Free Sports Picks of the Day

[1%] Free Play on Blue Jays under 8½ -107

1* Free Pick on Falcons/Steelers over 41½

*Free Play on Over* Oklahoma State's offense disappointed in general last week, but Morris and Mestemaker is a great combination. Also, we know Oklahoma State will play as fast as possible. The Cowboys were top five nationally in tempo last weekend. They'll push the pace again here. 

I think Hawkins can do some damage out of the backfield in the passing game. This is an Oregon defense that didn't tackle very well last week against Boise State. 

Oregon's offense did poorly on late downs, but they rolled up 7.9 yards per play and 497 yards of total offense against Boise State a week ago. If they convert some late down chances, they could hang a big number here. 

The Oklahoma State defense is a clear weakness. The Cowboys don't have the secondary to stay with these ultra talented Oregon receivers.

Take the over here.

(17-5 last 22 plays overall. Saturday CFB 5 Pack Special offer is up for $15 per play. ACC Total of the Month is up and included in that package. Join in!* 

Ricky's 1* play on SF.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Giants are 6-4 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings.

- The Padres are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.

- The Giants are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.

Verdict: The value is on the home Underdog.

(#469) New Orleans Saints @ (#470) Detroit Lions | OVER | . 

New Orleans has been hyped up a bit this offseason. With a new addition to the backfield in Travis Etienne, the Saints can now use a two-headed attack with him and Alvin Kamara. Tyler Shough enters year two having finished the year tremendously (5-4 in final nine games.) Chris Olave is healthy and even without rookie wideout Jordan Tyson, I expect Shough to be more comfortable here in year two. 

Detroit's offense speaks for itself. It was a down year for the whole squad a year ago. But, I just know that the Lions are going to want to come flying out of the gates here in week one. Detroit scored 28.3 PPG which was tied for 3rd a year ago despite missing out on the postseason. I wouldn't be shocked if that number increases here in 2026-27. Give me the "over."

Burns' Prediction: 34-26 Lions.

This misses stronger systems status by the narrowest possible margin.

A powerful league-wide angle says favorites of at least 31 points with totals of 55 or lower are 273-169 OVER — 61.8% — for +87.1 units and a 17.9% ROI.

Louisville is roughly -35.5, but the widely available total has moved to 55.5, putting the game half a point outside the exact system qualification. If 55 or better appears, the play becomes considerably stronger.

Louisville's offense provides the fundamental support. In Lincoln Kienholz's first collegiate start, he threw for 307 yards and two touchdowns, rushed for another 69 yards and a score, and committed no turnovers. Tre Richardson produced touchdowns of 30 and 62 yards, and Louisville scored 32 second-half points against No. 9 Ole Miss.

Villanova isn't devoid of offense. Pat McQuaide threw for 218 yards and two touchdowns against Bucknell, both to Braden Reed, and Ja'briel Mace rushed for 70 yards.

Louisville is on only five days' rest following the emotional 41-38 Ole Miss loss, which is one reason not to lay an enormous number. The Cardinals also have SMU next. Those same situational concerns can be friendlier to an OVER: Louisville's offensive talent can separate quickly while the defense may not receive maximum attention during a short preparation week.

Weather currently projects as a non-factor with very light wind.

Free play: OVER 55.5. At 55 or lower, the systems value becomes significantly stronger.

(3 Unit Free Play on UCLA) The UCLA Bruins have an excellent coach in Bob Chesney. Chesney's teams are a perfect 5-0 ATS in weeks one and two. They have been crushing teams. They put up 8.5 yards per play in their win at Cal last weekend. 

San Diego State lost their elite defensive coordinator Rob Aurich. He took a lot of talent with him to Nebraska. The Aztecs defense will be down this season. On offense, Denigal is a good scrambler, but he struggles in the passing game. The Aztecs are likely to struggle to keep up with the Bruins here.

Bet UCLA.

Saturday Duke/Illinois Free CFB Pick

PLAY ON: Duke +6 

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR THURSDAY, 9/10:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Thursday is with the Rutgers Scarlet Knights plus the points versus the Boston College Eagles. Rutgers (0-1) looks to bounce back from a 37-21 upset loss at home against Massachusetts as a 29.5-point favorite last Thursday. The Scarlet Knights have still covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games played in September. They have also covered the point spread in 5 straight road games as an underdog of up to seven points. Boston College (0-1) looks to rebound from their 34-15 loss at Cincinnati as a 7.5-point underdog last Saturday. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after losing on the road. They suffered a -2 net turnover margin in that contest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after enduring a -2 or worse net turnover margin in their last game. Take Rutgers plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

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Jack's Free Pick Friday: Mariners/A's OVER 9.5

Sutter Health Park is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  The A's have gone 41-28-3 OVER in all home games this season.  Most of their totals are set at 10 or higher at home, and this total of 9.5 is too short, especially with temps in the 80's at game time and 10-plus MPH winds blowing out to center.

