Free NCAA Basketball Picks

1* Bet on Richmond/Temple: over 151½

My selection is on Butler plus the points over Boise State at 2 pm et on Sunday.

These two teams have met in each of the last two seasons, once in a postseason tournament and most recently last year at Hinkle Fieldhouse, where Boise State won 77-68. I look for Butler to repay the favor here. The Bulldogs are off to a terrific start having delivered blowout wins over Lafayette and Fairleigh Dickinson. While they'll be taking a step up in class here, I believe they'll be up for it. Note that Butler has connected on 32 and 36 field goals in its first two contests while holding both opponents to just 25 including a grand total of nine made three-pointers. It's hard to glean much from Boise State's opener as it came against little-known West Coast Baptist. The Broncos predictably won in a walk 132-53. Of note, Boise State shot just 12-of-32 from beyond the arc in that contest. Look for the Bulldogs to get their 'revenge' here. Take Butler (8*).

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Butler +2½ -110

Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Sunday 11-8-26

SE Missouri State @ South Carolina  (1:00 PM EST)
Play On:  South Carolina -17

The SE Missouri State Redhawks travel to South Carolina to take on the Gamecocks on Sunday afternoon.  

1* Free Play on Richmond -1½ +100

Idaho State is 0-2 and has been thoroughly outclassed in both road openers (losses of 36 and 31 points). Air Force is 1-1 after a 31-point road loss and a 49-point home win over a non-Division I opponent. The posted number sits in the mid-single digits at Clune Arena, which asks for more separation than the early-season gap between two low-efficiency systems has typically delivered.

Both groups have played with limited structure and high defensive ratings so far. Idaho State is scoring roughly 60 points per game while allowing well into the 90s; their offensive efficiency sits near the bottom of the early rankings and they have struggled to generate clean half-court looks against higher-level defenses. Air Force’s recent home blowout came against a far weaker opponent and does not yet reflect sustained efficiency. Last season the Falcons averaged just 61.5 points while allowing nearly 80, and they return a high percentage of that roster under a new staff. The matchup is two teams still searching for consistent half-court execution rather than a clear talent gap that routinely produces 8–10-point home margins. When both sides are generating low-quality possessions and the home team is still integrating its returning pieces after a poor prior year, the final margin tends to land closer to the mid-single digits than the higher end of the posted range.

Air Force’s primary options (Kam Sanders coming off a 21-point night, Grant Best) can create volume in stretches, but the supporting cast has not yet shown the sustained secondary scoring or defensive cohesion needed to pull away from a mid-major visitor. Idaho State’s scorers have been inefficient on the road so far, yet they can occupy the ball and force the Falcons into half-court sets rather than easy transition opportunities. The individual advantages exist for Air Force at the top of the rotation, but the depth and two-way reliability on both sides remain thin this early. When the favored team’s secondary options are still settling and the underdog can at least keep the game from becoming a complete track meet, the margin compresses.

Air Force’s home openers and day games against non-conference opponents have frequently stayed within larger numbers than raw rankings suggest, especially in the first ten days of the season. Idaho State’s road results this year have been blowouts, but those came against higher-level programs; the step down in opponent quality plus the short rest window for both sides points toward a tighter final. League-wide, mid-single-digit home favorites in early November against low-major visitors coming off multi-game road trips have covered at a lower rate when the number climbs past 5–6 points and neither team has demonstrated consistent offensive efficiency. The combination of an inflated early-season line, both teams’ unsettled form, and the historical tendency for these day-game non-conference spots to land closer than the market expects is what makes the points the cleaner side. Air Force should control the game and win; the posted number simply asks for more than the systems, the individual matchups, and the recent trends have typically delivered.

[1%] Free Play on Virginia -2½ -110