College Football Expert Picks: Arkansas State vs. Memphis

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2020-21 College Football Week 1 betting matchup between Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Memphis Tigers at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee.

Saturday’s game is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET and be televised on ESPN.

Below you will find current odds and all available free and premium picks for this Week 1 college football matchup released by our expert handicappers.

Saturday, Sep 5, 2020
8:00 PM ET SIDE O/U
Arkansas State +18½ 73½
Memphis -18½
Current Odds via 5Dimes

Larry Ness

NCAAF | Arkansas State vs. Memphis
Play on: Memphis -18½ -115 at betonline

My free play is on Memphis at 8:00 ET.

Arkansas St and Memphis open their respective 2020 seasons with a familiar opponent, as the schools have met 57 times in the past (Memphis owns a 29-23-5 series lead). Arkansas St is led by head coach Blake Anderson, who came to Jonesboro for the start of the 2014 season and has led the Red Wolves to eight-plus wins in FOUR of his six years, including SIX bowl berths (just 2-4). 2019 was particularly trying one for the program, as during the season Anderson’s wife (Wendy) lost her two-year battle with breast cancer. On the playing field, starting QB Logan Bonner had a 10-1 TD/INT ratio through four games but a hand injury sidelined him the rest of the season. Alabama transfer Layne Hatcher stepped in and threw for 2,946 yards with a 27-10 TD/INT ratio, earning SBC Freshman of the Year honors. Both QBs are healthy heading into 2020.However, the SBC Player of the Year, WR Omar Bayless (93 catches for 1,653 yards with 17 TDs) is gone, as is fellow WR Kirk Merritt (70 catches / 12 TDs). Leading rusher Murray is back but he ran for a modest 820 yards (4.8 YPC) for a team that averaged only 127.2 YPG 0on 3.6 YPC. The defense struggled all season, finishing in the bottom 10 nationally in allowing 3478.3 YPG, while allowing 34.2 PPG.

Over on the Memphis side, the Tigers lost head coach Mike Norvell to Florida St, right after Memphis won the AAC championship game. That victory gave the Tigers a 12-1 record and earned the school its first-ever New Year’s Six bowl berth (lost 53-39 to Penn St). Taking over for Norvell is Ryan Silverfield, whose l-only game as a head coach was last year’s Cotton Bowl. So far, he gets credit for keeping QB Brady White and WR Demonte Coxie at Memphis. White threw for 4,014 yards (454 vs Penn St in the Cotton Bowl), becoming only the second Memphis QB to do so. He had 33 TDs and only 11 TDs, with Coxie as his main target )76 catches / 1,276 yards / 9 TDs). RB Kenneth Gainwell had 1,459 rushing yards (6.3 YPC / 13 TDs) as a freshman plus added 51 catches for 610 yards with three more TDs. However, Gainwell surprised the school by recently opting-out of the season (COVID-19 strikes again). DC Adam Fuller left for FSU with Norvell but Silverfield was able to bring in Mike MacIntyre as his DC. MacIntyre had success at both San Jose St and Colorado as a head coach (won National Coach of the Year at Colorado in 201^) and the defense returns SEVEN starters. Memphis did a good job at forcing TOs last season but gave up too many “big plays.”

I would have made a bigger play on Memphis if Gainwell had not opted-out but I will still lay the points with a team that went 7-0 SU at home last season, while averaging 38.4 PPG. Note that Memphis has been to THREE straight ACC championship games and has gone 20-2 SU at the Liberty Bowl (home stadium) from 2017-19. It’s expected that Memphis plans to allow a limited number of fans into the stadium and any ‘extra support’ can’t be a bad thing. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

Pick Released on Sep 03 at 02:00 pm

Premium Picks

Totals Guru

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*Arkansas State/Memphis* – 5 Unit BEST BET – *4-Time Top 3 NCAAF*

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John Ryan

Ryan’s NCAAF 7-Star Best Bet Titan; 13-1 ATS

**#2 ranked NCAA-F in 2009-10**
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50* Arkansas State/Memphis Powerhouse Play!

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**#1 ranked NCAA-F in 2018-19**
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Info Plays

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Check out all expert college football picks for Saturday and daily during the 2020-21 season.

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