The A's have gone 8-3 OVER in their last 11 games overall.  The A's have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last nine games overall despite playing six of those games on the road.  The Mariners are going through their best offensive stretch of the season.  They are 7-2-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in six of them.  They have scored 4 runs or more in seven of their last 10 games.

I love the fact that this is a rematch from six days ago when Jeffrey Springs took on George Kirby.  It will be a big advantage for the hitters getting to see these same two starters for the second time in less than a week.  And there's not a lot to like about either starter tonight.

Kirby is 3-6 with a 5.48 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 12 road starts this season while allowing 40 earned runs in 65 2/3 innings.  Springs is 4-13 with a 6.02 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 26 starts this season, including 2-9 with a 7.18 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 14 home starts.  He has allowed 54 earned runs and 21 homers in 67 2/3 innings at Sutter Health Park this season.

Both bullpens are also trash.  Seattle has a 4.51 ERA on the season and a 5.16 ERA on the road.  The A's have a 5.37 ERA on the season and a 6.56 ERA at home.  The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between the A's and Mariners.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

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1* Free Pick on Sacramento State/Fresno State: under 45½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* NCAAF - Oklahoma/Michigan FREE PICK on Oklahoma -5

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on New York Mets +124

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Mets as underdogs to the New York Yankees tonight.  Nobody is hotter than the Mets right now going 6-1 in their last 7 games overall while averaging 8.6 RPG in those 7 games.  They have the rest edge over the Yankees after having Thursday off while the Yankees were completing their series with the Rockies.  They also have the edge on the rubber with Nolan McLean, who is 11-8 with a 3.06 ERA in 28 starts, and 6-2 with a 2.49 ERA in 13 road starts.  Carlos Rodon has yielded 8 ER in 8 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Mets.  Take the Mets.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Phillies/Braves UNDER 7.5

The UNDER is 5-2-2 in the last nine matchups between the Phillies and Braves.  Two starting pitchers on an absolute roll square off tonight and this should be another pitcher's duel.  Chris Sale is 14-9 with a 2.10 ERA in 25 starts this season, and 8-3 with a 1.45 ERA in 12 home starts.  Sale is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in three starts against the Phillies this season, giving up 3 earned runs in 19 innings.  Aaron Nola held the Braves to one earned run in 7 innings in his last start on September 6th.  He has given up 2 earned runs or fewer in six consecutive starts.  Both offenses are really struggling right now as well.  Give me the UNDER.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Mariners vs A's over 9½ -115

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #344 Syracuse Orange over California Golden Bears (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 12 ACC Network) Both teams have a game under their belt and we will follow the line movement in this game. Cal has a new coach and system and they fell apart last week in Berkely, being outscored 21-0 by UCLA to lose by 21 points. I do not have much confidence in this team and feel Ron Rivera is in over his head as general manager. Syracuse got some confidence last week destroying New Hampshire and they did win at Cal in 2024 in route to a 10 win season. I see them bouncing back this year and making a bowl game. They should be able to win this game by double digits. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays football, soccer, and tennis. Sign-up now with a long term package and let 55 years of handicapping experience work for you.

1* Free Pick on Rangers +114

Our opening week pulling the trigger in college football a week ago, was a successful week for us. This week I settle for nothing less than PERFECTION. So, if you’re going to follow me, bring a broom, because WE ARE SWEEPING THE BOARD. This week I have: FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS WINNER. On Saturday, my first NCAAF CRUSHER, the OKLAHOMA/MICHIGAN WINNER, my first CONSENUS WINNER, my 1-0 TOUCHDOWN PLAY, my first LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE PLAY, my BEST BET OHIO STATE/TEXAS WINNER, and my coveted LATE BAILOUT. Bring a broom and a big bag, because we are sweeping the board and will make a ton of money.

Saturday’s free winner: Alabama Crimson Tide.

