Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Cubs under 7 -110

Free Play Under- I'm a big fan of both Parker Messick and Payton Tolle. These are two of the best young starters in the majors. These guys have the rare combination of great control and elite strikeout stuff. The weather conditions have cooled down in Boston and the wind is blowing here. This is a game that matters to both teams and the best bullpen arms will be used. Take the under. 

(11-2 Last 13 MLB plays. MLB Non Conference Total of the Month is up for Tuesday!) 

(#919) Tampa Bay Rays @ (#920) New York Yankees | UNDER | . 

Drew Rasmussen (15-5, 2.72 ERA) vs. Max Fried (5-4, 2.63 ERA) . 

Sometimes, these pitching matchups between two "aces" can turn into an offensive barrage. This time around, I'm expecting an absolute masterclass from both of these starters. Drew Rasmussen has had one of the most consistent seasons in recent memory for Tampa Bay. I'm shocked that he isn't even close to Schittler or even Cease for AL Cy Young. But, all the credit to him. He's been elite. 

On the other hand, Cam Schlittler's partner in crime, Max Fried gets the nod. Injuries have kept Fried from pitching a full season. However, when he's been on the mound, he's been nearly un-hittable. Although he allowed three runs in that contest, Fried managed to pitch eight innings the last time he faced TB. Rasmussen seeks revenge after getting lit up last time vs. NYY. However, Drew went seven scoreless in his lone meeting here at Yankee Stadium. Hammer the "under." 

Burns' Prediction: 2-1 Rays.

Ricky's 1* play on KC.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Royals are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 head to head meetings.

- The White Sox are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.

- Anthony Kay is 1-4 in his last 5 starts for the White Sox.

Verdict: The value is on the home Underdog.

The explanation for going Over is simple. Two above average offenses going against two mediocre pitchers with a low total.

The Cardinals rank 12th in scoring averaging 4.51 runs per game. That number goes way up to 5.25 runs per game when on the road. St. Louis has scored five runs in three of its last four games.

Pirates starter Jared Jones has a 4.17 ERA.

Pittsburgh has even a better offense than St Louis.

The Pirates have scored the fifth most runs in baseball. They are averaging 6.2 runs during their last four games.

Cardinals starting pitcher Andre Pallante has a 3.70 ERA and only 104 strikeouts in 151 innings. Pallante  allowed eight runs (six earned) over five innings in a 10-3 home loss to the Giants during his last start six  days ago.

The Cardinals have the seventh highest bullpen ERA at 4.52.

1* Free Sharp Play on Rays vs Yankees over 6½ -115

My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Indiana at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

The Lynx can’t be overly pleased with the way they’ve played coming out of the World Cup break, going 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS. While they do already have the best record in the WNBA wrapped up, I expect them to get up for the front half of this home-and-home set with the Fever. Indiana checks in just 3-3 over its last six games including an ‘upset’ loss against the Mystics last time out. The earlier meeting between the Lynx and Fever went Minnesota’s way 108-100 in a game it essentially controlled from start to finish. I think the pointspread tells the story here with the Lynx favored on the road. Take Minnesota (8*).

Our selection is on the Houston Astros to defeat the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday at 9:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Houston will start Cristian Javier -- Guess who's back? Javier has a 2.20 earned run average in three starts in September.

The Astros are still fighting with the Rangers for the AL West title. The winner gets in and the loser goes home.

Seattle will start Logan Gilbert -- He is the opposite of Javier with a 6.11 earned run average in three September outings.

The Mariners have been eliminated already in what was a disastrous season.

They are just 50-58 against opponents within the AL this year.

The play is on Houston.

AAA Sports

NY Mets vs Rangers MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Mets left-hander Sean Manaea (5-7, 4.74 ERA) takes the mound looking to steady what has been an inconsistent campaign. Manaea has struggled to consistently pitch deep into games, and facing a Texas team that is 27-18 (+14% ROI) against southpaws on the season, Manaea faces a steep task on the road at Globe Life Field.

The Rangers counter with left-hander MacKenzie Gore (8-11, 4.67 ERA). While his overall win-loss record looks pedestrian, Gore has delivered far better control when pitching at home and when backed as a favorite. The Mets are 19-25 (-19% ROI) against left-handed starters. 

The Bet: Rangers ML (4%). 

3* on Padres

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