Free Sports Picks of the Day

1* Free Pick on Northern Iowa +8

1* Free Pick on Seattle University -165

Seattle University is back home where they have played their best basketball of the season.
The Redhawks are 9-3 at the Redhawk Center and need a "get right" win after a tough battle with Gonzaga.

Loyola Marymount is heading into Seattle on a four-game road losing streak.
The Lions are just 2-5 straight up away from home and have failed to cover in most of those spots.

The biggest edge here is Seattle’s perimeter defense against LMU’s volume shooting.
The Lions are a perimeter-reliant team that averages nearly nine made three-pointers per game.

Seattle ranks near the top of the conference in three-point defense, allowing only 6.7 makes per contest.
When you run LMU off the line, their offense tends to stagnate.

They lack a true post presence to punish teams inside.
Seattle shoots 53% on two-point attempts and should have a field day in the paint tonight.

The Redhawks also hold a significant advantage on the boards.
They rank much higher in defensive rebounding rate and won't give LMU many second-chance opportunities.

This limits the high variance that usually keeps LMU in games.
Seattle is coming off a physical game against a top-10 opponent and looks ready for this step down in class.

Their defense is too disciplined to let a streaky team like LMU hang around for forty minutes.
Expect the home crowd and superior interior efficiency to carry the Redhawks to a clear win.

I like the Seattle University ML (-165).

Free Play – Take #744 New Mexico -14.5 over Fresno State (9:00 p.m. ET, Wednesday, Jan. 21)

Fresno State is playing better after a sluggish start, having won three of four and on a 5-1 ATS move. New Mexico was 11-1 and 9-2 ATS before falling at San Diego State by 4 as 5.5-point road underdogs. This feels like a big number for the Lobos to overcome, given how the Bulldogs have played recently. But keep in mind Fresno State is 0-3 SU and ATS recently at The Pit, and New Mexico is 9-0 ATS, having won five or six of their last seven games. Plus I have this; Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points like the Lobos after three or more consecutive OVERSs, a top caliber team with +9 PPG differential, against an average team (-2 to +5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, are 34-10 ATS, winning by an average of 19.2 PPG.

DOUG UPSTONE is a super 109-69 college hoops run (48-31 current run) for over $3,200, on a 12-3 awesome move in Hockey ($800) and a 38-25 all sports run. 

>NHL Puck Line Game of the Week! 

>CBB Wednesday Triple Play! 48-31 Run SPECIAL PRICE

Upstone is a highly decorated betting expert with 29 monitored titles in various sports and 110 Top 10 finishes in his stellar 23-year career. 

The Cincinnati Bearcats go on the road to face the Arizona Wildcats. Cincinnati is 10-8 this season and has lost two in a row. The Arizona Wildcats are the number one team in the nation, with a perfect 18-0 record. Cincinnati is putting up 74.1 points and 43% shooting from the floor. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.2 points per game. Arizona is putting up 90.6 points per game while shooting 52% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.3 points per game this season. Arizona is the superior team in this game. The Wildcats will dominate this game on both sides of the ball. Take the win and cover. 

Play on, Arizona. This is a 3% play.

1* Free Pick on Canucks +140

1* NBA - Thunder/Bucks FREE PICK on Bucks +9.5

This is a play on the SEATTLE REDHAWKS for our Wednesday Free Play. It has been a struggle for both teams and we are backing the home team. Seattle is coming off a 21-point loss against Gonzaga and the first season in the West Coast Conference has not been a smooth transition for the Redhawks as they are 2-5. The schedule makers did them no favors as they have already had to face Gonzaga twice, St. Mary’s and San Francisco, the top three projected teams coming into the season. Seattle did go 11-2 in the nonconference part of their schedule and things lighten up tonight. This is the start of four of their next five games against teams ranked lower in the NET Rankings. Loyola Marymount has lost three straight games to fall to 2-6 in the conference and while one of those wins was against the aforementioned San Francisco, it was by two points at home that took overtime. The Lions opened the season 6-0 that included two road wins but have lost their last four road games. Play (756) Seattle Redhawks

NBA 28-13-1 Run continues on Wednesday. CBB 144-132-2 Run. THREE Winners tonight. 241-214-10 NFL Run. Championships on deck. CFB finished on a 29-14 Run after the Miami Winner Monday. Get that All Sports Subscription and get every premium play!

*Free Play on USC* Northwestern takes the long road trip out to Los Angeles for tonight's late night game against USC. Northwestern has been falling apart of late, and I don't see this trip being a turnaround spot for them. Northwestern is allowing 1.215 points per possession in the Big Ten. The Wildcats just aren't quick enough to keep teams in front of them.

USC is top 45 in defensive efficiency. I like Musselman and I think the Trojans should be well prepared here.

Take USC.

(9-1 Last 10 hoops plays. Join in today!) 

Chip’s Triple-Play of NBA Best Bets

Chip Chirimbes, the Big Game Player, Las Vegas Hilton Champion, and seven-time basketball Handicapping Champion is now a Documented 44-31 61% the past six weeks in NBA action. Wednesday, here’s his Triple-play of NBA Best Bets, including his Highest-rated NBA Megabucks winner between Atlanta and Memphis, his Top-rated Money game winner between Cleveland and Charlotte and his Power Play winner between Oklahoma City at Milwaukee. Receive Chip’s ‘Guaranteed’ to turn a profit Triple-Play of NBA best bets! Only $69

Chip’s FREE NBA Winner

Toronto at Sacramento 10:00 ET

Kings (+) over Raptors - The Kings have dropped their last two games but this is their 8th straight home game and have had just one toad game since January 2nd. Take SACRAMENTO!

