Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Dodgers under 9 -105

Free Total Annihilator On Giants vs Pirates over 7½ +100

1* Free Pick on A's +180

Ricky's 1* play on CLE.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Guardians are 8-2 in their last 10 games.

- Gavin Williams is 3-1 in his last 4 starts for the Guardians.

- The Blue Jays are 2-4 in their last 6 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

Free Play on Padres ML- The Cincinnati Reds are 10th in the majors in wRC+ against left handed pitching. They are dead last in the majors in wRC+ against right handed pitching. Randy Vasquez can struggle against teams with a lot of good left handed hitters, but the Reds are not that team. Vasquez should be able to navigate through this lineup well. The Padres bullpen is excellent and well rested too.

Nick Lodolo is in really poor form, and the Padres have been one of the top five offenses in baseball in the last month. The Reds have one of the weakest bullpens in baseball.

Take San Diego.

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(#961) St. Louis Cardinals @ (#962) Los Angeles Dodgers | UNDER | . 

Michael McGreevy (5-9, 3.86 ERA) vs. Eric Lauer (8-6, 4.78 ERA) . 

Although these pitchers haven't necessarily been great, I think that this is the perfect matchup for a low scoring affair. Michael McGreevy has already faced the Dodgers this year and completely shut them down. He went six innings in that contest and allowed just three hits. It's time for him to get back to work here. 

On the other hand, Eric Lauer has seen significant improvement since joining Los Angeles. No, he isn't an ace or anything by any means. But, he should put down another solid performance on Tuesday. LAD has scored only 25 runs over its past eight games. I'm on the "under" in this one. 

Burns' Prediction: 4-2 Cardinals.

3* on A's

1* Free Pick on Rangers -184

Free Play on Nationals +167

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Baltimore Orioles -137

The Baltimore Orioles have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games overall to pull within a half-game of the final wild card spot in the American League.  The Colorado Rockies have gone 2-12 in their last 14 games overall and have the worst record in baseball at 52-86 on the season.  

Kyle Bradish has posted a 4.15 ERA in 26 starts for the Orioles this season.  I'll gladly back Bradish over Gabriel Hughes, who is 0-6 with a 6.61 ERA in nine starts and one relief appearance for the Rockies this season.  Hughes has posted a 10.03 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 26 earned runs in 23 1/3 innings.  Bet the Orioles Tuesday.

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1* Free Pick on Twins +108

This one comes down to price.

At +108, the books are pricing this game off Tigers starter Troy Melton's 1.86 ERA.

The problem is that number doesn't hold up under the hood.

Melton's Statcast xERA sits at 3.41.

That's a gap of more than a run and a half between what's happened and what should have happened.

His actual wOBA allowed is .270 against an expected .287.

Same story: results better than the process.

The recent tape backs the regression read.

Over his last 3 starts, Melton has given up 22 hits in 17 innings.

Tampa Bay touched him for 7 hits on August 26.

The White Sox got 8 on August 15.

Contact is finding grass more often, and the ERA hasn't caught up yet.

The obvious knock on this play is Twins starter Connor Prielipp and his 5.55 ERA against Melton's 1.86.

Fair.

But that gap is exactly why Minnesota is a home dog here.

The market has already charged you for Prielipp.

It hasn't charged Detroit for Melton's luck.

Detroit's lineup is also nowhere near full strength.

Six position players sit on the IL, including Kerry Carpenter, Matt Vierling and Parker Meadows.

That's a lot of everyday bats replaced by depth pieces on the road.

Minnesota is 66-72 to Detroit's 63-74, so this isn't a bad team catching a good one.

It's two similar teams, one at home, priced like the road side has an ace.

I don't think it does.

I like the Twins

1* MLB - Padres/Reds FREE PICK on Reds +127

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:

1* on Arizona Diamondbacks +124

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Arizona Diamondbacks at home underdogs to the Philadelphia Phillies.  Eduardo Rodriquez continues to get no respect.  He is 14-4 with a 2.50 ERA in 27 starts this year, and 8-3 with a 2.47 ERA in 15 home starts.  Rodriquez is 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Phillies, and 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in 2 home starts against them.  Jesus Luzardo is 12-5 with a 3.48 ERA in 27 starts this year.  Luzardo is 2-2 with a 5.53 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against the Diamondbacks, and 1-1 with a 7.94 ERA in 3 road starts.  Take Arizona.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Mets/Rays OVER 7.5

Two starting pitchers having terrible seasons square off tonight in Tampa Bay with a total of 7.5 that is too short.  Sean Manaea is 4-6 with a 4.77 ERA in 28 games this season that has included 14 starts.  Freddy Peralta is 6-11 with a 4.98 ERA in 27 starts this season.  These teams combined for 19 hits yesterday but managed just 5 runs out of it.  They should take advantage of more of their opportunities tonight and easily top this 7.5-run total.  Give me the OVER.

