½ -115

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: NC State -5

I love the spot for the NC State Wolfpack today.  Their 6-game winning streak came to a screeching halt with a 118-77 road loss at Louisville on Monday.  They shot 18.2% from 3 while Louisville shot 60% from 3 in an absolute aberration.

Now the Wolfpack have had the last four days off to recover and regroup.  They will come out with their hair on fire at home here against Miami.  They were last seen at home beating Virginia Tech by 9 and Syracuse by 20 in their last two home games.

Miami is in a letdown spot off an upset home win over North Carolina on Tuesday.  It was a prime letdown spot for the Tar Heels coming off their big win over rival Duke.  The Hurricanes also benefited from UNC's best player in Caleb Wilson suffering an injury that will keep him out for the foreseeable future.

Miami had gone 1-5 ATS in its previous six games with upset home losses to FSU as 10.5-point favorites and California as 11.5-point favorites.  The Hurricanes also lost by 10 at Clemson.  This will be one of their toughest tests of the season on the road up against a highly motivated Wolfpack squad.  Bet NC State Saturday.

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1* Free Pick on SIU-Edwardsville +1½

SIU-Edwardsville is catching points at home against a UT Martin team that consistently struggles to get stops on the road.

The Cougars are a much more disciplined group when they play in their own building and they excel at dictating the tempo.

UT Martin likes to play at a high pace, but their transition defense is one of the biggest vulnerabilities in the OVC.

SIUE ranks near the top of the conference in effective field goal percentage when playing at First Community Arena.

The Skyhawks have a major issue on the defensive glass and they give up far too many second-chance points to physical teams.

SIUE will use their size advantage to control the paint and keep the Skyhawks from getting out in the open floor.

UT Martin played a grueling road game on Thursday night and this travel schedule is starting to take a visible toll on their depth.

The Cougars have been sleeping in their own beds all week and will clearly have the fresher legs in the second half.

The betting market is giving too much credit to the Skyhawks' raw scoring numbers while ignoring their defensive efficiency gaps.

SIUE is the more balanced team and they have a distinct advantage in turnover margin when playing in front of their home crowd.

The Cougars are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games against the Skyhawks.

In a conference game that should be priced as a pick'em, we are getting value with the better defensive team at home.

Expect SIUE to win this one outright by winning the battle at the free-throw line and controlling the boards.

I like the SIU-Edwardsville +1.5 (-110)

I have nine premium college basketball releases available on today’s card as I continue to focus on the highest-value positions on the board. You can view my full slate of expert picks and seasonal packages by visiting my premium profile.

View Premium Picks →

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on UCF -3.5

The Key: The UCF Knights are 13-2 at home this season with wins over Big 12 powers Kansas and Texas Tech.  This looks like the bounce back situation for the Knights off consecutive road losses to Houston and Cincinnati.  They have been off for 5 days and are primed for a big effort tonight.  West Virginia has just 2 true road wins all season and they came against ASU and Cincinnati.  They lost by 29 at Houston and by 35 at Arizona.  Take UCF.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Tenn-Martin +1½ -115

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Minnesota +6.5

Minnesota has had the last five days off since an upset loss to Maryland.  That was predictable given the Golden Gophers were coming off their biggest win of the season, an upset win over Michigan State.  They had their letdown, and now they will be re-energized and refocused for this trip out to Washington.  They take on a Huskies team they can handle.  Washington is 0-3 SU in its last three games overall including an upset home loss to Penn State as 12.5-point favorites on Wednesday.  The Huskies only have two days off in between games.  They should not be favored by more than two possessions here.  Give me Minnesota.

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Saturday Card has the 2026 CBB TOTAL OF THE YEAR Headlining. Comp Play below

The Saturday comp play is on BYU -14.5 over Colorado at 4 eastern. The Cougars stopped a 4 game skid with a nice road win and cover last out. Today they fit a long term system that has cashed 8 of 9 times for conference  home favorites of 10 or more that scored 90 or more in a road favored win and lost the 2 prior games if they have less than 5 days rest. Colorado is just 1-6 on the road and scored a season low 44 points at Texas Tech last out. Colorado is 1-17 to the spread when they lost as a road dog of less than 17 points. Play on BYU. GL Rob V-

This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our Saturday Free Play. This is an odd scheduling spot in February with Virginia and Ohio St. playing in Nashville and this will likely have a more adverse effect on the Buckeyes. Ohio St. is coming off a pair of home games against Michigan and USC where it is now 8-6 in the Big Ten Conference and while this is a game that can be a resume builder, it can be a distraction. The Buckeyes have Wisconsin, Michigan St., Purdue and Iowa on deck and this is a tough travel spot for them as they are 5-5 away from home with the best win being No. 75 Northwestern, the only Quad 1 win as they are 1-7. While it is also a disruption for Virginia, the Cavaliers are coming off a very easy five-game stretch with Georgia Tech on deck so there is no letdown/lookahead. They are 10-2 in the ACC with the losses coming against Virginia Tech in triple overtime and against North Carolina after blowing a 16-point lead. Play (747) Virginia Cavaliers

14-9 Run. NBA 42-27-1 Run going into the break. CBB 26-16 Run. TEN CBB Winners. Matt was at the top of the boards in MLB last season! EARLY BIRD MLB Special available. Inclusive Package gets all plays in all sports.