While the Avalanche enter as heavy favorites, the real betting intrigue lies in the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, with the under available around +115. This offers potential value for those wagering on a lower-scoring affair, as both teams have shown flashes of defensive solidity amid broader league patterns where unders have edged out overs this season at a 51.2% clip overall. Road underdogs like Anaheim have contributed to this trend, with games involving such matchups hitting the under in approximately 57% of instances when the total is pegged at 6.5, particularly against high-powered home squads that occasionally tighten up defensively.

Anaheim boasts a 25-21-3 record, clinging to playoff contention in the Pacific Division, and they've averaged 3.22 goals per game while conceding 3.57, placing them near the bottom in defensive efficiency. However, the Ducks have tightened their play during a recent four-game winning streak, limiting opponents to an average of 2.25 goals against in those contests, including back-to-back unders against the Kings with totals of 5 and 3. Their penalty kill ranks at 77.6%, and on the road, Anaheim has seen the under cash in 9 of their last 16 away games, aligning with their 16-9 over/under road split that leans slightly toward lower outputs against elite defenses. This defensive uptick mirrors NHL-wide trends where streaking underdogs have forced unders in 52.7% of overtime-inclusive games, emphasizing goaltending and structure over run-and-gun play.

Colorado, with a dominant 34-5-8 mark leading the Central Division, paces the league offensively at 4.02 goals per game but also clamps down defensively, allowing just 2.30 goals against on a league-low 27.0 shots faced per outing. The Avalanche's penalty kill stands strong at 84.8%, and they've posted a 22-25 over/under record this season, with the under hitting in 53.2% of their games, including recent unders like a 3- total against Washington and a 6-goal affair versus Nashville. At home, Colorado has gone 12-11 on over/unders, often delivering unders when facing middling offenses, as seen in their 52% under rate in such spots last season. This defensive prowess fits into larger league patterns, where home favorites have seen unders prevail in 48.3% of all games, rising to over 50% in mid-season tilts as teams prioritize possession and limit transitions.

Head-to-head, Colorado has owned the series, winning the last five encounters and holding a 1-0 edge this season, but these matchups have frequently stayed under the total, with three of the past five combining for six or fewer goals amid tight, low-event hockey. Anaheim's road struggles against the Avalanche, going 0-5 straight up, have often resulted in controlled, defense-first games, reflecting broader NHL betting angles where inter-conference underdogs contribute to unders at a 58% rate when facing top-ranked defenses. With both teams trending toward unders in their last five combined outings (hitting in three for each), this setup highlights the value in fading the over in a game likely to feature strong goaltending from Colorado's Mackenzie Blackwood (.915 save percentage) and Anaheim's Lukas Dostal (.890).

From a betting standpoint, the under at 6.5 stands out given the 51.7% league-wide over rate that's been tempered by a mid-season dip in scoring, where totals have gone under in 51.2% of games involving home favorites with elite defenses. Anaheim's recent road unders (6 of 12) and Colorado's home tendency to stifle lesser offenses (under in 11 of 23) provide a solid angle, especially as underdogs have pushed unders in 57% of 6.5-total games this year. In a season where overall scoring has leveled off after an early surge, backing the under here capitalizes on these converging trends for a potentially gritty, low-scoring battle.

AAA Sports' Selection -- Washington Capitals ML.

Washington is in need of a bounce back and it's got a good opponent to do just that against on Wednesday.

The Capitals are 13-6 over their L19 games played against the Canucks.

Vancouver has lost 10 straight games and it's clear that it's time for a complete rebuild in this program.

The Canucks are 0-8 over their L8 home games as well.

The play is Washington.

Capitals vs Canucks NHL Free Pick

The Angle: The Vancouver Canucks have lost 11 straight games and have at 4-14-3 on home ice on the season given the home town crowd little reason to celebrate. Tonight they'll face a Washington Capitals team looking to avenge a 4-3 home loss to the Canucks back in October. Additionally, the Caps are coming into the game looking to end a three-game losing streak, and they're 3-1 off three losses on the season. 

The Bet: CAPITALS (3%). 

7-3 (70%) PREMIUM PICKS ON THE WEEK! For Wednesday, Mike has a 3-Game NBA High Roller Report, an NHL TOP PLAY of the Day, and if you act early a Liverpool/Marseille UCL BOOKIE BU$TER 3:00 PM ET soccer release. 

1% GOLD RUSH on Linda Noskova/Taylah Preston: over 20

1* Bet on Northwestern +6½

"Luck Factor" quantifies how much better or worse a team performs due to random, unpredictable events (like turnovers, lucky bounces, or missed kicks in football) versus consistent skill, using statistical models that compare expected outcomes (based on play-by-play data) to actual results, essentially showing if a team is "due" for positive or negative regression by filtering out controllable elements from their overall performance. 

We take the luck factor gap based on real wins versus what advanced analytics says the wins they should have. If for example, one team has three more lucky wins than their record and their opponents has three fewer, the luck gap would be 6. 

Washington has been unlucky with -1.2 fewer wins than metrics say they should have. Nebraska a whopping +3.8 for a gap of 5. 

The pros’ pro, Joe Duffy keeps delivering. A 5–3 overall day continues a dominant college basketball run that now stands at 88–57 (61%). This is one of the strongest CBB resumes of the season, headlined by four Wise Guy releases leading a slate of 8 college basketball best bets as 2 more added this morning! Proven process. Consistent execution. Results that speak for themselves.

Off 3-1 last night, 3 NBA winners for tonight!