Free Sports Picks of the Day

Free Total Annihilator On Mariners vs Astros under 8 -110

Recommended Bet: Rosario Central +185

1* Free Pick on Sky/Storm: over 176½

Pace and defense are the only two inputs that matter here, and both point the same direction.

Chicago is running at a 99.7 pace over their last 10, Seattle at 99.3.

That's a possession volume floor regardless of who's on the floor.

The defenses are the bigger factor.

Seattle is giving up a 114.8 defensive rating over their last 10, which is bottom of the league.

Chicago sits at 110.2.

Neither side is stopping anyone.

The last time these teams played on August 10, they combined for 185 points in a 97-88 Seattle win.

That's 8.5 points clear of this number in the most recent data point available.

The opposition case is real.

Chicago is down three double-digit scorers in Rickea Jackson (18 PPG), Sydney Taylor (14.7 PPG), and Skylar Diggins (14.2 PPG), and Seattle is missing lead guard Natisha Hiedeman (15.4 PPG, 4.8 APG).

That's a legitimate hit to shot creation on both sides.

Here's why it doesn't move me off the over.

Chicago is still putting up 90.5 PPG over their last 10 with those guys already out for most of that stretch.

Kamilla Cardoso (14.5 PPG) and Azura Stevens (11 PPG) are handling the interior load, and Seattle's 114.8 defensive rating isn't slowing anyone down.

Dominique Malonga is at 17.1 PPG for Seattle and gets a Chicago defense that's leaking at 110.2.

Fast pace, bad defenses, recent 185-point head-to-head.

The number is short.

I like the Over

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Houston Astros -118

The Key: The Houston Astros have a big edge on the rubber tonight.  Hunter Brown is 3-2 with a 3.68 ERA in 12 starts this year.  Brown sports a 2.11 ERA in his last 7 starts against the Mariners.  Bryan Woo is 1-8 with a 6.22 ERA in 13 road starts this year yielding 47 ER in 68 innings.  It has been night and day with Woo on the road compared to at home.  Take Houston.

**4X Top 5 MLB Handicapper!** Dave is on a 2967-2676 MLB Run since June 8th, 2011 to really put a beating on the books in baseball! His $1,000/game investors won $15,660 in MLB in 2023! He finished as the #1 Ranked MLB Capper in 2024 with his $1,000/game investors winning $41,550 for an even bigger season! Dave is in the midst of a 227-151 MLB 7* Run as well as a 416-358 MLB Run since last year! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Sunday MLB 5-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NL Total of the Month along with four 6* picks on the diamond for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Monday's MLB picks for FREE!

Sunday MLB Divisional game of the year Headlines a Powerful 3 game MLB Pack along with Top level totals in the WNBA and Coppa Italia Soccer. Comp play below

The WNBA Comp play is on Chicago at 5 eastern. The Sky are in a nice system that has cashed 8 of 9 times since 2011 for road favorites of less than 5 that are off a road loss and allowed 80+ points, vs an opponent like Seattle that is off a home loss and has a .450 or less win percentage and also allowed 80+ points. The teams split a pair of high scoring games this season and both are well under .500. Chicago is a bit better overall and do qualify in the nice system tonight so we will back them here. GL Rob V-

Jim's Free Play is on the UNDER between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros Sunday night.

Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Bryan Woo is far from a masher, but he’s dominating with his command right now. The righty enters Sunday at 8-8 with a 4.15 ERA and fantastic 1.10 WHIP. Woo is coming off of back-to-back scoreless outings, tossing five shutout innings against New York on Tuesday and seven scoreless against Detroit prior to that.

Opposing him is Houston Astros rookie right-hander Hunter Brown. Brown hasn’t been overpowering since returning from shoulder woes, but he does possess swing-and-miss stuff. He’s struck out eight hitters over each of his last two six-inning starts dating back to June 22nd at Toronto.

Seattle and Houston combined for 17 and 15 runs in the first two games of this series, but both starting matchups were quite atrocious. Sunday’s game features the best starting pitching tandem of the series and both clubs should have much more success preventing big innings early on. Houston was unable to muster more than two runs through seven innings Saturday night before scoring late, and Woo has excelled at keeping hitters off base this season.

I also like both of these managers turning to their best relievers in late innings if this game stays close. Sunday’s contest is being played in Houston, which is clinging to a small lead in the AL West. Managerial bullpen tendencies aside, I think Woo and Houston UNDER the total based on their respective starts from each team.

Jim's Free Play: 973. Mariners/Astros UNDER

1% GOLD RUSH on Frances Tiafoe -170