1* Free Pick on Villanova -2½ -110

Chip’s FAB-5 of CBK Best Bets

Chip Chirimbes, the Big Game Player, Las Vegas Hilton winner and seven-time basketball Handicapping Champion, has posted his FAB-5 of CBK Best Bet winners for Saturday, receive his Highest-rated Megabucks (13-7 65%) between Purdue and Iowa, his Money Game between Miami-Fl and NC State, his Vegas Hotline winner between Virginia at Ohio State, his Power Play winner between Texas and Missouri and his Vegas Double Play between Gonzaga and Santa Clara. Get Chip’s FAB-5 for just $99!

Chip’s FREE CBK Winner

Marquette at Xavier 3:00 ET

Golden Eagles (+) over Musketeers - It has been a difficult year for Marquette who have won just nine of 25 contests and are 0-9 SU on the road. Xavier at 12-12 would need to win out ti get into the Tourney and that isn’t likely. The Golden Eagles have won seven of the past eight meetings including a home 66-65 victory five weeks ago as hosts. Trends are backing the Musketeers But, I’m not. Take MARQUETTE!

As the West Coast Conference race heats up on this Valentine's Day evening , all eyes turn to the Leavey Center where the Santa Clara Broncos, riding a scorching nine-game winning streak and boasting a 22-5 overall record with a 13-1 mark in league play, host the powerhouse Gonzaga Bulldogs, who sit at 24-2 and 12-1 in the WCC, trailing by just half a game in the standings. This matchup screams value on the home underdog Broncos catching +4.5 points, considering their elite home form where they've gone 8-4 against the spread this season and 10-6 overall at the Leavey Center, while Gonzaga has struggled somewhat on the road with a 5-3 ATS clip away from Spokane. Digging into the angles, Santa Clara's offensive firepower leads the WCC in scoring during conference games at over 93 points per outing, fueled by efficient shooting splits of 58.4% from two-point range and 37.5% from beyond the arc in their recent surge, allowing them to push tempo, minimize turnovers at a league-low rate, and exploit perimeter defenses, precisely where Gonzaga ranks vulnerably at 299th nationally in defensive momentum. The Bulldogs, despite dominating the series historically with a 73-32 edge and winning the first meeting 89-77 on January 8 behind Graham Ike's 34 points and 11 rebounds, are without key scorer Braden Huff due to injury, which has capped their scoring output below 90 in recent contests and contributed to hitting the team total under in their last 11 games, while also feeding into a broader trend of game totals going under in nine of their past 11 outings. From a betting trends perspective, road favorites in WCC revenge scenarios like this have stumbled to a 7-10 ATS record over the last two years, and Santa Clara shines as underdogs with a perfect 3-0 ATS mark this season, including strong showings against top competition; moreover, eight of the Broncos' last nine night games against AP-ranked foes at home have stayed under 157 points, suggesting a lean toward the under on the 159.5 total if you're eyeing correlated plays, but the real edge lies in Santa Clara's ability to keep it close by capitalizing on Gonzaga's 34.9% three-point defense and their own 51.3% field goal efficiency. Adding to the underdog angle, Gonzaga has only covered the first-half spread in four of their last seven games, while Santa Clara's 5-0 straight-up run includes wire-to-wire dominance at home, making the +.5 a sharp grab for bettors hunting value in this high-stakes clash that could flip the conference lead.

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Saturday CBB Free play. My selection is on Vanderbilt minus the points over Texas A&M at 1 pm et on Saturday.

The Vanderbilt doubters are out in full force again on Saturday, pushing this line down from its opener. We'll step in and back the Commodores as they host the Aggies in afternoon action. Texas A&M can't find its footing right now, having lost three straight games. The Aggies opposition has been 'pouring it in' as they've allowed more than 30 made field goals in four straight games. Vandy figures to take advantage here. The Commodores have been far tighter defensively, holding four of their last five foes to 24 or fewer made field goals. I look for Vandy to tighten the screws in this one and build off its bounce-back win at Auburn earlier this week. Take Vanderbilt.

10-0 FREE PICK RUN: Texas Tech vs Arizona College Basketball Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Arizona Wildcats are 5-0 against the spread as home favorites laying fewer than 20 points and I expect them to have a chip on their shoulder after their first loss of the season in Kansas last Monday. 

The Bet: ARIZONA (2%)

Following a 3-0 SWEEP with his CBB picks on Friday, Mike's now 6-2 (75%) last 8 College Basketball premium picks. Oh, and he also gave out a CBB free pick winner last night! This multi-pick pack features Mike's 3  strongest CBB plays for Saturday, with his Kentucky/Florida CBB Total of the Month SUPER MAX included!

1% GOLD RUSH on Iowa State -6½

PSP Data Driven 1* Eastern Washington.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Eastern Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games played in February. Weber State is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing as the underdog.

For my best free pick on the board for Saturday I am looking at College Basketball and the James Madison Dukes and the App State Mountaineers. Now App State comes in riding high 7 straight wins and a much better record and a head to head blowout win just a few weeks ago yet they are close to a pick em here against the .500 James Madison squad. The Dukes have been strong at home this year 9-3 SU and with revenge in mind from that blowout win look for them to get up early in this game and step up their defense to get us a nice easy win and cover here Saturday afternoon. 

Play on James Madison plus any points rotation #672

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