Free Sports Picks of the Day

1* Free Pick on Cowboys/Lions: over 54

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Lions -3 -105

Free Play on Wild -113

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #132 Jacksonville Jaguars over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, December 7 CBS) Solo first place in the AFC South is on the line Sunday when the Colts travel south to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars. As expected, the Colts have fallen off of late losing 3 of their last 4 games. QB Jones and RB Taylor has not been as productive of late and I just do not trust this team when playing December games on the road. Jacksonville has won 3 straight games, and they are starting to lite up the scoreboard and I see that continuing at home in this game. The wrong team is favored, and we will gladly take the slight home dog on Sunday. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in College Basketball, NBA, NHL, Football, and the UFC.

1* Free Sharp Play on Cowboys vs Lions over 54 -110

For my best free pick of the night on Thursday I am looking at the Detroit Lions hosting the Dallas Cowboys. Everyone I talk to says how can you not take the over and we see the droves of bettors flocking early and often to the over yet this total at the time I write this has only moved 1 point. Dallas we have seen much improvement from their defense as they start to get healthier on that side of the ball. Lions still have one of the better defenses in the league and their play the last 2 weeks isn’t indicative of their true talent. Look for a game that barely sneaks under that total. 

Play on the UNDER in the Lions and the Cowboys here on Thursday

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1% GOLD RUSH on Cowboys +3

1* Free Pick on Cowboys/Lions under 54½ -110

*10-3 NCAAF RUN (as of posting) *FRI & SAT CONF CHAMPIONSHIP WINNERS*Joe D’s NCAAF is SCORCHING HOT & as one of the most profitable documented big game cappers over the L25 years, this is the time of year, WE SCORCH THE BOOKS: C USA, MOUNTAIN WEST, BIG 12, SEC, ACC, BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP WINNERS.

Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Western Michigan Broncos.

Game 114.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Maybe this game isn't being played in Kalamazoo, but it is being played in Detroit, Michigan and you will see a ton of Broncos fans in the stands. Having said that, this is the third straight MAC title game for the Redhawks, winning the previous two. But they do lose a little luster when they travel going 3-3 on the road this season. While they have won and covered their last two outings, they did struggle a little bit in they're two previous contests, losing and failing to cover both. Meanwhile, Western Michigan enters this matchup red-hot, winning four in a row straight up, and covering their last three games. As a matter of fact, they have played some darn good football. I am well aware Miami took down Western Michigan in the only meeting this season, back at the end of October at home, 26-17. That was their second consecutive win and cover going back several seasons. Prior to that Western Michigan dominated this rivalry, winning eight consecutive meetings straight up, and going 5-3 ATS during that span. Neither offense is known for their passing games. Without question both offenses rely upon their ground games. But also, without question, the Broncos are stronger at running the football. Coincidentally enough, they're both pretty darn good at stopping in rush, as Western Michigan is certainly stronger against the pass. They also possess a defense that ranks 13th nationally, yielding just 18.7 PPG. Speaking of offense, the dual-threat senior quarterback for the Redhawks, is no longer here. And they have a younger, less-seasoned, quarterback at the helm. I just don't see him having too much success here. As a matter of fact, this is a big step up in class from what he's seen recently. Just FYI, Dequan Finn was the experienced leader under center when Miami took down Western Michigan. Now the reins have been passed to Thomas Gotkowski really just has one start under his belt. You can't compare that to quarterback Broc Lowry, who possesses a 63.5% completion rate, 1572 yards passing, and a 7/2 ratio this season. He will be the difference on offense, while the Broncos defense take care of the rest. Take Western Michigan. Thank you.

OVER 54.5

Detroit and Dallas are worth a move to the over. Both of these teams have struggled defensively at times. Dallas overall is giving up 28.5 ppg while the Lions have given up 58 points combined over their last two games. Expect plenty of shots down field and for both teams to produce a lot of red zone trips. This is a good over spot. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the OVER the total tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 5* FREE NFL O/U Play

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As the 2025 MAC Championship Game approaches on December 6 at Ford Field in Detroit, bettors are eyeing a gritty rematch between the Miami (OH) RedHawks (7-5, 5-3 MAC) and the Western Michigan Broncos (8-4, 7-1 MAC). The over/under total holds steady at 43.5, a number that screams caution in a conference known for defensive slugfests. This low line isn't accidental ,it's a reflection of both teams' identities as run-heavy, efficiency-challenged offenses facing elite conference defenses, making the under our viable wager in this neutral-site showdown.

