Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Learner Tien -210

3* on Cowboys

1* Free Pick on Cowboys -4

1* Free Pick on Cowboys -4

This line is about who the Eagles are missing, not who the Cowboys are.

Jalen Hurts is on injured reserve with blood clots and isn't coming back this season.

Tanner McKee takes over, and his first start told you what to expect: 4.8 yards per attempt against Carolina in a home loss.

Now take away his weapons.

DeVonta Smith is out with a hamstring.

Dontayvion Wicks is out with an ankle.

Philadelphia is throwing Makai Lemon, Darius Cooper and Hollywood Brown out there against DaRon Bland and a healthy Joey Porter Jr.

Dallas Goedert can't carry a passing game by himself.

The defense is banged up too.

Nolan Smith is out in the concussion protocol, and both Jonathan Greenard and Jalyx Hunt are game-time decisions.

Saquon Barkley is questionable and hasn't played since Week 4.

The form reflects it.

The Eagles have lost 4 straight and are averaging 16.4 points over their last 5 games.

The Cowboys get DeMarvion Overshown back at linebacker and are putting up 25.2 points a game behind Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens.

I'll be honest about the other side.

Dallas has dropped the last 3 meetings with Philadelphia, and Prescott has a 4:4 TD:INT ratio over his last four starts.

But those head-to-head losses came against Hurts, not a backup throwing to practice-squad depth.

A healthy offense against a gutted roster on a four-game slide.

Laying 4 is the right price.

I like the Cowboys

1* FREE INFO PLAY Wolves +3½ -105

1* Free Sharp Play on Eagles +4½ -105

Monday card has the 2X PERFECT Total in the Dallas at Philly game and a Perfect World Series Game 3 Historical system headlining, WNBA Comp play below

The WNBA Comp play is on the Over in the Golden St at Atlanta game at 8 eastern. Game 5 is up in this competitive series between 2 evenly matched teams and we are back the over her as Home favorites like the Valkyries that are off a road dog win in a game that went under and lost the prior game on the road have flown over all 5 times times in this sequence regardless of round. Game 4 was the lowest of the series with both teams shooting 36 and 35% from the field. Look for an uptick in scoring here tonight. Play this one Over. GL Rob V-

Philadelphia to cover vs Dallas 

Philadelphia hosts Dallas on Monday night as a short underdog near 4.5. Both sides sit at 2-4, the Eagles are without their starting quarterback (Jalen Hurts is done for the season with blood clots), and the market has already priced that absence into a road favorite role for the Cowboys. A number that short at home against a team that has not been generating consistent margins early is the cleaner cover. The side is the work. Do not lay the juice on the moneyline, especially not when both clubs have spent the first six weeks proving they can lose to almost anyone.

Dallas owns the better overall usage on paper and the cleaner path through the air. Dak Prescott is still throwing for real volume (around 1,600 yards and 10 touchdowns through six games), with CeeDee Lamb and the supporting cast giving the offense a clearer ceiling than Philadelphia’s current group. The Eagles have already shown they can limit secondary scoring when the primary options stay on the field, they’re allowing just 22.8 points per game (roughly 16th), but their own offense has cratered to 17.7 points per game while Tanner McKee learns the job on the fly. The Cowboys have not ranked inside the top 10 in points allowed through the early sample (26.5 PPG, 25th). That mismatch is the argument. Shop the number. If the line reaches 5.5 or better, the edge shrinks. Confirm the starter. A rotation that slides a non-starter into primary ball-handling duties turns a cover into a donation—McKee is the guy, and any further attrition on the Eagles’ skill positions (Barkley is at least practicing after a hamstring) only tightens the window.

Home underdogs of 4.5 points or fewer have covered at a 31-19 rate (62.0%) since the early 2010s when the road favorite ranks outside the top 10 in points allowed early in the season. At even money that record is +12.0 units and a 24.0% ROI. The average margin in those spots is +3.8. The secondary has been the separator. Early-season home dogs in general have been kinder to the number than the market expects; short road favorites against non-elite defenses tend to leak just enough to keep the cover alive.

The same filter holds in divisional games. Home underdogs of 4.5 or fewer against a division rival that has not limited secondary scoring early are 18-11 (62.1%) since 2015. At -110 that is +5.7 units and a 19.7% ROI. The extra familiarity keeps the number honest, and in the NFC East this year, familiarity mostly means everyone is mediocre. The Giants are somehow leading the division at 4-2-1 while these two former contenders sit at 2-4 and trade punches with the bottom half of the league.

Dallas has already given up volume when the opponent’s skill players stay on the floor (recent losses of 24-16 to Tampa and 23-13 at Green Bay). Philadelphia has posted secondary scoring that has kept games competitive through the early sample even without its primary quarterback, margins have been tight more often than not once the game settles. That mismatch is the cleaner cover. Shop the number. If the market drifts to 5.5 or higher before kickoff, the edge shrinks to a tax. Lineup confirmation is required. A backup who turns the ball over on the second possession turns the cover into a donation.

The spread remains the primary position. Confirm the starters. In a rivalry that usually delivers drama, a short home number against a leaky road defense is the cleaner way to stay involved without paying the full tax.

My selection is on Boston minus the points over Chicago at 7:40 pm et on Monday.

The Bulls will already be playing their fourth game of the season on Monday and I expect them to get drilled by the winless Celtics. Chicago has allowed its first three opponents to knock down 44, 46 and 45 field goals. To say the Bulls have played matador-like defense would be an understatement. Boston is 0-2 but it has faced a difficult early slate going up against the Pistons and Knicks. Note that the Celtics have held each of those two opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals. The problem has been the C's middling offense. I fully expect them to get dragged along by the Bulls porous defense here as it's only a matter of time before the home side pulls away. Take Boston (8*).

1% GOLD RUSH on Eagles +4½