Free Sports Picks of the Day

PSP Data Driven 1* Stars.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Dallas is 8-2 in its last 10 games. Florida is 2-4 in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Western Conference.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Lazio +115

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #483 Miami Dolphins over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Monday, December 15 ESPN) Just do not trust the Steelers to be consistent following their big win over Baltimore last Sunday. Miami is riding high winning 4 straight games, and I think they will be able to take this game down to the wire on Monday Night Football. Pittsburgh has a key injury on offense and if he is not 100% they are not the same team. The Dolphins won the last meeting with the Steelers, and I feel we will be on the correct side backing the underdog. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in basketball, hockey, and FCS Football.

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Chicago Bears -7.5

Note: My favorite way to play the Bears is in a 6-point teaser at -1.5 with the Patriots +7.5 or better at -125 or better.  Currently widely available at the time of this writing on Friday.

My lone concern with the Bears is this is a sandwich spot in between the loss to Green Bay last week and with the Packers on deck next week.  However, they trail the Packers by 0.5 games in the division now, so if they lose and the Packers win in Denver next week's game won't be for first place.  So they have to be motivated and focused to handle their business first, and I think they will be this week.

The Bears have gotten healthier the last couple weeks on defense and have proven what they are capable of when that's the case.  Two weeks ago they pulled the 24-15 upset in Philadelphia as 7-point dogs.  They dominated that game with 425 total yards while outgaining the Eagles by 108 yards.  They rushed for 281 yards on a very good Philadelphia defense.

The Bears were nearly as impressive in defeat last week losing 28-21 in Green Bay with a chance to win the game late before a INT in the end zone.  They were likely going for 2 and the win had they scored.  They were only outgained by 22 yards by the Packers, who I believe to be a Top 5 team in the NFL right now.

Leading receiver Rome Odunze (44 receptions, 661 yards, 6 TD) sat out the Green Bay game with a foot injury.  He is expected back this week.  The Bears would be at full strength on offense if he returns as they are now one of the healthiest teams in the NFL.  They have three LB's back from injury that they didn't have earlier this season in TJ Edwards, Noah Sewell and Ruben Hyppolite II.  They have CB's Jaylon Johnson and Tyrique Stevenson back from injury now, and CJ Gardner-Johnson has been a great addition.  The only starter they are missing on defense is CB Kyler Gordon.

As much as I like the Bears right now due to their improved health, this play is more of a fade of the Cleveland Browns than anything.  Shedeur Sanders won his first start in Las Vegas against the hapless Raiders.  But their last two games were very concerning, and it's not exactly his fault, it's just that everyone around him is going down.  It's like he's being set up to fail.

The Browns lost 26-8 to the 49ers at home two weeks ago and were upset 31-29 by the Titans as 3.5-point home favorites last week.  Now they must hit the road where they are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS this season while getting outscored by 12.3 points per game even when you factor in that 14-point win in Vegas.

The injury report is brutal for the Browns, especially on offense.  They will be down at least three starters on the offensive line in RT Jack Conklin, RG Wyatt Teller and C Ethan Pocic.  LG Joel Bitonio is questionable, and LT Dawand Jones is on IR.  So they would be down the five starters on the O-Line they expected to have at the beginning of the season if Bitonio cannot go.

TE David Njoku suffered an injury last week that will keep him out this week.  WR Cedric Tillman and WR Malachi Corley are questionable, while backup RB Dylan Sampson is out.  Defensively, the Browns haven't been the same since DT Maliek Collins went on IR.  They are much more susceptible to the run without him, as evidenced by allowing 184 rushing yards to the Titans last week.  DT Adin Huntington and CB Denzel Ward are out, and DT Mason Graham is questionable as well.  They have one of the worst injury reports in the NFL going into this week.  Bet the Bears Sunday.

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Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Chargers/Chiefs UNDER 41

The Key: Both the Chiefs and Chargers are really hurting along the offensive line right now.  Justin Herbert not only is playing with a broken hand, but he is playing behind one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL.  He was under pressure on 70% of his drop backs last week against Philadelphia and he was sacked a season-high 7 times.  The Chiefs are down 3 starters on the offensive line in LT Simmons, RT Taylor and RG Smith.  They will also be without starting WR Hollywood Brown this week.  It's easy to see why both of these offenses are struggling.  But both teams are led by 2 of the best defenses in the NFL.  The Chiefs are 7th in scoring defense at 19.4 PPG and 9th in total defense at 303.7 YPG despite facing a very difficult schedule of opposing offenses.  The Chargers rank 4th in total defense at 282.2 YPG.  Temperatures will be in the teens Sunday in Kansas City and I just can't see Herbert and company sniffing 20 points.  This feels like a 20-17 or 20-13 type win for the Chiefs in the freezing cold.  Take the UNDER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Houston Texans -9.5

The Houston Texans are 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall since a 0-3 start.  They now trail the Jaguars by just one game in the AFC South, so they cannot afford to take their foot off the gas now.  That's why I'm not concerned about it coming off three straight huge wins over the Bills, Colts and Chiefs with two of those on the road.  Now they get to let their hair down and take a big step down in class here against the Arizona Cardinals, who are one of the worst teams in the NFL in their current state.  The Cardinals have lost five straight and are 1-9 in their last 10 games.  They are coming off a 45-17 home loss to the Rams.  It was the 3rd time in 5 games they have given up at least 41 points.  Their defense has no hope with all they are missing due to injury.  And it's even worse on offense right now down two starting receivers in Marvin Harrison Jr. and Xavier Weaver, and down their two best backup receivers in Jones and Dortch.  They are down two starters on the offensive line in LT Paris Johnson Jr. and LG Evan Brown as well.  The Texans are fully healthy with the exception of SS Jaylen Reed, but they have plenty of depth there to make up for it.  Give me the Texans.

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Big Saturday card has the College Hoops Non Conference Game of the Year, and 2 Top CFB Plays including a TIER 1 and the 5* LA perfect System Side. There is also NBA And more.

The Saturday Comp play is on the OVER 151.5 Point total in the Arkansas at Texas Tech game at noon eastern. This is a tournament rematch spot for an Arkansas team that lost to Tech by 2 points in Over time back in late Match. That game was higher scoring this one should be as well. Consider there have been 8 games where a home favorite of 3 or less that have 7 wins have played with both teams coming off a win last out and 7 of those 8 have flown over the total. Both teams are solid and come in at 7-2 and this should be one of the better games this weekend. Play this one Over. GL Rob V-

1*

1* Free Pick on Giants -2½