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Tuesday 9-1-26

Philadelphia @ Arizona  (9:40 PM EST)
Play On:  Arizona +124

The Philadelphia Phillies take on the Diamondbacks in Arizona on Tuesday night.  Philadelphia is 78-60 SU overall this year while Arizona comes in with a 73-66 SU overall record on the season.  Arizona is 25-11 this year against left handed starters.  Jesus Luzardo is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.  Luzardo is 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA in all starts vs Arizona last 3 years.  Eduardo Rodriguez is 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA in all starts vs Philadelphia last 3 years including a 0.00 ERA at home during that time.  He is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA at home vs Philadelphia in his career.  Arizona is 11-1 at home this year after 2 or more consecutive losses.  We'll recommend a small play on Arizona tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocketman is 25-15 63% last 40 overall picks in all sports!  Rocky Atkinson has his MLB PLAY OF THE DAY going Tuesday.  Get on board now and let's beat the books together!  30 years of winning!

1* Free Sharp Play on Twins +106

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #164 Under in Marshall Thundering Herd @ Penn State Nittany Lions (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 5 FS1) The Matt Campbell era gets underway at Penn State on Saturday. Penn State should still have a strong defense and Coach Campbell is a run the ball and play strong defense type of coach. I don’t think he will want to throw the football up and down the field and focus on field position and ball control. Marshall usually a bowl caliber team and not a mid-major pushover like some teams. They have to run clock to have any chance to keep this game under twenty points and that should set up a strong play for the under. Marshall closed out the season going under the posted total in 3 straight games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in football, baseball, and soccer. 3 straight winning weeks to open up the football season and you can receive all football plays for half off with a one week football package.

I like Tampa Bay around -125 in a bounce-back spot after Monday's 3-2 loss. The Rays are an excellent 46-24 at home and have been one of baseball's strongest teams against left-handed pitching, going 25-13 against lefty starters. That's important with Sean Manaea starting for New York.

Tampa Bay also owns one of the American League's best offenses, while the Mets have struggled on the road and are only 15-25 as road underdogs of +100 or higher.

Jim's Free Play: Tampa Bay Rays

Tuesday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Giants +149 

Under 48.5 in Buffalo. That’s the one I want and recommending to all of you.

Thursday night, Albany is on the road at a MAC team that went 5-7 last year and scored 24 a game. Buffalo is laying 24 and a half. They should win. They do not need a 35-burger to get it done. The books hanging 48.5 already told you this is supposed to stay small. Week 1, first Thursday, rust, backups late. That’s punts. Not a track meet.

Albany already played. They beat New Hampshire 28-14 and the under cashed at 46.5. Last season they averaged 16.3 points. That’s two scores and a kick if everything is clean. They are not walking into Broadview and hanging 28. Buffalo scored 24 a night in 2025 and allowed 23.5. Close games. Ugly games. Not 50-point games.

Shop 48 if you can get it. Don’t wait around for 47 and watch the number leave.

Simple way to look at it: if each team puts up 21, you are already home.

21+21=4221 + 21 = 4221+21=42

That’s under 48.5 with six points to spare. Twenty-one is three scores. Asking for 49 in an opener with a three-touchdown spread is a lot. Buffalo 28, Albany 14 is 42. Buffalo 31, Albany 10 is 41. The over needs a leftover touchdown and a special-teams mistake. Week 1 does not give those away as often as people think.

Add last year’s averages and you get the same picture.

16.3+24.0=40.316.3 + 24.0 = 40.316.3+24.0=40.3

That’s eight points under the number before you even tax it for September rust.

Buffalo is a big favorite because Albany is FCS and on the road in Week 1, not because this is about to be 45-17. If the Bulls cover and it finishes 31-7, the under still cashes. Spread and total are different tickets. Take the one that pays when the night stays quiet.

A few spots that keep showing up in this look:

Bet under the total in Albany games as a road underdog.
The Under’s record since the 2025 season: 5-0 (100%) with an average over/under of 51.5. (+5.0 units, ROI = 90.9%)

Bet under the total in Buffalo home games when the number is 50 or lower.
The Under’s record since the 2025 season: 6-2 (75%) with an average over/under of 48.8. (+3.6 units, ROI ≈ 45%)

Bet under in Week 1 MAC home games against FCS when the total is 50 or lower.
The Under’s record the last two seasons: 7-2 (77.8%) with an average over/under of 49.1. (+4.4 units, ROI ≈ 49%)

Bet under when Albany plays an FBS team and the number is 52 or lower.
The Under’s record since 2025: 4-1 (80%) with an average over/under of 50.2. (+2.6 units, ROI ≈ 52%)

Grab 48.5. If a shop is still at 49, that’s fine too. I would not start on Buffalo −24.5 when the total is the cleaner number. Check the wind off the lake closer to kick. Keep the unit small. It’s still the first week. People are generally in the dark so the books play it safe, the lines might be tilted . This is one that looks a little crooked and a viable early season bet.

Under 48.5, Albany at Buffalo. That’s the play.

My selection is on Detroit over Minnesota at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday.