Game 357.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

This may be just the first month of the NCAAF campaign, and laying nearly double-digits on the road is never an easy task. However, I think we can all agree Alabama learned from last year’s mistake. If you recall, a season ago they came out on August 30 on the road in Florida State as a 13.5-point favorite and got you humiliated, 31-17. They did rattle off 10 victories out of their final 11 remaining regular season contests. This does include wins and covers in all four games played on the road. This season they came out and blew up East Carolina at home, 48-10. They have the luxury of knowing they’ve dominated Kentucky taking six consecutive meetings straight up, covering four of those six, which includes the most recent matchup back in November 2023 in which they annihilated the Wildcats, 49-21. Speaking of Kentucky, they blew up Youngstown State in their opener, 45-13. But this is a team that faced quite a few of the same opponents, ‘Bama did last season and got shellacked in several of those outings. The Wildcats, under head coach March Stoops did surprise a few teams. However, I don’t feel they could carry that over this season with their current head coach, Will Stein. Yes, Alabama has Florida State up next, the team that took them down in the beginning of last season. But the SEC opener cannot be overlooked. While ECU, the team Alabama took down last week, is not a powerhouse. The Crimson Tide still produced 487 total yards, with 28 first downs. I feel they will absolutely dominate in their SEC opener, especially against a team that is certainly in a rebuilding year. Take the Alabama Crimson Tide. Thank you.

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Rutgers at Boston College 7:30 ET

Scarlet Knights (+) over Eagles - After what happen to the University of New Jersey last week set Greg Schiano back in the coaching ranks after getting ambushed 37-24 by Massachusetts. Boston College was manhandled by Cincinnati, as was expected, but coming up a favorite against Rutgers this week was not expected. BC part of the ACC is 1-9 in their last 10 games overall. The Scarlet Knights are just 2-8 SU in their past 10 games and they go from a 29.5-point favorite to an underdog. This, possibly is an over-reaction. Take RUTGERS!

Lions -7

Locking this in early. Analysis to follow.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

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Forty-four and a half is a quiet number until you remember who is walking into NRG on Sunday. Buffalo at Houston, 1:00 Eastern, Week 1, a pick’em dressed up like a heavyweight and a total that already admits this should look like 24-17, not 31-28. The public hears Josh Allen and starts adding touchdowns. The board heard Houston’s front and hung 44.5 like it meant it.

Last year the Bills went 12-5 and scored 481 points, 28.3 a night, tied for fourth in the league. That tape is real. So is a road opener in a building that has treated Allen like a tourist. Including the postseason he is 1-4 against this franchise with a 55.4 percent completion rate. That is not a curse you put on a poster. That is a completion percentage that lives in the 200s and a lot of third-and-long. Houston went 12-5 as well. The Texans were 7-11-1 to the total. Buffalo was 10-8-1. One of those clubs already knew how to keep a Sunday from turning into a track meet.

Week 1 is not January. First real snaps, first real crowd, first real script that has not been stress-tested since the spring. Openers lean under for a reason. Coaches call it safe. Quarterbacks check it down. Clock becomes the whole ticket. A 23-17 Texans win cashes 44.5 in its sleep. A 24-20 Bills win cashes. A 27-13 still has a pulse. The scores that beat it are the ones where both quarterbacks start slinging it in the fourth quarter of an opener because somebody panicked. That is not how this spot usually ages, and it is not how NRG usually ages when Buffalo is in town.

You do not need a defensive struggle that looks like 9-6. You need this to stay out of a late auction. Allen can still be the best player on the field and the under still gets paid. Stroud can still look like a franchise and the under still gets paid. The number is not asking you to fade talent. It is asking you to fade rust plus a Houston defense that does not need permission to hit.

Pertinent ledger from last season, the kind that lives on a football reference page if you want to stare at it: Bills 481 points in 17 games, 28.3 a night, 12-5, 19 giveaways. Texans 12-5, 12 giveaways, second-fewest in the league. Combined that is two grown clubs, not a cupcake and a bully. Combined they were not a 50-point problem every Sunday. Houston’s total record already told you that. Buffalo’s scoring average is the trap. People take 28.3, add a home dome, and forget that 28.3 was earned across a year, not on the first Sunday in somebody else’s building.

The public will smash Allen props and the over because the logo travels and the quarterback sells tickets. Let them. A 220-yard Allen night and a 210-yard Stroud night with a couple of field goals is an honest opener. James Cook can still eat and the total can still sit down. The ticket is not “nobody scores.” The ticket is “nobody turns this into a shootout before the rust comes off.”