Historical trends in the MAC Championship strongly favor the under, providing a rock-solid foundation for this pick. Since 2005, MAC title games have gone under the total in 13 of 20 instances, cashing by an average of about six points per game, with the last six straight championships all staying below the line. This pattern holds even stronger in recent years, as conference games increasingly emphasize clock control and field position over explosive plays, especially indoors at Ford Field where conservative coaching often prevails. For Miami specifically, the RedHawks have been a consistent under machine, posting a 40-28-1 record (58.8%) to the under over the past three seasons, including a 7-5 mark this year where their games averaged just 44.4 total points. Western Michigan isn't far behind, sitting at an even 6-6 over/under this season but allowing only 18.7 points per game (16th nationally) and just 14.5 in MAC play, underscoring their defensive prowess that aligns perfectly with these low-scoring trends.

Diving into the matchup angles, the under's appeal starts with the defensive blueprints on both sides. Western Michigan boasts a top-35 unit in yards per play allowed and a strong pass rush (31st in PFF grade), anchored by edge rusher Nadame Tucker and his 12 sacks, which could disrupt Miami's inexperienced quarterback Thomas Gotkowski and force quick three-and-outs. Miami counters with the nation's third-best pass rush efficiency and a run defense that surrendered just 101.1 yards per game in conference, holding Western Michigan's non-QB backs to a measly 50 yards in their October 26-17 victory in a game that totaled exactly 43 points, teasing right under today's line. Both offenses rank in the 90s nationally in EPA per play, with Western Michigan leaning on a ground attack that averaged only 3.7 yards per carry against Miami earlier, while the RedHawks' +9 turnover margin in MAC games flips field position and stifles drives into field goals rather than touchdowns.

Another key angle is the championship environment itself, where pressure often leads to risk-averse play-calling and fewer big plays. Western Michigan's dual-threat QB Broc Lowry (971 rushing yards, 14 TDs) is a wildcard, but Miami's linebacker Jackson Kuwatch and their top-tier front have already proven they can contain him, as evidenced by Lowry's fumble in the first meeting. With both teams' average game totals hovering around 45-46 points but dipping lower in conference clashes, and sharp money leaning under in similar low totals, this setup projects to a 23-20 or 24-17 final...well below 43.5. Neutral-site dynamics at Ford Field further suppress scoring, as the lack of home crowd energy encourages ball control over aggression.

In summary, the combination of MAC historical unders, team-specific trends favoring low totals, and matchup angles highlighting defensive dominance make the under 43.5 (-110) a viable totals bet for this MAC Championship. While the spread is tempting with Miami's pedigree in title games (their third straight appearance), the real value lies in betting on a defensive war where points come at a premium. Grab the under early before any line movement, and let's cash in on this grinder.

Play on the under

Ricky's 1* play on DAL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.

- Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas.

- Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit.

Verdict: The value is on the Road underdog.

FREE PLAY on Cowboys/Lions under 54½

1* Free Pick on Cowboys/Lions over 53½

3* on under

Indiana-Ohio State

Opener: Ohio State -5.5, 48.5

Best lines: Ohio State -4.5 -110, Indiana +5.5 +110

Best totals: OVER 48.5 -102, UNDER 48.5 -109

Splits on side: 58% of bets, 88% of cash on Indiana

Splits on total: 76% of bets, 77% of cash on over

·      At Lucas Oil Stadium, so hardly neutral 

o   Ohio State is about 178 miles

o   Indiana 50

·      Indiana is 7-5 ATS but by a nation’s best 11.6 margin of cover

·      Ohio 10-1-1 but by only 6.3 points per game 

·      Ohio State under 8-4 by -4 points per game 

·      Indiana over 7-5 +3.6 points per game 

·      Public starts to like dogs in postseason and/or ranked dogs

·      Teams off a road win in a game in which they attempted 10 or fewer first downs is 215-138-8 (Indiana)

·      Undefeated underdogs of 2.5 or more in game 6 or later are 139-112-7 (Indiana)

·      Go with favorite of 3 or more in battle of two ranked teams if not playing a true road game is 399-291-18 (Ohio State)

·      SportsLine has Ohio State winning 27-22

·      Teams off dominant rushing games (at least 300 yards plus other factors) go under 585-396-25

·      Neutral games are not home or away

·      Ohio State 18-2 ATS with no more than six days rest after completing 19 or fewer passes last game 

·      Indiana QB Fernado Mendoza vs. Ohio State Julian Sayin Heisman battle 

·      If it’s possible for a team to get a letdown in a conference championship game, it’s here

o   Ohio State finally snapped Michigan’s 4-game winning streak

o   Defending national champs, looking at bigger picture

o   Indiana only second year as powerhouse and has doubters 

Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks: INDIANA +4.5 as tough for Ohio State to avoid true sandwich game in Big 10 championship