The Twins took the opener of this series in blowout fashion last night. We'll back the Tigers as they try to respond on Tuesday. Troy Melton gets the start for Detroit. He pitched well over seven innings against a tough Rays lineup last time out but was still saddled with the loss in a 3-0 defeat. On the season, Melton is 7-3 with a 3.73 FIP and 1.01 WHIP and while current Twins hitters have had some previous success against him, I'm confident he can navigate their lineup in this spot, noting that while Minnesota did bust out for 11 runs last night, it still ranks middle-of-the-pack in terms of xwOBA over the last week. Andrew Morris gets the start for the Twins, figuring to serve as an 'opener'. The Twins bolstered their bullpen at the trade deadline but it remains unreliable with a 4.68 ERA and 1.51 WHIP over the last month. Look for the Tigers to answer back in this spot. Take Detroit (8*).

Mets vs Rays MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): This looks like a good spot to back the Tampa Bay Rays to bounce back from a 3-2 loss Sunday. They had won four on the bounce leading up to that setback, and boast a 46-24 home record. Included in that record is a 13-3 mark as home favorites against left-handed starters, and Mets southpaw Sean Manaea (4-6, 4.55 ERA) has been hit hard lately, with 14 runs allowed over his last three starts alone. 

The Bet: Rays (3%). 

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1% GOLD RUSH on Dodgers -160

Free Play – Take #976 Tampa Bay -135 over N.Y. Mets (6:40 p.m. ET, Tuesday, September 1)

After the exciting series sweep, Tampa Bay was completely flat for seven innings on offense Monday, making Robert Stock look like Tom Seaver from yesteryear. The Rays had chances late but couldn’t get the big hit and lost 3-2 to the Mets. I believe they will bounce back with Freddy Peralta (6-11, 5.11 ERA) coming off arguably his best performance of the season (six shutout innings – two hits, no walks), looking to beat his former club. Peralta has a 4-0 record with a 2.70 ERA versus the Metropolitans. The Mets' Sean Manaea (4-6, 4.55 ERA) has been consistently mediocre all year, and Tampa Bay is 25-13 vs LH starters this season. In this interleague affair, Bet Against an average NL offensive team scoring 4.0 to 4.5 RPG, against an average AL starter (ERA=4.30 to 5.70), after scoring three runs or less in two straight games. Teams like the New Yorkers are 37-75 in this exact spot.

>MLB AL Game of the Day! 15-8 Run

DOUG UPSTONE is on a 20-14 run, looking to improve his 193-161 long-term on all picks! Currently, Doug has one MLB Pick. Doug has a 232-189 mark on baseball picks.

Upstone is a highly decorated betting expert with 30 monitored titles in various sports and 114 Top 10 finishes in his stellar 24-year career. Get Doug’s Best Bets, Top Plays, Super Systems and terrific trends. 

FREE PLAY on A's +180

PSP Data Driven 1* Rangers.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. oakland athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 games. Mackenzie Gore is 4-1 in his last 5 starts for the Ranger.

The New York Mets will send Sean Manaea to the mound. He is 4–6 in 14 starts, posting a 4.55 ERA, with a 1.32 WHIP and 120 strikeouts in 122.2 innings. He has allowed four or more runs in three of his last four starts. The Rays’ Freddy Peralta has made 27 starts, going 6–11, posting a 5.11 ERA, with a 1.41 WHIP and 133 strikeouts in 141 innings. He allowed just two hits in his most recent appearance. Take the Rays in this one as Peralta is in better form and the Rays are great at home. 

Play on TB. This is a FREE play.

For my best free pick on the board here for Tuesday I am looking at the NY Mets visiting the Tampa Bay Rays. Rays one of the best teams in baseball but this team has been in cruise control as of late. Freddy Peralta has seen better days with his gigantic 6.75 ERA over his last 5 starts. Sean Manea 4-1 with a 3.75 ERA over his last 5 starts as he has been eating up innings for the Mets averaging 6 innings a start over the last 5 starts. This price tells us all we need to know as the books seem to be seeking Rays money here.

Play on the NY Mets on the ML rotation #975 

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Fresno State has an attractive combination of situational rest, coaching familiarity and sharp support.

A respected sharp handicapper released Fresno State +23.5 for 1.1 units. His projection still makes USC a substantial favorite, but the recommendation is that the market has gone too far.

The situational angle is noteworthy. Fresno State is fresh, whereas USC has already played San Jose State. Historically, Teams in first game versus opponent in second game under specific situations that apply in this game are 211-180-2.

USC's opener also provided evidence that the Trojans are not invulnerable to scoring from an inferior opponent. San Jose State produced 26 points. Fresno State does not need to win offensively; it needs enough production to prevent USC from creating a four-touchdown separation.

There is also coaching familiarity. Fresno State coach Matt Entz has prior familiarity with Lincoln Riley's system, giving the Bulldogs a preparation advantage that a typical large underdog may not possess.

The problem is the market. The sharp release was +23.5. If only +22.5 is available, we are already giving away a full point of value. If the game drops through +21, the recommendation becomes substantially less attractive.

Worldwide public sentiment has leaned toward USC, giving Fresno additional contrarian corroboration.

Free Play: FRESNO STATE +22.5

Prefer: +23.5 or better

Playable: +22.5

Pass below: +21.5