Sit on 44.5. If the number drips to 43.5 it gets cleaner. If they hang 46.5, the edge is thinner and you can live without it. Sunday’s ticket is the under, not the chalk, not the revenge poster, not the first-game narrative that always sounds smarter on Saturday night.

Bet under the total in Week 1 games posted 45.5 or lower.

The Under’s record since the 2025 season: 12-7 (63.2%) with an average over/under of 43.8. (+4.1 units, ROI=19.7%)

Bet under the total in Bills road games against a 12-win defense.

That spot since 2023: 7-3 (70.0%) with an average over/under of 46.1. (+3.5 units, ROI=31.8%)

Bet under 45 in Week 1 games that open as a pick’em or inside a field goal.

That spot since 2024: 9-5 (64.3%) with an average over/under of 44.2. (+3.4 units, ROI=22.1%)

Bet under the total when Josh Allen plays in Houston.

That spot since 2022: 4-1 (80.0%) with an average over/under of 46.8. (+2.7 units, ROI=49.1%)

Confirm the number is still 44.5 closer to kick. Confirm both clubs are still listing the names you expect. Then take the under and let everybody else argue about a one-point spread in Week 1. Enjoy the early window. Bet the total. Let the logos yell at each other while the clock does the work.

Player Prop bets :Josh Allen’s passing line is sitting around 221.5. Take the under. He can still win the game and live in the 190s if Houston’s front gets him off schedule.

C.J. Stroud is around 218.5 passing yards. Same lean. Under. A home opener against Buffalo does not require 250. It requires 205 and a couple of scores.

Allen under 1.5 passing touchdowns is the other quarterback ticket. One through the air and a field-goal night is an honest road opener in this building.

James Cook around 73.5 rushing yards is the over that still fits the under. If this stays on the ground, he eats clock and the total still cashes.

My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We saw considerable regression from the Buccaneers down the stretch last season as they ultimately missed the playoffs after having it set up on a platter for them in the down-trodden NFC South. So obviously Tampa Bay has a chip on its shoulder entering the 2026 campaign but I'm not sure that will make a lick of difference. I think we're going to see the Bucs get involved in their share of shootouts again this year and in the season opener, that suits Cincinnati just fine. The Bengals finally have QB Joe Burrow healthy to start a season and he has all the weapons around him he needs to take his team on a 'Super Bowl of bust' type of run this year. The big news is that Cincinnati finally made some moves to bolster its much-maligned defense. I think the Bengals defense is well-positioned to come up with the splash plays needed to ultimately pull away in this particular contest. Bettors are hesitant to back the Bengals in Week 1 given their early season futility in recent years. I think this is a team with a fresh outlook, however, and one that brings a lot of optimism into its home opener. Take Cincinnati (8*).

Mets vs Yankees MLF Free Pick

The Angle(s): The New York Mets are heading into this three-game series in the Bronx riding a four-game winning streak. They're 5-2 in righty Nolan McLean’s (11-8, 3.06 ERA) last seven starts, and he has posted an electric 1.16 ERA over five consecutive quality starts. Yankees left-hander Carlos Rodón (5-3, 3.09 ERA) has been almost equally hot, but the Yankees have lost his last two starts against the Mets who tagged him for three runs (two earned) in just 3 2/3 innings of a 6-3 win back in May.

The Bet: Mets ML (2%). 

The results don’t lie: 23-12 since Aug 19 with top-rated (4-5%) picks across all sports!

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1% GOLD RUSH on Angels/Nationals: under 8

FREE PLAY on Rangers +120

3* on under

PSP Data Driven 1* Angels +1.5

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. The Angels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The Angels are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 head to head meetings versus the Nationals.

Rutgers was embarrassed last week and has to improve this week. Boston College ws 2-10 last year and had a terrible defense. I think this is going to be a close game that will be decided late. I like Rutgers to win this game outright, but will take the points.

Play on Rutgers plus the points. This is a FREE PLAY!

For one of my best free picks on Sunday I am looking at the Washington Commanders at the Philadelphia Eagles here on Sunday. I think we are getting a great value here getting more than a field goal with Washington. Over the years these teams no matter how good either one is play tight NFC East style games. I think Washington is under valued due to their poor season last year and the Eagles are over rated as usual and should see some decline this year. Look for a field goal win from the Eagles but it would shock me if we saw an upset here. 

Play on the Washington Commanders plus the points rotation #475

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